# Imagining a Hit Thriller With Number 'e'

Equivalently, about 63 percent of the time there will be at least one match between the two decks sometime during this turnover process. Again try it yourself and then figure out a plot element that depends on this appearance of e and the surprising frequency of matches during this process.

III. The number e might also pop up when we are interested in record-breaking events. To illustrate, imagine this year's high school graduates running a quarter-mile race. Runners are randomly selected and sequentially over a period of months each of them runs a quarter-mile and we keep track of the number of record times that they establish. The first runner would surely establish a record time and perhaps the fourth runner would be faster than the first three and establish the second record time.

We might then have to wait until the 17th runner who runs faster than each of the previous 16 runners to establish the third record time. If we were to continue recording times for, say, ten thousand runners, we would find that there would have been only about nine record times. If we were to keep measuring the times of one million runners, we would probably note only about 14 record times. It is no coincidence that the 9th root of 10,000 and the 14th root of 1,000,000 are approximately equal to e.

If the Nth runner sets the Rth record, it can be proved that the Rth root of N will be an approximation to e, and this approximation approaches e more and more closely as N increases without bound. This is harder to verify empirically than the previous examples, but you can try.

IV. Idly picking numbers at random can also give rise to e. Using a calculator, pick a random whole number between 1 and 1,000. (Say you pick 381.) Pick another random number (Say 191) and add it to the first (which, in this case, results in 572). Continue picking random numbers between 1 and 1,000 and adding them to the sum of the previously picked random numbers. Stop only when the sum exceeds 1,000. (If the third number were 613, for example, the sum would exceed 1,000 after three picks.)

How many random numbers, on average, will you need to pick? In other words if a large group of people went through this procedure, generated numbers between 1 and 1,000, kept adding them until the sum exceeded 1,000 and recorded the number of picks needed, the average number of picks would be — you guessed it — very close to e. One could be excused for thinking that e stood for everywhere.

The number e plays a critical role in all of mathematics, and there are many more beautiful, surprising, and cryptic manifestations of the number in everyday situations (including the process of selecting a spouse). A mystery novel about some of them, perhaps entitled E-erie E-ncounters with E-nigma, might even be a bestseller, perhaps with a list price of 10e dollars — \$27.18.

Professor of mathematics at Temple University and winner of the 2003 American Association for the Advancement of Science award for the promotion of public understanding of science, John Allen Paulos is the author of several best-selling books, including Innumeracy and A Mathematician Plays the Stock Market. His Who’s Counting? column on ABCNEWS.com appears the first weekend of every month.

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