Poll Cats: 5 Days Out
EmailQuality polls of likely voters in battleground states, courtesy of our polling unit.
Arizona – 53-46 McCain, 10/28 CNN/Time/ORC
Indiana – 47-47 tie, Research 2000/WISH-TV
Indiana – 46-45 Obama, 10/28 Selzer & Co./Indianapolis Star/WTHR
Minnesota – 56-37 Obama, 10/28 Minnesota Public Radio/Humphrey Institute, University of Minnesota
Nevada – 52-45 Obama, 10/28 CNN/Time/ORC
Nevada – 50-45 Obama 10/28 Research 2000/The Reno Gazette-Journal/KTVN
New Hampshire – 58-34 Obama, 10/28 UNH/WMUR
North Carolina – 52-46 Obama, 10/28 CNN/Time/ORC
Ohio – 51-47 Obama 10/28, CNN/Time/ORC
Pennsylvania – 54-41 Obama, 10/29 Muhlenberg/Morning Call
Pennsylvania – 55-43 Obama, 10/28 CNN/Time/ORC
Pennsylvania – 47-43 Obama, 10/28 Mason-Dixon/NBC
Wisconsin – 53-42 Obama, 10/28 Research 2000/WISC-TV
- jpt
Newt Gingrich's Full Speech at CPAC 2012 
USS Gabrielle Giffords Honors Courage
“The good news for John McCain, new polls in key battleground states show him with a comfortable lead over Ralph Nader.” –Jay Leno
Posted by: Bud | October 30, 2008, 1:42 pm 1:42 pm
Looks like Obama’s got it all wrapped up!!! Awesome!
Posted by: Vicki | October 30, 2008, 1:48 pm 1:48 pm
Yahoo! The race is tightening! Obama is going to lose!
Note: I’m a Matt Drudge reader, and I can only read that last Pennsylvania one. Everything else is just blurs and scribbles to me.
Posted by: Lettuce | October 30, 2008, 1:49 pm 1:49 pm
Uh oh raggy, looks like McCain and Palin are going to need a Scooby snack on Tuesday!
Posted by: President Barack Hussein Obama! | October 30, 2008, 1:49 pm 1:49 pm
Who cares about the Polls Just VOTE! THATS WHAT MATTERS VOTE!
Posted by: Angie | October 30, 2008, 1:52 pm 1:52 pm
Jake Tripper – You conveniently left off FOX News poll that just hit!!
Know wonder the public doesn’t believe MSM and papers and networks are losing money!
Obama down 6 points from last poll.
Now Obama 47 McCain 44 with 9% undecided!!
McCain surging…..
Posted by: Jack | October 30, 2008, 1:53 pm 1:53 pm
MSM keep trying to suppress the vote with these push polls. Notice all most of these Obama landslide polls have very few undecideds? The polls with large number of undecideds reflect the PUMA factor.Democrats who say they are undecided, but really voting for McCain
Posted by: geevill | October 30, 2008, 1:55 pm 1:55 pm
Jake
Jake
Snap out of it.
Wake up.
It’s over Jake.
Posted by: Omentum | October 30, 2008, 1:57 pm 1:57 pm
Vote Vote Vote Vote
Republicans do not lose close races.
Posted by: shockolit | October 30, 2008, 1:57 pm 1:57 pm
“You conveniently left off FOX News poll that just hit!!”
Jake didn’t post any national polls.
And FoxNews is just conveying the message of its masters at the RNC, trying to keep this from being a blow out of epic proportions.
Posted by: Ryan C (That One) | October 30, 2008, 1:58 pm 1:58 pm
Have I mentioned the strange new respect I’ve developed for the Clinton’s in the last year?”
Drew M
Posted by: Hero | Oct 30, 2008 1:09:51 PM
—
Hero,
Why strange respect? The Republicans hated him, them, but they respect, and in an odd way even admire, him. His fellow democrats like 0bama trashed him “the Clinton administration is the same as the Bush’s administration”, and race-baited him, and the avid supporter John Lewis even called him racist in exchange for supporting another black man.
Under President Clinton, the country experienced an unprecedented period of peace and prosperity.
More importantly, Hillary Clinton correctly diagnosed the economic problems ONE year ago, proposing to use that $300 billion to target banking, mortgage and financing crisis.
0bama, on the other hand, ridiculed Hillary Clinton’s proposal, and pushed forward Bush’s plan of money giveaways. Perhaps that $600 some of you got really did you good, but certainly nothing but tank the stockmarket and the economy.
0bama has serious judgment flaws.
Posted by: factcheck | October 30, 2008, 1:58 pm 1:58 pm
Jack,
The Foxnews poll is a natonal poll not a “state by state” poll.
The state by state polls are the ones that matter. This is an electoral college election. Not a national/ popular vote election.
Bases on the polls above… I say it’s an Obama landslide.
Posted by: Vanessa | October 30, 2008, 1:58 pm 1:58 pm
How is it that you’ve conveniently chosen these polls?
Posted by: newliberty | October 30, 2008, 1:59 pm 1:59 pm
P.S. – just breaking…absentee voting from Israel shows a 76% lead for McCain over Obama…contrary to polling which had them neck in neck.
Posted by: newliberty | October 30, 2008, 2:00 pm 2:00 pm
Don’t let polls tell you how to vote! They may not even be wrong, but it doesn’t matter…my mantra is well, you never know!
Democrats, Vote McKinney! She is way better than Obama! or Nader!
Posted by: Wade | October 30, 2008, 2:03 pm 2:03 pm
How is it that you’ve conveniently chosen these polls?
————-
They are called “battleground states”. You know, the ones that will actually pick the President.
Wish he had posted VA though. We may very well go Democratic for the first time in 44 years. Thanks Mavericks!
Posted by: Dave in VA | October 30, 2008, 2:06 pm 2:06 pm
E_DAY – 5: ELECTORAL COLLEGE EV POLLS
2008
Obama 375
McCain 157
Tie 6
2004
Bush 280
Kerry 243
Tie 15
State-by-State Polls Are What Matters And Always Predict The Winer.
JAKE DIDN’T I TELL YOU IT WAS OVER???
Posted by: Steve_NJ | October 30, 2008, 2:07 pm 2:07 pm
“Don’t let polls tell you how to vote! They may not even be wrong, but it doesn’t matter…my mantra is well, you never know!”
I agree with this.
Everyone should vote regardless of what the polls say.
Its one of the few times you can stand and be counted in the process of government.
Posted by: Ryan C (That One) | October 30, 2008, 2:07 pm 2:07 pm
McCain = DISHONORABLE/DESPERATE; Palin = SCARY!!!
Posted by: Howard Gallas | October 30, 2008, 2:08 pm 2:08 pm
Electoral estimate:
Obama 375 McCain 157 Ties 6
ITS OVER.
Posted by: Omentum | October 30, 2008, 2:08 pm 2:08 pm
Notice all most of these Obama landslide polls have very few undecideds? The polls with large number of undecideds reflect the PUMA factor.Democrats who say they are undecided, but really voting for McCain
—————–
You may say, I’m a dreamer.
But I’m not the only one….
Posted by: John Lennon | October 30, 2008, 2:10 pm 2:10 pm
How is it that you’ve conveniently chosen these polls?
————-
They are called “battleground states”. You know, the ones that will actually pick the President.
Wish he had posted VA though. We may very well go Democratic for the first time in 44 years. Thanks Mavericks!
Posted by: Dave in VA | Oct 30, 2008 2:06:20 PM
Yes Dave I hope VA is blue too! Looking pretty good for the commonwealth of VA doesn’t it?
Posted by: VA is for blue | October 30, 2008, 2:13 pm 2:13 pm
fox news electoral map has mccain up by 1 point
their map looks like it hasnt been updated in like 3 months… as oregon isnt declared, michigan, wisconsin
i mean…. lol how could you even site a fox poll thats like asking a restuarant owner if they have good food, and when they say yes, you write your review saying
they have really good food.
Posted by: Bhrandon | October 30, 2008, 2:13 pm 2:13 pm
Vote Vote Vote Vote
Republicans do not lose close races.
Posted by: shockolit | Oct 30, 2008 1:57:09 PM
———————————-
THIS ONE IS NOT CLOSE. IT IS OVER.
This a “woodshed” momemt. If you know what I mean.
Posted by: Omentum | October 30, 2008, 2:16 pm 2:16 pm
P.S. – just breaking…absentee voting from Israel shows a 76% lead for McCain over Obama…contrary to polling which had them neck in neck.
Posted by: newliberty | Oct 30, 2008 2:00:27 PM
** Okay are they the only minority in America? I think not. How is McCain doing w/ the black vote, latino vote, asian vote?
Posted by: VA is for blue | October 30, 2008, 2:16 pm 2:16 pm
Why I hear all the time that undecideds will break in the end for McCain.
I guess these are Republicans who are not comfortable to vote McCain and
they might decide not to show up and
vote.
Posted by: FM | October 30, 2008, 2:16 pm 2:16 pm
geevil
i am pretty sure pumas make up less than .5% of any poll anywhere
i mean do they even still have any numbers? i havent seen any pumas anywhere…
now where you might ACTUALLY be right geevil is that the undecideds (while not pumas) are probably going to go mostly for mccain
the people who want to vote for obama know by now they are voting for obama
i doubt the undecideds will go 100% for mccain because thats just impossible
but i do believe that he could get 70% of the undecided voters already.
now does obama get that last 30% of undecideds or do they just not vote and stay home…
Posted by: Bhrandon | October 30, 2008, 2:16 pm 2:16 pm
Lettuce
LOL good post
just blurs and scribbles hahahaah nice
Posted by: Bhrandon | October 30, 2008, 2:17 pm 2:17 pm
fox news electoral map has mccain up by 1 point
their map looks like it hasnt been updated in like 3 months… as oregon isnt declared, michigan, wisconsin
** And for some reason, there are actually people out there that tell me Fox News isn’t biased! lol Thats the only reason why McCain and Palin keep doing interviews with that network.. because it’s conservative.. we all know what happens if anyone else asks them a question…
Posted by: VA is for blue | October 30, 2008, 2:24 pm 2:24 pm
What’s McCain going to do?
He already tried Parah Salin. The chute worked for awhile, but it covered him up so that his message was muffled.
He already tried bringing in the plumber to fix the plumbing. When the plumber realized the campaign’s was in the toilet, he skipped out.
Posted by: Debbie | October 30, 2008, 2:25 pm 2:25 pm
McCain is so far behind. The only way he can win this thing is if he wins Pennsylvania and that is not look good for him. You never know. If McCain wins I am moving to where the jobs are…Canada.
Posted by: becky | October 30, 2008, 2:26 pm 2:26 pm
For me, there is no getting around the fact that the only way for Hillary to have any shot at running again in 2012 is for John McCain to win.
I’ll probably take some flak, but this alone is reason enough why I plan to vote for him.
Posted by: Scott | October 30, 2008, 2:29 pm 2:29 pm
Hey, Lettuce…you are right, but what else can we do?…if the tables were turned (had the economy not flipped out) you would be holding on to threads, too…and they do look like threads…
This is meant in good humor…We (McCain supporters) are stressin!
Posted by: Wade | October 30, 2008, 2:30 pm 2:30 pm
There lies, there are damn lies, and then there are polls.
Posted by: topo2005 | October 30, 2008, 2:30 pm 2:30 pm
fox news electoral map has mccain up by 1 point
———————-
HAHAHAHAHAHA
HAHAHAHAHAHA
Thanks! I needed that!
Posted by: Too funny | October 30, 2008, 2:33 pm 2:33 pm
ABC: Any word on palin’s medical records that were supposed to be released EARLY this week?
Posted by: pt | October 30, 2008, 2:37 pm 2:37 pm
Yes Dave I hope VA is blue too! Looking pretty good for the commonwealth of VA doesn’t it?
———————-
I’m in the Charlottesville area. It’s certainly Obama territory. NOVA is absolutely turning out for Obama.
But we still have the Kentucky/Tennessee Virginians down south.
It will come down to numbers at the polls. My biggest fear is a collapse in the voting process. The state has already been sued for being unprepared for the turnout.
The only way McCain wins is if they can rig this election like they did in 2000.
Posted by: Dave in VA | October 30, 2008, 2:39 pm 2:39 pm
Okay, here’s some more good news for John McCain:
Oct. 30:
Arizona, NBC/Mason-Dixon McCain 48, Obama 44
Arizona, CNN/Time McCain 53, Obama 46
Oct. 29:
Texas, University of Texas McCain 51, Obama 40
Missouri, CNN/Time McCain 50, Obama 48
Georgia, CNN/Time McCain 52, Obama 47
Alaska, Rasmussen McCain 57, Obama 41
Of course, the bad news is that, of 47 state polls that RCP reported results for in the past 2 days, these were the only ones that McCain lead in.
And, of these polls, Missouri is the only one that Obama is really contesting McCain for.
Posted by: Bud | October 30, 2008, 2:40 pm 2:40 pm
“I have learned you are one sick dude! Are you planning on killing yourself when McCain loses on November 4th? So much hate in your heart baby I’m surprised you can do much of anything else”
I hope your parents can afford to hire those specialists who de-program people brainwashed by cults. I thought Obama the informercial king had it in the bag. Worried much?
Posted by: geevill | October 30, 2008, 2:47 pm 2:47 pm
amy: it is the protection act. She can’t give out any information at all, NONE, except to a judge who orders it, then he will get just a copy.
Give it up already.
Posted by: becky | October 30, 2008, 2:58 pm 2:58 pm
Amy:
please, put on your life presever vest, Republican ship is sinking quickly and all you have is the old ‘birth certificate’ rumor to cling to………….. outreach and hospice programs will be available to you free of charge after Obama wins the election.
Obama doesn’t even have to mention McCain & Palin in is info-mercial to get his points across, and he can do it without the negativity…
Rumor and innuendo are all Republicans have left to campaign with.
Posted by: Blue | October 30, 2008, 2:59 pm 2:59 pm
BTW:
PHILLIES … WIN ……. WORLD SERIES
sorry, had to say that ;-)
Posted by: Blue | October 30, 2008, 3:02 pm 3:02 pm
Will the MSM do their job?
_________________________________
This has been debunked over and over again by the MSM. From the Washington Post:
“The truth: Sen. Barack Obama, born in Hawaii, is a Christian family man with a track record of public service.”
____________________________________
Just for grins – can you pro McCain smear and sleaze posters say anything POSITIVE about YOUR candidate or can you only spew debunked, irrational, radical conspiracy theroies about his opponent?
Gee…You wonder why YOUR candidate is losing!
Posted by: Get Real | October 30, 2008, 3:05 pm 3:05 pm
“The most cringe-worthy political moment of the day, so far, came when Sen. John McCain called out for his new buddy Joe the Plumber to stand up at a rally in Ohio, only to be greeted with confused silence. Joe the Plumber wasn’t there.
But that rally featured another embarrassing moment, one that illustrates a far more troubling dynamic for the Republican ticket.
The McCain campaign actually had to bus in school kids from the surrounding area in order to fill the event. “
Posted by: b | October 30, 2008, 3:06 pm 3:06 pm
BTW:
PHILLIES … WIN ……. WORLD SERIES
sorry, had to say that ;-)
Posted by: Blue | Oct 30, 2008 3:02:15 PM
This news should make Chairman Obama very happy. Or half of him happy anyway since Obama on one ocassion said he was rooting for the Phillies and on another ocassion said he wanted the Rays to win it all.
Stll havent figured which half of the Chairman (black or white) pulled for which team. Perhaps it will come out in a therapy session. (I don’t make this half stuff up. See Jake’s story about Obama on Comedy Centra.)
Posted by: topo2005 | October 30, 2008, 3:12 pm 3:12 pm
So, if every one is so confident that Obama’s certificate is authentic, please explain why he refused to let the “COURT” not the “NEWSPAPERS” to determine the authenticity. Why did he refuse to release the record to the court, why did he refuse to release the original certificate, not the one generated by computer.
Can WaPo sign off on the authenticity issue? even the Hawaii Health Department has refused to do that. All the confirmation is “it appeared similar to other Hawaii birth certificates.”
Ask this question to yourself. If some one ask you to proof your birth place, how difficult or what damage could do to you if you just simply showing your original birth certificate?
Posted by: amy | October 30, 2008, 3:14 pm 3:14 pm
amy amy amy,
When is the fat lady gonna sing for you my friend and fellow prisoner???
How do I say “it’s over” in French??
C’est fini ma cherie. Obama est President de USA.
Hope you get it now my dear.
Posted by: Steve_NJ | October 30, 2008, 3:16 pm 3:16 pm
“Or half of him happy anyway since Obama on one ocassion said he was rooting for the Phillies and on another ocassion said he wanted the Rays to win it all.”
Obama said he is a White Sox fan who was rooting for the Phillies because of his campaign manager. In a rally in FL he talked about some Rays players and a White Sox fan being able to show each other love.
Compare that to Palin who delivered a speech about being the underdogs and how the Rays, Sox, Phils fans all knew that. She only bothered to change the name of the team leaving the speech the same.
The lesson as always? Right wingers lie.
The lesson for the day? Right wingers are hypocrites too.
Posted by: Ryan C (That One) | October 30, 2008, 3:18 pm 3:18 pm
“Why did he refuse to release the record to the court”
The court never asked him to release his record and it dismissed the nuisance lawsuit by Berg against him.
The lesson as always? Right winger lie.
Posted by: Ryan C (That One) | October 30, 2008, 3:21 pm 3:21 pm
If I’m Obams I dont open the drapes from their packages just yet, and I save my reciepts.
Call it a hunch.
Posted by: topo2005 | October 30, 2008, 3:22 pm 3:22 pm
Amy:
re: ‘If some one ask you to proof your birth place, how difficult or what damage could do to you if you just simply showing your original birth certificate?’
maybe, just maybe, if those who asked were notthe fringe rumor mongers of the ‘right wing’ nutball community……… but seriously folks…..
the legal burden is NOT on Obama to prove anything……….. if you think the rumor is correct than you have to prove it, legally in court… your boy Berg isn’t doing so well with his case.
only thing left for the right wing Republicans is innuendo, lies and McCain saying ‘my policy is this: don’t vote for Obama’……
Posted by: Blue | October 30, 2008, 3:22 pm 3:22 pm
topo2005
re: ‘PHILLIES WIN WORLD SERIES’
- here in Pennsylvania, we welcome Obama, and he will carry the state……
Posted by: Blue | October 30, 2008, 3:25 pm 3:25 pm
Look at the changing electoral map. The Republicans are losing ground in the south and Rocky Mountain region, and several states that used to be solid red states (Georgia, North Dakota, Montana, Arizona) are now becoming competitive. Boy are the Republicans are in deep doo-doo! Must be that reverse-Robinhood, trickle-down, top-down economics stupid.
Posted by: progressive independent | October 30, 2008, 3:28 pm 3:28 pm
I love how Republicans want a British court system. they want the burden of proof to be on the accuse not the accuser.
Posted by: MM | October 30, 2008, 3:55 pm 3:55 pm
I was worried about Pennsylvania when I saw the NBC poll but after seeing other polls, I’m confident he will win that very important state.
Posted by: Kathy | October 30, 2008, 3:59 pm 3:59 pm
Politico is reporting a new study that shows media coverage of Sarah Palin has been negative at a ratio of 18:1. Of 69 stories there were only 2 positive stories. There were also 37 negative, and 30 neutral ones.
But, I’m guessing there will be no apologies forthcoming to Gov. Palin….just some pats on the back and some whooping it up in newsrooms all across America for the “great job” you have all done in promoting “The One” into a role he is not prepared to fill.
Posted by: Biased Much | October 30, 2008, 4:03 pm 4:03 pm
How about the L.A. Times/Bloomberg polls that show McCain ahead in early voting in Florida.
With 1.4 million early votes cast, McCain leads Obama by roughly 49-45%.
HOWEVER, out of the 1.4 million early voters, 54% are registered Democrats, and only 30% are registered Republicans.
Looks like a lot of registered Democrats are voting for McCain.
A similar situation appears to be happening during early voting in Nevada.
WHOOPS!
Posted by: SandyB | October 30, 2008, 4:10 pm 4:10 pm
Politico is reporting a new study that shows media coverage of Sarah Palin has been negative at a ratio of 18:1. Of 69 stories there were only 2 positive stories. There were also 37 negative, and 30 neutral ones.
But, I’m guessing there will be no apologies forthcoming to Gov. Palin….just some pats on the back and some whooping it up in newsrooms all across America for the “great job” you have all done in promoting “The One” into a role he is not prepared to fill.
_______________________________________________
Since McCain did not Vet her – the press did.
Since she refused to speak to anyone, people made opinions of her based on those that know her.
Sometimes this is difficult to grasp – but sometimes people do reap what they sow.
Posted by: Get Real | October 30, 2008, 4:20 pm 4:20 pm
i think the media has been charitable in
their treatment of palin. mccain is the one who should be saying sorry to palin,
they did it all wrong.
mccain used bad judgement for picking palin
palin used bad judgement in accepting.
Posted by: cheer up, smile, nertz! | October 30, 2008, 4:46 pm 4:46 pm
Great strategy there, pubs. Count on the people who lie to pollsters to turn things around. Good luck with that.
Posted by: Yukon Sam | October 30, 2008, 4:47 pm 4:47 pm
SandyB,
You left out this part of the article about that LA Times/Bloomberg poll: “Only a tiny fraction of the Florida respondents reported voting early, leaving McCain’s lead subject to a wide margin of error.”
WHOOPS!
That’s what you get for counting on Drudge for your info.
I’m so glad I’m not a McCain supporter, flailing for whatever flimsy straw I (mistakenly) think might keep me afloat.
Posted by: R | October 30, 2008, 4:53 pm 4:53 pm
This was only a poll for those who had voted early, not all voters.
Posted by: SandyB | October 30, 2008, 5:20 pm 5:20 pm
“This was only a poll for those who had voted early, not all voters.”
Yes and because of a small sample size the poll has a wide margin of error.
Posted by: Ryan C (That One) | October 30, 2008, 5:33 pm 5:33 pm
The Nevada poll was taken from an exit poll conducted with 7,000+ early voters.
Posted by: SandyB | October 30, 2008, 5:51 pm 5:51 pm
“The Nevada poll was taken from an exit poll conducted with 7,000+ early voters.”
You were discussing Florida. Why would you bring up this poll?
“In the survey conducted since the beginning of early voting, 52 percent of Nevada’s voters have either voted for or plan to vote for the Illinois senator. When asked the reason for their choice, several respondents said their discontent with the Bush administration and the economy give Obama the lead.
That compares with McCain’s 40 percent.”
Posted by: Ryan C (That One) | October 30, 2008, 6:04 pm 6:04 pm
As I stated, these were exit polls from all early voters, not a mixed sampling.
Posted by: SandyB | October 30, 2008, 6:35 pm 6:35 pm
SandyB
No, they were not. Pennsylvania doesn’t even have early voting.
Posted by: jock59801 | October 30, 2008, 7:20 pm 7:20 pm
“Quality polls” – Surely you jest…
Like beauty, a “quality poll” is in the eye of the beholder…
Posted by: tjp8 | October 31, 2008, 7:14 pm 7:14 pm