Big Day for Big Ten to Make Playoff Statement

Judgment day for the Big Ten.

That might sound ominous, but the conference has a chance Saturday to make a statement with three marquee out-of-league games that could resonate with the College Football Playoff selection committee come December.

No. 7 Michigan State faces the stiffest test. The defending Big Ten champions play at No. 3 Oregon, a game that even Commissioner Jim Delany acknowledged has potential to be "disproportionately important" for the perception of the conference.

"I don't downplay the game, it takes on an added dimension," Delany told SI.com earlier this week. "I think all the emphasis on these games is merited. They're potential pivot points for the decision-making."

The other pivotal points come in South Bend, Indiana, where Michigan faces No. 16 Notre Dame, and Columbus, Ohio, where No. 8 Ohio State hosts Virginia Tech.

The picks:

MARQUEE MATCHUPS

No. 7 Michigan State (plus 12½) at No. 3 Oregon

It's not just a big game for Spartans. The Ducks get dinged for not being tough enough against power-based teams (see consecutive losses to Stanford). Statement opportunity for Oregon, too. ... OREGON 31-21.

Virginia Tech (plus 11½) at No. 8 Ohio State

Buckeyes coach Urban Meyer says Virginia Tech's defensive line might be the best Ohio State faces this season. Hokies coach Frank Beamer says it'll take "110 percent" effort to block Ohio State's disruptive front. Whichever offensive line holds up best wins ... OHIO STATE 23-14.

No. 14 Southern California (plus 2½) at No. 13 Stanford

In a conference filled with star quarterbacks, USC's Cody Kessler and Stanford's Kevin Hogan can get overlooked. Cardinal coach David Shaw called them the "Rodney Dangerfields" of the Pac-12's elite QB class ... STANFORD 27-24.

Michigan (plus 5) at No. 16 Notre Dame

It's the last game scheduled between the Wolverines and the Fighting Irish, because Notre Dame needed to clear some room on its schedule to accommodate its new ACC relationship. Surely, those future games against North Carolina State and Wake Forest will be just as exciting ... NOTRE DAME 27-23.

CONFERENCE CALLS

No. 15 Mississippi (minus 20) at Vanderbilt

Commodores' opener under new coach Derrick Mason couldn't have gone much worse (37-7 loss at home to Temple) ... MISSISSIPPI 31-20.

No. 20 Kansas State (minus 12½) at Iowa State

Cyclones lost to North Dakota State to open season — just as the Wildcats did to open last season ... KANSAS STATE 28-21.

UPSET SPECIAL

No. 24 Missouri (minus 5) at Toledo

Tigers coach Gary Pinkel returns to the place he coached from 1991-2000. He joked that when he agreed to the game, he figured he'd be fired by the time it was played. Jokes aside, potentially tricky spot ... TOLEDO 35-28.

WORTH A LOOK

San Diego State (plus 15) at No. 21 North Carolina

Tar Heels ran 93 plays last week against Liberty, the most for the UNC since 1994 ... NORTH CAROLINA 41-17

East Carolina (plus 16½) at No. 21 South Carolina

Gamecocks try to rebound from A&M beating against another potent offense and talented quarterback in the Pirates and Shane Carden ... SOUTH CAROLINA 45-24.

UNRANKED BUT NOT UNINTERESTING

Arizona (minus 7) at Texas-San Antonio

Coach Larry Coker's Roadrunners can take their Conference USA breakout national with a Pac-12 upset ... ARIZONA 38-24.

BYU (plus 3½) at Texas

Cougars QB Taysom Hill ran for 3,000 yards against Longhorns last season. OK, it wasn't that much, but it sure felt that way ... BYU 24-23.

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