Can Rick Santorum Finish First in Iowa?

Matthew Dowd, Jake Tapper analyze recent polls suggesting a new shakeup in race.
3:14 | 01/02/12

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Transcript for Can Rick Santorum Finish First in Iowa?
Tapper -- Washington that got here with me and Matt. -- Begin with you so now it's official every single candidate has had a surge in Iowa at one time -- -- Santorum coming on. Very strong. -- only -- have been kind of rooting for Santorum to knocked out Newt Gingrich Rick Perry. But now it appears Santorum could actually yes Santorum is looks like he could finish first in this -- look at the last few days of that poll. He was basically tied for first in this and that it's going to give him a lift he's nowhere in the polls in New Hampshire. But if he finishes first in Iowa he'll get a lift to New Hampshire. The question is is can he get a lift fast enough in the following states in order to be competitive but he's a new player on the street and -- player of the -- -- South Carolina Florida coming after we're still Mitt Romney. The prohibitive favorite and if he can pull this out. Tomorrow when nominations -- lose the Iowa he wins -- nobody has ever lost the nomination if they've won Iowa New Hampshire so if he wins Iowa is likely -- New Hampshire. And so -- pizza with a loose it would be an historic thing to win the first -- states and then lose the -- traditionally Iowa knocks out anyone -- doesn't come in. The top three but all the candidates Newt Gingrich Rick Perry even Michelle Bachmann vowing to stay and even if they do poorly tomorrow night. Yeah we may have a three way tie for first in a three way tie -- -- Iowa usually doesn't pick the winner but they always pick the -- somebody's gonna have to make up their mind that on Wednesday morning and how quickly they go from denial. Two acceptance will be a matter of should be a matter of days but it may take awhile before they do that can only bring in Jake Tapper that got in Washington Jake pres Obama got his break out. Four years ago in the Iowa Caucuses it's going to be a big battleground state. In November so he's not ignoring it even though -- unopposed in his caucus tomorrow night. Not at all President Obama is relying on winning Iowa this November in order to be reelected he's not taking anything for granted and as he saw. In Jon Karl's piece sometimes. When the Republicans are not attacking each other they're attacking President Obama so I wouldn't have been subjected to. Months and millions and attacks and Obama so he is trying to have a presence there he has eight campaign offices -- his campaign has done more than 350000. Calls to supporters. And tomorrow night during the caucuses he's actually having eight. Tell our town hall to supporters a lot of presence and all of Iowa's 99 counties talking to supporters while Republicans are -- And then he's going straight on the road Wednesday as well I think going to Ohio and -- we're seeing that this season the Obama strategy right now the campaign has been going after Mitt Romney. From the very beginning as it is a flip flop or -- no and no core principles and their words and also. Over the weekend more signs the president Obama's gonna take on this congress that has a record low popularity rating. That's right White House officials light. How the politics -- for them at the end of 2011. So they are going to be running against a dysfunctional gridlocked congress President Obama. Running against them and the Tea Party and whoever the Republican nominee -- Can't take things before mad dad leaves and put you on the spot -- 123 good morning. I'm I think it's Santorum. Romney Paulus what I think it is it ends up tomorrow night just because of the surge at the end and whoever has insurgency -- wins payment dad thanks very much.

This transcript has been automatically generated and may not be 100% accurate.

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