Intelligence Report Finds Iraqi Political Leaders ‘Unable to Govern Effectively’
ABC News’ Martha Raddatz and Luis Martinez report: The latest National Intelligence Estimate report on the security situation in Iraq concludes that there has been "some security progress" in the country, but attacks on civilians remain high, and Iraqi political leaders are "unable to govern effectively."
According to an advanced copy of the intelligence report obtained by ABC News, "the level of overall violence, including attacks on and casualties among civilians, remains high; Iraq’s sectarian groups remain unreconciled; AQI [Al Qaeda in Iraq] retains the ability to conduct high-profile attacks; and to date, Iraqi political leaders remain unable to govern effectively."
However the report does reflect some improvement in Iraq’s stability since President Bush’s U.S. troop surge plan was implemented.
"There have been measurable but uneven improvements in Iraq’s security situation since our last National Intelligence Estimate on Iraq in January 2007," the report finds, "The steep escalation of rates of violence has been checked for now, and overall attack levels across Iraq have fallen during seven of the last nine weeks."
Another more optimistic finding suggests, "Coalition forces, working with Iraqi forces, tribal elements, and some Sunni insurgents, have reduced al-Qaida in Iraq’s (AQI) capabilities, restricted its freedom of movement, and denied it grassroots support in some areas."
However the intelligence report concludes that living conditions for Iraqis and the country’s economic situation remain unimproved.
"There have been modest improvements in economic output, budget execution, and government finances but fundamental structural problems continue to prevent sustained progress in economic growth and living conditions," the report finds.
Other key findings from the National Intelligence Estimate:
-Iraq’s security will continue to improve modestly during the next six to 12 months, but that levels of insurgent and sectarian violence will remain high and the Iraqi government will continue to struggle to achieve national-level political reconciliation and improved governance.
-Broadly accepted political compromises required for sustained security, long term political progress, and economic development are unlikely to emerge unless there is a fundamental shift in the factors driving Iraqi political and security developments.
As for the fight against Al Qaeda, which the administration has been touting, the report says, "…the emergence of ‘bottom-up’ security initiatives, principally among Sunni Arabs and focused on combating AQI represent the best prospect for improved security over the next six to 12 months, but we judge these initiatives will only translate into widespread political accommodation and enduring stability if the Iraqi government accepts and support them. We also assess that under some conditions ‘bottom-up initiatives’ could pose risks to the Iraq government."
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That’s funny, the American people have known for some time that our current administration is also “Unable to Govern Effectively”. Now we know why Bush seems to feel the need to defend his equally incompetent Iraqi counterpart, they’re in the same boat.
Posted by: Tom G | August 23, 2007, 12:31 pm 12:31 pm
Tom G: you’ve said it all. Most intelligent comment I’ve seen on all the blogs for a long time.
Posted by: Ron | August 23, 2007, 12:38 pm 12:38 pm
Now does anyone really expect Bush to read this report…the man doesn’t read period.
Posted by: BronxBoy7117 | August 23, 2007, 12:40 pm 12:40 pm
Duh! If you setup puppets this is what is going to happen. You don’t like real leaders or else they become too independent and do not give oil contracts to American (Cheney favored ) companies.
Posted by: viewfromoutside | August 23, 2007, 12:41 pm 12:41 pm
This isn’t news. Cheney knew this in “94″. So why did he push for us to go to war. His company made big profits off of it, and screwed us in the process
Posted by: Adams684 | August 23, 2007, 12:45 pm 12:45 pm
Like they are telling us something new… It is just now that it is politically expedient to blame Iraqi leadership so that withdrawal won’t seem like retreat. And yes, we will meet Mr. Maliki again in 10-15 yrs when he is just another little petty tyrant that we want to overthrow. Kinda like Sadam Hussein.
Posted by: DaveM | August 23, 2007, 1:31 pm 1:31 pm
I wonder if Hillary will read this NIE??
Posted by: Will Gibbs | August 23, 2007, 1:35 pm 1:35 pm
Now why would ABCNEWS.com not mention this portion of the report: “We assess that changing the mission of coalition forces from a primarily counterinsurgency and stabilization role to a primary combat support role for Iraqi forces and counterterrorist operations to prevent AQI (Al-Qaeda in Iraq) from establishing a safe haven would erode security gains achieved thus far,” the report states.” Could it be that it shows that the Democrat strategy would be counter-productive? Could it be that this news site does’nt want you to be able to make up your mind, that ABCNEWs knows what’s good for you?
Posted by: retired_subsailor | August 23, 2007, 1:36 pm 1:36 pm
Saddam Hussein; Osama bin Laden; The CIA; the “raw intel”: Democrats; Congress; the Shi’ites; the Sunnis; the Iranians; Cindy Sheehan; Joe WIlson and Valerie Plame; Bill Clinton; The Iraq Study Group; the elected Iraqi government… …looks like its everyone’s fault except the people that put us there.
Posted by: James | August 23, 2007, 2:00 pm 2:00 pm
Must be a typo. This sounds like a SUMMARY OF THE BUSH ADMINISTRATION!
Posted by: wilder5121 | August 23, 2007, 2:27 pm 2:27 pm
These people need to stop playing the blame game and get something done. Instead of making these reports to restate the problems that we already know exist they could be fixing them instead.
“Be part of the solution, not the problem”
Posted by: Greg | August 23, 2007, 2:28 pm 2:28 pm
Oh yeah more of the Blame the Iraqi’s for the tragedy in Iraq. The right wing radicals were after chaos and destruction in Iraq. They are right on course…next stop Iran if it is up to these arrogant narcissistic socio-paths.
Posted by: kathleeen | August 23, 2007, 2:48 pm 2:48 pm
I know that none of you left wing partisans care, but ABC butchered what the full report said in typical pseudo-journalistic fashion. No need to read the whole report.. just let a journalist tell you what it says.
Posted by: scott | August 23, 2007, 2:50 pm 2:50 pm
I see that most of you jerks skipped reading the story and just started posting. The report actually has some good news in it but you wouldn’t know that because you only read the headline. Good Job!
Posted by: Jan | August 23, 2007, 2:56 pm 2:56 pm
Actually, i have read the NIE, all that has been declassified of course, and of course it says nothing new, military gains have been made, especially in the SURGE reinforced areas, but AQI have been relocating to the north where the troop presense isnt so great. As for political gains, there will not be any as long as the current puppet regime is in place. Watch Bill Moyers “the secret government”. Iraq and its government are just one more facet of America’s failed policies at instituting new governments in foreign countries (reference Nicaragua, Panama,etc…)
My father is a Vietnam veteran, and im sure he knows more than Bush will ever know about warfare. He told me last night that he laughed out loud when bush compared Iraq to Vietnam, and my fatyher even VOTED for him in 00 and 04….Now thats BAD,,,,
Posted by: Stephen Sowell | August 23, 2007, 3:15 pm 3:15 pm
They resemble our guys in government. Regardless of the party. I think we were successful from that standpoint.
Posted by: Sandra | August 23, 2007, 3:22 pm 3:22 pm
In my opinion the UN ought to assist more in the Middle East, after all, all nations benefit from a stable government where they do primary business. The UN ought move fast on developing new market export for the many small Iraqi merchant in textile, art, etc. this takes away from terrorism buildup and restart self-esteem. The United States and our allies should not be pulling all of this load, and this problem should have been undertaken years ago. I think terrorism could have been defeated by simpler means but for some reason no one in the political, social, religious influences undertook that chore. I support president Bush our troops and allies, and hopefully the termination of terrorism.
Posted by: Williamwfh | August 23, 2007, 3:25 pm 3:25 pm
perhaps the government of iraq would be able to “govern” if they weren’t on hiatus while our soldiers are getting shot every freaking day. if we didn’t have a lobotomized leader ourselves we’d have them be accountable for their own success. oh that’s right, we have as our president who holds NO ONE accountable! Katrina (i like how we’re pledging money to Mexico for the recent hurricane when N.O. is still in shambles), Walter Reed, Harriet Miers, Scooter, George “Medal of Freedome/Ineptitude” Tenet…the list goes on…
Posted by: alan | August 23, 2007, 4:26 pm 4:26 pm
comparing Vietnam to Iraq, makes me think of the tens of thousands of US soldier’s lives that would have been lost, if we hadn’t pulled out when we did and stayed fighting in that quagmire…a decade after leaving Vietnam, free market economic reforms were instituted and 30 years later Vietnam is now a player in the global economy…and that region wasn’t destabilized…we need to get out of the business of nation building and mediating a civil war, which has nothing to do with fighting terrorism…one could argue that Saddam’s regeme, though brutal, was contained and stable with the minimal cost of maintaining the no-fly zone…if we could tolerate a Castro for four decades, we could have tolerated Saddam…
Posted by: Common Sense | August 23, 2007, 4:34 pm 4:34 pm
We need to get our troops out and we need to put a lot of planning into how we will do that. Of course, no one in the Bush administration cares about plans that would help our soldiers or the Iraqis. They just want to continue the chaos so they can continue to steal. How many billions do they need, anyway?
Posted by: Marilyn | August 23, 2007, 4:42 pm 4:42 pm
I already know that, that the Iraquis are incompetent leaders, they just take care of their own.
I’m just waiting for General Betray-us on what’s he’s going to say & report. I know it will be in consistent with what Bush wants to hear but on which part or it could be all of what we already heard from Bush.
I also know that Ambassador Cook already cook what he needs to say, in accordance with Bush, otherwise both men won’t get the promotion that they have.
Posted by: marc | August 23, 2007, 5:11 pm 5:11 pm
Say it isn’t so….
And this should NOT surprise anyone.. How can there be a central government in Iraq when they don’t have a true leader that is respected and feared by all the people of Iraq. That is wht they need..
Posted by: Jerry M | August 23, 2007, 5:14 pm 5:14 pm
I just want to know where all the money is going? Most people over there don’t have jobs and can’t afford food. How much money is going to buy weapons on the black market?
Posted by: Jethro63 | August 23, 2007, 5:16 pm 5:16 pm
Did we really need an intelligence report to tell us this? Anybody with half the brains god gave to a chipmunk knew this already.
Posted by: newzjunky | August 23, 2007, 6:09 pm 6:09 pm
We knew this a long time ago, Thats why we put Saddam in place. Cheney even said
it himself back in “94″.
Posted by: Adams684 | August 23, 2007, 7:28 pm 7:28 pm
What about a report on US leader unable to govern?
Posted by: sean | August 23, 2007, 9:31 pm 9:31 pm
Incompetence is the key to the planning and execution of the war by incompetent leaders. The purpose was greed and oil profits by Bush cronies and Cheney plus Haliburton. Should I say more. That’s why it was’nt plan right. They went after the money right away. Haliburton with billions & billions of dollars in no-bid contract award at the expense of soldiers and marines lives.
Posted by: marc | August 23, 2007, 9:33 pm 9:33 pm
Oh, and US political leaders CAN govern effectively??? It’s to laugh!
Posted by: Kidd Charlemagne | August 23, 2007, 9:51 pm 9:51 pm
It took 4 1/2 years to conclude that Iraqi “leaders” are “unable to govern effectively?” Of course, we can put a positive spin on this, Dana Perino style, and say that’s 2 1/2 years less than the ineffective leader that occupies the White House. Dana, did I take the words right out of your mouth?
Posted by: mongo100 | August 23, 2007, 10:36 pm 10:36 pm
That’s like the pot calling the kettle black….
Posted by: dgra123 | August 23, 2007, 11:19 pm 11:19 pm
It took intelligence to figure this out?
Posted by: Mike Johnson | August 24, 2007, 1:36 am 1:36 am
Gee…who coulda’ seen this coming before we went into Iraq? Not a single Republican in America, apparently. Must be some kind of genetic defect…like how they all say “NUKULAR”.
Posted by: wilder5121 | August 24, 2007, 2:47 am 2:47 am
“Gee…who coulda’ seen this coming before we went into Iraq? Not a single Republican in America, apparently…”
Seems to me that there were a couple of people with “D”‘s in their title who voted for the war resolution: Baucus (D-MT, Bayh (D-IN), Biden (D-DE), Cantwell (D-WA)
Carnahan (D-MO)
Carper (D-DE)
Cleland (D-GA)
Clinton (D-NY)
Daschle (D-SD)
Dodd (D-CT)
Dorgan (D-ND)
Edwards (D-NC)
Feinstein (D-CA)
Harkin (D-IA)
Hollings (D-SC)
Johnson (D-SD)
Kerry (D-MA)
Kohl (D-WI)
Landrieu (D-LA)
Lieberman (D-CT)
Lincoln (D-AR)
Miller (D-GA)
Nelson (D-FL)
Nelson (D-NE)
Reid (D-NV)
Rockefeller (D-WV)
Schumer (D-NY)
Torricelli (D-NJ)
And that’s just the Senate. And all the same rationale for the war were said before as well as after President Bush took office, by BOTH sides of the aisle. Oh, and a Congress with only an 18% approval rating telling another government they are failing the people? Then they blame the President for their approval rating? If that is true, why not the reverse?
Posted by: Retired_subsailor | August 24, 2007, 5:02 pm 5:02 pm
Not talking about Congress subsailor…I’m talkin’ about ALL Republicans in America who supported the farce in Iraq. As for Congress…it’s hard to make a decision when the intelligence you’re basing your decision on has been completely CHERRY-PICKED by the scum in the White House to make it appear that a “mushroom cloud” over America is IMMINENT. Turned out to be a pack of lies…and you’re blaming the Democrats for that? You’re ridiculous.
Posted by: wilder5121 | August 25, 2007, 2:11 am 2:11 am
Yes the scum in the Whitehouse must have been cherry-picking Intel…mmmm..”One way or the other, we are determined to deny Iraq the capacity to develop weapons of mass destruction and the missiles to deliver them. That is our bottom line.”
–President Bill Clinton, Feb. 4, 1998
“Iraq is a long way from [here], but what happens there matters a great deal here. For the risks that the leaders of a rogue state will use nuclear, chemical or biological weapons against us or our allies is the greatest security threat we face.”
–Madeline Albright, Feb 18, 1998
“[W]e urge you, after consulting with Congress, and consistent with the U.S. Constitution and laws, to take necessary actions (including, if appropriate, air and missile strikes on suspect Iraqi sites) to respond effectively to the threat posed by Iraq’s refusal to end its weapons of mass destruction programs.”
Letter to President Clinton, signed by:
– Democratic Senators Carl Levin, Tom Daschle, John Kerry, and others, Oct. 9, 1998
“Saddam Hussein has been engaged in the development of weapons of mass destruction technology which is a threat to countries in the region and he has made a mockery of the weapons inspection process.”
-Rep. Nancy Pelosi (D, CA), Dec. 16, 1998
“The community of nations may see more and more of the very kind of threat Iraq poses now: a rogue state with weapons of mass destruction, ready to use them or provide them to terrorists. If we fail to respond today, Saddam and all those who would follow in his footsteps will be emboldened tomorrow.” — Bill Clinton in 1998
Clarke said U.S. intelligence does not know how much of the substance was produced at El Shifa or what happened to it. But he said that intelligence exists linking bin Laden to El Shifa’s current and past operators, the Iraqi nerve gas experts, and the National Islamic Front in Sudan.
Given the evidence presented to the White House before the airstrike, Clarke said, the president “would have been derelict in his duties if he didn’t blow up the facility.”
“The hard fact is that so long as Saddam remains in power, he threatens the well-being of his people, the peace of his region, the security of the world.
The best way to end that threat once and for all is with a new Iraqi government — a government ready to live in peace with its neighbors, a government that respects the rights of its people.”
President Clinton
Oval Office Address to the American People
December 16, 1998
Regime change in Iraq has been official US policy since 1998:
The Iraq Liberation Act of 1998 (sponsored by Bob Kerrey, John McCain, and Joseph Lieberman, and signed into law by President Clinton) states:
“It should be the policy of the United States to support efforts to remove the regime headed by Saddam Hussein from power in Iraq and to promote the emergence of a democratic government to replace that regime.”
Iraq Liberation Act of 1998
Either you picked the wrong scum, or maybe you have a memory block of anything that happened before 2000. I could go on if you like, with dozens of examples showing that there was a belief in Washington that not only did Saddam Hussein have WMD’s, but that he harbored Al Qaeda, well before President Bush took Office.
Posted by: retired_subsailor | August 25, 2007, 1:02 pm 1:02 pm
So what did we go to war with Iraq for? Who’s opinion would you trust? Mmmmmm..”I have repeatedly defended President Bush against the left on Iraq, even though I think he should have waited until the U.N. inspections were over,” Clinton said in a Time magazine interview that will hit newsstands Monday, a day before the publication of his book “My Life.”
Clinton, who was interviewed Thursday, said he did not believe that Bush went to war in Iraq over oil or for imperialist reasons but out of a genuine belief that large quantities of weapons of mass destruction remained unaccounted for.
Noting that Bush had to be “reeling” in the wake of the attacks of September 11, 2001, Clinton said Bush’s first priority was to keep al Qaeda and other terrorist networks from obtaining “chemical and biological weapons or small amounts of fissile material.”
Saturday, 19 June , 2004 08:08:00
Reporter: Emma Griffiths
HAMISH ROBERTSON: Russian President Vladimir Putin has revealed intelligence information that could boost George W. Bush’s arguments for going to war in Iraq.
The Russian President says his intelligence services received several reports that Saddam Hussein was planning to strike the United States and that they passed on that information to their American counterparts.
The intelligence has never featured in the White House’s arguments for going to war and, as our Moscow Correspondent Emma Griffiths reports, it’s all the more surprising because of its source – Vladimir Putin himself –who’s been a vocal opponent of the invasion of Iraq.
But it did have information that Saddam Hussein posed a serious threat to the United States.
Russian President Vladimir Putin has now confirmed that intelligence. He says Russian agents had received information that Iraq’s special forces were preparing terrorist attacks on the United States, and on its military bases around the world.
VLADIMIR PUTIN (translated): Russian special services received such information several times and passed it on to their American colleagues.
Posted by: retired_subsailor | August 25, 2007, 1:14 pm 1:14 pm