The Note: The Last Time a New York Times Poll Write-up Was Positive for Republicans Was . . .

WASHINGTON, June 17

NEWS SUMMARY

In an homage to the kerygma of Katie and Tom, and to the ethos of Page Six, which is always "Just Asking . . . . "

The Note presents its regular Friday version of "Is it really true . . . . "

Some of these predicates we think are true . . . . others -- well, smart people we know believe they are true, but we're not so sure.

So we ask . . . .

Is It Really True . . . .

That Jackie Calmes' Wall Street Journal story on how Chairmen Grassley and Thomas have essentially given up on legislation to ensure permanent solvency is the must-read of the day? (The answer is: yes.)

That Sen. Jim DeMint is on the verge of becoming a major player on the Social Security legislation?

That Harry Reid's December 2004 "Meet the Press" comments on Antonin Scalia left enough wiggle room to avoid haunting him this summer?

That CAFTA seems to many lawmakers as good as dead in the House? That all the sugar props in the world aren't going to help it?

That the House of Representatives helped Bernie Sanders' Senate bid immeasurably?

That the White House is suddenly facing a diner's menu of options for The First Veto?

That "conference" will truly be the cure-all sedative for significant disputes about the highway bill, the Patriot Act, and the energy bill?

That one potential 2008 candidates may surprise folks with his stem cell vote?

That the William Pryor excoriated in Judge Roy Moore's book about his Alabama Ten Commandments fight is the same guy who conservatives just HAD to have confirmed?

That Bill Frist is more acceptable to some rank-and-file social conservatives than George Allen will be?

That Senate Democrats are close to giving up on Bolton?

That House Democrats really have a national security message they're about ready to unveil?

That Sen. Salazar is getting home-state heat for blocking Bush judges?

That the formation of the Change to Win Coalition has little bearing on the future of the AFL-CIO?

That trade associations are salivating over Pence-Wynn? And that unions are scared witless by it? And that Senate Democrats will filibuster that chamber's version of the legislation?

That Progress for America plans to spend more on a SCOTUS fight than they did/will on Social Security? And that its most significant impact will be in the states, on the phones, at in the mail -- not on TV?

That Karl Rove is going to be in Bruce Springsteen territory on Tuesday?

That the White House and Republicans really, really, really, don't want Katherine Harris to be their nominee for U.S. Senate in Florida?

That Gov. Schwarzenegger will spend the next four and a half months talking more about property tax increases than the actual initiatives on the November 8 special election ballot?

That Gifford Miller smiles real big every time Anson Kaye sends his "Anthony will have to remain in Washington tonight due to votes and will not be able to make it to tonight's events in the city" emails?

That the Political Unit's Marc Ambinder will take your questions in a live online chat at 1:00 pm ET? LINK

It is an undeniable, hard-as-nails fact that President Bush concludes the week with a trip to Minnesota, a state he lost narrowly in the 2004 presidential election. The President visits a senior center in Maple Grove at 10:40 am ET, followed by a speech on Medicare at 11:10 am ET.

ABC News' Linda Douglass reports that the Senate plans a vote to cut off debate on the Bolton nomination next Monday evening.

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