By Natalie Gewargis

Sep 16, 2008 9:20am

So What ARE the ‘Fundamentals’? And Are They Good?

A simple question I put to some nonpartisan economic experts.

Free from politics, when people generally talk about "the fundamentals" of the economy what do they mean?

And are they good?

"One definition," responded one, providing THIS LINK and this definition: "A very broad term which includes such economic measures as interest rates, the government’s budget deficit, the country’s balance of trade account (relating to exports and imports), the level of domestic business confidence, the inflation rate, the state of (and confidence in) the banking and wider financial sector and consumer confidence."

"By this definition, things aren’t so good," the expert said.

Another said, "To which we might add health of job market, value of home prices and stock prices (which have the greatest impact on household wealth) and ability of wages to keep up with prices — these fundamentals are also not good."

- jpt

User Comments

same team
same tactics
same outcome
throw the bums out.

Posted by: dl | September 16, 2008, 9:27 am 9:27 am

Let’s be fair. For John McCain the fundamentals are good. People are still drinking beer and his wife is still rich. In fact, for most people things are getting so bad they are probably drinking more beer to ease the pain so the fundamentals for the McCains are great at all 5,uhh 7, err 10 houses.

Posted by: DMR | September 16, 2008, 9:31 am 9:31 am

Yeah let’s turn the economy over to a Obama who could not even buy a home he could afford without the assistance of a convicted felon and political contributor.
Yeah that’s the ticket!

Posted by: Deb | September 16, 2008, 9:38 am 9:38 am

And Obama trying to work out a deal with the Iraqi’s to surpress troop withdrawal is not news.

Posted by: Steve from NH | September 16, 2008, 9:41 am 9:41 am

Mccain does not understand, he is lost completely and very much confused. He was saying that american workers are producing more than any other nation on earth and that was enough for him to say that the fundamentals of the economy are good, that is wrong because these are the same workers who are being sent home and who do not have a job. Confusion and lack of knowledge are the chracteristics of McCain. God save America from McPalin

Posted by: BKMC | September 16, 2008, 9:44 am 9:44 am

Dear Americans,
As a foreigner, can I ask you something?
whenever, American economy is going into crisis, our country is affected badly, too.
America is not just America.
Many countries are affected by American politics and economy.
I beg you, Please this time, Can you make a right decision?
Please not Bush-like president.
Whole world is so concerned.

Posted by: zen | September 16, 2008, 9:47 am 9:47 am

Did Obama manage any funds while he worked with the terrorist Ayers?
Woods foundation. ACORN. Shhhh, don’t tell anyone.

Posted by: Ryan C | September 16, 2008, 9:47 am 9:47 am

When we all witness major shake up in Financial Sector, this automatically affects the entire world.
Commodoties are continuing to tumble. This is bad news and we are all concerned.

Posted by: Peace | September 16, 2008, 9:47 am 9:47 am

I have a 4 year Business degree and I still can’t find a good job. And McCain said the economy is fundamentally strong.
Guess who I’m voting for in November???
OBAMA/BIDEN ’08

Posted by: jsmith5509 | September 16, 2008, 9:48 am 9:48 am

Arrgh, first McCain is selling beer now Obama is selling waffles…

Posted by: GK | September 16, 2008, 9:51 am 9:51 am

Mccain does not get and does not understand. He is a war hero.period. He has nothing to offer America.How can he say our economy is foundermentally good.He does not understand what he saying. He just like Palin.May be is good because we drink more beer

Posted by: krist | September 16, 2008, 9:53 am 9:53 am

“And Obama trying to work out a deal with the Iraqi’s to surpress troop withdrawal is not news.”

Posted by: Belle Starr | September 16, 2008, 9:55 am 9:55 am

If the economy is technically not in recession, it’s only the top of the pyramid that will benefit. Trickle down economics does not work, it’s simply throwing scraps to the lower 80% and hoping they not only accept it, but embrace when they receive their $600 stimulus rebates. There are indirect costs that affect us to a greater financial extent, rising co-payments, higher gas prices, lowering home equity as neighbors go into foreclosure, unstable pensions, etc. Hopefully, people will wake up and realize that this current administration has been an economic failure and McCain has followed along 90% of the time.

Posted by: SET | September 16, 2008, 9:56 am 9:56 am

Some folks would do well to visit factcheck and discover the truth about Obama and McCain.
Meanwhile, don’t blame McCain for our economic problems. Blame Phil Gramm, who thinks we’re a nation of whiners. You may recall that he is one of the lobbyists running McCain’s campaign.

Posted by: Joel | September 16, 2008, 9:56 am 9:56 am

McCain’s ‘Fundamentals’?
The Fundamentalists and the Rich.

Posted by: Polderboy | September 16, 2008, 9:57 am 9:57 am

McCain = DISHONORABLE

Posted by: Howard Gallas | September 16, 2008, 9:57 am 9:57 am

“How can [McCain] say our economy is foundermentally good.”

Posted by: Belle Starr | September 16, 2008, 9:57 am 9:57 am

After Chris Dodd, Barack Obama was the next highest recipient of money received from Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae. But, Obama was only there for THREE years. Washington insiders lining the pockets of other Washington insiders and taxpayers footing the bill.
Obama/Democrats think more market regulation and government interference will solve the problems their policies created. This crisis is government made. That is a “fundamental” of our economy.
Then, there’s that Iraqi troop withdrawal information that just hasn’t received much MSM interest…

Posted by: Fallon | September 16, 2008, 9:59 am 9:59 am

McCain has always been for deregulation. He has never supported American workers. Give me one example of when he has.

Posted by: cincyr | September 16, 2008, 9:59 am 9:59 am

Teh iraqi foreign minister has alleged Obama tried to influence the Iraqi prime Minister to not negotiate with the current administration and delay troop withdrawl to serve his political needs and you ignore it, but a 17 years olds pregnancy was headline news for over a week. The MSM has no credibility and political journalists, if they can call themselves that should hang their heads in shame. When obama loses Nov 4th, you will get your just returns for the gross distortion of coverage inthis campaign.

Posted by: s.b. | September 16, 2008, 9:59 am 9:59 am

How about the most fundamental of all GDP, which is just fine.

Posted by: s.b. | September 16, 2008, 10:00 am 10:00 am

that lying article was malarkey
same neo-con writer (that works/worked for Murdoch) who is friends with Talibani and who pushed the wmd and “greeted as liberators” lies
You know those same “stories” that got us here… and now you are trying to push that same reporter and his lying stories now…he is a tool of Cheney
so what you are saying is …he is now a tool of you and McCain
same team
same tactics
same outcome
9th year
throw these bums out!

Posted by: dl | September 16, 2008, 10:02 am 10:02 am

“Over the past 20 years, MBNA has been Biden’s single largest contributor. And as the New York Times and Wall Street Journal note, Biden’s son Hunter was hired out of law school by MBNA and later worked as a lobbyist for the company.”
– “Biden’s Cozy Relations With Bank Industry”
August 25, 2008

Posted by: Belle Starr | September 16, 2008, 10:03 am 10:03 am

This is a discussion of the economy, not an op-ed piece from the NY Post (owned by Rupert Murdoch’s News Corp).
Don’t use WMDs (weapons of mass distraction). Discuss the issue at hand, the economy.

Posted by: distractions | September 16, 2008, 10:04 am 10:04 am

70% of businesses are small business.
Obama will kill small business and the jobs with them.

Posted by: cindy in nc | September 16, 2008, 10:04 am 10:04 am

Jake,
I doubt McCain had the notion of “fundamentals” used by financial firms and investors in mind when he made that comment.
In fact, I thought he explicated what he meant by it.
Nevertheless, I think that Obama has an opening here regarding the economy. However, he’ll need to transform this from “more of the same” nonsense, to giving us a detailed and realistic economic plan. Where are corporate tax rates going to be? Where are capital gains tax rates going to be? How are you going to tax the rich to provide for the remaining 95% of the population when the rich are going to take a very large income hit next year (you’ll need to raise their taxes even more, probably to 45-50% for federal rates alone).
Without such details, Obama is just going to see a temporary bounce. Then the Republicans will come back, with detailed economic plans (like they always have), and Obama will be toast.
Let’s see if he learns from his past mistakes. VOTERS WANT CONCRETE POLICTY PROPOSALS AND A CONSISTENCY OF VIEWS. No more waffling Obama, time to stand your ground and stop flip flopping daily.

Posted by: JA | September 16, 2008, 10:04 am 10:04 am

s.b.
again
there is one big blame for this mess
deregulation
the overwhelming captain of deregulation?
the guy who wrote Mccain’s economic platform.
the same guy who received 750k last year alone to fight for deregulation in the banking sector.
Phil Gramm
Same team
same tactics
same outcome
9th year
throw these bums out.

Posted by: dl | September 16, 2008, 10:05 am 10:05 am

Obama uses the troops as pawns to make himself look good, trying to stall their withdrawal.
He has essentially called the Iraqi
Prime Minister a liar.
How can the troops trust this man as their Commander in Chief?

Posted by: harry | September 16, 2008, 10:07 am 10:07 am

I think John McCain is a great person to look into the current housing fed investment bank crisis. After all, he was close to key members of the last great crisis — the Keating Five scandal. LOL

Posted by: Mr. Coffee | September 16, 2008, 10:07 am 10:07 am

dl,
Read my previous message. This pointing finger approach will backfire on Obama. He needs to be more definite in his economic policies and make calls that he doesn’t later waffle on. He’ll need to defend the view that increasing the corporate tax rate is a sound decision (we have the 2nd highest in the world as it is) and increasing capital gains won’t hurt small businesses (which of course it will).
In absence of this, he’ll see a temporary bounce that will later disappear. I’m certain that as we speak the McCain campaign is assembling economists and talking to Greenspan to come up with real solutions.
Simply pointing the finger at someone else isn’t what we want in a president. We want someone with real solutions.
And that is ultimately the problem with Obama and why, in a year that should have been guaranteed Dem victory, he’s tied.

Posted by: JA | September 16, 2008, 10:09 am 10:09 am

again
all the tactics trying to get people off topic
“it is the economy stupid!”
and the guy who championed, shepherded and got paid to push deregulation for the last 20 years including 750 000 for last year alone…
to push deregulation for the knew influx of predatory lending and the situation we are in
is the guy who just wrote McCain’s economic platform and policies. Phill Gramm…
you remember the guy calling us all whiners.
same team
same tactics
same outcome
9th freakin year.
throw these bums to the curb and get them away from our lives.

Posted by: dl | September 16, 2008, 10:11 am 10:11 am

dl,
stop copying and pasting. it’s sad.
so what has barack obama done for the economy?

Posted by: JA | September 16, 2008, 10:14 am 10:14 am

JA
one candidate is credible on reregulating the financial mess that the other candidate’s team deregulated.
stop
the engine of our economy is the middle class
you know those words “middle class”
the ones that Mccain and Gramm and the rest of them seem to never say.

Posted by: dl | September 16, 2008, 10:14 am 10:14 am

“And that is ultimately the problem with Obama and why, in a year that should have been guaranteed Dem victory, he’s tied.”

Posted by: Belle Starr | September 16, 2008, 10:14 am 10:14 am

dl,
Stop spamming. THAT is what distracts people.
And once again, we need REAL SOLUTIONS not soundbites (today’s being “regulation”).

Posted by: JA | September 16, 2008, 10:18 am 10:18 am

Google the “Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act of 1999″ to find out which candidate’s adviser was in the midst of the deregulation of the financial industry in recent years. Gramm as we know is an adviser to McCain.

Posted by: SET | September 16, 2008, 10:29 am 10:29 am

The debates will be a heck of a show this year.

Posted by: smith | September 16, 2008, 10:34 am 10:34 am

McCain tries to stave off a panic by reminding people that there is a real problem, but that our economy is fundamentally strong and can bounce back from that problem. For that, he gets hammered? Give me a break. He has a steady, calm, appropriate response to this crisis; he definitely “gets it.”
When Bush tried to increase oversight of Freddie and Fannie during his first administration, he was rebuked by Democrats in Congress, like our old pal Barney Frank. Now Congress is howling, but when Chris Dodd has recieved hundreds of thousands of dollars in contributions from Freddie/Fannie workers and Biden has similar deep financial ties to MBNA (not to mention his family ties), its hard not to be suspicious of the wolf wanting to guard the henhouse. And of course, we must consider that in the three years Obama ha been in the Senate, he’s already managed to become the number two recipient of Freddie/Fannie contributions behind Dodd, who’s been collecting those dollars for a decade or more longer than The One. Hmmm.

Posted by: moderate | September 16, 2008, 10:34 am 10:34 am

Some of us remember Econ 101 and there was never a time when employee productivity and the entrepreneurial spirit was ever part of the fundamentals metrics used to gauge the economy. This guy did not lie when he said he did not understand the economy yet some of us want him to be president. Not only that, we know that Phil Graham will be in charge of the economy should McCain win and this guy thinks if you don’t make 7 figures, you should bend over, take it and stop whining.

Posted by: Tommy Thompson | September 16, 2008, 10:36 am 10:36 am

Obama was a lawyer for ACORN in Chicago.
ACORN has been connected with voter fraud in many states.
Another questionable associate of BO.
Radical on the inside–deceptive nice guy on the outside.
Why is this race even close?

Posted by: sally | September 16, 2008, 10:39 am 10:39 am

sally, the race really isn’t as close as it appears. If you look at the breakdown on the ABC site you will see that 96% of blacks and 38% of whites are voting for Obama. Kind of distorts the real story.

Posted by: Grace | September 16, 2008, 10:46 am 10:46 am

How did McCain vote on Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act, which was critical in deregulating the financial service industry back in 1999? He voted Yes.

Posted by: deregulated | September 16, 2008, 10:49 am 10:49 am

I would rather have a president who points out some positive things with the economy instead of just doom and gloom. I really don’t trust that Obama has our best interest at heart after hearing that he really wanted to delay bringing home the troops.

Posted by: PaulS | September 16, 2008, 10:50 am 10:50 am

Next time, Jake, attach names of the “experts” so readers know who they are. Economics is a soft science, answers always depend on underlying assumptions and comparison points. And, philosophical bias – ex., Chicago School.
I could just as easily find experts who say fundamentals are fine, given an infrastructure which shows resilience (financial, regulatory, legal), interest rates (higher than before by a point or 2, but not in the double digits as has previously happened), inflation rate which is being managed, GDP growth, trade deficit improving, commodity prices dropping, unemployment not surpassing highs on a national level, growth in key future-facing industry sectors (it/tech, biotech, pharma, etc.), etc.
How many people here are facing water/food rationing? How many people here waiting in line for hours to get gas? How many people here with a 20% (15%) interest rate on a traditional mortgage? How many people here without a tv, computer, cell phone/phone, and other creature comforts? How many people here unable to get emergency medical treatment? How many people here are unable to find a paying job (not a “good” job, or a suitable for me education/experience, but a PAYING job?).

Posted by: ENF | September 16, 2008, 10:51 am 10:51 am

I guess Obama’s “Yes We Can” slogan was just another gimmick. I certainly doesn’t appear to be his stance on the economy.

Posted by: CarolWI | September 16, 2008, 10:52 am 10:52 am

The Democrats are in charge of Congress.
Democrats understand the tax and spend and give aways.
Whoops — and the Democratic Chairman of the Ways and Means commitee (which is in charge of the tax code) didn’t understand he had to pay taxes on income received from and rental property and he didn’t know his loan on the property was for 0%. I’d like that deal.

Posted by: susie | September 16, 2008, 10:53 am 10:53 am

“Why is this race even close?”

Posted by: Belle Starr | September 16, 2008, 10:57 am 10:57 am

Obama thinks the economy is in bad shape and yet has a $30,500 dinner/concert with Streisand! I guess it is not as bad as he wants us to think. How much would the tickets cost if the economy was in good shape?

Posted by: Brad | September 16, 2008, 10:57 am 10:57 am

I wonder what Obama’s (almost) VP pick Mike Bloomberg meant yesterday when HE SAID that the fundamentals of the US economy are good?

Posted by: Stephen Gianelli | September 16, 2008, 10:57 am 10:57 am

Obama: STOP TRYING TO SCARE US!

Posted by: MeganRiley | September 16, 2008, 10:59 am 10:59 am

“I wonder what Obama’s (almost) VP pick Mike Bloomberg meant yesterday when HE SAID that the fundamentals of the US economy are good?”

Posted by: Belle Starr | September 16, 2008, 11:02 am 11:02 am

Making comments about the economy on the day two major financial institutions failed is not Obama trying to scare you. You should be concerned.

Posted by: Stacey | September 16, 2008, 11:04 am 11:04 am

Interesting how so many fear mongers are now looking for a binky. Actions have consequences.

Posted by: Leonard Peltier | September 16, 2008, 11:08 am 11:08 am

Wow, the price of dinner and a concert really went up! The average American really can’t afford it anymore. $132 for a family of 4 is a lot let alone $132,000!

Posted by: PDR | September 16, 2008, 11:09 am 11:09 am

McCain on the Today show “We are in crisis”…
Is he scaring people? C’mon.
Obama and McCain have an obligation to discuss this issue. Neither is trying to scare, just draw differences in policy and record.

Posted by: Distortions | September 16, 2008, 11:09 am 11:09 am

How much tip would you leave on a $28,500 dinner?

Posted by: Peggy | September 16, 2008, 11:11 am 11:11 am

“You should be concerned.”

Posted by: Belle Starr | September 16, 2008, 11:12 am 11:12 am

McCain has voted to deregulate. It shows his judgement and lack of understanding of the economy. He voted with Phil Gramm and he gets advice from Phil Gramm.

Posted by: SET | September 16, 2008, 11:19 am 11:19 am

Belle Starr,
We should be concerned that the great black hope says not one word about poor people — for whom the continuing impoverishment of what’s left of the middle classes isn’t exactly a pressing problem.
————————————-
You will soon learn that we are all in this together, like it or not, regardless of the outcome of the election. But if you think McCain is going to help you, you are in for a big
disappointment. Has Trickle Down done much for you over the last 8 years?

Posted by: Leonard Peltier | September 16, 2008, 11:20 am 11:20 am

“Obama thinks the economy is in bad shape and yet has a $30,500 dinner/concert with Streisand!”

Posted by: Belle Starr | September 16, 2008, 11:21 am 11:21 am

Belle,
The Republican National Committee has $110 million dollars to spend making
sure that your vote is not counted.
That is 6 times what the DNC has to
make sure that your vote IS counted.
Obama has to run his campaign and face
the election without the help of the deep pockets (like 6-7 figure checks) that go to the RNC. So he has some
supporters in L.A. who can contribute far more than you or me. For it they get dinner and a show with Streisand.
Do you think they really care about what they are getting for their money beyond the candidate that they believe in?

Posted by: Leonard Peltier | September 16, 2008, 11:25 am 11:25 am

“You will soon learn that we are all in this together, like it or not, regardless of the outcome of the election.”

Posted by: Belle Starr | September 16, 2008, 11:25 am 11:25 am

McCain proven to be a clueless liar again.
Right wing response?
Make fun of Obama-DNC fundraiser

Posted by: Ryan C | September 16, 2008, 11:26 am 11:26 am

“The Republican National Committee has $110 million dollars to spend making
sure that your vote is not counted.”

Posted by: Belle Starr | September 16, 2008, 11:28 am 11:28 am

In the current Weekly Standard, Steven Hayward argues that the nation’s founders wanted uncertified citizens to hold the highest offices in the land. They did not believe in a separate class of professional executives. They wanted rough and rooted people like Palin.
I would have more sympathy for this view if I hadn’t just lived through the last eight years. For if the Bush administration was anything, it was the anti-establishment attitude put into executive practice.
And the problem with this attitude is that, especially in his first term, it made Bush inept at governance. It turns out that governance, the creation and execution of policy, is hard. It requires acquired skills. Most of all, it requires prudence.

Sarah Palin has many virtues. If you wanted someone to destroy a corrupt establishment, she’d be your woman. But the constructive act of governance is another matter. She has not been engaged in national issues, does not have a repertoire of historic patterns and, like President Bush, she seems to compensate for her lack of experience with brashness and excessive decisiveness.

Posted by: Rex | September 16, 2008, 11:32 am 11:32 am

Richard Cohen goes off on McCain, seizing on the Palin pick as a sign of how far gone the candidate is:
McCain has turned ugly. His dishonesty would be unacceptable in any politician, but McCain has always set his own bar higher than most. He has contempt for most of his colleagues for that very reason: They lie. He tells the truth. He internalizes the code of the McCains — his grandfather, his father: both admirals of the shining sea. He serves his country differently, that’s all — but just as honorably. No more, though.

His opportunistic and irresponsible choice of Sarah Palin as his political heir — the person in whose hands he would leave the country — is a form of personal treason, a betrayal of all he once stood for. Palin, no matter what her other attributes, is shockingly unprepared to become president. McCain knows that. He means to win, which is all right; he means to win at all costs, which is not.

Posted by: Rex | September 16, 2008, 11:32 am 11:32 am

“If you wanted someone to destroy a corrupt establishment, [Palin would] be your woman. But the constructive act of governance is another matter. She has not been engaged in national issues, does not have a repertoire of historic patterns … “

Posted by: Belle Starr | September 16, 2008, 11:38 am 11:38 am

Herbert Hover
Ronald Reagan
George W. Bush

Posted by: Leonard Peltier | September 16, 2008, 11:47 am 11:47 am

“Richard Cohen goes off on McCain … “

Posted by: Belle Starr | September 16, 2008, 11:54 am 11:54 am

re: Belle Starr
“was a famous American female outlaw.”
fits right in with Bush & Cheney, very ‘instersing’ as Pres. Chimpy would say….

Posted by: Rex | September 16, 2008, 12:44 pm 12:44 pm

I’ll give you that the fundamentals at this point are not what you would call good …. but that doesn’t mean I’m ready to hand things over to Marxist Obama!!! Why would I want to make things worse 50-fold!!!

Posted by: D'Obama | September 16, 2008, 1:18 pm 1:18 pm

“that doesn’t mean I’m ready to hand things over to Marxist Obama!!!”

Posted by: Belle Starr | September 16, 2008, 1:26 pm 1:26 pm

“The idea that a ticket including a jejeune mobster AND Joe Biden is going to “change” anything for the better is frightening AND funny.”
If it’s so frightening and funny, why is McCain trying to steal that thunder and rebrand himself as change, when he’s done nothing to change the status quo he’s been a part of for the past 26 years?

Posted by: DP | September 16, 2008, 1:48 pm 1:48 pm

“why is McCain trying to steal that thunder and rebrand himself as change, when he’s done nothing to change the status quo he’s been a part of for the past 26 years?”

Posted by: Belle Starr | September 16, 2008, 2:00 pm 2:00 pm

“But to vote for someone *just* because they’re a woman or a minority is about the dumbest thing I’ve ever heard.”

Posted by: Belle Starr | September 16, 2008, 2:30 pm 2:30 pm

I’m voting for Obama because I believe that he is the more intelligent, thoughtful, and most in-line with my views candidate. I believe that an Obama administration would better serve the majority of this country than a McCain administration would.
I NEVER said I was voting for Obama BECAUSE of his race, whereas you directly implied that simply adding a woman to the VP spot on the ticket was “enough for” you to vote for McCain. What does that say that that’s what you inferred from my statement?

Posted by: DP | September 16, 2008, 2:36 pm 2:36 pm

I think more people are voting for Palin just because she is a woman than people voting for Obama because he is black. Blacks normally vote democrat anyway.

Posted by: d | September 16, 2008, 2:40 pm 2:40 pm

It’s pretty funny that McCain tried to back out of saying “the fundamentals of the economy are strong” by trying to tell us (ignorant americans who don’t have dictionaries, apparently) that “fundamentals” means “workers”.
What?
If you are on this website, you are on a computer. If you are on a computer, your computer probably has a dictionary application. Open it. Look up “fundamentals”. The definition of “fundamentals” cannot be stretched to mean “american workers” no matter how much John McCain wants to try to fool everyone into thinking that’s what he meant.
McCain insults americans’ intelligence by trying to get us to swallow his swill.
We’re smarter than that. McCain is the elitist, looking down on americans, thinking we will blindly accept all his distortions and lies.

Posted by: jds | September 17, 2008, 2:16 pm 2:16 pm

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