2014 garage preview

— -- This is an extended version of a story that appears in ESPN The Magazine's March 3 Analytics Issue. Subscribe today!

WELCOME TO NASCAR 2014, aka Chase for the Sprint Cup 4.0, when 16 teams will qualify for the postseason -- by winning races. What does that change? For the superpowers, not a lot, except that winning as many races as possible might keep a rival out. For the mom-and-pops, though, win-and-in could mean their first real shot at an invite to the party. So how will it all shake out? Here's our best guess in The Mag's annual garage preview, racing team by team from the biggest dog to the littlest ankle biter.