Poll: Few Americans Focused on Filibuster Issue

Americans were divided about evenly on the question of changing the Senate's filibuster rule on judicial nominations, with a sharp partisan divide -- and fairly low attention to the issue.

Just 47 percent are following the filibuster debate closely, and only 16 percent are following it "very closely," an ABC News/Washington Post poll finds. That's lower than the level of attention paid to a variety of other issues in recent years.

The poll was conducted before a group of senators announced Monday evening that a compromise had been reached to avoid a showdown over the filibuster.

Forty-three percent in this survey favor eliminating the filibuster rule, as Senate Republicans propose; about as many, 40 percent, want it kept in place, the Democrats' position. As befits low attention, a substantial 17 percent have no opinion on it.

Other polls asking about the issue in different ways have found more support for the Democratic position, albeit in widely varying levels. This poll has considerably more Republicans than usual; adjusting for usual party divisions would make for a 40 percent to 44 percent pro-con split on the rules change, rather than 43 percent to 40 percent -- still closely divided.

As noted, the issue is highly partisan: Two-thirds of Republicans want the filibuster rule eliminated, while nearly two-thirds of Democrats support keeping it. Neither side appears to have much advantage in intensity of sentiment: 22 percent feel strongly that the rule should be eliminated, and 27 percent feel strongly that it should stay intact.

There's also a wide partisan gap in attention, with nearly six in 10 Republicans following the issue closely, compared with about four in 10 Democrats and independents. Attention has risen particularly among Republicans since the Senate debate started last week.


Closely Following Filibuster News
Before Senate Debate Started*After Senate Debate Started
All34%47
Republicans3458
Democrats3938
Independents3040
*Pew Research Center poll

Sampling, data collection and tabulation for this poll were done by TNS.

Interest is somewhat higher than it's been for inside-the-beltway topics such as the ethics complaints against House Majority Leader Tom DeLay (36 percent closely following) and campaign finance reform at the beginning of 2002 (37 percent). But it's been far higher on a range of other issues, including, for example, the Enron collapse (64 percent), the Abu Ghraib prison abuse scandal (75 percent) or the SARS virus (74 percent).

Party Identification

Political allegiance can vary from poll to poll. In this survey, an unusual number of Americans identify themselves as Republicans -- 38 percent, which is seven points higher than the average in the last three ABC/Post polls, and the most on record in ABC/Post polls. Fewer than usual identify themselves as Democrats (28 percent, or seven points fewer than the recent average).

As noted, adjusting the results to recent party ID levels would have 44 percent in favor of keeping the current rule, 40 percent in favor of changing it.

There are other, greater sources of differences in polls, including their timing and their question wording -- particularly in a fairly complex, comparatively low-attention issue like this one.

Methodology

This ABC News/Washington Post poll was conducted by telephone May 18-22 among a random national sample of 1,003 adults. The results have a three-point error margin. Sampling, data collection and tabulation were done by TNS of Horsham, Pa.

Click here for PDF version with full questionnaire and results.

You can find more ABC News polls in our Poll Vault.

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