TEA New York, which claims to be the largest Tea Party group in western New York, has endorsed Corwin. But the Tea Party Coalition of Western New York has thrown its support behind Davis.
"It's pretty clear that most of Jack Davis's positions are anathema to what most self-identified Tea Party activists would believe," Wasserman said. "However, there are some Tea Party flavored Republicans in the district who would prefer to vote for a complete and total outsider to stick it to both parties."
These independent voters could pose a challenge for Corwin and boost Hochul's chances.
Hochul would need Davis to get at least 15 percent of the vote to win the election, according to a Democratic insider.
Roy Scherrer, a volunteer with the Tea Party Coalition of Western New York -- a group of about 30-45 volunteers -- says he will vote for Davis because he is impressed by the way he has run his business, but also because he feels both parties are corrupt.
"If Mickey Mouse was running for office against a Republican and a Democrat, I would vote for Mickey Mouse," he said. "That's how I feel about a corrupt government."
The special election is being held to replace Republican Rep. Chris Lee, who resigned after a shirtless photo of him was leaked to the press by a woman he met, and flirted with, on Craigslist. The election will be held on May 24.