Clinton Won South Dakota?
Another reason why her loss may be so difficult for Sen. Hillary Clinton, D-NY, to accept?
She closed strong.
Not only did she stomp on Sen. Barack Obama with more than 30-point victories in West Virginia, Kentuky and Puerto Rico, last night she won a state that Obama was predicted to win by double digits: South Dakota.
There he’d been endorsed by practically every state political icon, minus Mount Rushmore — Daschle, McGovern, Johnson, Herseth-Sandlin.
She lost strong and he got weaker.
Still, he racked up enough points in the first 60% of the contests, it didn’t matter when it came to the final score.
- jpt
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Posted by: Next | June 4, 2008, 7:09 am 7:09 am
Not that it makes any difference at this point, but a little perspective here:
- Clinton did beat Obama 2 to 1 in Puerto Rico, but fewer than 375,000 people voted.
- Look at the actual votes in SD and MT. She won in SD by about 10,500 votes ouf fewer than 100,000 cast. He won in MT by about 25,000 votes out of only 175,000 cast.
Yes, he ran out the clock, and he probably should have tried to keep her margins down in WV and KY. But overall, his campaign stands out as a model of strategy, management and discipline.
Posted by: jac13 | June 4, 2008, 7:12 am 7:12 am
Barack obama 18,067,978
Hillary Clinton 18,013,981
BBC unbiased to any side !
Posted by: Kate | June 4, 2008, 7:30 am 7:30 am
Offical number DNC:
Popular Vote
Obama 17,389,253
Clinton 17,364,667
Thats without caucus states !
with
Obama 17,745,430
Hillary 17,616,750
Offical number DNC:
Popular Vote
Obama 17,389,253
Clinton 17,364,667
Thats without caucus states !
with
Obama 17,745,430
Hillary 17,616,750
Obama won the most states:
Obama won 34-20
He will be the POTUS
He won fair and sqaure !
Barack obama 18,067,978
Hillary Clinton 18,013,981
BBC unbiased to any side !
The only thing that matters:
Barack Obama 2136.5
Hillary Clinton 1915.5
Posted by: Kate | June 4, 2008, 7:36 am 7:36 am
today is very sad. me and 45000 other women have decided to vote for mccain.we love you hillary.we have to go with who will protect us when we need protection.we are very proud of you hillary.dem. going rep. candy
Posted by: candy | June 4, 2008, 7:37 am 7:37 am
The bottom line is she LOST and I could not be happier.As she praised herself aginand again last night she lied she DID NOT win the popular vote someone should have helped her pat her back she almost broke her arm doing it.If she thinks she is getting vee p- think again, give her something in Iran and hope she is attack by sniper fire.Even the speakers lalst night could not believe her speech they were satunned .She has come to a breaking point that her name is mud.
Posted by: me | June 4, 2008, 7:43 am 7:43 am
Bottom line -
I don’t really want her to run has Obama’s VP but if he chooses Clinton as his running mate, he will win the general election. If he does not, he will lose to McCain.
Posted by: mhhunt | June 4, 2008, 7:57 am 7:57 am
vote for mccain lol
just because your person lost
your just as juvenile as she is… what happened last night is that she was left standing there
obama holds all the cards… she can claim she does but this is the thing
if she wants to be VP, not conceding and not being gracious, and not congratulating him on getting the number of delegates was a grave mistake on her part…
one in a long line of mistakes
it doesnt matter waht she does, even if you count michigan and florida in full, he goes over the 2210 number as well
ITS OVER
and what a speech he gave
contrast that with mccains… i wonder how you could even vote for that freak
Posted by: bhrandon | June 4, 2008, 7:59 am 7:59 am
Candy I was at a gathering last night of mostly women who fought for her campaign…
They were not happy with her speech.
But then again these women were educated so maybe you would call them elitist. (seriously i am not sure)
but all of them besides 2 were very bothered by her lack of acknowledging the numbers…and that she (and I said nothing during this whole thing) was doing exactly what all those horrible Obama people (and they pardoned their slight on me) said this campaign was about…
she was proving that it was about her and not the the people who were supporting her or any other American for that matter.
One woman even said “no wonder she has a 30% approval rating”
they were all angry but for the first time I saw they were angry at her.
and I truly said nothing…I wasn’t about to get my head chewed off.
and these women were all prominent supporters from the NH campaign.
Posted by: dl | June 4, 2008, 8:00 am 8:00 am
He racked up delagates in caucuses were his people strong-armed normal people with force.
A lot of his caucus people were bused in from different states with the express purpose of overwhelming the political workers at each caucuses.
So what we have here ladies and gentlemen is a losing combination for democrat president.
Because I dont know of any states in the GE that run caucuses for president.
Posted by: toby | June 4, 2008, 8:15 am 8:15 am
Hillary got screwed. We dont want Obama and we are not going to vote for him. the DNC wanted him -they can have him.
Posted by: jimbo | June 4, 2008, 8:17 am 8:17 am
I will not vote for Sen.Obama without
Sen. Clinton on the ticket. McCain will win the election without Clinton.
Posted by: eric vandervort | June 4, 2008, 8:20 am 8:20 am
Obama’s got a lot of work ahead. If he fails to choose Hillary as his running mate, he will have a LOT of trouble beating McCain. The SD primary shows one thing, even after the media, DNC, and all the others declared Obama the winner, Hillary kept winning primaries to the end and held all her core demographics. If the DNC chooses to ignore this, they deserve to lose.
Posted by: Amazed | June 4, 2008, 8:23 am 8:23 am
Dear fellow democrats who voted for Hillay, stay calm. don’t get intimidated. don’t buy the b.s about “party unity”. What party? what unity?
If Hillary is not the nominee, contribute your time and money and your precious voe to ensure McCain is our next president.
Country is more important than party and it is your patriotic duty to defeat Obama.
Posted by: Ex-democrat | June 4, 2008, 8:24 am 8:24 am
Forget about Hillary taking the VP slot. Obama is unfit to be the US senator let alone be the President. Hillary should stay away from him.
Posted by: Ex-democrat | June 4, 2008, 8:26 am 8:26 am
Let’s not forget that the difference is only 10 thousand votes in South Dakota.
Montana was the bigger win the night.
And the nomination was the major and superior one.
Posted by: hank | June 4, 2008, 8:47 am 8:47 am
Man, you die hard Clinton supporters are idiots. Conspiracies? Thefts? What are you talking about? This was a perfectly normal, if quite long, primary. Clinton made a host of political and strategic gaffs and it cost her. Obama won fair and square. She didn’t win the popular vote and she didn’t win in the delegate count. Get over yourselves. It’s embarrassing. So now you’d vote McCain? You idiots are putting your personal bias before your senses. You sound like whiny children. It’s time to move on folks. Put your energy into getting the whitehouse back from the Republicans. Unless all you really care about is your candidate and not this country. Sadly, it seems to be the case with most of you. It’s sad, your “we’re taking out toys and going home” attitude. Wake up. There’s bigger fish to fry.
Posted by: ian | June 4, 2008, 8:55 am 8:55 am
Newly Independent, I totally agree. I have been a democrat and support democratic issues. I have been horrified how the new democrats are behaving. There is so much treachery and unfairness that it feels better to have 4 more years of GWB to Obama. Not Cheney or Cheney’s relative Obama. Therefore, I sincerely believe that McCain is a much better candidate to support. He is moderate and works hard for what is fair and respects people. I could never support an empty suit like Obama and writing in Hillary means that I am throwing my vote away in support of Obama. Therefore my vote is definately for McCain. I am proud of what Hillary has acheived and will support all her endeavers. This november, my support goes to McCain because the democrats do not deserve it.
Posted by: voter | June 4, 2008, 9:46 am 9:46 am
I think the next few days might be somewhat interesting.
Whatever the Republicans have on this Obama character will probably start rising to the surface very soon.
Hillary is smart, and I think she realizes there must be something in the wind. This is probably why she won’t concede.
I still say this isn’t over. Denver and August are still more than two months away.
Posted by: SandyB | June 4, 2008, 9:47 am 9:47 am
I was so happy that Hillary did not concede and there was so much pressure for her to do so. I admire her strength and fortitude and am hoping that she will stay on through to the convention. Obama does not have the magic number with pledged delegates and therefore he has not won the nomination. The media can repeat this over and over but these are nothin but spins.
Posted by: voter | June 4, 2008, 9:50 am 9:50 am
This race was Hillary’s to lose. She was the inevitable candidate at the end of last year, with double digit leads in most of the major states. She had all the advantages.
If anyone is to blame, it is her campaign staff for a lousy strategy and Bill Clinton for his ill-timed remarks.
Nothing was “stolen” from her. She and Mark Penn ignored the smaller caucus states and it ended up costing her the nomination. Do not punish Obama for this; he ran a very positive campaign. In fact, Hillary attacked him much more often than he attacked her.
If you really believe that the media caused this result because of bias, then boycott a newspaper or cable news channel. Do not punish the country by voting out of spite for McCain. That is petty and childish.
Posted by: GG | June 4, 2008, 10:01 am 10:01 am
Clinton and Obama are not alike in their policies. This is another empty spin to sell Obama. Obama tries to copy Clinton when it suits him. Clinton is actually a lot closer to the way the moderate McCain has voted in the past. Both McCain and Clinton are known to reach across the aisle and make compromises. Obama is the most liberal candidate of all. Please do not sell lies to get votes.
Posted by: voter | June 4, 2008, 10:10 am 10:10 am
Keep convincing yourself James Danley…keep convincing yourself. =)
Good grief.
Posted by: Ellie | June 4, 2008, 10:17 am 10:17 am
Obama was “given” votes. NOBODY in Michigan voted for him.
Posted by: livegap | June 4, 2008, 10:19 am 10:19 am
Barack was “given” more votes than any candidate in history. Shameful to think we have an affirmative action nominee.
Posted by: livegap | June 4, 2008, 10:22 am 10:22 am
Ellie, you obviously are not a regular reader of this blog. I am a staunch conservative Republican who is supporting Sen. McCain (although he wasn’t my first choice — that was Dr. Condoleezza Rice). My point was that with everything that Sen. Obama has going for him, this is going to be a really challenging, but interesting, general election.
Posted by: James Danley | June 4, 2008, 10:23 am 10:23 am
Livegap, you wrote: “NOBODY in Michigan voted for him (Sen. Obama).”
Technically that is true, because his name was not on the ballot. However, EVERYONE in Michigan knew that if they supported someone not on the ballot that they could vote “Uncommitted.” The “Uncommitted” vote received 238,168 votes, just 90,141 less than Sen. Clinton. The overwhelming majority of those votes were Obama and Edwards supporters. And since John Edwards has since endorsed Sen. Obama…
Posted by: James Danley | June 4, 2008, 10:32 am 10:32 am
Yes, she did. What happened to the VASTLY SUPERIOR, STRONGER candidate? Between the two states, he made a net gain of ONE PLEDGED DELEGATE. Please note that there are now 825 SUPERDELEGATES to vote in Denver, up from 795, thanks to the Florida Michigan debacle, and rest assured that that issue will be revisited in Denver.
Posted by: Yavo Lem | June 4, 2008, 10:50 am 10:50 am
I do not believe any candidate has the right to handover votes to another candidate after they have decided not to run. These voters have a mind and preferences and therefore they should be allowed to make a choice for themselves. If Hillary decides to concede, she cannot say that I should support a person she wants. I have the right to make my own choice. So, just because Edwards conceded and now supports Obama, his supporters have the freedom to support who they want.
Posted by: voter | June 4, 2008, 10:57 am 10:57 am
jmc663:
Bask all you want. BO isn’t the nominee. Facts are funny things, aren’t they?
Posted by: Vickie | June 4, 2008, 11:00 am 11:00 am
Vickie,
If you say that 2118 is the number required and say that BO got 2156, he has more than required.
Anyway, the way the whole thing has been going, it didn’t matter anymore since some time, from the time when the DNC had rallied enough support towards BO. They then knew that the popular votes didn’t matter anymore, except for the ordinary voters who saw the campaign going on as a hope for Hillary to overturn the situation.
But it also matters to the analysts who will be able, later to analyse and draw conclusions.
What Hillary has gained is that she was able to show she could fight even against the mainstream current. And for that she could rally voters to support her.
I think the negatives are always heading towards something or someone and this time it’s towards her . But wait and time will speak. Things can never be the same. Look at Bush, how much he was praised and now he is below zero.
I think she has the support of people who really trust her and that will not go away easily.
I think that if she can run independent, she can have a lot of chance.
Posted by: jane | June 4, 2008, 11:03 am 11:03 am
Clinton’s win in South Dakota just shows how much campaigning matters. Obama did the what he needed to and spent the last several weeks focused on the general election. Meanwhile, Clinton campaigned vigorously, and mostly uncontested, in states like South Dakota and Puerto Rico. She earned her wins and the respect for them, but it doesn’t speak to anything other then her ability to campaign. Had she shown that kind of ability at the beginning of the race, instead of the last third of it, she likely would have been the nominee. However, Obama ran a much better campaign over the long haul. That’s why Obama is the nominee, and why he’s the stronger candidate against John McCain.
Posted by: Justin | June 4, 2008, 11:11 am 11:11 am
Laura, I was at a gathering last night of mostly women who fought for Senator Clinton’s campaign…
They were very happy with her speech.
The women were educated so maybe you would call them informed and knowledge, never can say they were hoodwinked!
all but 2 were very astounded by her knowledge. …
she was proving that people who were supporting her, all Americans were thrilled she was the strong leader America needs. One woman even said “no wonder she has a 130% approval rating”
they were all angry at the DNC for shoving BO down their throats.
and I truly said nothing…I wasn’t about to open my mouth and show them how in awe I am of this great lady! these women were all prominent supporters from the NH campaign.
Posted by: HP Boston | June 4, 2008, 11:39 am 11:39 am
Hillary would never win in the GE. Her negatives are way to high.
Posted by: d | June 4, 2008, 11:58 am 11:58 am
“Still, he racked up enough points in the first 60% of the contests, it didn’t matter when it came to the final score.” This was a tied race – no candidate had the requisite number of pledged delegates to get the nomination. The DNC and the superdelegates made up the difference -the “first 60% of the contests” not relevant.
Obama claimed a stolen nomination with the MI delegates he hijacked. His endorsements from superdelegates have no integrity and are irresponsible.
No doubt Obama will be defeated in November when he will crash and burn and the Democratic Party will be a train wreck.
Hillary Clinton supporters should work for Obama’s resounding defeat and vote for McCain. I will vote for McCain in a swing state. Obama, his supporters, and the DNC must be “punished” for not playing fair and square.
Superdelegates have failed in their responsibility to endorse Sen. Clinton as the best qualified and the strongest presidential candidate to win the general election in a landslide victory hands down.
Posted by: crat3 | June 4, 2008, 12:03 pm 12:03 pm
“If you say that 2118 is the number required and say that BO got 2156, he has more than required.” He has reached this number but counting the SD’s and not just pledged delegates. That is why this idea that he is the nominee is so laughable. Counting the votes of people who have a reputation of switching sides. The SD votes do not count until the nomination.
Posted by: voter | June 4, 2008, 12:04 pm 12:04 pm
crat says: Obama claimed a stolen nomination with the MI delegates he hijacked. His endorsements from superdelegates have no integrity and are irresponsible.
================
First of all Mi should have never been counted in keeping with the rules. And would you say the same thing about the endorsements if they were for Hillary.
Posted by: d | June 4, 2008, 12:12 pm 12:12 pm
I have to go out for a while, but in the mean time, perhaps the more intelligent people here would like to peruse the following analysis, for which I alone am responsible:
Total vote = 33,808,579 (without Mich. “UNCOMMITTED”)
Total vote = 34,046,747 (with Mich. “UNCOMMITTED”)
Total Clinton = 17,090,391 (with Mich. “UNCOMMITTED”)
Total Obama = 16,956,356 (with Mich. “UNCOMMITTED”)
Total Diff. = +134,035 (Clinton) (with Mich. “UNCOMMITTED”)
Total Pct. = +0.4 (Clinton) (with Mich. “UNCOMMITTED”)
Total Clinton = 17,090,391 (without Mich. “UNCOMMITTED”)
Total Obama = 16,718,188 (without Mich. “UNCOMMITTED”)
Total Diff. = +372,203 (Clinton)
Total Pct. = +1.1009% (Clinton)
The above number are the actual vote totals from the NY Times web site, and compiled on my spreadsheet. The are up-to-date through 12:00 PM, June 4, 2008. Any errors are my own, and it would be appreciated if they would be pointed out, with support.
Further:
Total Clinton Electoral Votes = 311
Total Obama Electoral Votes = 227
Total Electoral Votes needed to win the General Election = 270
Total Obama PLEDGED DELEGATES = 1764 (includes Projected)
Total Clinton PLEDGED DELEGATES = 1640 (includes Projected)
Diff. Between candidates = 124
“Magic Number” for Nomination = 2118
Obama needs for Nomination = 354
Clinton needs for Nomination = 478
Total number of SUPERDELEGATES = 825 {vote at Convention ONLY)
Senator Obama, contrary to popular opinion has not won anything at this point, other than 1,764 PLEDGED DELEGATES, and since 2,118 are now needed for the Nomination, he is NOT the nominee in any shape or form. SUPERDELEGATES, and even PLEDGED DELEGATES, can change their minds at any time, and even the PLEDGED DELEGATES are not REQUIRED to vote for the specific candidate to whom they are pledged.
P.S.- I apologize in advance if the formatting doesn’t hold.
Posted by: Yavo Lem | June 4, 2008, 12:12 pm 12:12 pm
Yavo Lem, interesting stats. However, you really can’t compare the Electoral Votes. That’s because some of the states that Sen. Clinton won will vote for any candidate who has a “D” next to their name. So Sen. Obama would win those anyways. And some of the states that Sen. Obama won will vote for any candidate who has an “R” next to their name. So Sen. Obama (and even Sen. Clinton) would lose those anyway.
Posted by: James Danley | June 4, 2008, 12:38 pm 12:38 pm
Interesting that HRC supporter Yavo is uncapable of comprehending the rules that are in place that determines the Democratic nominee. Obviously, the Clinton campaign did not understand the simplistic formula of acquiring more delegates than their opponent. Unfortunately, Al Gore learned this lesson in the General Election in 2004.
Posted by: UN YAVO | June 4, 2008, 1:10 pm 1:10 pm
Ok Hillary supporters talk is cheap.
Time for all of us that said we would absolutely NOT vote for Obama, to start supporting McCain. He needs our contributions.
The Obama supporters do not believe we are serious–but our voices can be heard.
McCain does not have the charm or speaking skills of Obama–but he has something far more vital to America:
strength, humility, experience, patriotism, and a history we can depend on.
If you trust McCain then he needs our support. Doesn’t mean we are giving up on Hillary. She will have another chance.
Hillary 2012 McCain08
Posted by: cindy in nc | June 4, 2008, 2:14 pm 2:14 pm
Cindy…I contributed to McCain yesterday and will be working for him 5 days a week come September. IF NOT HILLARY WORK YOUR A– OFF TO ELECT SEN. McCAIN INTO THE HIGHEST OFFICE IN OUR COUNTRY!!! HILLARY 2012, McCAIN 2008
Posted by: Debra | June 4, 2008, 2:40 pm 2:40 pm
Hillary will rise up and save America when the GOP drops the ticking “Michelle/Rev Wright tape” bomb! Hillary supporters, she WILL be our president!
Posted by: jeep395 | June 4, 2008, 2:54 pm 2:54 pm
Over 17 million votes – so no matter if you include/exclude FL or MI, she ends either slightly ahead or slightly behind Obama. And she outlasted every one of her critics.
She has EARNED the VP slot – Obama limped and barely made it across the finish line. He cannot win without her supporters. And we will abandon him in droves if she is not on the ticket in November.
Not a threat – a promise!
Posted by: ch | June 4, 2008, 5:12 pm 5:12 pm
BO did not win the nomination. The party was set to give it to BO at the very beginning when Pelosi speaks up for Obama.
I want to publicly acknowledge the double standards and corruption of the party.
Those party pundits sent out attacks dogs in Indiana, and Kentucky primary and yet BO limped across finish line. His counts of pledged delegates was far short of the required amount to win. The party pundits want to give the nomination to the black to secure their support at the cost of country.
BO is not qualified and would fail in all CEO interview. This BO is a scratch ball.
The caucus showed nothing but distortions of the will of people. The party is going to suffer for a long time of screwing the voters.
Michigan, Florida, West Virginia, Kentucky, South Dakota, Arizona, are lining up behind McCain to blow out this empty suit in general election.
McCain 08; Hillary 2012
Posted by: John_Lai | June 4, 2008, 8:38 pm 8:38 pm
Repost:
When you consider many of the factors, on the surface this would appear to be a cakewalk to the White House for Sen. Obama. First consider where the country is right now. We are in the middle of a very unpopular war in Iraq. The War on Terror is not taken seriously by the average American. Most Americans perceive our economy is in the dumpster (although it really is just a bump in the road — the unemployment rate is still at 5.0%, a good number historically). The housing market crisis! The sub-prime mortgage fiasco! Etc.
And then we have the candidates! On the one hand we have Sen. Obama who is extremely charismatic. Just an incredible speaker! Young! Attractive! Full of energy! Rock-star quality! His message is Hope and Change; bring the troops home within six months from this “unneccessary” war in Iraq; and let’s talk with the enemy; tax the wealthy and implement universal health care for everyone; and the federal government is the answer to everyone’s problems.
And on the other hand we have Sen. McCain who is a very boring speaker (he had a difficult time reading last night’s speech off the tele-prompter). He is NOT young! He may have some pep, but he is not “full of energy.” His message is staying in Iraq until we defeat the enemy; letting the free market settle the housing market crisis; leaving our health care system in the hands of the people and their private health care insurers; a smaller federal government; and having the people take more responsibility for their own lives.
Yet, according to Real Clear Politics Sen. Obama is currently leading Sen. McCain by 2.2%
It is going to be an interesting general election!
Posted by: James Danley | June 5, 2008, 8:52 am 8:52 am