'A Win Is 50 Plus One'


Pennsylvania Primary
Polls Close: 8:00 pm ET
Pledged Delegates at Stake in Primary: 158

There will be no horserace numbers from the exit polling until 8:00pm ET when the polls close but there will be demographic data trickling out before then. Log on and follow the twists and turns as ABC News' Rick Klein blogs all the action tonight.

Since the Mississippi primary on March 11, the polls out of Pennsylvania have narrowed from a 12 point lead for Hillary Clinton (Quinnipiac, March 18) to a seven point lead for Clinton (Quinnipiac, April 21), prompting considerable talk of the margin of victory that Clinton needs to really count the state in her W column.

Barack Obama doesn't seem to believe in moral victories and perhaps put that margin of victory talk to bed with a few hours to go before the polls close.

While chomping on the local delicacy in South Philly, Obama said: "Well let me cut to the chase. A win is 50 plus one. So if Senator Clinton gets over 50% she's won the state and you know I don't try to pretend that I enjoy getting 45% and that's a moral victory, we've lost the state."

Obama has been managing expectations in Pennsylvania by looking beyond the Keystone State to the remaining nine contests. Underscoring that strategy, he will be in Evansville, IN for a rally with John Mellencamp (wonder if the two will share their views on "small towns").

Over six weeks, the expectations and predictions game played by both the Clinton and Obama campaigns has provided locker room bulletin board fodder that rivals some of the more bold predictions set by athletes over the years.

See if you can sort out the politicos from the players and match up the following notable figures to the expectations-setting statements below. Answers included before the schedule:

A. Terry McAuliffe I. Rep. John Murtha
B. New York Jets' QB Joe Namath J. Rocky Balboa (Rocky IV)
C. Seattle Seahawks QB Matt Hasselbeck K. Michigan Running Back Mike Hart
D. Hillary Clinton L. Obama campaign memo
E. Philadelphia Phillies' Shortstop Jimmy Rollins M. Pittsburgh Steelers' Anthony Smith
F. Clinton campaign memo N. Barack Obama
G. Washington Capitals coach Bruce Boudreau O. PA Gov. Ed Rendell
H. New York Knicks Coach Isaiah Thomas P. Bill Clinton

1. "Maybe the question ought to be, Why cant he close the deal?"

2. "…[I]f Senator Clinton is going to make meaningful inroads in this race for delegates, she will need a huge margin in Pennsylvania."

3. "We want the ball, and we're going to score!"

4. "So I'm saying that we will win this state, but we'll win it somewhere between 5 and 9, 5 and 10 percentage points."

5. "We're going to win. Yeah, I can guarantee a win. As long as we come out and do what we got to do"

6. "I'm not predicting a win.....I'm predicting it's going to be close and that we are going to do a lot better than people expect."

7. "I want to leave a championship legacy."

8. "So if he's already the frontrunner, if he's had six weeks of unlimited resources to get his message out, shouldn't he be the one expected to win tonight?"

9. "We're going to win next week. There's no question in my mind. I guarantee we will win next week. I'm going to get this team ready. Guaranteed."

10. "We're going to win Pennsylvania. You're asking the wrong guy. I believe we win everything."

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