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The Note: Trump Tracking Up

ByABC News
November 1, 2016, 9:04 AM

— -- NOTABLES

--TRUMP LEADS CLINTON BY 1 POINT: Strong enthusiasm for Hillary Clinton has ebbed since the renewal of the FBIs email investigation. While vote preferences have held essentially steady, shes now a slim point behind Donald Trump -- a first since May -- in the latest ABC News/Washington Post tracking poll, produced for ABC by Langer Research Associates. Forty-six percent of likely voters support Trump in the latest results, with 45 percent for Clinton. Taking it to the decimal for illustrative purposes, a mere .7 of a percentage point divides them. Third-party candidate Gary Johnson has 3 percent, a new low; Jill Stein, 2 percent. More from ABCs GARY LANGER: http://abcn.ws/2f5k1EM

--CLINTON CAMPAIGN MANAGER ON 'BREAK IN PROTOCOL' BY FBI: Hillary Clintons campaign manager today called FBI Director James Comey's letter to Congress regarding the emails of a top Clinton associate a "break in protocol." "Director Comey has been criticized from both sides on this now," Robby Mook said today on "Good Morning America," ABCs KATIE KINDELAN reports. "You have a former attorney general under President Obama, a former attorney general under George W. Bush both saying this was a mistake. Youve had former Justice Department officials saying it was a mistake." He continued, "Weve come to learn from anonymous leaks that are coming out that Director Comeys own superiors at Justice warned him not to do this. This is a break in protocol." http://abcn.ws/2fqiKcP

--TRUMPS DEPUTY CAMPAIGN MANAGER EXPRESSES CONFIDENCE: Donald Trumps deputy campaign manager today said "there's an enthusiasm gap" for Hillary Clinton voters, and expressed confidence that his candidate will win the election as a result of it. Bossie focused primarily on the issue of enthusiasm in making his case that Trump will win, also citing the FBIs latest review of Clintons use of a private email server during her tenure as secretary of state. "We have closed this gap dramatically over the last week," Bossie told Good Morning America, ABCs MICHAEL EDISON HAYDEN writes. http://abcn.ws/2f5ow2n

--ANALYSIS -- ABCs RICK KLEIN: The collective view from Democratic and Republican strategists on the fallout from the FBI directors announcement: that could have been worse. While conceding that it will probably be another day or two until polling can fully reflect the impact, top strategists in both parties are saying the race didnt get upended by the late-October surprise. It gave Donald Trump a crisper closing argument that will boost GOP turnout. It may make Trump likelier to carry Iowa and Ohio, and could save a few Senate seats for Republicans. But the narrowing of polls nationally and in other key battlegrounds doesnt appear to have changed the stubborn electoral math confronting Team Trump. (Its in that context, and that context alone, that makes trips to New Mexico, Wisconsin, and Michigan this week make sense.) Yes, Trump is now leading by a point in the ABC News/Washington Post tracking poll. But recall the race was tightening quickly before Fridays bombshell. While Clintons camp is calling on more information, and quickly, from FBI Director James Comey, its not clear that they should actually want that. If the story drifts away, the campaign continues over the final week and Democrats still like their odds.

 

ELECTION DAY PREP:

--KEY STORYLINES TO WATCH. Its a year that has shaken the U.S. political system. Its also not over yet, and it has unleashed forces that are not likely to settle down with the election. Next Tuesdays election pits two of the best-known and least-liked candidates in history against each other. The demographics and voter sentiments are drawing divisions that could hardly be sharper. And just in case there werent enough October surprises, the calendar has gifted us a whole week of November campaigning. One week out, heres a glimpse of some of the major storylines to watch on Election Day and beyond from ABCs RICK KLEIN: http://abcn.ws/2eitcR7

--NEARLY EVERY STATE HAS ASKED FOR FEDERAL HELP TO PROTECT VOTING SYSTEMS FROM HACKS. Nearly every state has asked the Department of Homeland Security to help protect election systems from hacks, according to the latest tally by DHS. With only eight days until Election Day, 46 states and 35 county or local election agencies have reached out to the department for assistance. Only 33 states and 11 localities had asked for help as of Oct. 10, 2016, reports ABCs GENEVA SANDS. Time is of the essence for states that need assistance since it can take up to two weeks from the time DHS receives authorization to run the scans and identify vulnerabilities. http://abcn.ws/2f6jJMf

 

YESTERDAY ON THE TRAIL with ABCs ADAM KELSEY and VERONICA STRACQUALURSI

KASICH SNUBS TRUMP WITH WRITE-IN VOTE FOR MCCAIN. Former Republican presidential candidate John Kasich publicly snubbed Donald Trump with a write-in vote for Sen. John McCain, according to his spokesman. The Ohio governor has been a critic of Trump blasting the real estate mogul's claims of a "rigged" election as "silly, ABCs BEN GITTLESON notes. Kasich voted Republican down the rest of the ballot, according to the spokesman. http://abcn.ws/2e7Ax2T

CLINTON: 'NO CASE HERE' REGARDING EMAIL SCANDAL. Hillary Clinton wasted no time Monday addressing the email investigation looming over her campaign, telling supporters that "there is no case here." The revelation that the FBI is reviewing a cache of newly discovered emails potentially tied to the agencys closed probe of Hillary Clintons private email server has put her campaign on the defensive eight days before the election. The investigation has also shone a light on top Clinton aide Huma Abedin, ABCs JOSH HASKELL notes. "Im sure a lot of you may be asking what this new email story is about and why in the world the FBI would decide to jump into an election with no evidence of wrongdoing with just days to go? Thats a good question," Clinton told supporters at Kent State University. http://abcn.ws/2eNCvsS

WHAT'S NEXT FOR THE FBI'S RENEWED INVESTIGATION INTO CLINTON'S EMAIL SERVER. The FBI says it's moving ahead with urgency as it begins the examination of newly discovered emails that prompted a review of the investigation into Hillary Clinton's use of a private server. Investigators have taken the hard drive out of former New York Congressman Anthony Weiners laptop and made a mirror image of it to immediately begin pulling data. Weiners laptop contained hundreds of thousands of emails, but the FBI team is only focusing on the thousands that appear to be associated with Huma Abedin, Weiner's now-estranged wife and Clinton insider, said sources familiar with the investigation.  Investigators are targeting work-related emails and any emails that may have gone to the private Clinton server. ABCs PIERRE THOMAS, GENEVA SANDS, MIKE LEVINE and JACK DATE have more. http://abcn.ws/2fonujc

ACTING DEMOCRATIC NATIONAL COMMITTEE CHAIRWOMAN ACCUSED OF LEAKING DEBATE MATERIAL TO CLINTON. A new email posted Monday to WikiLeaks claims acting Democratic National Committee Chairwoman Donna Brazile leaked a question to Hillary Clinton's team the day before a primary debate between Clinton and Bernie Sanders. "One of the questions directed to HRC tomorrow is from a woman with a rash," Brazile purportedly wrote on March 5, 2016, to Clinton's campaign chairman, John Podesta, and to her communications director before the CNN debate in Flint, Michigan. "Her family has lead poison and she will ask what, if anything, will Hillary do as president to help the ppl of Flint. ABCs MARYALICE PARKS has more: http://abcn.ws/2e5PpyG

OBAMA DOESN'T BELIEVE FBI DIRECTOR TRYING TO INFLUENCE ELECTION WITH EMAIL INVESTIGATION. The White House says it will remain neutral regarding the reopening of an investigation of Hillary Clinton's use of a private server, after the discovery of more emails that FBI Director James Comey said may be relevant. After a letter from Comey to Congress on Friday, which stated that new emails found on a laptop used by Clinton aide Huma Abedin "appear to be pertinent to our investigation," members of both parties have criticized the timing of the move. Monday, the White House declined to state an opinion on Comey's action, note ABCs MEGHAN KENEALLY and JORDYN PHELPS. http://abcn.ws/2fnGej2

REPORTER'S NOTEBOOK: WHAT MY UBER DRIVERS SAY ABOUT THE PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATES. Over the past 17 months covering Hillary Clintons campaign, Ive met lots of fascinating people, but some of the most interesting have been the men and women who take me to and from campaign events. My Uber drivers. The men and women who work for the ride-share service aren't necessarily the type who attend political rallies, but they all seem to have a lot to say, writes ABCs LIZ KREUTZ. http://abcn.ws/2f9vAHC

 

IN CASE YOU MISSED IT

A LOOK BACK AT 'OCTOBER SURPRISES AND WHY CLINTON'S EMAIL MAY NOT BE ONE. In several U.S. presidential campaigns, candidates have faced a moment of reckoning in the weeks and days before Election Day that has come to be known as the October surprise. From differing claims about the progress of the Vietnam War in 1968 and 1972, to George W. Bush's decades-old drunk driving arrest, the revelations have had the ability to have a sizable impact on the election process. Now Hillary Clinton faces what some may see as her own October surprise -- a renewed investigation into the email scandal that has plagued her throughout the campaign. But some experts, according to ABCs MEGHAN KENEALLY, say that the renewed probe technically doesn't qualify. While it does fit with the general idea of something surprising happening in October, days or weeks ahead of the election, one key element remains unclear at this point -- intent. http://abcn.ws/2foCbmi

 

WHOS TWEETING?

@WaPoSean: Ryan tells Fox News he has already voted for Trump in early voting.

@wpjenna: "We need to support our entire Republican ticket," House Speaker Paul Ryan said on Fox.

@donnabrazile: When I decided to become interim DNC Chair, I had 5 part time jobs. Now, I have 2 and my number one priority is to get out the vote. #GOTV

@PounderFile: Only in Washington would someone trick-or-treat at the White House dressed up as a "lame duck" http://politi.co/2fd6doe 

@amyewalter: Man the FBI/DoJ office Xmas party is going to be super awkward this year