Winners, losers and predictions after Day 2 of NBA free agency

— -- Saturday was another huge day, with big deals and big moves all over the NBA.

Which teams got better, which got worse and what is still to come?

To look back at Friday's best, worst and craziest deals, click here.

Team-by-team analysis of the 23 latest major and minor deals:

Atlanta Hawks

1. Agreed to sign center Dwight Howard to a reported three-year, $70.5 million deal (Friday)

2. Agreed to sign forward Kent Bazemore to a reported four-year, $70 million deal (Friday)

I wrote about Dwight Howard's fit in Atlanta and whether he would be an upgrade over  Al Horford here.

Hours after agreeing to terms with Howard, the Hawks brought back Bazemore, one of their two starters still on the market.

With Al Horford headed to the Celtics, the Hawks have taken a step back this offseason while also reducing their flexibility. Millsap can opt out next summer, and his large cap hold will swallow up much of Atlanta's potential cap space. The Hawks will probably regret not blowing things up at the trade deadline and getting something in return for him.

Boston Celtics

1. Agreed to sign center Al Horford to a reported four-year max deal worth an estimated $113 million

I already broke down how the Celtics project with Horford -- and possibly Kevin Durant -- after this deal was announced.

What if Durant doesn't come? At that point, Boston would surely guarantee the contracts of Jonas Jerebko and Amir Johnson, who are both rotation pieces and great values. That would leave the Celtics with about $12 million in cap space if they renounce the rights to free agents Jared Sullinger and Tyler Zeller, who seem unlikely to return with Horford's arrival.

Depending on how Boston views Jaylen Brown's ability to play right away, a backup wing who can replace the departed Evan Turner is the Celtics' biggest -- and perhaps only? -- remaining rotation need.

Brooklyn Nets

1. Agreed to sign forward Trevor Booker to a reported two-year, $18 million deal

The Nets continued their busy weekend by adding a power forward to potentially fill the void left by trading Thaddeus Young to the Indiana Pacers last week. Booker is a downgrade, certainly. If Brooklyn is looking at him as a starter, he's marginal at best.

But the Nets also got a first-round pick (used on guard Caris LeVert) in the Young exchange, and Booker's deal is modest enough that he can easily slot into a reserve role if Brooklyn finds another option at the position.

I'd still like for the Nets to take a flier on a younger power forward, with Jared Sullinger of the Boston Celtics and Terrence Jones of the Houston Rockets as two options.

The Nets still have about $30 million in cap space remaining (and can use the room exception to sign Justin Hamilton to the two-year, $6 million deal reported Friday), and their roster is taking shape. Brooklyn's other remaining need is a backup point guard.

Charlotte Hornets

1. Agreed to re-sign forward Marvin Williams to a reported four-year, $54.5 million deal

Getting Williams to re-sign was a big step for the Hornets, particularly because he was apparently offered more money per year by other teams than Charlotte, which used early Bird rights to bring him back. By keeping this deal within early Bird parameters, the Hornets keep Williams' $9.1 million cap hold on the books rather than his first-year salary ($12.1 million or so).

With shooting guard Courtney Lee joining Jeremy Lin and Al Jefferson as free agents leaving Charlotte, the Hornets have about $12 million in cap space. That money is probably earmarked for a replacement for Lin as backup point guard, though some could also go to a Jefferson replacement. Charlotte presumably already replaced Lee by acquiring Marco Belinelli on draft night.

As for Williams, the length of this deal (which takes him through age 33) could be a bit of an issue down the road. However, unlike many four-year deals signed this week, this one provides great value in the first couple of years. In fact, my multi-year projections suggest Williams will be worth more in the next three years (about $70 million) than Charlotte will pay him for four.

Dallas Mavericks

1. Agreed to sign forward Harrison Barnes to a reported four-year max offer sheet worth an estimated $94 million

Here's my analysis of whether the Golden State Warriors should match the Mavericks' offer from Barnes, and whether Barnes can replace Chandler Parsons for Dallas.

How does it affect Dallas' cap position? When the Mavericks make this offer, they'll have about $27 million in cap space remaining -- including Dirk Nowitzki's hold. In the event Dallas does get Barnes, Nowitzki might have to take a pay cut to help the Mavericks get the starters they'd still need at point guard and center.

If Barnes is matched, Dallas is back to $48 million in cap space and looking for three starters. Neither position is particularly enviable.

Detroit Pistons

1. Agreed to sign forward Jon Leuer to a reported four-year, $42 million deal

This is a classic Pistons move under Stan Van Gundy. On the plus side, the Pistons solidified their second unit with the addition of Leuer, who made 38.2 percent of his 3-pointers last season with the Suns (and is at 37.5 percent career). He's a good enough defender to hold his own against second-unit opponents and pairs nicely with either starter Andre Drummond or backup Aron Baynes offensively.

As usual, though, Van Gundy was generous with dollars, and in this case particularly years. The other backup stretch 4s on the market got shorter deals: three years for Leuer's Phoenix teammate Mirza Teletovic and just two (the second year partially guaranteed) for Detroit incumbent Anthony Tolliver.

A shorter deal would have been nice here, because at some point, the Pistons surely will want 2016 first-round pick Henry Ellenson -- who projects as similar to Leuer, though a better shot creator -- to step into that role.

With Tolliver's cap hold off the books, Detroit can still clear about $10 million in space, though it's unclear what position the Pistons would spend it on. Another wing option might be the next target.

Houston Rockets

1. Agreed to sign forward Ryan Anderson to a reported four-year, $80 million deal

2. Agreed to sign guard Eric Gordon to a reported four-year, $53 million deal

The Rockets imported a pair of Pelicans on Saturday to upgrade their shooting. Anderson has long been a natural fit in Houston as a quality offensive stretch 4, although he made a bit more sense alongside former Orlando Magic teammate Dwight Howard than he does now playing with presumptive starting center Clint Capela.

The big question here is whether the Rockets are getting the Anderson who shot 39 percent from 3-point range from 2010-11 or 2013-14 or the lesser version who has shot 34 and 36.6 percent, respectively, the past two seasons. Houston is paying Anderson more like the former, but his age (28) and injury history suggest those days may already be behind Anderson.

At best, Anderson was always something of a defensive liability, and Gordon has atrophied into the same thing after showing promise as a wing defender earlier in his career. Presumably, the Rockets envision using Gordon and James Harden as their backcourt at times -- making Harden the point guard, a position he has essentially played much of his time in Houston -- and that could be horrendous defensively.

So it's hard to see the Rockets finishing anywhere higher than the bottom 10 defensively after these moves.

On the plus side, the offense should be good. Even Anderson's relatively down 2015-16 3-point percentage would have ranked third on Houston behind Patrick Beverley (40 percent) and Trevor Ariza (37.1 percent), and only Beverley shot better than Gordon (38.2 percent).

Gordon may also prove to be the secondary creator the Rockets have long coveted alongside Harden. Gordon averaged as many assists per 36 minutes last season (4.1) as Beverley, the nominal point guard in Houston, and Gordon is better than any incumbent save Harden at putting the ball on the ground to attack a hard closeout.

If Anderson and Gordon stay healthy -- no small consideration given that Anderson hasn't played more than 66 games in a season since 2012-13 and Gordon last played more than 64 in his rookie season -- and play well, the Rockets could easily have a top-five offense next season. But without unexpected defensive improvement, they're still looking at a combination that likely puts them more in the 45-win range than the 50-win range.

Getting immediate results from these signings is important for Houston because neither is likely to age well. Though Gordon is 27 and Anderson 28, their injury histories suggest more mileage than those ages would imply. At this point, they're the lone Rockets signed through 2018-19. If things don't go well right away, Houston may have a very different cast around them by that point.

Los Angeles Clippers

1. Agreed to re-sign guard Austin Rivers to a reported three-year, $35 million deal

2.  Agreed to re-sign forward Wesley Johnson to a reported three-year, $18 million deal

A narrative has developed that Rivers is unfairly criticized because he plays for his father, and that he'd be viewed as a quality role player if his name were Austin Smith. I feel compelled to push back against this line of thinking. Rivers' advanced stats still don't suggest he's a useful NBA player.

Last season, Rivers developed into a reasonably efficient scorer; he posted a career-best .523 true shooting percentage after never previously cracking the .500 barrier. Still, he had about identical true shooting and usage rates (19.7 percent of the Clippers' plays) as Luis Scola.

Then there's the matter of playmaking. Rivers averaged 2.4 assists per 36 minutes last season. That's the lowest of any player I have listed as a point guard, and nobody else who played more than 250 minutes had a rate within 50 percent of Rivers' mark. ( George Hill was next among listed point guards at 3.7 assists per 36.)

Rivers has become a somewhat competent on-ball defender, though his attention tends to wander off the ball and he's not as effective in help situations.

That total package rated about a win below replacement level by my metric, and he ranked 66th among point guards in ESPN's real plus-minus (minus-3.6 points per 100 possessions compared to an average player).

Since Rivers is not yet 24, we can expect him to improve, and my multi-year projections show him marginally better than replacement level over the next three years, during which he'll be making $35 million (assuming he doesn't opt out of the last year of his contract).

The good news is since Rivers has a small cap hold, signing him doesn't really prevent the Clippers from doing anything else, though his salary could be an impediment to clearing cap space next summer if either Blake Griffin or Chris Paul leaves.

Reaching a deal to re-sign Rivers was the signal the Clippers were out of the Durant sweepstakes. That being the case, they turned their attention to bringing back Johnson, a bargain last season at the veteran's minimum. Alas, since the Clippers could give Johnson only a small raise using his non-Bird rights, they were forced to pay him their mid-level exception (or equivalent cap space) to keep him as a starting small forward.

Now the Clippers turn their attention to re-signing reigning Sixth Man Award winner Jamal Crawford, which is crucial because they can exceed the cap using his Bird rights so long as they don't surpass the $117.3 million luxury-tax apron.

The Clippers will be hard capped at that amount if they indeed use the non-taxpayer mid-level to re-sign Johnson, which would leave them with about $19 million to spend on Crawford and to fill out the roster with the $2.2 million bi-annual exception and minimum contracts.

Los Angeles Lakers

1. Agreed to sign center Timofey Mozgov to a reported four-year, $64 million deal (Friday)

2. Agreed to re-sign guard Jordan Clarkson to a reported four-year, $50 million deal (Friday)

3. Agreed to sign Luol Deng to a reported four-year, $72 million deal (Saturday)

I assessed the odds that the Mozgov deal works out for the Lakers here. Later Friday, I wrote about how Clarkson's contract isn't optimal for L.A. and its cap space in 2017.

After the Lakers agreed to a deal with Deng on Saturday, I projected their 2016 playoff chances. 

New Orleans Pelicans

1. Agreed to sign forward Solomon Hill to a reported four-year, $48 million deal (Friday)

2. Agreed to sign guard E'Twaun Moore to a reported four-year, $34 million deal (Friday)

I wrote about Hill's fit in New Orleans here.

Moore is unlikely -- naturally -- to keep up that kind of shooting, and even with all the 3s, his true shooting was only league average. So despite his value as a secondary ballhandler (and emergency backup option at point guard) and defender, I suspect this will probably be a small overpay.

Still, both Hill and Moore improve the Pelicans defensively, and if they shoot as well as they have at times, they'll be two-way players on a team badly in need of them.

Depending on what happens with the contracts of Luke Babbitt (partially guaranteed) and Toney Douglas (non-guaranteed), New Orleans has a few million left under the cap, which might be earmarked for re-signing restricted free agents James Ennis and Tim Frazier.

New York Knicks

1. Agreed to sign guard Courtney Lee to a reported four-year, $48 million deal

Assuming J.R. Smith and Dwyane Wade aren't really on the market, Lee was probably the best shooting guard available. Getting him for less than the Rockets paid Gordon is a nice piece of business for the Knicks to conclude the heavy lifting of their offseason.

Lee particularly made sense instead of Gordon in New York because of the Knicks' thin bench and other injury risks ( Carmelo Anthony, Joakim Noah and Derrick Rose). Lee has been comparatively reliable, having missed an average of less than three games per season since 2012-13. He's also a much better defender than Gordon or overrated New York predecessor Arron Afflalo.

A four-year contract for Lee does get somewhat dicey since he'll be 34 by the end of it, and non-elite wings tend not to age well in their early 30s. Still, I don't see a better option for the Knicks to fill their need at the 2-guard.

New York was apparently just able to fit in Lee while retaining the cap holds of free agents Langston Galloway, Lance Thomas and Derrick Williams, and re-signing them to fill out the second unit is the next order of business in Gotham City.

Orlando Magic

1. Agreed to sign center Bismack Biyombo to a reported four-year, $70 million deal

Over the past week and a half, the Magic have traded for Serge Ibaka and Jodie Meeks and signed three free agents: D.J. Augustin, Jeff Green and now Biyombo. While the moves make varying sense in isolation, it's difficult to see the plan connecting them.

On its own, the Biyombo signing makes sense. He got paid slightly better than the market for an average starting center (compare to Ian Mahinmi and Timofey Mozgov getting $64 million apiece over the same timeframe), and given his age and the dominant defense he played in the playoffs, that's reasonable. A defensive upgrade in the middle was something of a need for the Magic, and Biyombo's age (23) fits Orlando's timeline better than the older options like Mahinmi.

Still, the Magic are now left with a crowded -- and confusing -- frontcourt. Assuming Evan Fournier and Mario Hezonja play primarily at shooting guard, that leaves Biyombo, Jeff Green, Serge Ibaka, Aaron Gordon and Nikola Vucevic to split 144 minutes a game at the three frontcourt positions.

Phoenix Suns

1. Agreed to sign forward Jared Dudley to a reported three-year, $30 million deal (Friday)

Dudley, who first found his footing in the NBA with the Suns, is headed back on one of the better values of this free-agent season. I'm not sure whether the market just wasn't there for Dudley, at least on a three-year deal, or he took less money to return to a desirable market.

Either way, Dudley offers veteran leadership while also contributing as a stretch 4. The development of lottery picks Dragan Bender and Marquese Chriss could push Dudley to a smaller role (or perhaps even lead to a trade) down the road, but for now his addition allows Phoenix to bring the rookies along slowly.

Sacramento Kings

1. Agreed to sign guard Arron Afflalo to a reported two-year, $25 million deal

2.  Agreed to sign forward Anthony Tolliver to a reported two-year, $16 million deal

In using most of their cap space to sign two-year contracts with partial guarantees on the second year ($1.5 million for Afflalo, $2 million for Tolliver), the Kings showed admirable financial restraint and maintained flexibility for next summer. Alas, their new additions may not help that much on the court.

In theory, Afflalo is an ideal fit as the 3-and-D shooting guard Sacramento needs next to Rudy Gay. In practice, Afflalo is consistently rated at or below replacement level.

In part because he rarely creates steals or blocks, Afflalo isn't the perimeter defender his reputation would suggest. Neither is he an efficient scorer because he tends to take fewer 3-pointers than he should as a career 38.5 percent 3-point shooter.

After a strong start in New York, Afflalo fell out of the rotation by season's end. Don't be surprised if the Kings prove similarly unimpressed and cut ties with Afflalo next summer.

Tolliver is a better value as a 6-foot-8 3-point threat who came cheaper than the other similar stretch 4s on the market (Leuer and Teletovic, who each got around $10 million a year for three-plus years). My concern is where coach Dave Joerger finds minutes for him with DeMarcus Cousins likely to play power forward at times and Omri Casspi well suited to playing as a stretch 4 himself. Casspi and Tolliver can play together, certainly, but I'm not sure that maximizes their value.

Next on Sacramento's shopping list is a backup point guard. By all accounts, Rajon Rondo won't be back, leaving the Kings up to about $14 million to find a complement for presumptive starter Darren Collison.

Utah Jazz

1. Agreed to sign forward Joe Johnson to a reported two-year, $22 million deal (Friday)

After targeting Dudley, Deng and Hill and watching each go off the market, the Jazz moved quickly to reach an agreement with Johnson.

My read is that the third year was a big negative for Utah, which sees a world where Derrick Favors, Rudy Gobert and Gordon Hayward will all be making max money in 2018-19 -- when Dante Exum would also be starting a possible extension.

Johnson is an interesting fit with the Jazz. Given that Utah was looking primarily at combo forwards, I wonder if they see Johnson filling that role, which is probably better for him than playing exclusively on the wing at this stage of his career. Johnson is strong enough to defend bigger opponents, and the decline in his quickness isn't a concern against them while his shooting is also more of a plus.

Between Johnson and George Hill, the Jazz have added a lot more shooting this offseason to go around a young roster while maintaining flexibility for when their young stars start making more money.

Utah still has almost $14 million in possible cap space, but the roster is close to full, other than maybe another big man to compete with Trey Lyles and Jeff Withey for bench minutes. The Jazz could use the remaining space to renegotiate and extend the contracts of Favors and/or Hill.

Washington Wizards

1. Agreed to sign center Ian Mahinmi to a reported four-year, $64 million deal

By all accounts, the Wizards were in the running to sign Horford until he made his final decision. That's a tough pill for Washington to swallow, but the team quickly turned to Mahinmi as a backup option at center.

The most interesting question here is whether the Wizards plan to play Mahinmi alongside starter Marcin Gortat, which is probably the only way they can get their $16 million worth out of him. Mahinmi did defend power forwards at times when he played with Myles Turner last season in Indiana, so defensively, the pairing could work. The trick is whether there will be enough spacing since Gortat isn't the perimeter threat that Turner is.

With dreams of Durant and Horford dashed, Washington will now spend its remaining money filling out the bench. At most, the Wizards could clear about $16 million under the cap. Most likely, they'll take advantage of low cap holds for players such as  Ramon Sessions and Garrett Temple to bring them back while earmarking the remaining cap space (around $12 million) for a combo forward or bigger wing to replace the departed Jared Dudley.