It's too early to say what all this means about troops levels, but the initial success of the Iraqis in Mosul, Basra and Sadr City raises the possibility of more troop withdrawals this fall.
There is, of course, no guarantee that these positive developments will last. Government services and economic development still lag. Iranian involvement is still a major concern. And nobody wants to repeat Cheney's infamous 2005 comment about the "last throes" of the insurgency. But we may now be seeing the most positive set of circumstances we have seen in a long, long time in Iraq.
As one usually pessimistic military official told me this morning, "Everything has broken our way over the past three months."