The Note: McCain Hopes to Make Polls Wrong

By Hope Ditto

Nov 3, 2008 8:54am

ABC News’ Rick Klein reports in Monday’s Note:

Here at the final table . .  .

The Wright and Clinton cards are getting played (late) . . . 

Barack Obama won’t be answering questions . . .

John McCain won’t be having another town hall . . . 

Obama is giving Sarah Palin more airtime than McCain is . . .

Both candidates get one final messaging shot, on “Monday Night Football” . . . 

The expanded map is shrinking into focus . . .

And, as always, it’s about the stubborn math.

Read the rest of The Note — and get all the latest on the 2008 election, Congress, the White House and the wide world of politics every day — from Rick Klein by bookmarking this link.

The presidential candidates are taking their final, hectic laps through the states that will determine the election with the typical last-minute barbs and surprise (but not really) new attack lines.

Less than 24 hours before the voting starts, it’s really this simple: If McCain stands a realistic chance, all the numbers and the smart folks have to be systematically and completely wrong — or need to be made wrong inside of 24 hours.

Messaging and prognosticating are subsumed by realities like turnout at this stage — and numbers, at last, take over for spin. That means an even narrower path to victory for a campaign that’s trying to do more than just go through the final, inevitable motions.

“Heading into Tuesday’s election, every major independent poll gives Democratic presidential nominee Sen. Barack Obama the lead over his Republican opponent, Sen. John McCain,” Stephen Dinan writes in the Washington Times. “In the state-by-state matchup, the news is also good for Mr. Obama — the polls suggest he will easily flip Iowa, which went Republican in 2004, and has a lead in a series of other traditionally Republican ‘red’ states: Florida, Virginia, Ohio, Colorado, Nevada and New Mexico.”

ABC’s George Stephanopoulos notes the relatively stability of the polls, and the shrinking universe of undecideds: “We think only 8 percent [of the remaining voters] are undecided, and we think they break pretty evenly for McCain and Obama,” he said on “Good Morning America” Monday.

Continue reading today’s Note by clicking HERE.

ABC News’ Hope Ditto contributed to this report.

You are using an outdated version of Internet Explorer. Please click here to upgrade your browser in order to comment.
blog comments powered by Disqus