Poll Cats II, Two Days Out

Horse poo, Jake.

Then there’s the TIPP overall… 46.7% for O-man… 44.6% for Mac … and, drumroll please… 8.7% undecided. Uh oh.

According to the polls, even if McCain gets those three states, Obama still gets 291 electoral votes. So why is this important?

They are all RED states and Tapper left out:
Colorado – where Obama has a 5% increase since the last Mason-Dixon poll and leads McCain 49-44
VA- Obama has a 6% increase since the last Mason-Dixon poll and leads McCain 47-44
Nevada – Obama has a 12% increase since the last Mason-Dixon poll and leads McCain 47-43
Also – ALL red states.

McCain should already have those states locked, but he doesn’t and he can’t even afford to lose one. Obama will win the election.

If he isn’t leading by at least 8 points in any poll McCain will win, don’t forget the Bradley effect.

Jake, why such a selective pick from the Mason-Dixon polls? They’re full of good news for Obama, and you know it, and this what you show of them?
Hmmmm…
That’s the Drudge tactic, of course, but I did not expect it from you.

JR – Our names have been hijacked by one crude poster re: Obama’s aunt.
Obama/Biden 08

Jake, what’s up?
THIS (check Virginia!) is what counts most in the latest Mason-Dixon polls:
In Colorado, Obama has gained five percentage points from the previous Mason-Dixon poll, Sept. 29-Oct. 1, when the candidates were tied at 44%. In the latest poll, Obama leads by five, 49%-44%.
In Nevada, Obama has gained 10 points since August, when McCain led by six, 47%-41%, and two points since their Oct. 8-9 poll. In the latest poll, Obama leads 47%-43%.
In Virginia, Obama has gained six percentage points since a Sept. 29-Oct. 1 poll that showed a three-point McCain lead, 48%-45%. In the latest poll, it’s Obama who leads by three, 47%-44%.
See the trend-lines, Jake?
Why muzzle the good news?
Plus – you forgot that your own ABC is giving Obama an ELEVEN point national lead today over McCain?
An no word on that!?

By my guess, even if McCain won IN, OH, FL, NC, MO, MT, ND Obama still wins with 291 electoral votes. Even if you give him PA, Obama still gets 270 and is president.

You mean the crowd that was there to see Bruce Springsteen. Yes funny if 60% that crowd vote for Mccain. I would sit and stomach listening to Obama’s garbage just to see THE BOSS. Still doesn’t mean they will vote for Obama.
But typical Obama supporter you are mesmerized by the messiah and his crowds. I think Obama supporters shoudl be worried about who does not show up. Like me a democrat. Who has not been called once by polls or visited. I am voting McCain!

JR… just for you.
IBD/TIPP Tracking Poll: Day Twenty-One
Posted Sunday, November 02, 2008
The race tightened again Sunday as independents who’d been leaning to Obama shifted to McCain to leave that key group a toss-up. McCain also pulled even in the Midwest, moved back into the lead with men, padded his gains among Protestants and Catholics, and is favored for the first time by high school graduates.
Google it.

Kim
Probally because it is not true.

Folks, don’t worry…
On the contrary!
Check RCP for what’s REALLY happening in the polls!
Obama reached his PEAK today in the national polls, with an average of 50,7 % of the votes. That is his BEST score this whole year, and it is his score TODAY! With 2 days to go… LOL!
Carefully study the graphic of the race between Obama and McCain…
LOL!

Stick to what you know JTP. Those polls were from 28/29. Immediately after, Obama hit the Infomercial got momentum going the other way for at least a few days. Also, MD is consistently more Pro-McCain in house effects. We don’t know if they are correct or not, but it’s worth mentioning.

Stick to what you know JTP. Those polls were from 28/29. Immediately after, Obama hit the Infomercial got momentum going the other way for at least a few days. Also, MD is consistently more Pro-McCain in house effects. We don’t know if they are correct or not, but it’s worth mentioning.

For example, on the 31
st.
A new SurveyUSA poll in Pennsylvania shows Sen. Barack Obama leading Sen. John McCain, 51% to 44%.

Jake, isn’t it newsworthy that, less than 48 hours before Election Day, Obama today reached his highest rating in the RCP average of national polls?
That’s pretty spectacular, you know, also from a historical viewpoint.

To all the confused McCain supporters, the election day is not and never will be November 5th 2008, it is November 4th. Stop suppressing the vote.

DJK,
Don’t sweat it. Mason-Dixon are the ONLY battleground state polls where Obama doesn’t hit 50. In all the others — including the more recent ones (these MD numbers are nearly a week old) — Obama’s polling at 50 and above.
My prediction about the undecideds? They’re mainly disaffected Republicans who don’t want to vote Obama, but can’t bring themselves to vote for McCain either. Over a quarter of them will stay home; of the rest who manage to drag themselves to the polls, at least of quarter will bail instead of waiting in the long lines. Of those who do vote, Obama will end up peeling off a third in “what the hell?” moments in the voting booth.
The likelihood of all the current undecideds suddenly breaking for McCain is about the same as my chances of winning $10 million.

In it, I wrote that Jake Taper took the three states out of the 16 states that had McCain winning in the poll and disregarded the remaining 84% of wins. I also compared Mason Dixon to the CNN polls that had Obama wining in NC and OH with landslides. Profanity and expressions of racism have a longer shelf life around here than the presentation of facts.

Just released:
Final USA TODAY/Gallup estimate: Obama, 53%; McCain, 42% – 11 points
Obama has a good chance of winning Missouri. Over 250,000 have attend an Obama rally during the last few weeks in Missouri. More people would have attended if there had been more space.
Last night, about 40,000 people attended an Obama rally in Springfield, MO, the reddest area of Missouri.
About 20,000 people attended a Palin rally in Springfield, MO a few days earlier

If poll results are posted, Jake, I’d suggest you also post results from THE SAME POLL over a (previous)period of time in order to see the TREND in a particular poll. Trends are what’s important, because each poll does have it’s own bias, whether we want to admit it or not. So tell us: What were the Mason-Dixon numbers IN CONTEXT? Have Obama’s numbers been going down?? Have McCain’s been going up? Let us know, please. Thanks.

“Gallup has completed it pre-election polling and all indications are that enough voters support Sen. Barack Obama to make him the next president of the U.S.”
“The trend data clearly show Obama ending the campaign with an upward movement in support, with eight to 11 percentage point leads among likely voters in Gallup’s last four reports of data extending back to Oct. 28. Obama’s final leads among both registered voters and likely voters are the largest of the campaign…”
8 years of Republican power in the White House was enough!
Sleazy McCain campaign = Sleazy Bush/Cheney/Rove campaigns.
There was no change. Same old dirty politics from the Republicans.
Not the change anybody wanted.
Democratic landslide victory.