The Candidates
2016 Election Forecast: Predict Which Candidate Will Win the Presidential Election
A candidate needs 270 electoral votes out of 538 to win the presidency. Get started to make your own forecast.
1.
Trump to Propose Excluding Child Care Expenses From Taxation in Major Economic Speech
Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump is set to propose excluding child care expenses from taxation in a major economic speech today, according to a senior-level campaign source. In a broad address aimed at rounding out a more robust economic policy, Trump is expected to propose ending the estate tax -- sometimes dubbed the "death tax" -- and reducing taxes across the board, calling the proposal the biggest tax reform since Ronald Reagan's tenure. Trump will also continue his focus on trade agreements such as NAFTA, as well as reducing regulations, focusing on domestic energy sources and reducing business income taxes to 15 percent. More from ABC's CANDACE SMITH, JOHN SANTUCCI and RYAN STRUYK: http://abcn.ws/2b836Qy
2.
Backstory
Trump first revealed his economic ideas and tax plan last September during a news conference at Trump Tower. The speech in Detroit will "expand on the plan last fall, delivering a more detailed economic proposal," the campaign source told ABC News. Trump is also expected to be joined by some members of his newly established economic advisory panel. The speech is slated for 11:30 a.m. in Detroit. http://abcn.ws/2b836Qy
3.
Analysis -- ABC's Rick Klein
It's not just that Donald Trump needs to pivot – it's that he needs to pivot away from being what's made him Donald Trump. That means traditional-candidate Trump, maybe even boring-candidate Trump, reading from notes or TelePrompTers, and staying away from interviews and Twitter for a while. (Not coincidentally, Hillary Clinton is quite good at all of that.) Monday's speech on the economy, where Trump is expected to lay out his plans for tax cuts and make the case against Hillary Clinton's plans, will stand as proof (or not) that he gets the message. But the damage already done is severe: The latest ABC News/Washington Post poll makes clear he squandered his convention opportunities, and then stomped all over the post-convention period with a counter-productive series of feuds. Nearly three-fourths of all voters, and six in 10 Republicans, disapproved of his handling of his dispute with the Khan family. He can put that, along with his intra-party fight with Paul Ryan, John McCain, and Kelly Ayotte, behind him now but doing something he's not that good at: not making news. Remember, with Trump, dominating news cycles is not his problem. It's dominating them with a message his party can rally behind that has proved vexing.
4.
Clinton Opens 23-Point Lead Among Women, Gains With Democrats as Trump Struggles
Hillary Clinton has advanced among women and consolidated support within her party since her nominating convention, while a difficult few weeks have left Donald Trump still struggling on basic ratings from his temperament to his qualifications for office. She leads him by 8 points in a new ABC News/Washington Post poll, ABC's GARY LANGER reports. Trump's ratings in general haven't worsened -- they just haven't improved since he claimed the Republican nomination. http://abcn.ws/2aCtu0l
5.
The Trouble List is Long
Seventy-nine percent of Americans say he doesn't show enough respect for people he disagrees with, 70 percent express anxiety about a Trump presidency, 67 percent think he lacks the personality and temperament it takes to serve effectively, 64 percent doubt his understanding of world affairs, 63 percent see him unfavorably overall, 62 percent say he's not honest and trustworthy, 61 percent think he's unqualified for office and 60 percent think he's biased against women and minorities. http://abcn.ws/2aCtu0l
6.
Trump Questions Clinton's Mental State: 'I Don't Think She's All There'
Donald Trump stayed largely on message at a campaign event in New Hampshire Saturday night, giving wary Republicans cause for relief, as he launched into an all-out assault on Hillary Clinton that she is mentally unfit to be president. "She short circuited, she used the term 'short-circuited.' She took a little short circuit in the brain," Trump said. "And she's got problems, I mean, if we had real people, this would be a real problem for her, but I think that the people of this country don't want somebody that's going to short circuit up here." ABC's CANDACE SMITH notes, Trump's usage of the phrase "short-circuit" was a reference to Clinton's own remarks during a press conference as she tried to explain why she falsely said during an interview that FBI Director James Comey said that her statements about her private servers were "truthful." http://abcn.ws/2avIT2J
7.
North Carolina Church Backs Trump, Campaign Reaches Out to Black Voters
Donald Trump's campaign is trying to make inroads with African-Americans, as an ABC News/Washington Post poll finds that just 2 percent of black voters support the businessman in his run for president. Prominent surrogates including his daughter-in-law Lara Trump, national spokeswoman Katrina Pierson, former "The Apprentice" contestant Omarosa Manigault, and Pastor Mark Burns campaigned Sunday at historically black church Antioch Road to Glory International Ministries in Charlotte, North Carolina. The church is now publicly supporting Trump, having hosted a town hall yesterday billed as "A Day of Endorsement," ABC's CANDACE SMITH reports. http://abcn.ws/2aDUPiI
Best of the 2016 Primary Debates
Inside the Republican National Convention
Republican National Convention Speeches
In Depth: The Latest ABC News-Washington Post Polls
