Sep 2, 2008 4:20pm

Place Your Bets On Palin (Dropping Out)

As reported by the Huffington Post, the Intrade prediction market has opened trading on the chances of Sarah Palin being "withdrawn as Republican VP nominee before 2008 presidential election." As of 4:15pm Tuesday, the market predicts that there is a 14.5% chance that this will happen.

User Comments

Here comes the “October Surprise!”

Posted by: DublBogey | September 2, 2008, 4:40 pm 4:40 pm

I think she will stay, but in the end it will not matter. The republicans are in trouble because of their policies.

Posted by: Ben Straub | September 2, 2008, 4:40 pm 4:40 pm

He should have chosen Romney. The republicans would have at least carried Utah.

Posted by: Huh | September 2, 2008, 4:41 pm 4:41 pm

this is stupid

Posted by: tony | September 2, 2008, 4:45 pm 4:45 pm

I’d say right now it is about a 25% chance that Palin will drop out.
BUT, if ONE more scandal surfaces….she is gone. McCain is in a no-win situation. If he keeps her, they better pray that no other dirt comes out. I mean look at all of this crap, and it hasen’t even been ONE WEEK.
If McCain gets rid of her, his judgement is put on FRONT STREET, and it shows his lack of judgement.
The republican party better get this thing together FAST. Remember we only have a few months left. That leaves NO time for any more scandals. They are ONE scandal away from becoming the Maury Povich show.

Posted by: Raider | September 2, 2008, 4:46 pm 4:46 pm

Now we know that Todd Palin was a member of the Alaska Independence party from 1995 to 2002.
The Palin family doesn’t put America first but Alaska first!

Posted by: Mary | September 2, 2008, 4:50 pm 4:50 pm

The only thing worse for McCain than having Palin on the ticket with him is having to withdraw her name from it. What does that say about his judgment when you have to walk back to the American people and say “I made a mistake about this woman”? McCain is making mistakes before his job has even started; and, this is a simple decision, who to run with? This proves that McCain has no passion and no judgment if he is only looking for a running mate to scrap him some votes. Political mavericks, strong leaders with good judgment, and Commanders in Chief don’t test the waters with political candidates they think can bring them votes and then pull them out once they see otherwise. There is no “do over” as President of the United States. Cleary, experience does not equal good judgment, or McCain would never have made such a terrible pick; similar to his terrible judgments on the economy and Iraq that he has been making in line with George W. Bush now for too long.

Posted by: NoToGrandpaMunster | September 2, 2008, 4:51 pm 4:51 pm

I agree with Raider. I think she os poised to ‘withdraw’. God knows she has enough reason to now. It would not take any new stories to make that happen though. The stories out there are enough – if they die down, she stays; if they get legs, she’s out. I find the earmark issue and troopergate particularly offensive – we’ll see if anyone else does.

Posted by: Paul | September 2, 2008, 4:55 pm 4:55 pm

If she withdraws, she will not make McCain look too bad…but I think he would do better by looking at anyone else.

Posted by: justathought4u | September 2, 2008, 4:59 pm 4:59 pm

Palin was not McCain’s first pick but those he truly wanted as a running mate were not allowed because they are not conservatives. Lieberman and Ridge come to mind. Still, Palin being picked was solely for a dose of energy into this dull McCain campaign. Someone fresh and groundbreaking. And as much as McCain campaign state her readiness to be VP, a hop away from Commander in Chief…. it’s just off-base. I won’t say that Palin is absolutely unqualified. But surely there are much more extremely qualified republicans that could have been chosen. And they were’nt because they would not bring any media buzz. Well they got media buzz but it’s turned out to be the wrong kind. And I blame the MSM for taking Bristol’s pregnancy to serve as the top story next to Gustav.
That needs to end. But it had to be predicted by McCain if he knew about it during vetting as they habe claimed ( I dont believe them). In fact, McCain peeps did not do proper research into Palin. It was a desperate move to distract from the buzz of the DNC. A strategy to use gender in this already historic election season. It was based on illusions and temporary buzz to help McCain get through the next few months. It was not a decision purely based on experience and qualifications. Palin is a sloppy pick for VP, male or female.
Obviously, America is OK with under-qualified people running this country.
Bush has been humiliating, a complete embarrassment. So in that context, Palin is no worse. But this election needs to be better than that. McCain needs to be better than that. Obama chose a good running mate. The republicans are too busy playing silly sloppy politics American Idol style. Sadly, that is because this country is shallow enough to fall for this crap.
I predicted Palin would drop out, before I knew about the conspiracy theory regarding her new son and before I knew about Bristol’s pregnancy. I felt that the troopergate, her family and the game would all be overwhelming for Palin. We’ll see.
Vote Nader!

Posted by: sull | September 2, 2008, 5:44 pm 5:44 pm

If she drops out or he drops her he still will look as stupid then as now.

Posted by: subsistantpotfarmer | September 2, 2008, 6:27 pm 6:27 pm

Your VP pick dropping out for any reason short of health concerns is embarrassing. Especially in an election this close. Whoever he picks will fracture the GOP factions. As much as they crow about unity the Republicans have as much dysfunction as Democrats.
She will drop out within 3 weeks. They just gotta find a way to blame Obama and Democrats. Odds @ 3-1.

Posted by: ROB | September 2, 2008, 9:31 pm 9:31 pm

If George Bush could become the president of America and do all foolish things why not John McCain and his “young and truly conservative”?.McCain has proved that he can match Goerge Bush!Watch the he is going to withraw the VP nominee.

Posted by: Shashi | September 3, 2008, 4:37 am 4:37 am

The chances of Palin being dropped as nominee is 51% and not 14.5%.Good luck John McCain!!

Posted by: Pank | September 3, 2008, 4:43 am 4:43 am

he Washington Post reports today (9/3/2008) that Palin WASNT even vetted by the McCain team until the day before she was announced.
McCain talked with her for about 15 minutes at a conference in February, then didn’t meet with her again before asking her to be VP last week.
This was his first executive, presidential decision.
I’m a website manager and spend more time interviewing a programmer than McCain does interviewing his VP! Can anyone seriously say that this man has the judgment and temperament to make presidential decisions!
It’s NOT so much about Palin – it’s what it says about McCain!

Posted by: umoh | September 3, 2008, 10:51 am 10:51 am

This is stupid…..any effort to even attempt to force this women out will backfire. Better to lay off this kind of talk and focus on the issues and experience….She should not be immune to tough talk though…In fact, any effort by Republicans to mute attacks from the media and bloggers on her positions and experience will also backfire…We’ve already heard Republicans say that the media is being tough on her because she is a woman. That is nonsense.

Posted by: indy_voter | September 3, 2008, 11:30 am 11:30 am

Not gonna happen
That will be ultimate flipflop that could not be glazed over by mccain. He will ride this horse to the election even though he screwed up.
If he can’t choose a vp, how can he form a cabinet to manage the country and in some cases the world.

Posted by: Omentum | September 3, 2008, 12:01 pm 12:01 pm

Whose spouse doesn’t feel proud of America now?

Posted by: obamamama | September 3, 2008, 1:10 pm 1:10 pm

Palin is not going anywhere. This tripe about her being dropped is wishful thinking by the left.

Posted by: Jay O | September 3, 2008, 2:51 pm 2:51 pm

The left would love it if Palin dropped out. However, it’s Biden who will be out after the debate. Obama needs Hillary to win and it may be too late for that.

Posted by: lorraine | September 26, 2008, 5:31 pm 5:31 pm

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