A fundraising note from the Clinton campaign today declares her intention to win the "national primary vote." With all the votes in Oregon counted, that's a good enough excuse for us to update our total vote estimate in the Democratic primaries and caucuses. Our methodology for these computations is sketched here and detailed here. We’ll update after the remaining contests in Puerto Rico, South Dakota and Montana.
With Without With FL, MI and FL MI and FL Without MIObama 18,191,417 17,615,203 18,191,417Clinton 18,222,170 17,022,875 17,893,861 Cl +30,753 Ob +592,328 Ob +297,556