Poll Cats — Battlegrounds Colorado, Michigan, Minnesota and Wisconsin

By Natalie Gewargis

Oct 14, 2008 9:21am

Quinnipiac University/Wall Street Journal/ Washingtonpost.Com battleground state polls out today:

Colorado: Obama 52, McCain 43
Michigan: Obama 54, McCain 38
Minnesota: Obama 51, McCain 40
Wisconsin: Obama 54, McCain 37

Says Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute: "Those margins may be insurmountable barring a reversal that has never been seen before in the modern era in which polling monitors public opinion throughout the campaign. The only possible bright spot for Sen. McCain – and you would need Mary Poppins to find it in these numbers – is that he is holding roughly the same portion of the Republican vote. But McCain’s support among independent voters, a group he says are key to winning the White House, has collapsed."

Other numbers worth looking at:
 
In Colorado, Obama leads:
54 – 38 percent among women;
49 – 47 percent among men;
48 – 47 percent among white people;
51 – 40 percent among independents.

In Michigan, Obama leads:
60-32 among women;
48-44 among me;
48-43 among whites;
52-35 among independents.

In Minnesota, Obama leads:
57-34 among women;
Is TIED with McCain with men, 46-46
49-43 among whites;
51-38 among independents.

In Wisconsin, Obama leads
59-33 among women;
49-41 among men;
52-39 among whites;
52-36 among independents.

Who understands the economy better?
Colorado says 51% Obama, 39% McCain;
Michigan says 52% Obama, 35% McCain;
Minnesota says 49% Obama, 34% McCain;
Wisconsin says 53% Obama, 32% McCain.

Who understands foreign policy better?
Colorado says McCain, 58 – 34 percent;
Michigan says McCain, 58 – 31 percent;
Minnesota says McCain 58-30 percent;
Wisconsin says McCain, 57-32 percent.

President Bush’s approval ratings — not so good.
27 percent approve, 68 percent disapprove in Colorado;
23 – 69 percent in Michigan;
21 – 73 percent in Minnesota;
21 – 73 percent in Wisconsin.

Is Gov. Sarah Palin qualified?
51 percent in Colorado say NO, 44 percent say YES
For women voters in Colorado that’s 52 percent no, 42 percent yes.
47 percent in Michigan say NO, 41 percent say YES.
For women voters in Michigan, it’s 50 percent no, 34 percent yes.
47 percent in Minnesota say NO, 43 percent say YES
For Minnesota women, it’s 49-40 No
47 percent in Wisconsin say NO, 43 percent say YES
For Wisconsin women it’s 49-40 No.

For McCain, these numbers are just grim.

– jpt

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