Quinnipiac: Obama Ahead in Four Key Battlegrounds

Mr. Tapper. I just want to ask if beyond the bonehead seal move, the Obama campaign has in your opinion acted in a way that other campaigns have not? Because he doesn’t strike me as especially proud, nor overconfident.
If anything, the campaign seems to have recognized the key flaws they have and the weaknesses and are moving to shore up these issues heading into the fall.
This meme seems to me designed by the McCain camp and being fed into the media.

We need to stick together now Republicans also those who want Hillary elected next time around so we can beat Obama.

Good for Obama!!!

geevill
What poll showed Obama in trouble? And please don’t point to the Gallup daily tracking poll. Anybody with even a week of education knows daily tracking polls are notoriously unreliable. Looking at the Real Clear Politics poll of polls, McCain, at this point, needs a miracle to even have a respectable showing on November 4th. Of course, anything can still happen.

Senator Obama’s campaign has never struck me as overconfident. They feel the need to respond quickly even to absurd tin-foil attacks (he’s not a citizen! The birth certificate is fake! He’s really a POD PERSON!!!), they don’t let fringe charges go unanswered (he’s a Muslim who is a rabid racist just like his Christian ex-pastor!), and they feel the need to take some heat to build a big enough warchest to fight the inevitable 527 Swiftboating. These are all not the moves of an arrogant campaign or one that is assuming they’ve won the race.
I think accusations of arrogance come from blindly partisan noisemakers, the same folks who think President Bush is a down to earth guy devoid of arrogance. Or from people who mistake competence for arrogance.

By the way, Jake
That’s why Obama opt out for public funding system…. he doesn’t want to follow Kerry’s case…
When Gop makes any attempt to pull Obama down, he has enough momey to deal with… To be a politician, you should be very smart… rather than a nice fool.

you’re correct Rhoda. this is something Jake does on a daily basis. Just look at the history of his blogs. He gives the Mccain camp a free pass on everything

Dan,
Good posting. It all comes down to whether or not you think we should be spending $10,000,000,000 a month in Iraq indefinetly or you feel we should be getting our troops putting that money to better use. mc-more-war would certainly be a bush third term no matter how many ads he runs saying he’s concerned about the environment and how much he tries to distance himself from the bush-league. Obama 2008!!!

Barack Obama percentages among independent voters in CO, MI, MN and WI as per Quinnipiac polls are similar to John Kerry % in election day as per the 2004 EXIT POLLS.
COLORADO: 51 – 39 percent among independent voters;
(Kerry received 52% among indep. losing CO 52%-47% ),
MICHIGAN: 46 – 38 percent among independents;
(Kerry received 49% among indep. and won MI 51%-48% )
MINNESOTA: 54 – 33 percent with independents;
(Kerry received 55% among indep. and won MN 51%-48% )
WISCONSIN: 50 – 37 percent with independents.
(Kerry received 53% among indep. and won WI by 10k votes)
Quinnipiac polls also show that Barack Obama and John McCain are getting very strong support among Dems and Republicans, respectively, 84 to 93%. This is important because the 2004 exit polls showed MN and MI having more Democrats, while WI and CO having more Republican voters.

Kevin:
You might want to re-check your poll #s for Missouri; Nevada; and North Carolina.
Last polls I could find for each of these states shows the following:
Missouri – SURVEY USA – McCain +7
Nevada – RASMUSSEN – McCain +3
North Carolina – RASMUSSEN – McCain +2

Then, Obama pulled the race card. At a fundraiser – where else? – Obama told supporters that he had to turn down public financing so that he can raise enough money to fight GOP 527s. As the New York Times reported, he said, “They’re going to try to make you afraid of me. ‘He’s young and inexperienced and he’s got a funny name. And did I mention he’s black?’ “

like mccain said if the election were today he would lose i live in pa a battleground state and i can tell you obama is gonna win by a lanslide and i couldnt be more happier!!!!!!!!!! go obama yes we can john mccain no we cant

If they are internet polls they do not count.
Obama has insite a list of daily polls which is clickable for his followers to vote in.
One of his followers said emptying cookies he can vote more than once.
Another said if he uses proxies he can vote as many times as he wants.
So Obama Numbers are and most likly by fraud voting. Padding the results.
If it is a national phone poll it would be more credible.

how can we trust the judgment of a candidate for the most powerful political office if he is ignorant enough to take his own name off of a ballot in a state that could reasonably be potentially important in both the primary and general elections?

2005 Meet the Press Interview:
TIM RUSSERT: The fact is you are different than George Bush.
SEN. McCAIN: No. No. The fact is that I have agreed with President Bush far more than I have disagreed. And on the transcendent issues, the most important issues of our day, I’ve been totally in agreement and support of President Bush.
“STRAIGHT TALK EXPRESS” EXPLIANS WHY PEOPLE WON’T VOTE FOR HIM. MR MAVERICK HAS BECOME MR BUSH.

I SAY AGAIN.
Three things will happen to McCain during his “experience” in the GE.
Exposed
Embarrassed
Eradicated
Man, this is going to be an utter crushing of McCan’t and all cynics who incessantly whine about what Obama can’t and won’t do.
YOU KEEP WHINING. WE’LL KEEP WINNING.
See you at the inaguration SWEETIES!
OBAMA 08 FOR 8

So this isn’t new ethier. Old geezer or a young smart man. Looks like it isn’t a compition. Once we get Hillary squared away and they start bringing us together its just going to get worse for Mccain.

LMAO, the daily kos kiddies, are out in force today, left wing Blame everything on America, ABC, will publish anything to make obamie look good. The latest Gallup poll which is more accurate than any, Has It TIED. now go sit in the corner and eat your buggers and let grownups handle the voting

Aww, Hew Hew Doo Doo is starting the realize the ned game of having your worst nightmare come into manifestation.
All the titles you claim, please add more because all of that and a bag of chips will be in the White House come January.
Repeat after me: OOOOOO BAAAAAA MAAAAAAA.
That’s going to be your NEXT POTUS.
I would suggest you show a little respect grasshoppa, because like it or not, YOU’RE GOING TO HAVE TO LIVE WITH IT.
More crow?
OBAMA 08

All Obama supporters are blind to what Obama really wants. Right now he is just telling the foolish Liberals what the like to here. Obama is flattering them

Consider this as a reason for becoming an American Hero.
What military service does McCain TRULY have other than being a POW for 7 years?
You place 894th in your military graduation class out of 899 after coming out of a military family? DUMB OR DUMBER?
You have to do remedial flight training even though your Dad is a 30 year Admiral with wings. NOT ACTUALLY A CHIP OFF THE OLE BLOCK IS HE???
You leave your first wife who stood by you while you were a POW and when she becomes disabled, you leave her for a rich meth and coke addict. He’d better hope that Obama doesn’t embarrass him and his meth addicted CINDY. LESS THAN HONORABLE, I WOULD SAY
Doesn’t know the diff between Sunnis and Shiites after visiting Iraq 7 times? SENIOR MOMENT or just PLAIN STUPID?
Doesn’t know the diff between pre surge and current numbers of troops in Iraq after visiting Iraq 7 times? ANOTHER SENIOR MOMENT or is STUPIDITY A GOOD CALL?
Doesn’t know where his buttermilk is? TIME FOR A DEPENDS CHANGE
THIS IS YOUR JOHN WAYNE?
BLOWOUT MY FRIENDS

inmo…There are a lot of white people that care about this country that are also saying no to Obama. Not because he is not white. Because he is a radical. He is a politician that is capable of dangerous decisions for this country.
There are a lot of people in this country that want a free ride from welfare. They are drug addicts that don’t want to work for a living. They are jealous of what the working people have accomplished. They want an Obama for President. I am not a wealthy person, but what I do have I worked for. Welfare and giveaway programs are what Obama will be about. He will give away the money of the U.S. to welfare to reparations and to AFRICA. This will be on the backs of the middle class. America has to get a grip on what this guy is really about. I have done a lot of research on Obama. His wife and all of his associations hate America. That alone says volumes. God bless America. The best country in all the world. Where is America’s pride? Sometimes I think there are a smaller number of people that are not on drugs than those who are. Sober up America. John McCain is not George Bush. He was not my first choice. Hillary was. Now he is my ONLY choice.

Obama has flip-flopped so many times and his Hope and Change gimic is losing its punch–he’s even getting the far left angry.
So he has to play the race card to get sympathy votes–that’s getting old too.

Buttermilk McCain would be best served to be shooing teenagers off of his grass.
He’s completely outmatched in this one and doesn’t have a ice cream cone’s chance in a sauna of winning this election.
EMBARRASSING. VERY EMBARRASSING
OBAMA 08 FOR 8

jmc663,
I agree. They’re no fun anymore. Remember when they were I AM HILLARY SUPPORTER, HEAR ME ROAR!?
Now, they’re insignificant little KITTY CATS that have chosen to place themselves in the same cage with an old rabies invested mutt with well known anger tendencies.
They must be masochists.
OBAMA 08 FOR 08

jmc663,
And it will only get worse……..For them that is.
Nervous breakdowns have been pre-ordered.
HAPPY DAYS ARE HERE AGAIN!
OBAMA 08 FOR 8

bill w,
The President of Gallup yestarday that their daily polls should not be looked at from day to day, but averaged for an entire week.
He said Dems are harding to get ahold of Mon and Tues, so Wed polls are lower for Dems. Repubs are harder to get ahold of Fri and Sat, so Sun polls are lower for Repubs.
You can look up this information and fidn out how to further read the Gallup Polls by using “The Googgle” on the “internets” and going to the Gallup Website.

The latest polls show McCain over Obama by 3% nation wide. Good, people are learning about the real Obama.

Billw said:
The graph will be interesting the next few weeks.
**********
Yes. I do not put too much stock in a poll that is 5 months out. The daily Gallup poll is good to measure how the messages are getting through, but not much else.

jmc663 said:
” I do not put too much stock in a poll that is 5 months out. The daily Gallup poll is good to measure how the messages are getting through, but not much else. ”
Agreed. It’s the starting point. Likely any one-on-one debates will set the defining trend, barring any major “baggage” coming to light.

Whether your a Democrat or Republican,
whether you vote for him or not,
whether you like him or not.
whether he wins or not.The morning
after Election Day, I hope we can
all accept the fact that he was the
tip of the iceberg. Change will come,
always has. Hold fast Obama, hold fast.