Clinton Wins Lackawanna With Only 74 Percent
It really was a veritable stomping.
Sen. Hillary Clinton, D-NY, pummelled Sen. Barack Obama, D-Illinois, with keystone.
ABC News Political Director David Chalian reports that Obama only won seven of the state’s 67 counties — Philly, Delaware, Dauphin, Chester, Lancaster, Centre and Union.
He lost two key suburban Philadelphia counties he needed to win. Clinton won Montgomery County 51% to 49%; she won Bucks County 63% to 37%.
Clinton won Lackawanna County, the home of Obama-backing Sen. Bob Casey, with 74% to Obama’s 26%.
Pretty pathetic.
And yet, despite all this, as of now she has only netted 16 pledged delegates from this contest.
And the Democratic governor of Oklahoma — a superdelegate — just endorsed Obama.
So was this a tsunami or an ephemeral burst of confetti?
- jpt
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The whining is so loud I can’t hear MSNBC. Oh, that’s where the whining is coming from. There and the New York Times. Wow. Misogyny not only crawled out from under the rocks but they are fuming mad that Hillary put him away in PA. Money, proverbs, celebs, money, the misogynist press, more money, more free negative press. Obama doesn’t have to go negative; the press will do it for him.
The press boys are so blinded by their misogyny, that they can’t see the real story here… What happened in those caucus states? What happened in the caucuses? How did Obama get here on such a thin resume and winning Republican states? Is this who the dems want as a candidate to take on John McCain? NO! He can’t win. McCain will bury him, like a dog with a new bone.
Obama, stop whining and stop dividing the Democratic Party. Step aside a let a real leader lead. Step aside and let a real woman step up. Enough already. If the DNC hands this to Obama, they will lose their core voters, those who really have shown up for the dems for decades.
Posted by: AmazonTraveler | April 23, 2008, 7:23 am 7:23 am
I just realise something, Barrack is to Good for america and american politics are extremely innane. Majority of Americans wThey rather vote for a devious Liar or the George Bush rerun ! They rather have divison than unity, they rather have the world against them than with , they rather move back than forward! Thats why americas chickens will come honme to roost. America doesn’t want change so it doesn’t deserve it ! If barrack was for the UK he will already be prime minister…give him to us we can do better with him!
Posted by: Javan Dyer | April 23, 2008, 7:25 am 7:25 am
With Florida and Michigan, as their Secretaries of State have certified, and 2.3 million of their citizens have voted, now brings the delegate deficit to 2. Yes 2 delegates folks. That’s all that separates Obama and Clinton.
Anyone who thinks Florida and Michigan won’t be seated according to their Secretaries of State doesn’t want to win the white house.
Posted by: s.b. | April 23, 2008, 7:34 am 7:34 am
If you play, by counting the states delegates as winner takes all, as in the general election,clinton is 1800+ and bho 1100+.
ugh, oh…
Posted by: pp | April 23, 2008, 7:47 am 7:47 am
Question, Mr Tapper: Has anybody tallied up the two candidates’ “victories” on a state-by-state, electoral-college distribution, basis? In other words, as if this never-ending siap opera were a real dry-run for the general election and not a gerrymandered, horribly-skewed, meaningless exercise?
Because, turnout issues aside (yes, we all know only true-believers show up for the primaries; PA has a whole lot more democratic voters than the 2.25 Million self-selected true believers that showed up), if the purpose of this exercise is to uncover a candidate that can actually *win* in November, the Democrats, living up to their credo from the Will Rogers days, have crafted a process guaranteed to deliver a tie.
Surely there must exist a meaningful tie-breaker out there…
Posted by: fjtorres | April 23, 2008, 7:47 am 7:47 am
Amazontraveler
It’s not mysogyny. It’s the fact that the msm actually remembers or should I say knows all the scandals of the Clintons. Those scandals you all want to say are old news yet none of you can tell me thedetailes of 90% of them.
Americans don’t really know all the Clinton scandals and what they are about.
and yes that matters because Clinton and the MSM are saying Hillary’s baggage has been vetted. but the fact is …it hasn’t. The media knows it because back in the days before 24 hr cable news they covered many of these stories…but unfortunately most Americans don’t know that Maggie Williams was the one who cleared out Vince Fosters office the day after his suicide…when it wasn’t her job to do so before an investigation. or what or why the the cattlefutures is fishy at best criminal at worst. or things like Hillary and who is Norman Hsu…
The MSM doesn’t want to look like they are creating news or slinging mud. But unfortunately this Presidential candidate who has been throwing mud and saying “these are questions that need answers”… hasn’t been asked once during this entire primary about a single scandal of her own.
and if you say “because the republicans investigated and found nothing”
Really…then why hasn’t anyone seen that information. Why have we not seen answers to any of these questions that are still lying out there.
America does not know that there are questions and what those questions are.
The MSM has been biased all right… they have held Obama to questions they have not asked of Hillary.
I have never seen a reporter ask Hillary directly about Vince Foster, about cattle futures about what those FBI files issues were, about Norman Hsu, and Mr. Paul, about China in general, about …any of the details that go with the lists of scandals.
It is not mysogyny but the MSM’s inability to see that just because they know these scandals and some of the details and aren’t sure how to do a story on ALL of them because there is so many…
well I challenge any mass media market to put out a questionairre asking what Americans know about all these scandals… I think it would open their eyes that America does not know anything outside of the Monica Lewinsky trial and the word Whitewater.
The Clinton are questionable at best. The sheer amount is overwhelming.
Posted by: dl | April 23, 2008, 7:55 am 7:55 am
This is true if FL is counted like it should be if we want to win in November Clinton will net 38 delegates. That would put them within less than 100 delegates of each other and she is up by 100k in the popular vote.
GO HILLARY 08
Posted by: Michael | April 23, 2008, 8:05 am 8:05 am
and once again primary wins only count when they are huge…
Obama is trying to take down a crooked machine that has existed for 15 years…and trying to change the political system that allowed them to get there in the first place.
Look at how Hillary uses Michigan and Florida…states that any person realizes she created …
her supporters and campaign team built the system that did this… Howard dean just enforced it.
She and all the other candidates approved of it… and agreed to it.
then she used it for her own gain …
The numbers in those states are the same as every state before they campaigned and Obama gained ground. That is why they are called beauty contests…and any thinking human being acknowledges that and sees how slimy she is when she plays with the image of those numbers.
If those elections had not been tampered with …Obama would have won them or come close to having tied her. but she plays them and now they are twisted in spin. Period.
Her entire campaign is all based on old time spin and her being first lady.
this woman who has not driven herself in 30 years wearing her pearls and diamnds making millions calling the other candidate “elitist”… saying he has not been vetted and “these are questions that need to beasked” all the while saying any questions or scandals about her have been answered and then not answering them.
This candidate is disgusting. …and if we elected her she would drop our image in the world worse than John McCain at this point. If we elected her we would be showing the world that we are inherently a corrupt, negative, valueless society again.
but you all get your first “woman candidate” for she “deserves the turn” and “it’s about time”.
Posted by: dl | April 23, 2008, 8:08 am 8:08 am
AMAZON TRAVELOR speaks for me! Obama is getting a great deal of help by so many in the press, the TV and the DNC to do his dirty work. And he comes out smelling like a rose. But people aren’t fooled anymore. They can tell when the rose is really a pile of man*re
Posted by: tiffany | April 23, 2008, 8:12 am 8:12 am
check abc’s political site they have popular vote numbers:
hillary 15,013,813
bho14,900,543
whoa!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Posted by: pp | April 23, 2008, 8:20 am 8:20 am
Jake why is ABC including Michigan where obama wasn’t on the ballot) and Florida in there totals?
talk about feeding into a bad image.
Posted by: dl | April 23, 2008, 8:26 am 8:26 am
It should come as little surprize that the Old Guard Rendell, Clinton polictics dominate all the Old rather inflexible population of Penna. The Status Quo prejudice polictics is dominant.
I’ve grown up with here in Penna. and sad to say that there is a rather intolerant side to the Demo Party to real change & acceptance that is needed. The Rendell, Clinton crowd knows this and is little wonder that Hillary came into Pa. with a 30 point lead and expected to win by at least 25 points.
Senator Obama knew this but refused to give up on the People. With the mocking, cackling old show Clintons in the background he gave his message of Hope, Change and the need for this Country to get past the negative polictics and get back to doing the work of the People.
Sooooo SAD!
Posted by: kiotikid | April 23, 2008, 8:28 am 8:28 am
Obama will still win the nomination and Hillary supporters will flock around the nominee in mass forgetting that they’ve been had by the ultra-leftists.
So what’s the fuss at this point in the game? It’s meaningless!
Posted by: S | April 23, 2008, 8:28 am 8:28 am
I am a PA voter here in philly, and I think we showed the rest of the remaining states what the GE is going to look like if Obama is given the nomination. I was happy my state had a say in the process and even happier that we gave the remaining states an even bigger “say” who will be elected.
Posted by: Jim | April 23, 2008, 8:36 am 8:36 am
This win means NOTHING. I said weeks ago that she needed to win by atleast 20. She got barely half of that. Actually when the results are all tallied, she’ll win by just 9 points. That’s not good enough. She is done. Right now she is just carving up the nominee. Too bad for Democrats.
Posted by: Kevin | April 23, 2008, 8:36 am 8:36 am
I voted for Obama but I knew darn well Clinton would win. It is an older state set in its way. A state that fears change. I am proud of the rest of America but disappointed in my state today.
Posted by: Marie | April 23, 2008, 8:37 am 8:37 am
“The whining is so loud I can’t hear MSNBC. Oh, that’s where the whining is coming from. There and the New York Times. Wow. Misogyny not only crawled out from under the rocks but they are fuming mad that Hillary put him away in PA. Money, proverbs, celebs, money, the misogynist press, more money, more free negative press. Obama doesn’t have to go negative; the press will do it for him.”
HOw true.
THE DNC better be looking at why Obama can’t carry the big states.
Penn, and Ohio are a must win for Obama (since he trashed Florida).
Posted by: Tuck | April 23, 2008, 8:38 am 8:38 am
Jake, of course she won Lackawanna. That is home of Scranton. She is from Scranton. So her being from Scranton is a bigger deal than Bob Casey being from there. You need to do more research before reporting.
Posted by: Marie | April 23, 2008, 8:41 am 8:41 am
The dems will nominate Obama, to their peril. PA shows precisely why Obama can’t win the general.. if the liberals would care to digest the exit polling. And why should I be surprised another superdelegate would go AGAINST his state’s vote to endorse Obama. Some of these guys better be careful, not sure their constituents are going to like that next time they run.. oh, but who cares, right? As long as we nominate the liberal. Will Democrats ever learn this is a right of center country?
It would be funny, if it wasn’t so damn sad.
Posted by: A reader in Georgia | April 23, 2008, 8:43 am 8:43 am
PA just scratched its collective nose at obama.
Posted by: geevill | April 23, 2008, 8:53 am 8:53 am
everyone who calls this all mysogyny… when people point to the facts… not spin but the facts…
Are doing women a great injustice.
Hillary uses “mysogyny” like a tool. Obama when asked says racism is out there but if any man acted like Clinton and just imagine it… they would be duly thumped out of not only the race…but the political scene…they would find themselves over at FoxNews.
I am sure there are people who won’t vote for her becasue she is a woman and just as many that are only voting for her because she is a woman.
but here a candidate is slyly twisting the vote counts and the election…if a man did that and people called him on it… people would get it…but once again throw in “mysogyny” to deflect any questions.
You hurt women when you do that. Like Hillary who says she “ducked” sniper fire getting out of the plane… you belittle the actual danger or the reality of something when you use it as a tool against everything.
If it’s mysogyny then call it what it is…but …
If someone is saying her numbers don’t add up, or that she is wrong to threaten a country who is trying to get nuclear weapons (because that is the stupidest move any pol can make because it does not deter it drives) and someone types “mysogyny” because of that, I would hope women would step up and say… don’t take that term so lightly. Hillary winning does not mean people get to weaken an important argument protecting women.
Posted by: dl | April 23, 2008, 8:58 am 8:58 am
THANK YOU PA. WE HAVE GOT TO KNOW THE STRONGEST NOMINEE. HILLARY AND BILL HAVE BEEN THERE FOR AGES MAKING CAMPAIGN.BUT YET SHE DID NOT GET ENOUGH AS PEOPLE EXPECTED. WE WERE EXPECTING HER DOUBLE DIGIT. I GUESS SHE IS NOT ELECTABLE. MAY GOD BLESS AMERICA AND GIVE US THE BEST LEADER TO RESTORE OUR CREDIBILITY IN THE OUTSIDE WORLD AMEN.
Posted by: I.A.T. Smith | April 23, 2008, 9:08 am 9:08 am
The “press” is still favoring Obama and you can tell from network to network search. ONLY on CBS it shows the popular vote in the country and Hillary Clinton has more POPULAR VOTE. All you see is the delegate vote— Obama outspent 4-1 against the Hillary campaign with his negative ads and yet she won. Which only goes to prove that you can’t fool the American People all the time. Polls before the election were posted on all the website news channels showing Obama took over Hillary and he was in the lead – they were misleading and not true but to give Obama the edge and Obama the enthusiasm to win —yet she still won. Senator Ted Kennedy came out and campaign until he almost dropped because he will not allow a woman to be President. What a fool! Woman are more nurturing, fostering of encouragement and this is what the country is going to need in the next many years because of our economy, not some young inexperienced sermon pitching man, driven by people behind the scenes.
Posted by: Anne | April 23, 2008, 9:12 am 9:12 am
Obama is end it and will win it!!!!!!
Clinton lives on to fight another day and finish off the Democratic’s Party’s chances of winning in November. The Clintons wiil stoop to during anything to win I mean anything. The Clintons will twist anything that Obama says and use it to their advantage no matter what. If most of the people who voted in Penn for Clinton want that kind of politics for four years in the White House the Clinto will pit race against race and class against class.
Obama still is the one to beat..
Obama all the way!
Posted by: Lookup | April 23, 2008, 9:20 am 9:20 am
S.B., you wrote: “…now brings the delegate deficit to 2.” I believe there is one small problem with the math. There were 55 uncommitted delegates in Michigan. I don’t believe you included these. Since these were a protest vote against Sen. Clinton, these 55 delegates would be “going against the will of the people,” if they were to now commit to Sen. Clinton. So they would likely be voting for Sen. Obama. Therefore, providing the rest of the math is correct, Sen. Obama would still have a delegate lead of 57.
Posted by: James Danley | April 23, 2008, 9:20 am 9:20 am
If the Dems want a winner in November, they’ll nominate Clinton. If they want a loser, they’ll nominate Obama. Seems like a no brainer to me, but their history shows they just love running losers… Stevenson, McGovern, Mondale, Dukakis, Gore, Kerry. What do these candidates have in common? They were left to far left of center and were perceived as out of touch when relating to the common man. Exactly like Obama.
Posted by: HoosierSue | April 23, 2008, 9:21 am 9:21 am
OBAMA HAS CONVINCED THE DNC WE HAVE 48 STATES — NOT 50 — HOWEVER, THE PEOPLE OF AMERICA KNOW BETTER!
THERE SHOULD BE A REVOTE IN FL & MI NOW!!
To ignore these two important states is NOT FAIR and will bite the party in the ### in the general election.
COME ON HOWARD DEAN AND SUPERDELEGATES — BE FAIR! GET US A REVOTE IN FL & MI OR LOSE TO THE GOP IN THE GE!
Posted by: CONCERNED | April 23, 2008, 9:27 am 9:27 am
Jake T has made is absolutely clear in the last few days who he is rooting for. Good for him.
Anyway, here’s the argument: I am an Obama supporter, but it is clear the candidate is flawed. Clinton too has her flaws. The biggest of which is the fact that she is behind and cannot get the black vote. Obama cannot get the white, blue collar vote. So what do we do? Do we take the nomination from the candidate that has EARNED it (Obama) and give it to the one that is surging late (Clinton)? I think the party cannot do that. Concerning FL and MI, the rules were made at the very beginning. Everybody played by the rules, so the fair thing is to stick to the rules and not change them toward the end of the campaign. The party has to do the right thing. The right thing is to award the nomination to the person that actually WON it. If the Democratic party changes the rules now that we are more than 80% into this campaign and give it to Hillary, i think it will be the END of the party forever. If Obama is so flawed, then Hillary should wait 4 years and run against McCain in 2012. I will rather live to fight another day in 4 years than push blacks and young folks out of the party forever. If we do that, if we do that, then we are FINISHED. White blue collar folks don’t usually vote Democratic. They vote Republican.
Posted by: Kevin | April 23, 2008, 9:28 am 9:28 am
To the lady who lives in PA and is disappointed with the results – MOVE. The Casey’s are as much old guard as Rendell and the others. the only Casey won was because the intense dislike of Bush and Santorum. People get real. Obama carries 90% of the black vote and not much else. Here in Western PA Hilary stomped Obama by large amounts. Fayette County went 80% for Hiliary. CNN exit polls showed in a McCain-Obama matchup, 10% of Democrats would not vote and 15% percent would vote for McCain.
Posted by: Russ | April 23, 2008, 9:30 am 9:30 am
CONCERNED
The last time i checked, it wasn’t OBAMA that decided not to allow Michigan and Florida to count. It was the DNC and both candidates agreed to it. So please, stop lying and misleading bloggers.
Posted by: Kevin | April 23, 2008, 9:32 am 9:32 am
The media really has to sit and take a long hard look now, the voters are showing without a doubt that they want Hillary in this race no matter how MSM tries to get her to drop out.
This woman has faced everything you can imagine, over and over its done by every network some more than others to spoil her image and make Obama into the new messiah , but yet she keeps going and the people keeps her in the race.
3 mill dollars in donations 80% new donations, that is a awful lot of viewers, that is outright telling the media to change their attack. CNN took forever to call PA, when a foreign media house Sky news called it, imagine that while the US MSM was pussyfooting with the outcome the foreign press was congratulating Hillary.
This kind of thing is really a poor reflection on MSM, I have to say FOX did call it at least 20minute ahead of every other media house so hats off to them.
If MSM does not understand what the American people are telling them, its really a sad state of affairs. Yesterday the MSM cry was first she had to win by 6-7 % to make a difference, then they changed it to 10% and while the race was going on they went for 20%, each time setting the bar to unrealistic figures just to dampen her win.
This disgusting open pandering by the MSM for Obama needs to stop, the people are not buying into that, and it sure showed in PA last night.
Posted by: SJ | April 23, 2008, 9:34 am 9:34 am
Everyone I know say that if Obama is the nominee than we will vote for McCain. It is as simple as that.
Posted by: Patsfan! | April 23, 2008, 9:37 am 9:37 am
It has come to this. Clinton should have ran for Pres 4 years ago. If anyone is saying that Obama will lose to Mccain, just take a good look at the mess the US in is now. Clinton should have put Obama out of his misery after Super Tuesday. This race is Hillarys to lose and she lost it. Nobody wants to say it so there it has been said.
Posted by: the voter | April 23, 2008, 9:38 am 9:38 am
If the DNC continue to push him as their choice. WE LOSE IN NOVEMBER!! He cannot win the states needed to be president. Count FL and find a solution for MI. IF those two problems are solved Hillary has more popular votes and delagates.
Posted by: toby | April 23, 2008, 9:39 am 9:39 am
SJ
Use your brain and analyze your own argument. Going into Pennsylvania, Hillary needed to win 65%-35% on average to catch Obama in the delegate count. So asking her to win just 60%-40% to start off isn’t MSM bias, it’s MSM reality check. Okay, so she didn’t. Where does that leave us? Right back where we started. She needed to prove yesterday that the bottom had fallen out from under Obama. She didn’t. If anything, despite Rev. Wright, despite bitter-gate, he still won more white vote in Pennsylvania than he did in Ohio. What does that say? NOTHING HAS CHANGED. If anything, MSM are helping HIllary. If she was any other candidate, they would have called this game already. She has already lost. Anybody that doesn’t see this, is absolutely nuts.
Posted by: Kevin | April 23, 2008, 9:42 am 9:42 am
Russ, I am allowed to express my feelings without being attacked. People are allowed to hve different opinions.
Posted by: Marie | April 23, 2008, 9:42 am 9:42 am
This thing has become an absolute joke. The Hillary campaign is trying to rewrite the rules in the freaking middle of a campaign. They have lost the delegate race, so now it’s about popular vote. When you try to get them to commit to that, they reverse course and say it’s about electibility even though all the polls are showing Obama running better against McCain. They say it’s about blue collar white folks, implicitly insulting young folks and black folks. Then they say, count FL and MI even though they agreed to not count them in the beginning. This is jungle politics. Why can’t Obama call these suckers out of their BS? Why?
Posted by: Kevin | April 23, 2008, 9:47 am 9:47 am
Obama’s state wins 30 lost 15, Delegate count 1715 +/-, Negatives are way down, Better nominee
Clinton’s state wins 15 lost 30, Delegate count 1685 +/-, Negatives way up. Not a good nominee.
Fund Raising Obama beats Clinton or McCain Expediently.
Registering new voters Obama beats Clinton or McCain.
Bring the country together Obama beats Clinton or McCain.
Overall, Obama beats Clinton or McCain.
Race against McCain, Obama better nominee.
Obama all the way!
Posted by: Lookup | April 23, 2008, 9:47 am 9:47 am
Kevin, get over your self Obama cannot hold one big state to win any seats in the electorial college so he will lose big time, if he cant win Hillary in these big states you really feel he is going to beat McCain?
Do the numbers we are looking at the electorial college not primaries where a democrat is running against another democrat, where is the Obama push in these states to beat McCain?
Hillary supporters in those state are already saying they will not vote for him if he is the nominee and AA cannot pull him over the top they just don’t have the numbers even if every single one of them comes out to vote.
The best chance the DNC has in this election is going with Hillary if they do not they will lose big time and that is a fact.
Posted by: SJ | April 23, 2008, 9:50 am 9:50 am
The expected happen… Clinton won
Why this doesn’t change anything is… PA is one state
She failed to reach the 60% mark which she need to catch up to Obama in the popular vote
Chuck Todd declared yesterday, Clinton eliminated herself from catching up in the pledge delegates
Now her margins must be wider then 60%in NC and IN
North Carolina is a no brainer for Obama
Indiana she must win by 70% – 85%
Impossible???
Yes, judging by the Obama rally yesterday
The math is not in her favor
Unless she’s able get FL and MI she would have a chance
The DNC has made it clear both states will not count as voted in January…
So unless Hillary wins both Indiana and North Carolina in BLOW OUT her chances to win the nod are over
If she loses Indiana, she’s done the next day
Posted by: Vanessa | April 23, 2008, 9:51 am 9:51 am
To Kevin and all the Obama supporters: Just check THE RULES of the nominating process, if neither candidate gets to 2025 in PLEDGED DELEGATES then neither candidate “wins” the nomination. Obama does not have this nomination “won”, unless he blows out Hillary in the remaining primaries and reaches 2025 pledged delegates. What both delegates have is an opportunity to convince superdelegates that they are better prepared to face John McCain in the GE. Hillary is completely within her right to go all the way to the convention, some Democrats might say that she is being VERY AMERICAN by acting like a TRUE AMERICAN and FIGHTING FOR DEMOCRATS! Since Obama refuse to debate, and refuses to allow reporters to ask him tough questions, it’s questionable whether Obama has what it takes to make it to the GE, let alone be president. Obama’s fall back position when he is down is to do a rapper dance and give Hillary the finger with a wink, wink…that kind of behavior won’t fly against John McCain, even though the sexist media loves it when it is done to Hillary…
Posted by: rs | April 23, 2008, 9:52 am 9:52 am
I just got back from PA where I helped my gal get out the vote and win an impressive victory last night!! It is obvious that if Hillary is not the nominee Democrats will lose the working class vote and we will have another Mondale on our hands! So if the superdelegates go with Obama and we lose then the moderates will be able to say I told you so and maybe then we can take back this party from the radical left and give it back to mainstream Democrats! Unless we do we will continue to lose the White House to the Republicans!
Last night was SWEET,SWEET,NECTAR!!!!!
Posted by: russell | April 23, 2008, 9:53 am 9:53 am
SHE WON BY LESS THAN 10% FOLKS DO THE MATH. The numbers I see is that she won by 9.38%–by rounding a 9 POINT WIN. Now do people call for her to quit?
Posted by: Beverly Hillbilleries | April 23, 2008, 9:54 am 9:54 am
Did you hear the voice of voters in all big states? Wakeup! Democrat Leaders and Super Delegates, forget about personally interest and favor, you need to follow the will of the majority of Dem voters, let count the votes Florida and Michigan and support Hillary Clinton to win back the White House. Otherwise, your party is dead. I will switch the party and many moderate, middle incomes, and conservative Dem will follow too.
Posted by: stock_craft | April 23, 2008, 9:54 am 9:54 am
I know the polls are showing that more Obamas will vote Hillary than the Hillary people will vote Obama in Penn. yesterday…
They better do a national vote before the Supers make up their minds… I will never ever vote for Hillary. Those women who are just voting for her because she is a woman and not on the issue or who she really is makes me mad) I will put McCain in office for four years (he cannot do any worse than Bush, he might even get somethings straighten out)… Then maybe in 4 years Obama will run again…
If Hillary wins my vote will go McCain… without question…. and 30 other people I know.
Supers better stop this and stop it fast.
Posted by: Becky | April 23, 2008, 9:55 am 9:55 am
Kevin, where did you get this??
“White blue collar folks don’t usually vote Democratic. They vote Republican.”
This is soooo not true.
Posted by: countallthevotes | April 23, 2008, 9:55 am 9:55 am
Updated:
Obama’s state wins 30 lost 15, Delegate count 1715 +/-, Negatives are way down, Better nominee
Clinton’s state wins 15 lost 30, Delegate count 1585 +/-, Negatives way up. Not a good nominee.
Fund Raising Obama beats Clinton or McCain Expediently.
Registering new voters Obama beats Clinton or McCain.
Bring the country together Obama beats Clinton or McCain.
Overall, Obama beats Clinton or McCain.
Race against McCain, Obama better nominee.
Obama all the way!
Posted by: Lookup | April 23, 2008, 9:57 am 9:57 am
The fact: Obama lost Pennsylvania by 10%. He lost. He lost. He lost. How come he didn’t win by 20% being such a “phenomenal” front runner?! Think about it. He has shown poor judgment throughout his life: Rezko, Wright, Ayers, Cocaine. When into money all he could think about was buying a sumptuous home in Kenwood. On top of all this poor judgement and superficiality, the guy has no executive experience whatsoever, and perhaps not that much legislative experience either. Present. Present. Present…If Obama is our idol we are really in bad shape.
Posted by: Luis | April 23, 2008, 9:57 am 9:57 am
Obama will do no different against McCain in a GE than he is doing against Hillary in a primary. He will win the area with a high concentration of AA and lose all the other outlining areas.
This will happen in every state where you need the big wins, if he could not win over Hillary in these states he will not beat McCain in a one on one race.
Democrats in these critical state for a GE are clearly showing that they do now want Obama as their nominee, if some of you cant see that by now its sad.
Posted by: SJ | April 23, 2008, 9:59 am 9:59 am
In the mean time Obama picked up another super. He leads in the national polls over Clinton and McCain.
New York Times , who endorsed Clinton, is now slamming her for her negative Campaign. So she may have won the battle, but perhaps it will cause her to loose the war.
Obama08
Posted by: Thinking | April 23, 2008, 10:01 am 10:01 am
EVEN CNN IS REPORTING THAT THE WIN WAS LESS THAN THE MAGIC 10%. IT IS 9.38% FOLKS. USE THAT LITTLE PROGRAM ON YOUR COMPUTER CALLED “CALCULATOR” IT WILL HELP YOU IN YOUR LIFE. Do people call for her to quit like they said they would before the results. No, we like drama not solutions.
Posted by: Beverly Hillbilleries | April 23, 2008, 10:02 am 10:02 am
What really frosts my butt is not the devotion of Hillary supporters to their candidate, but these continued swipes that say that Obama can’t win in the General Election where Hillary’s support is strong.
You’d almost think there were three parties — Democrats, Republicans and Clintonistas!
Come On, Hillary fans. Stand up as real democrats. Whether this goes all the way to the convention, or ends in two weeks, it’s time to realize that all democrats MUST get behind the nominee in order to ensure that we have a democrat in the White House in November!!!
It’s unfortunate for Clintonistas that, barring a miracle of 70% victories in all of the races between now and early June, the nominee will NOT be Senator Clinton. But that should not prevent the clintonistas from facing reality, even while they continue to support their candidate. Certainly the exit polls showed last night that the same percentage that backed Hillary, also realized that Obama would be the nominee.
What we don’t need in November is a McCain victory. Stop giving McCain ammunition!!!
Obama 2008 — Yes, WE CAN!!!
Posted by: Jackt51 -- Vietnam Vet and Proud Liberal | April 23, 2008, 10:03 am 10:03 am
Hillary won Scranton by 50 points!! That’s Bob Casey country, like Kennedy he could not deliver! Working class voters can’t be bought and they will vote their pockebooks and values which Hillary shares and that is her key to victory last night and it will win her the Presidency if she is given the chance!
Posted by: russell | April 23, 2008, 10:05 am 10:05 am
Are those Dem Leaders and some super Delegates blind or deaf? Some people think they are deaf and some people think they are blind because they don’t want to hear the voices and watch the reaction of the majority Democrat voters in Florida, Michigan and all the big states. But I think they are selfish because they don’t want to make the black and liberal voters angry, which may hurt their political career in the future.
Posted by: stock_craft | April 23, 2008, 10:09 am 10:09 am
May I ask Hillary supporters
Who leads in states won?
Who leads in pledge delegates won?
Who leads in the popular vote?
Chances are, Obama will make up his net losses in NC
If Hillary loses IN… it’s over
Not only does she needs to win Indiana she needs a blow out to catch Obama in the popular vote
May 6
We will know our nominee
PS
Hillary failed to win 60% of the vote in PA which she needs to catch up in the pop vote. She MUST win NC and IN by margins of 70%-30%
Good luck
Posted by: Vanessa | April 23, 2008, 10:12 am 10:12 am
Uhh, Beverly, Jessica Yellin on CNN just reported that “Hillary reached the magic number of 10% that everyone said she needed to stay in the race”. Pretty pathetic that you’re parsing numbers the way you are, but that’s how Obama has handled “losing” all along, he claims “a win” when it is “A LOSS!” Hillary supporters aren’t interested in what the talking heads at CNN and MSNBC say that Hillary needs to do anyway, they are sexist and totally for Obama. It is refreshing to see that Americans actually do have a say in who they elect as a nominee, even though the DNC is STEALING the election from Hillary by not allowing FL and MI votes to count! HILLARY – A WOMAN WITH TRUE GRIT! GO HILLARY 08!
Posted by: calli | April 23, 2008, 10:12 am 10:12 am
I find the decision to ignore Florida and Michigan fascinating. Do Democrats think Obama can win the General Election without them? These states are full of Hillary demographics. The DNC is proving that you can, actually, lose any race if you try hard enough.
Posted by: Moderateguy | April 23, 2008, 10:13 am 10:13 am
Obama supporters don’t care if MI or FL is not counted, they don’t care about the electorial college numbers and MSM is not going to speak about that because for their own personal reasons some want Hillary out others want MaCain to win.
The fact are there and its plain to see, Obama cannot win this GE, some Obama supporters all they are interested in is saying they won the nomination that’s it, the AA supporters of Obama want to say that a black man is the nominee for the first time in US history.
None of them seems to give a hoot what happens after that, they are ignoring all the vital signs that show Obama is a risk to take for a GE, and not one of these supporters can give one ounce of concrete evidence as to where Obama can win enough seats to beat McCain, especially when you take FL and MI out of this equation.
Posted by: SJ | April 23, 2008, 10:20 am 10:20 am
Vanessa, so far your candidate only won in the small states, caucus voting style in GOP states. In general Election, these caucuses do exist for helping him to win, unfortunately. And many voters who vote for him in the caucus could be the GOP. They will vote for John McCain in the real Election.
Posted by: stock_craft | April 23, 2008, 10:23 am 10:23 am
Neither Dems would win FL in the GE
Forget the polls, FL is a GOP state. (Period)
Michigan could go either way. Michigan has a partically high AA and high young vote.
Majority of Michigan voters earn 50,000+
Either Dems could win Michigan
The question is, which Dem could bring along some red states and turn them into blue
Your answer
Obama
Posted by: Vanessa | April 23, 2008, 10:25 am 10:25 am
Obama thought he had fooled PA as he has many people in America.
He thought they believed his story about never hearing Rev.Wright’s sermons.
He thought they bought his story about Ayers.
He thought they believed he wasn’t elitist because he was raised by a single mom.
Well not everyone is fooled. When you lie about your church and use your church for political gain, then sell them out…Some people will just not ignore that.
Posted by: cindy | April 23, 2008, 10:26 am 10:26 am
Which red state is it that Obama is going to turn blue?
Posted by: SJ | April 23, 2008, 10:27 am 10:27 am
Vanessa, can you name any Dem candidate who can win the Red States in the past? I wish Obama might be the only one exception.
Posted by: stock_craft | April 23, 2008, 10:29 am 10:29 am
North Carolina, Iowa, Colorado, Missouri, New Mexico etc
These are states Kerry lost in 2004
Data shows Obama has a better chance winning NM against McCain then Clinton
Posted by: Vanessa | April 23, 2008, 10:35 am 10:35 am
Do you think he can win any southern states in the GE Hillary can win FL.
Posted by: Bishop | April 23, 2008, 10:45 am 10:45 am
Vanessa,
Perhaps yuo can talk yourself into believing but you can’t fool us. Obama cannot get the Reagan Democrat voters. We will see this again in KY, IN, and WV. In November Obama’s southern black advantage in those states will become a lot less effective when Republicans and Independents vote.
and the most damaging state of all is MA who will vote McCaon over Obama because to them Obama = Patrick. They were burned by the Axelrod scam once.
Posted by: geevill | April 23, 2008, 10:47 am 10:47 am
Vanessa,
Perhaps yuo can talk yourself into believing but you can’t fool us. Obama cannot get the Reagan Democrat voters. We will see this again in KY, IN, and WV. In November Obama’s southern black advantage in those states will become a lot less effective when Republicans and Independents vote.
and the most damaging state of all is MA who will vote McCain over Obama because to them Obama = Patrick. They were burned by the Axelrod scam once.
Posted by: geevill | April 23, 2008, 10:48 am 10:48 am
Vanessa, Florida is traditionally a Democratic state. The vote during the 2000 election was a virtual tie at 48.8 percent for both Gore and Bush. Flordia did vote for Bush in 2004, but not by a large margin.
Florida’s demographics would definately favor Hillary, but not Obama. If Obama wins the nomination, expect Florida to remain in the Republican column.
Posted by: FlaLady | April 23, 2008, 10:48 am 10:48 am
Vanessa post:” North Carolina, Iowa, Colorado, Missouri, New Mexico etc
These are states Kerry lost in 2004
Data shows Obama has a better chance winning NM against McCain then Clinton”
Well, Kerry is backing Obama, history will repeat itself again. The moral votes which kill Kerry in 2004 could turn into Patriot votes to kill Obama in this November. Obama was 20 years late to distinct himself from Wright. I don’t think American voters can forget it.
Posted by: stock_craft | April 23, 2008, 10:51 am 10:51 am
What last night proved was that racism is alive and well in America.
The Clintons draw their core support from white racists.
Black people, for over 40 years, have loyally supported white Democratic presidential candidates. No more…
Black people should boycott the general and just let McCain win. Black people are already in a bad place. So let the blue collar white voters have their fate: Less jobs, no health care, poor education.
If the Clintons steal this thing, maybe the black folks can write in Obama’s name. Maybe they should riot. And riot in Denver. Let’s just destroy the Democratic party because it doesn’t deserve to exist with the sleazy Clintons in it.
Posted by: Doug | April 23, 2008, 10:59 am 10:59 am
Like I said, Florida will remain Republican
I’m not saying Obama will win all the red states etc WV or KY in the GE, neither will Clinton
Clinton has won several states that are the blue of the bluest
We’ve seen we can’t win with only blue states
We need RED, and who has won majority of the swing states and several 2004 red states that can go either way
Obama
Obama will win CA and NY etc
Can Hillary win NC and IA
no
Posted by: Vanessa | April 23, 2008, 11:00 am 11:00 am
IN North Carolina they have an add about Rev Wright and it is being run by Jesse Helms group of bigots this is what is going to happen in the GE. The republicans will run him into the ground the real truth is that Hannity broke the Rev. Wright story and Obama slipped up and made the bitter statement Hillary did not bring this up what makes us Hillary supporters mad is that this started in NH. And at every turn Axelrod has tried to put it on Hillary and I guess Nurses and teachers and Dr.s who are voting for Hillary are not educated to hear Chris tweety tell it I think the media has been very kind to Obama for now . Hillary has stood with everything that has been dumped on her women will always have to work twice as hard as men to get respect .
Posted by: Bishop | April 23, 2008, 11:00 am 11:00 am
Vanessa,
Kerry won PA in 2004. Yestarday PA the overwhelming number of Democrat voters told us they will not support Obama. The message is loud and clear.
Posted by: geevill | April 23, 2008, 11:02 am 11:02 am
Vanessa — Seriously? Do you know what swing state means? Did you see the results in the last two election cycles for Florida? This state can go either way and it is currently leaning Clinton against McCain.
2004 – FL | Bush, 52%; Kerry, 47%
2000 – FL | Bush, 49%; Gore, 49%
Posted by: LOM | April 23, 2008, 11:03 am 11:03 am
Women are voting for Hillary and there are more women middle aged that have supported democrats but that story is never told .Bucks county Pa went for Clinton tons of middle age women.not racist working class college educated teachers and nurses. and thier blue collar workers husbands
Posted by: Bishop | April 23, 2008, 11:05 am 11:05 am
Hillary supporters
I understand emotions are running high, your candidate is out, and all seems wrong.
But at the end of the day, when Hillary is gone and forgotten, the Dems will rally around Obama
Be sure of that
FLORIDA WILL REMAIN REPUBLICAN
Posted by: Vanessa | April 23, 2008, 11:06 am 11:06 am
Hillary can win Fl. because of the women population and because they are for her.
Posted by: Bishop | April 23, 2008, 11:09 am 11:09 am
Vanessa — Why don’t you tell us how Obama clinches this nomination when it he demonstrated once again last night he can’t garner the support of white blue-collar voters despite being the front-runner with more pledged delegates, states won and popular vote AND massively outspending his opponent?
Barack Obama is simply unelectable!
Clinton/Edwards 2008!!!
Posted by: LOM | April 23, 2008, 11:10 am 11:10 am
Vanessa post:” But at the end of the day, when Hillary is gone and forgotten, the Dems will rally around Obama”
It might happen 12 years from now. Keep your dream. But my prediction that Obama political life will end once Hillary is out. The only chance he can be US President in the future is stop the race now, support Hillary win back the White House, do more public service works and especially CHANGE and CHANGE his Church.
Posted by: stock_craft | April 23, 2008, 11:17 am 11:17 am
Simple…
Because Clinton failed to gain 60% of PA she needs a 70%-30% win in BOTH IN and NC
NC is Obama
IN is a toss up
And b/c IN is a toss up, she won’t win by 70%-30%
Her chances of gaining over Obama’s pop vote is virtually OVER
After May 6
Our nominee will be crystal clear
Obama08
haha
Thats what happens when a candidate has no plan B
Hillary thought this would be over by Super Tuesday
Thats why on a radio talk show, she began planning how she would go back in MI and FL to clean up the damage for not counting their delegates
Thats why the DNC not taking her seriously
She’s on tape
Posted by: Vanessa | April 23, 2008, 11:20 am 11:20 am
CHANGE, CHANGE, and CHANGE he can do is changing himself to be patriot because talking about changing America. Just simple…
Posted by: stock_craft | April 23, 2008, 11:31 am 11:31 am
Older White Woman…Bravo! Wonderful post. I am a 31 year old white female in PA. i voted for Obama. I agree with everything you say.
Posted by: Marie | April 23, 2008, 11:31 am 11:31 am
LOM asks: “Why don’t you tell us how Obama clinches this nomination when it he demonstrated once again last night he can’t garner the support of white blue-collar voters despite being the front-runner with more pledged delegates, states won and popular vote AND massively outspending his opponent?”
Here is your answer: Because 80% of the states have already voted!!!!! That’s why. And Mr. Obama is leading by a small, but nearly insurmountable, margin. The fact that I point this out doesn’t make me a misogynist. It’s just math.
Obama has been winning more states by larger margins (and losing states by smaller margins) since the process began in january. What you are basically arguing is that because Clinton is winning NOW, the states that voted the other way over the past 3 months should not count.
So WHO, exactly, is it that is trying to disenfranchise voters? Hmmm?
Posted by: DavidS | April 23, 2008, 11:34 am 11:34 am
DavidS – Why was Obama ever down by 22 percentage points in the first place, especially being the front-runner with the most pledged delegates, states won and popular vote?
Posted by: LOM | April 23, 2008, 11:35 am 11:35 am
I agree with the following observation.
Obama is much weaker than Mondale in his background.
Working class still constitutes about 48% of voters, more moderates in Dems than radical liberals.
No matter what, only radical liberals are not enough for a dems GE win.
—————————
russel:
I just got back from PA where I helped my gal get out the vote and win an impressive victory last night!! It is obvious that if Hillary is not the nominee Democrats will lose the working class vote and we will have another Mondale on our hands! So if the superdelegates go with Obama and we lose then the moderates will be able to say I told you so and maybe then we can take back this party from the radical left and give it back to mainstream Democrats! Unless we do we will continue to lose the White House to the Republicans!
Posted by: Victor | April 23, 2008, 11:38 am 11:38 am
DavidS — The pledged delegate difference may be insurmountable, but how does either candidate clinch the nomination? They both need the superdelegates to push them over the threshold.
If the difference in the pledged delegates remains static from now until the end of the primary elections, Clinton will have effectively decreased Obama’s margin to about 3%. The popular vote differs by about 1%.
There won’t be any pressure by the superdelegates feel they are overturning the will of the people with such small margins. Besides, that hardly matters as folks like Kennedy, Kerry and Richardson have demonstrated that superdelegates can vote as they please.
Posted by: LOM | April 23, 2008, 11:39 am 11:39 am
Actually, geevil, in exit polling the majority of voters said they thought Obama would BE the nominee.
Just because you’re salivating for mcbush, doesn’t mean the rest of the country is that gullible!!!
Obama 2008 — Yes, WE CAN!!!
Posted by: Jackt51 -- Vietnam Vet and Proud Liberal | April 23, 2008, 11:40 am 11:40 am
DavidS,
Massachusetts elected their own version of Obama as Governor. You know, the one Obama re-cycled the speeches and slogans from.
Well this Governor Patrick is a miserable failure and the MA primary results reflect Democrats dissatisfaction with the Axelrod candidates of “change”.
That is why Obama would be a huge underdog in the only state McGovern won.
Posted by: geevill | April 23, 2008, 11:42 am 11:42 am
Geevil: the only way in which Devall Patrick and Barack Obama are “the same” is the color of their skin.
But of course THAT is what you mean, isn’t it? For you, all black people are alike, I guess.
It is quite sad how Mrs. Clinton’s campaign has been bringing out the hidden racism inside of even the most liberal Democrats. It makes me very sad.
Posted by: DavidS | April 23, 2008, 11:47 am 11:47 am
Amen DavidS!!
Posted by: Marie | April 23, 2008, 11:48 am 11:48 am
neither, it’s telling.
it tells who can easily win the big states and who may have a bit of trouble. HRC being the former, BO the later.
Posted by: Brooke | April 23, 2008, 11:49 am 11:49 am
Geevil: No, YOU DID. Just a few posts down, you said that “Massachusettes elected their own version of Obama as governor….”
I simply pointed out that the ONLY SIMILARITY between Mr. Obama and Mr. Patrick is the color of their skin.
Don’t even TRY to feign innocence, Geevil. We are DEMOCRATS here, not Republican morons. We can read between the lines just fine, thank you very much.
Posted by: DavidS | April 23, 2008, 11:55 am 11:55 am
Can we trust anyone to lead and change America if he can’t change himself or his closed relation people to love America and proud to be an American.
Posted by: stock_craft | April 23, 2008, 11:59 am 11:59 am
The fact remains he can’t seem to knock her out of the race…and that says more than any numbers, spin, pundit, money etc.
Posted by: mona | April 23, 2008, 12:00 pm 12:00 pm
Is Obama in fact “unelectable” as LOM insists? I really don’t know. YOU seem to be sure that you know, but I have a bit more humility. I cannot see the future, being (unfortunately) a mere mortal.
There is one thing that I do know: Obama is in the lead in the Democratic primary. That should mean something. Unfortunately, for Clinton supporters such as you, it appears that you cannot accept the fact that your candidate is losing. So you are flinging your hate and vitriol against the man who is beating her. It’s sad, really.
The bottom line is that Mrs. Clinton will have to earn aprox two thirds of the remaining superdelegates in order to catch up to Mr. Obama and take the nomination. This seems unlikely to me, and so I conclude that Obama will be the nominee. AND THAT IS THAT.
I, you see, am a Democrat. Which means that I support with my whole heart the person who is the Democratic nominee. Mrs. Clinton is losing and likely will not get the nomination. But your loyalty (normally a good thing) to her is causing you all to cast aspersions on Mr. Obama and hurt his chances in November.
As I said, the Democratic party doesn’t need a bunch of sore-loser crybabies. We need to come together to win in November, but if all you Clinton supporters insist that it’s YOUR CANDIDATE or you’re leaving the party, then you are NO DEMOCRAT.
Posted by: DavidS | April 23, 2008, 12:01 pm 12:01 pm
That boy can’t stand the heat!
Posted by: Taylor Marsh | April 23, 2008, 12:02 pm 12:02 pm
“boy”?? Haven’t black men been called “boy” by white people for long enough? Does that really have to continue?
CAN YOU IMAGINE what your emotions would be if somebody called Mrs. Clinton “a girl”? I suspect you would be ranting and raving about misogyny. And you would be right.
As I pointed out, for some strange reason, the Clinton campaign has been bringing out an uncomfortable amount of hidden racism from “democrats” who support her.
Posted by: DavidS | April 23, 2008, 12:07 pm 12:07 pm
DavidS, DEMOCRAT or NO DEMOCRAT, we don’t care. I just care who has the experience and patriotism to lead and rescues the America.
Posted by: stock_craft | April 23, 2008, 12:08 pm 12:08 pm
Statecraft says: “I just care who has the experience and patriotism to lead and rescues the America”
Well, I hope you mean that. The fact is that Hillary and Barack would both do a fine job as President. Either one of them would be many orders of magnitude better than the current disaster-in-chief occupying the White House.
And either one of them would be many times better than Grandpa Munster would.
The problem, as I see it, is that Mrs. Clinton’s supporters (well, many of them anyway) are so eager to see her win in spite of the fact that she is behind right now in the bottom of the ninth inning, that they are convincing themselves that Mr. Obama is some kind of anti-Christ. You are blinding yourself. He will make a fine president. As would Hillary.
But only one of them can win, and he is winning, and the game is almost over. Will you ruin the chance for the winner just because that winner is not your first choice? Would you damn our country with another 4 years of republican misrule simply out of pique?
Posted by: DavidS | April 23, 2008, 12:16 pm 12:16 pm
DavidS — You don’t care what anybody posts. You are here to play the race card which you have done. No one cares what you think anymore.
Posted by: LOM | April 23, 2008, 12:19 pm 12:19 pm
I am no democrat and will now whole-heartedly cast my vote for McCain should Obama win the nomination.
Obama, the uniter, has left a lot of people feeling this way.
Barack Obama is simply unelectable!
Posted by: LOM | April 23, 2008, 12:22 pm 12:22 pm
LOM: Yes, we can all see that you are no Democrat. Your posts on this list prove that fact.
Rush Limbaugh has been advocating for Republicans to switch to the Democratic side and vote for Hillary in the primaries because he believes that she would be easier to beat that Barack would be. I suspect you are one of those. If I am wrong, I apologize . . . but that’s the way it seems.
If you truly support Mrs. Clinton’s policies, then your insistance that it’s her or McCain for you simply doesn’t make sense. Learn about the issues. Clinton and Obama have very similar positions on all the major issues. McCain is nothing but Bush-Light. HOW COULD THAT BE BETTER FOR THE NATION THAN OBAMA?
Posted by: DavidS | April 23, 2008, 12:28 pm 12:28 pm
Before Wright story, I think I can have Clinton/Obama ticket. Now, my vote is for John McCain if Obama name is on the ballot either way.
Posted by: stock_craft | April 23, 2008, 12:28 pm 12:28 pm
If you play, by counting the states delegates as winner takes all, as in the general election,clinton is 1800+ and bho 1100+.
ugh, oh…
Posted by: pp | April 23, 2008, 12:30 pm 12:30 pm
I’m not republican either. I just don’t support Obama.
Posted by: LOM | April 23, 2008, 12:31 pm 12:31 pm
Total popular votes per ABC:
Hillary- 15,013,846
bho- 14,900,819
whoa………..
Posted by: pp | April 23, 2008, 12:34 pm 12:34 pm
LOM: So you’re neither a Democrat nor a Republican, but you support Mrs. Clinton? GREAT! I suppose that means you support her policies.
But HOW CAN THAT BE if you reject Mr. Obama? They have the same policy priorities. And they are both better than John McCain.
So what’s up? or are you nothing more than one of Rush Limbaugh’s false Democrats voting for the person who you (he) thinks would be easier to beat in November?
Posted by: DavidS | April 23, 2008, 12:41 pm 12:41 pm
Kevin, I’m betting you don’t have a problem with Superdelegates going against the votes of their constituents ala Kennedy and Kerry.
Since I’m hearing no outcry from Obama supporters over those and similar instances, then I say no SuperD has to look at the vote counts when making their decision as to which candidate to support.
A bit of history: SuperDs were created in order to select the strongest candidate for the general election, regardless of what the voters themselves had to say. Read it and weep.
Clinton is the strongest candidate. The Dems nominate Obama at their peril.
Posted by: HoosierSue | April 23, 2008, 12:47 pm 12:47 pm
I told you so,
Every time he lose he will beg a superdelegate to endorse him.
Posted by: crisis08 | April 23, 2008, 12:51 pm 12:51 pm
HoosierSue: You might be right. It’s hard to say who will be the stronger candidate against Mr. McCain. Some people (like Rush Limbaugh) are certain that Mrs. Clinton will be easier to beat in November, which is why he has been campaigning hard to convince Republicans to switch party affiliation for the primaries to vote for Clinton over Obama. But he could be wrong.
My concern is that the GOP has been preparing to run against Hillary for the past 4 years. They have loads of opposition research ready to go, and the sad fact is that Mrs. Clinton has huge negatives (mostly undeserved, but there you have it).
Posted by: DavidS | April 23, 2008, 12:54 pm 12:54 pm
Davids, they, Clinton and Obama are both better than John McCain but McCain and Hillary both have patriot while Obama doesn’t. Otherwise, He will distinct himself from Wright before the story leaked out. In real world, people often make mistake and the mistake could be changed or it could correct by itself in time but some never will and can.
Posted by: stock_craft | April 23, 2008, 12:55 pm 12:55 pm
Crisis08: As opposed to Mrs. Clinton, who every time SHE loses she insists that the state that voted against her really doesn’t matter anyway.
Posted by: DavidS | April 23, 2008, 12:56 pm 12:56 pm
IT’S TIME AMERICA:
It’s time for everyone to face the truth. Barack Obama has no real chance of winning the national election in November at this time. His crushing defeat in Pennsylvania makes that fact crystal clear. His best, and only real chance of winning in November is on a ticket with Hillary Clinton as her VP.
Hillary Clinton seemed almost somber at her victory speech. As if part of her was hoping Obama could have defeated her. And proved he had some chance of winning against the republican attack machine, and their unlimited money, and resources. In all honesty. I felt some of that too.
But it is absolutely essential that the democrats take back the Whitehouse in November. America, and the American people are in a very desperate condition now. And the whole World has been doing all that they can to help keep us propped up.
Hillary Clinton say’s that the heat, and decisions in the Whitehouse are much tougher than the ones on the campaign trail. But I think Mr. Obama faces a test of whether he has what it takes to be a commander and chief by facing the difficult facts, and the truth before him. And by doing what is best for the American people by dropping out of the race, and offering his whole hearted assistance to Hillary Clinton to help her take back the Whitehouse for the American people, and the World.
Mr. Obama is a great speaker. And I am confident he can explain to the American people the need, and wisdom of such a personal sacrifice for them. It should be clear to everyone by now that Hillary Clinton is fighting her heart out for the American people. She has known for a long time that Mr. Obama can not win this November. You have to remember that the Clinton’s have won the Whitehouse twice before. They know what it takes.
If Mr. Obama fails his test of commander and chief we can only hope that Hillary Clinton can continue her heroic fight for the American people. And that she prevails. She will need all the continual support and help we can give her. She may fight like a superhuman. But she is only human.
Sincerely
Jacksmith… Working Class :-)
Posted by: jacksmith | April 23, 2008, 12:56 pm 12:56 pm
Stockcraft: So you are saying that Obama is not a patriot? Because the former pastor of his church said mean things about America?
What about the fact that Obama DID distance himself from those comments? Obama has said, many times, that he categorically rejects the words of Rev. Wright. Why isn’t that enough for you? What more do you want?
Also, isn’t it curious that all the right wingers who are so angry about Rev. Wright’s America-bashing had nothing but EXCUSES for Revs. Robertson and Falwell when THEY (like Wright) blamed America for 9/11? it’s all politics. How sad that you are fallin into their trap.
Posted by: DavidS | April 23, 2008, 12:59 pm 12:59 pm
DavidS, Obama’s campaign manager David Axelrod got an inexperienced, unknown, attractive, charismatic candidate elected Governor of Massachusetts by running on a platform of “Hope and Change”. He has been a miserable failure as he wasn’t prepared for the job. The voters rejected this recycling of that platform by voting against Obama. While it’s true that Deval Patrick is also an African American, I really don’t think color is why the MA voters rejected Obama.
Posted by: HoosierSue | April 23, 2008, 1:03 pm 1:03 pm
jacksmith: “Crushing defeat in Pennsylvania”??
Five weeks ago, Mrs. Clinton was ahead by 22%. Since then, we’ve learned about Rev. Wright and gone through the non-issue of “bitter-gate”. And what was the result? Obama lost by 9.5%.
It’s still a loss . . . but cutting his deficit by over half over five weeks despite the “scandals” (mostly invented by the right-wing media) shows strength not weakness.
It’s all a guessing game, but I suspect that Obama would in fact be the stronger candidate in the fall. that’s the one and only reason I have been supporting him.
Posted by: DavidS | April 23, 2008, 1:03 pm 1:03 pm
His big problem is he can’t win the Catholic vote. Even with Casey at his side, he just can’t win the Catholic vote.
Posted by: Tina D | April 23, 2008, 1:05 pm 1:05 pm
DavidS, I’ve actually been listening to Rush Limbaugh (didn’t think I’d ever say that!) and I think his point to Operation Chaos is to try to get the Democratic party to “crack up” as he puts it. Of course, he doesn’t like either Clinton or Obama and has told his “operatives” to hold off early voting awaiting last minute instructions from him. He says this whole thing is too volatile to determine today how a vote could best be used on the actual day of the primary. He just wants to keep this thing going until disharmony is so high among the Dems that neither candidate can win no matter what. The Old Windbag is absolutely full of himself… and kind of entertaining… and kind of sad because his tactics just might work.
Posted by: HoosierSue | April 23, 2008, 1:08 pm 1:08 pm
Tina D: I wouldn’t be too sure of what you call “the catholic vote”.
After all, Rev. Hagee (a vocal McCain supporter, somebody who McCain has said he is “proud” to have endorsing him) has called the Catholic Church “a non-christian cult”. Do you suppose Catholics would vote for McCain over Obama?
What we learned in Penn is that Catholic voters prefer Mrs. Clinton to Mr. Obama. But this does not necessarily mean that they will jump to McCain if Clinton isn’t the nominee.
Most “social justice” catholics (by which I mean Democratic Catholics) will vote for Mr. Obama in November, in my opinion.
Posted by: DavidS | April 23, 2008, 1:10 pm 1:10 pm
I think the wild card in Pennsylvania is that Obama outspent Clinton 2 and 3 and 4 to one in different media markets and still couldn’t win. In a general election, that’s a problem anyway you look at it.
Posted by: HoosierSue | April 23, 2008, 1:11 pm 1:11 pm
I just watched an interesting interview of Claire “my daughter called me a slug” McCaskill. Chris Matthews asked why Obama isn’t really driving home the bread and butter issues, etc. Just moments after doing the “Obama is authentic.. doesn’t just say things to win” routine, she said that right now he’s got to be careful what he says so he’ll be able to bring the Clinton supporters into his fold. Then, she said, we’ll see a sharp pivot as he runs against McCain. Right. Mr. Authenticity.
Posted by: cappamore | April 23, 2008, 1:13 pm 1:13 pm
if obama can’t win the catholic vote – hillary has 65% – he CAN’T win the white house…
Current total votes from abcnews.com
Clinton 1585 15,013,846
Obama 1716 14,900,819
PA PUTS CLINTON BACK ON TOP
clinton takes over nationwide popular vote numbers in Pennsylvania and wins nomination.
FLORIDA and PENNSYLVANIA are identical demographically speaking.
Who is more likely to win FL and all the other big states? That should be the dem nom.
Barack will be painted quite easily as less than american – wright, rezco, ayers, dohrn, farrakhan, HAMAS in the church bulletin, and the list goes on…
the draft dodging darth cheney and bush swiftboated a congressional medal of honor winning john kerry,,,
the rovian dirty tricks bag is limitless and they can’t kill hillary — her ideas wont die.
Hillary got tough questions for 16 months as the front runner, now obama cant handle the heat unless its from the end of his pipe or cigarette.
no smoking in the whitehouse
and yes … he admitted smoking CRack in his youth…. if hillary did, she would be gone a long time ago…. Hillary fired her campaign manager in NHampshire for talking about it…. though ..the republicans are going to grind him ito soup meat, if he wins … a vote for barack is a vote for mccain.now u can’t win in November WHEN IT COUNTS THE MOST
with out FLORIDA
and PENNSYLVANIA
Posted by: greg | April 23, 2008, 1:17 pm 1:17 pm
HoosierSue: If we assume that Clinton primary voters will NOT support the Democratic candidate in November if it is not Mrs. Clinton, then you are correct. But I have more faith in my fellow Democrats than that.
Just because one’s first choice doesn’t win the nomination is no reason to jump to the GOP. It is sad that so many Hillary supporters have indicated just that. Hopefully, it is nothing more than sour grapes. But I am still convined that they will return to the fold come November.
take your Massachusets example: Mass is a HUGELY “blue” state. Do you REALLY think that Massachusettes will go GOP in November rather than vote for Obama? I seriously doubt that. But this seems to be the argument we’re hearing from Clinton supporters. I just don’t buy it.
Posted by: DavidS | April 23, 2008, 1:18 pm 1:18 pm
Greg: Obama did NOT admit “smoking crack” – he admitted to using cocaine (a slight difference there).
George W. Bush also used cocaine as a young man. That didn’t seem to stop Republicans from supporting him. But different rules seem to aply to Democrats, huh?
Posted by: DavidS | April 23, 2008, 1:21 pm 1:21 pm
Greg: the “smoking crack” reference is from the Larry Sinclair allegations. By the way, has Obama ever been asked about that? You can be sure the republicans are all set with the Sinclair files — true or false doesn’t matter to them.
Posted by: cappamore | April 23, 2008, 1:27 pm 1:27 pm
davids
are u saying using crack is ok because gwbush did as well???
no crack smoking or cocaine smoking in the white house
Barack will be painted quite easily as less than american – wright, rezco, ayers (terrorists who said they wanted to bomb more), dohrn, farrakhan, HAMAS in the church bulletin, and the list goes on…
That’s why Hillary won’t quit and why the superdelegates haven’t put Barack Over the Top.
A vote for Barack is another vote for four more years of bush.
there are many Americans are voting for hillary out of concern that they don’t know the real barack and there may be something sinister lurking…
and all these present votes don’t help
he’s never gone through a tough election. he only won his senate seat because the republican incumbent scandalously dropped out of the race… and
In a time of war
john maccain’s American credentials blow Barack out of the water when you consider what the republican sleaze machine will do with Obama’s connections to and with:
-James Wright’s “god damn America” sermon,
-Antoine’ Rezco, jailed political fixer
-domestic terrorists Ayers and Dorhn
these guys blew up 25 bombs in the US
-bitter small town Americans
-HAMAS in the church bulletin No more bush, means no more mccain. And Barack just gave the Republicans Swift boat Machine More ammunition.
Barack may be nominated, sadly DOA or on life support ELECTORALLY (McCain Crushes hime in big swing states). especially with the women leaving.
Barack will be painted quite easily as less than american – wright, rezco, ayers, dohrn, farrakhan, HAMAS in the church bulletin, and the list goes on… That’s why Hillary won’t quit and why the superdelegates haven’t put Barack Over the Top.
Posted by: greg | April 23, 2008, 1:27 pm 1:27 pm
Greg: I did not say that it is “ok”. I simply pointed out that your reliance on that fact is disingenuous.
Mr. Obama used illegal drugs when he was young. As did I. As did many people. As did Bill Clinton (and probably Hillary too, although she has never written or spoken about it). It is a non-issue.
And the fact that you keep bringing it up leads me to believe that you are not really a Democrat supporting HIllary but rather are a Republican in diguise, spreading dirt on our primaries.
Posted by: DavidS | April 23, 2008, 1:30 pm 1:30 pm
davids -
mass voted for a GOP Gov. so obama could easily lose a reliably dem state… he’s 15% points behind hill… he can’t win catholics, he can’t win the white house… can a dem win in nov without fl?
no way… what state is most like FL … PA
Posted by: greg | April 23, 2008, 1:33 pm 1:33 pm
Greg: Yes, and Alabama voted for a Democratic governor. But that doesn’t mean they are likely to vote Democrat for PResident, no matter WHO our nominee is.
Face it: Massachusettes (like Alabama) is not in play in November.
Posted by: DavidS | April 23, 2008, 1:36 pm 1:36 pm
davids we’ll end it here ok… sadly, i voted for dukakis, gore and kerry and was a loser… i don’t want to vote for another loser -obama- the rep dirty triks machine will grind him up into soup meat… and they have more than enough ammo… with or without him smoking crak or cocaine…. if hill smoked crak, obamaniacs would be all over the blogs with it….
you can’t win in nov… with PA FL MI OH
Posted by: greg | April 23, 2008, 1:37 pm 1:37 pm
Greg:
As for your statment that “obama cant win catholics” . . . perhaps you could explain Maryland, then? Maryland is even more Catholic than Pennsylvania is, but Obama won there handily.
No, Social Justice Catholics will vote Democrat in November, whether the nominee is HIllary or Barack.
Posted by: DavidS | April 23, 2008, 1:39 pm 1:39 pm
greg — i completely agree. enough said.
Posted by: LOM | April 23, 2008, 1:49 pm 1:49 pm
Another observation, Greg: What has happened since Ohio’s primary? Let’s look at the numbers:
OH PA
60 and older 28 38
White 34 38
White men 39 44
White women 31 34
Less than $50K 42 46
No college 40 38
College 51 49
Catholic 36 31
Protestant 36 53
You seem to argue that because Mrs. Clinton beat Mr. Obama in Ohio, that means Obama would not be able to win Ohio in November against a Republican. But the trends seem to indicate that he is INCREASING his support in the demographics that concern you.
This seems to indicate increasing strength. And if that is happening even while he is locked in a tough battle with a strong opponent, then I see nothing but up-side once he is nominated and is running against the error-prone, highly flawed John McCain.
Posted by: DavidS | April 23, 2008, 1:52 pm 1:52 pm
Cool link…
I suspect it will be pulled soon, but here is a map that goes through the red state vs blue state votes from 1960 to present.
They don’t have the most current primary info on that particular map, however one is animated as it goes through the elections.
Posted by: Cali girl | April 23, 2008, 2:02 pm 2:02 pm
Why do comments keep disappearing from this blog? I’ve seen about a dozen disappear in the past few hours. What are the standards that moderators are using here? It seems quite odd.
Anyway, for those Democrats out there who are (for some reason) still bothered by the whole Rev. Wright business, I highly recommend this article by Marty Peretz, the publisher of The New Republic (and a Clinton supporter)
Posted by: DavidS | April 23, 2008, 2:02 pm 2:02 pm
Cali-girl: Very good link. Thanks for posting it!
I do wonder why the moderator of this blog keeps deleting posts? What are the standards they use?
Posted by: DavidS | April 23, 2008, 2:04 pm 2:04 pm
Greg: If hillary’s supporters REALLY would rather vote for Grandpa Munster than Barack, then they’re not real Democrats.
But I suspect most of that is bluster. Real democrats will vote for the nominee in November. Count on it. Just like Republicans will vote for McCain regardless of what brainless idiots like Ann Coulter say today.
And finally, stop saying “lastly”. You do not have the authority to determine when a conversation ends (with you having the last word, of course).
Posted by: DavidS | April 23, 2008, 2:07 pm 2:07 pm
You’re welcome DavidS.
I was just going to check out yours..lol.
I haven’t a clue about what standards they have. Some of my posts have been pulled and even reappeared. I’ve tried editing others and placing them up again, and rarely they stay.
It seems some are yanked for not staying on topic of the header, others seem to be pulled because they reference or answer another post they yanked, and even that isn’t a guarantee.
I’m just as confused as you on some of them that are yanked, while others are allowed to stay.
Posted by: Cali girl | April 23, 2008, 2:10 pm 2:10 pm
Maybe what we need here is a little investigative reporting. I can’t believe the margins were that great in Bob Casey country.
I’m just saying maybe PA needs to check for some missing ballots or machine malfunctions don’t ya think? Remember the Bronx in New York where there were 80 precincts that didn’t get counted.
Posted by: Just Wondering | April 23, 2008, 2:15 pm 2:15 pm
Your analysis just goes to show how convaluted and just plain wierd is the democratic electoral process. I can now see how George Bush, jr. gets elected twice and no democrat except Bill Clinton gets elected twice since FDR.
Posted by: Hank Chavoya | April 23, 2008, 2:17 pm 2:17 pm
The animated red state vs blue state map can be found if you Google.
Robert Vanderbei at Princeton University’s website.
The link is ‘Purple America’
The 2006 Election maps has the animated map showing the results of elections from 1960 to 2006.
Posted by: Cali girl | April 23, 2008, 2:18 pm 2:18 pm
Excellent question, Hank. I don’t know, but I have a suspicion:
Most of the Democratic nominees for President since 1980 have been chosen based on perceived “electability”. Mondale, Dukakis, Gore, Kerry. Only Bill Clinton broke the mold: He won not because he was considered to be electable (the argument at the time was that he was NOT), but because he inspired people.
That’s what does it for me – Obama is inspiring. He reminds me more of Bill Clinton than any other person who has run for the Presidency since 1980. Thats why I think he will win against McCain in the fall.
Posted by: DavidS | April 23, 2008, 2:22 pm 2:22 pm
DavidS – Can you please describe for me what “Obama is inspiring” means? Seriously.
Posted by: cappamore | April 23, 2008, 2:26 pm 2:26 pm
Cappamore: Sure.
Inspiring means “to fill with an animating, quickening, or exalting influence”
It’s what Bill Clinton had . . . in spades. When Bill Clinton gave a speech, he made one feel that America’s best days were ahead of us, not behind. When Bill Clinton told a story, it resonnated, it caused me to compare it to the world in which I live. He made me proud to be a Democrat. He caused me to imagine the exciting possibilities of what government could do when run by people who cared. He made me believe in the future, and made me eager to see that future arrive!
That’s what I mean when I say that Obama inspires me. He causes those same feelings that I felt when I heard a Bill Cliton speech. Rather than campaigning on fear (“vote for me or you’ll die a horrible death”), like Republicans do, or campaining on past glories like Mrs. Clinton does.
It’s not that complicated. The primary job of a PResident is to inspire the citizenry to greatness. I feel that with Mr. Obama, but not (as much) with Mrs. Clinton.
Thats what I mean. Understand now?
Posted by: DavidS | April 23, 2008, 2:37 pm 2:37 pm
What Obama and his campaign are mortally wounded, (just like in gladiator) , and they don’t know it yet. The Rev. Wright story and Obama’s membership in his racist, anti-semitic, Hamas promoting, hate-mongering church is the end of Obama’s campaign. Obama’s entire campaign is based on the idea of unity and bringing people together, but the reality of Obama’s actions speaks to who Obama the man truly is. Obama’s condescending, arrogant comments that he made in San Francisco only deepen the wound. The Radical Left Wing of this party is so out of touch with regular Americans, that they don’t understand how Obama’s “speech” could somehow make up for Obama’s 20 years of sitting in a cess pool of hatred. The slow drip, drip is the end of Obama’s campaign. If Obama were a true democrat and a true man, he would bow out gracefully now in order for the party to come together before he and Howard Dean and the DNC completely tear the democratic party apart. Hillary supporters WILL NEVER VOTE FOR RADICAL LIBERAL LEFT WING ELITE OBAMA!!!
Posted by: rs | April 23, 2008, 2:38 pm 2:38 pm
DavidS, great post. That’s exactly how I feel too.
Posted by: lisa | April 23, 2008, 2:41 pm 2:41 pm
RS: You might be right about Hillary supporters not voting for, as you say, a “radical left wing” candidate. But as Hillary and Barack HAVE NEARLY IDENTICAL POSITIONS ON THE ISSUES, if you are right, then her supporters are simply cutting off their nose to spite their face!
The Rev. Wright matter is a non-issue. Obama has denounced Wright’s comments, and that’s good enough for me. Frankly, your post sounds like it comes from a Republican, not a Democrat. I suspect thats what you are. Republicans have been pushing HARD for a HIllary Clinton nomination – in my opinion, because they know they have a better chance of beating her.
No true Democrat would vote for John “100 years in Iraq is fine with me” McCain, against somebody like Obama who has virtually the same position on the issues as Hillary does.
Posted by: DavidS | April 23, 2008, 2:48 pm 2:48 pm
Greg observes: “[Obama's] spiritual mentor for 20 years Pastor Wright said America is responsible for 9/11 and “god d@#$ America”, wouldn’t most Americans stand up and walk out….”
And Obama denounced those comments. And said that if he were present when Wright said those things he would have walked out (he was in DC on the day of that speech, as has been documented . . . not that you care about such things).
The curious thing is that Reverends Robertson and Falwell ALSO blamed 9/11 on America! Remember that? But that didnt’ stop the Republicans from continuing to go to their churches and even from inviting them both to the White House on numerous occasions. Funny how those Republicans have double standards. Funny how you seem to be buying into their playbook.
Posted by: DavidS | April 23, 2008, 2:52 pm 2:52 pm
DavidS: sounds exciting. Now how exactly does “inspire the citizenry to greatness” relate to the real world and real challenges we face? Yes, Bill Clinton was also inspiring — but he also had a firm grasp of the issues, realistic plans, experience and more. I don’t see that in Obama.
Posted by: cappamore | April 23, 2008, 2:58 pm 2:58 pm
You don’t see that in Obama . . . but lots of people do. If you go to his website and take a look at his position on the issues, you will see that he has VERY details proposals on the serious matters of today. I suspect you have never bothered to actually examine the issues, you just like putting the man down.
The point I was making is that either Mrs. Clinton or Mr. Obama would be better than John McCain. The reason why I support Obama is because he inspires me. You asked what I meant, and I told you.
On the issues themselves, there is little difference between Barack and Hillary. So how does one choose between the two? For me, it’s Barack’s inspirational character. Why do you mock that? Why do ALL Hillary supporters mock that concept? Don’t they remember what Bill Clinton meant to Democrats back in the early 90s? We haven’t had this much reason to be optimistic about the future of America until now!
Posted by: DavidS | April 23, 2008, 3:27 pm 3:27 pm
DavidS: I actually have read every word on Obama’s website about the issues. Many positions are similar to Clinton’s — some are not. I prefer her health care plan, as an example. The real problem is that I have never seen him discuss his positions with any level of authority. I don’t think he really has the grasp of those issues like Hillary.
I really don’t see how anyone watching debates (and I’ve watched all of them) would see someone ready to be president. And he certainly doesn’t come across as “inspirational” in those forums.
Posted by: cappamore | April 23, 2008, 3:38 pm 3:38 pm
I took a look at ABCNews’s report that Hillary has taken the lead in popular vote.
There is a problem: They only get that result by including Michigan, where Obama wasn’t even on the ballot.
How dishonest! But based on the Obama-bashing debate of last week, that appears to be the tact that ABC/Disney has decided to take.
Posted by: DavidS | April 23, 2008, 3:39 pm 3:39 pm
I think inspiration is great and there is no doubt that Obama has done a fantastic job energizing so many more people in this election cycle. I do not trivialize that in anyway. However, at the end of the day, for me it’s about who can deliver solutions to a wide range of issues. Clinton has time and time again demonstrated a commanding knowledge on a range of issues and when she talk about solutions for these issues, she has a confidence that Obama seems to lack when he is off script.
Confidence is what inspires me to vote for Clinton and in a general election with Obama and McCain, it will be confidence again that will decide my vote and that vote would be for McCain.
Posted by: LOM | April 23, 2008, 3:45 pm 3:45 pm
If you count the states delegates as winner-takes-all, like in the in the general election, clinton is 1800+ and bho 1100+.
ugh, oh…
Posted by: pp | April 23, 2008, 8:47 pm 8:47 pm
When I saw Bob Casey, I thought he was much like Senator Obama—a pretty speech and a big smile. People want substance, not showmanship. Casey probably made a big mistake with his endorsement.
Some voters listened, read and were educated about Senator Obama then voted for Hillary Clinton–simple as that.
Posted by: Mary | April 23, 2008, 9:13 pm 9:13 pm
it clearly indicates the absurdity of the system we dems have for allocating delegates – give delegates to the person who loses not only the state and almost all of the counties in the state, but also the person who lost all the constituencies needed to win a general election.
but evaluation of the results reveals who can and cannot win a general. hillary can. obama cannot. he loses pretty much all groups except african-americans, kids, and latte liberals. and in pennsylvania his proportions of kids and latte liberals went down.
bye bye obama, if not for the nomination, then certainly for the general. go back to the senate, finish your term, lose your bid for reelection, try making a living as a motivational speaker….
Posted by: so saddened | April 24, 2008, 2:34 am 2:34 am
I agree with the posters that the system is ridiculous, in part because the complexity and the huge variety between states makes it difficult for the voters to understand how their vote gets translated into delegates.
However, given the game is what it is, and the goal is to accumulate delegates, the winner will likely be the campaign that has kept its focus on accumulating delegates rather than running up other metrics that are only tangentially related to the outcome.
Example: Turnovers are good and can contribute to a winning game. But games are won on points, not on a tally of turnovers.
If the delegates were awarded based on number of counties won, both campaigns would presumably have used a very different strategy in their campaigning.
Posted by: Trillium | April 24, 2008, 7:37 am 7:37 am
Another example of the paradox you illustrate is the case of Texas. The Clinton campaign got more of the popular vote. The Obama campaign netted more delegates.
Which won the state? Because of the superdelegates, both have a claim, one direct (Obama campaign — clearly got more pledged delegates) and one indirect (Clinton campaign — getting more of the popular vote may have helped to pull some superdelegates over to their side).
Posted by: Trillium | April 24, 2008, 7:40 am 7:40 am
This is what I read from the 24th april Herald Tribune issue : Top hedge fund managers are betting on… Obama. Further the explanation is this one :” So why is Obama such a popular choice among the hedge fund crowd? In a word, access. Unlike Mc Cain and Clinton, Obama is relatively new to national politics and is therefore open to bringing new people-and new money-into the tent. For money types who want a table, or at least to look involved and get an invitation to the right parties,Obama is the candidate.” This probably explains why so much money is poured into Obama campaign and why he struggles hard to have the support of the blue collar voter. It explains why his voters have been reported all along as upper and educated class, elite in a way. The voter has to see for self interest, and if some of the billionnaire see more to get from Obama, the worker and the median class want to see someone who can fight hard for them and Hillary Clinton’s profile looks more like it. But even though she won most of the big states, some would insist that she steps down because they just want to see Obama as the nominee. It’s up to the popular vote to speak up and tell again and again that their real interests are what counts. And never give up just like Hillary. Isn’t everything a fight in this world even more in politics?
Posted by: Jane | April 24, 2008, 11:56 am 11:56 am