The Note: Mountain Hazard

And this: "The Illinois senator's retelling of his story has a few flourishes. While Obama has repeatedly said 'nobody clapped' and that his message was met with silence, the record from that speech from the Detroit Economic Club tells a different story. Obama won at least mild applause several times from the crowd of 2,000."

Watch for yourself.


Blaring sirens of trouble for the Republican Party emanate from Mississippi's First Congressional District, where association with Obama and House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., couldn't stop a Democrat from winning a deep-red Republican district.

"Democrats scored a remarkable upset victory on Tuesday in a special Congressional election in this conservative Southern district, sending a clear signal of national problems ahead for Republicans in the fall," Adam Nossiter writes in The New York Times. "The Democrat, Travis Childers, a local courthouse official, pulled together a coalition of blacks, who turned out heavily, and old-line "yellow dog" Democrats, to beat his Republican opponent, Greg Davis, the mayor of Southaven, a Memphis suburb."

The GOP tried to nationalize this one -- but the party got more than it bargained for: "Childers' success tonight could foreshadow the Democrats' ability in November to build on its majority in the House and compete in districts that in the past have been considered solid Republican turf," ABC's Karen Travers reports.

Your updated House count: 236-199 -- and remember that three is a trend. "It's becoming a disturbing trend for Republicans: losing traditional GOP strongholds to Democrats in some hard-fought congressional races," the AP's Emily Wagster Pettus writes.

It's a special-election trifecta -- and it should worry every self-respecting Republican. "Following on the heels of Democratic victories in special elections in Illinois' 14th district in March and Louisiana's 6th district 10 days ago, Republicans pulled out all the stops to try to hold on to [Roger] Wicker's seat, which should be a GOP stronghold,"'s Ben Pershing writes. "President Bush won the district by 25 points in 2004; he won the Louisiana seat by 19 points and the Illinois seat by 11 points."

The Sked:

As Sen. Obama hits Michigan, his wife follows Chelsea Clinton into Puerto Rico.

Bill Clinton campaigns in Montana and South Dakota, while Sen. Clinton takes her message national: She sits down for interviews with all the network and cable evening news shows.

McCain is a guest on "Live" with Regis and Kelly -- a warm-up of sorts for his "Saturday Night Live" cameo this weekend.

President Bush's Middle East trip began with an early-morning meeting with Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert.

Get all the candidates' schedules in The Note's "Sneak Peek."

The money race:

Mostly behind the scenes, Obama and Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz., are trying to freeze out 527 groups before they get really going, Jonathan Weisman and Michael Shear report in The Washington Post. "Obama's top fundraisers have asked his campaign donors to refrain from contributing to liberal independent political organizations in hopes of controlling the tone and message of the general-election campaign," they write.

"The McCain campaign has been less organized than Obama's in its efforts to counter the groups, but the senator from Arizona has made clear his antipathy toward them -- without much effect."

(Indeed -- good luck with that.)

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