Ayotte is seen as the strongest candidate in the general election. If she loses, it would mean that establishment-backed candidates would have lost in six GOP senate primaries, including Utah, Alaska, Kentucky, Colordao and Nevada. And in two other states, Florida and Pennsylvania, moderate Republicans were forced out of the party.
The winner will of the Republican primary will face Dem Rep. Paul Hodes in November.
New York: Tests For Rangel and Lazio
All indications are that embattled Rep. Charles Rangel (D) will win the primary in his Harlem seat despite his catalog of ethics issues and his loss of the Ways and Means Chairmanship. He's facing off against Adam Clayton Powell III, the son of the man Rangel defeated in the primary to win his seat more than thirty years ago.
Democratic state Attorney Gen Andrew Cuomo, who doesn't have a primary, holds double digit leads over both Republican candidates for Governor in New York. But there is a real fight for the chance to challenge him. Rick Lazio was the guy who lost to Hillary Clinton ten years ago. This is his first race since. He has focused on the Cordoba House as a campaign issue. He also has the backing of the Republican establishment.
Carl Paladino is the self-funded challenger and he has been coming on strong in recent weeks. A recent Quinnipiac poll had the two very close.
DC Mayors Race Primary day for the mayor in Washington, DC is essentially like election day, given how overwhelmingly Democratic the city is. That means Tuesday is the day of reckoning for Mayor Adrian Fenty. While polls show that Washingtonians think DC is headed in the right direction, they also show dislike for Fenty, who has weathered criticism for everything from his performance during epic snow storms to his treatment of city teachers even as his firebrand schools chancellor Michelle Rhee improved test scores.
Maryland Former Gov. Bob Ehrlich is the odds-on favorite in Maryland, but like Castle in Delaware he is a moderate. Sarah Palin raised eyebrows earlier in the summer when she endorsed upstart Republican Brian Murphy. If Ehrlich wins, he'd face Gov. Martin O'Malley, to whom he narrowly lost in 2006. Polling has shown the race to be a toss-up.
Massachusetts Anti-Health Reform Democrat Gets a Union Challenge Rep. Stephen Lynch was the only Democrat to vote against Health Reform for the liberal reasoning that it was a sellout to insurance companies. He's kind of an odd duck Congressman – conservative on some things and liberal on others. Even though liberal groups moaned about the final bill, they were none too happy with Lynch. He's drawn a primary challenge from former union official Mac D'Alessandro. Even so, Lynch is expected to win.