Feb 27, 2009 3:56pm

Gates and Mullen Say Surge Success Provided ‘Opportunities’ for Today’s Announcement

At Camp Lejeune after President Obama’s announcement, I had a chance to ask a few questions of Defense Secretary Robert Gates and Joint Chiefs Chairman Admiral Mike Mullen.

Would the president have been able to make today’s announcement without the success of the surge of troops in Iraq?

"Clearly what the surge has provided is the opportunity for success to be sustained and for us to accomplish our longer-range goals in Iraq," Gates said. "So there was nothing that would have prevented the president from making a different decision without the surge, but it clearly has put us in a very different place in terms of where Iraq is."

Mullen agreed, saying the surge "did create the kind of the decision space and opportunities that the secretary talked about."

Why set a 19 month deadline for the withdrawal of combat troops and not 16 months as the president pledged on the campaign trail? Why not 23 months, as some in the Pentagon suggested?

"The recommendations came up from the field," Mullen said. "We looked at a lot of options: the 16-month, 19-month, 23-month. And in fact hearing from commanders on the ground, actually even as those recommendations came up, conditions continued to improve. And it was the cumulative judgment of the Chiefs, it was a realization or an acceptance we were at moderate risk overall, and a comfort level."

Gates added that one of the considerations was that the commander of the multi-national forces in Iraq, Gen. Ray Odeirno, "would like to have as much force as he can keep in Iraq through the national elections in December (2009) and for some short period after that just to make sure that everyone is accepting the results of the election."

To then try to get most of the IS forces out of Iraq "by, say, May 2010, also would have presented some significant logistical challenges," Gates said.

And what does it mean, if anything, to say the up to 50,000 US troops remaining in Iraq after August 2010 are not "combat" troops?

Mullen said "more than anything" it means "big, heavy" combat brigade units will be moved out of Iraq by that date.

"The other big thing," Mullen said, "is to re-mission everbody. Clearly, you can’t have people there without having force protection and it takes troops to be able to do that."

President Obama, he added, "was very specific about counter-terrorism troops" remaining, "and from that standpoint they have a combat mission."

But the "big brigades and battallions … will be in remission by the end of August 2010."

– jpt

User Comments

Gates and Mullen are simply right-wingers. Mr. Obama would never utter such an opinion.

Posted by: Fascist Hyena | February 27, 2009, 4:06 pm 4:06 pm

EAT THAT OBAMA..I bet he fires Gates tomorrow

Posted by: "doh" bama | February 27, 2009, 4:32 pm 4:32 pm

Last year’s GAO report wasn’t encouraging about the longer term objectives of the surge. For instance, what’s going to happen when the Sunni insurgents no longer receive their $300 a month to remain put?

Posted by: kat the real one | February 27, 2009, 5:02 pm 5:02 pm

Synopsis of the article: Thank you President Bush. The left demanded we lose. You stood firm. That’s what a REAL leader does.

Posted by: TSS | February 27, 2009, 5:08 pm 5:08 pm

There was no “surge” of troops into Iraq. We increased the number of troops by only about 20%. More like a sizable trickle than a surge. What “surged” was our taxpayer dollars being used to pacify the enemy through bribes. I’m not saying this is something that should not have been done. That’s truly a matter of opinion. What I am saying is that the surge of taxpayer funded bribes was the real cause for the reduction in violence – not the modest increase in troop strength.

Posted by: libertyrulz | February 27, 2009, 5:25 pm 5:25 pm

Victory in Iraq!

Posted by: Will Stanton | February 27, 2009, 5:26 pm 5:26 pm

@libertyrulz “What “surged” was our taxpayer dollars being used to pacify the enemy through bribes. ”
So you would rather that we killed them instead of give the money?
And when our taxdollars start flowing to the lower income people in America will you call that a bribe by Obama?
LOL.

Posted by: Sally J | February 27, 2009, 5:29 pm 5:29 pm

Gates? Petraeus? Odierno? Why listen to the rantings of those right-wingers when, as Kat points out, we can rely on the General Accounting Office for a more trustworthy assessment of the political-military facts on the ground in Iraq? I’m sure the Commander-in-Chief will be getting briefed daily by the strategists at the GAO.

Posted by: Fascist Hyena | February 27, 2009, 5:32 pm 5:32 pm

Kat – that crisis on Sunni funding of Awakening brigades was last year and crisis seems to have passed –
1) Govt struck hard on the Shia militias – and self protection not insurgency is a key point for Sunni tribesman.
2) Provincial elections and next hopefully national elections will free govt and parliament from kowtowing to any radical sectarian group.
3) Awakening and Sons Of Iraqs groups are being integrated into national Iraqi forces and also paid local civilian unarmed groups (think community organizers and you’ll be happy)

Posted by: robert b | February 27, 2009, 5:33 pm 5:33 pm

Silly J – What do you mean “So you would rather that we killed them instead of give the money?” We did kill them, and kill them, and kill them some more. And when those in control finally realized it wasn’t going to work, they pulled out their smoke and mirrors and decided to just pay them not to fight, and they hid that little fact behind a slight increase in troop strength so that people like you would think they were brilliant war strategists. If they and you are so brilliant, why wait 5 years to implement a winning strategy? LOL

Posted by: libertyrulz | February 27, 2009, 5:34 pm 5:34 pm

“And when our taxdollars start flowing to the lower income people in America…”
Somebody let me know when that happens. By the way, Sally J, are you one of the people whose tax dollars will begin that longed-for flow?

Posted by: Fascist Hyena | February 27, 2009, 5:34 pm 5:34 pm

I see that LibertyRulz is the military genius here. I’m going to Google right now to find all the left-wing recommendations from five years ago that we whip out our checkbooks so as to win the war. Hell, everybody knew that was all that was needed, right?
And everyone with experience on the battlefield in Iraq knows that the Surge had nothing to do with our success. They’re just engaged in a vast right-wing conspiracy to keep that a dirty little secret. But they can’t fool LibertyRulz, nosiree?
“The Iraq war is lost.”
–Harry Reid, April, 2007

Posted by: Fascist Hyena | February 27, 2009, 5:38 pm 5:38 pm

“We did kill them, and kill them, and kill them some more.”
And guess what–they’re still dead. (That’s known as “winning.”)

Posted by: Fascist Hyena | February 27, 2009, 5:40 pm 5:40 pm

It disgusts me how Obama takes credit for simply following the plan. We aren’t getting out of Iraq any sooner or later than we would’ve under McCain (or even Bush, for that matter). But taking credit for the inevitable has always been a useful liberal trait. I especially enjoy the liberals who are upset they weren’t allowed to “press the genocide button” this time, like Vietnam.

Posted by: jrobinson | February 27, 2009, 5:41 pm 5:41 pm

Kat – that crisis on Sunni funding of Awakening brigades was last year and crisis seems to have passed *******************************************************
The Sunni Awakening happened prior to the pay offs, which I assume, they’re still getting. Good Day.

Posted by: kat the real one | February 27, 2009, 5:43 pm 5:43 pm

“It disgusts me how Obama takes credit for simply following the plan.”
When its the plan he proposed and campaigned for, he gets to take credit.
“We aren’t getting out of Iraq any sooner or later than we would’ve under McCain (or even Bush, for that matter)”
Try again McCain and Obama differed substantially on when any troops would be withdrawn.
Bush followed Obama’s lead.

Posted by: Ryan C | February 27, 2009, 5:50 pm 5:50 pm

Looks like Obama might leave troops in Iraq for 100 years–just like McCain said.

Posted by: harry | February 27, 2009, 6:10 pm 6:10 pm

“Let me say this as plainly as I can: By Aug. 31, 2010, our combat mission in Iraq will end,” ………..
Obama is the first President to be able to predict, to the very day, the end of a war.

Posted by: Sigmonde | February 27, 2009, 6:16 pm 6:16 pm

“Obama is the first President to be able to predict, to the very day, the end of a war.”
Mission accomplished!

Posted by: Ryan C | February 27, 2009, 6:42 pm 6:42 pm

I’ve never seen, in my life, more posts by people who have absolutely no clue. These flag officers dedicate their life to defending this country, spent more years in that role then probably most of you have been alive, and you have the nerve to post things like this?
You can say whatever you want, thanks to the dedication of these men who served, years away from their family putting thier life on the line, but make no mistake your words are disgracefull and offensive to those of us that have served and still serve.
The only people who deserve any credit for the success in Iraq are our officers and enlisted who lived the war day in and day out, not fly by ignorance of the TV watchers back here, or the empty words of ignorant politicians.
The melding of politics and national security is the most attrocious development that this country has ever done. That is because the people, and politicians, who are vastly uneducated in national defense and the threats we face, manipulate emotions for political power on the backs of soldiers.
If your furnace is busted, you don’t call on a plumbers opinion. When its national defense and war, you don’t call on a politicians opinion. Take the word of experts in the field, not power hungry politicians.

Posted by: KR | February 27, 2009, 7:10 pm 7:10 pm

“When its the plan he proposed and campaigned for, he gets to take credit…Bush followed Obama’s lead.”
The right-wingers at Newsweek have an entirely different view:
“In reality, what Obama has decided will largely replicate the plan B that his predecessor was offered in fall 2006. Plan A was what became known as ‘the surge’: send in more troops, with the new mission of making space for Iraqi politicians to get their act together. Plan B was to pull out most U.S. forces but to keep a reserve in the country, at bases outside Iraq’s cities, to intervene in emergencies, with others embedded as ‘advisers’ in Iraqi units they were training (in reality, commanding in combat). Obama’s Friday announcement is expected to indicate that a force of 35,000 to 50,000 forces will stay behind, probably at least until December 2011.”

Posted by: Fascist Hyena | February 27, 2009, 7:28 pm 7:28 pm

From the right-wingers at ABC News, July 3, 2008:
“Obama’s openness to adjust his 16-month withdrawal plan was somewhat at odds with the stance he took during a recent ABC News debate. At the time, Obama seemed to stand by his campaign manager’s unambiguous pledge to have troops out of Iraq in 16 months ‘at the most.’”
When Mr. Obama “seems” to stand by an “unambiguous pledge,” stay tuned…

Posted by: Fascist Hyena | February 27, 2009, 7:36 pm 7:36 pm

Obama is not above trying to take credit for “ending” the war in Iraq, even though the only reason he is not being handed a civil-war infested with Al Qaida is the dramatic success of “The Surge” strategy, which actually won it… but which both Obama and Biden opposed vehemently.
-
During the campaign, when it became obvious that Bush, Petraus, and McCain were right, and Obama wrong- he simply changed the subject. While his advisors then felt that Iraq was no longer a useful talking point, they now see an opportunity to put Obama’s face on the withdrawal… and lend a facade of legitimacy to his previous, ill-advised cut-and-run proposals… a disengenuous charade.
-
And didn’t Bush’s Status-of-Forces Agreement with the Maliki government in Baghdad already set the timetable for the withdrawal over the next three years? Obama’s little skit here is simply fodder for the ill-informed and leftist supporters.

Posted by: Reaganite Republican | February 27, 2009, 8:14 pm 8:14 pm

“If your furnace is busted, you don’t call on a plumbers opinion. When its national defense and war, you don’t call on a politicians opinion. Take the word of experts in the field, not power hungry politician”
OK KR I admit that I agree with some of what you posted however I must point out that it is important that this country’s foreign policy is not decided by the military. They are experts at fighting, not making peace. We need the military to be safe, that’s for sure, but we don’t call the military to make peace. That is the job of diplomats. If the military had been in charge during the Cuban Missile Crisis we probably wouldn’t be here right now.

Posted by: Skip | February 27, 2009, 9:00 pm 9:00 pm

“I must point out that it is important that this country’s foreign policy is not decided by the military.”
You will not find a professional American military man anywhere who disagrees with that statement. So what? A civilian in authority who disregards the assessment of the military professionals on the scene is nuts.

Posted by: Fascist Hyena | February 27, 2009, 10:17 pm 10:17 pm

“WASHINGTON (AP) — Ali Al-Marri, alleged to be a U.S.-based sleeper agent for al-Qaeda, is now facing criminal charges, but the Obama administration is refusing to rule out the future use of indefinite detention for terrorism suspects picked up in the United States.
“The administration urged the Supreme Court on Friday to dismiss al-Marri’s challenge to the president’s authority to detain people in the United States indefinitely and without charges.”
Has the White House been taken over by some frothing right-winger? How can they possibly hold these people without charges? Is there no justice for terrorists in this land?

Posted by: Fascist Hyena | February 27, 2009, 10:33 pm 10:33 pm

“If the military had been in charge during the Cuban Missile Crisis we probably wouldn’t be here right now.”
Actually that’s not really true. Russia was not prepared to go to war over Cuba. They certainly wanted us to think that for deterrence, but they wouldn’t have anymore than we went to war with Russia over Georgia. It wasn’t worth it to the Russians. Both sides had to show their bluster though, that was the reality of the Cold War.
Same goes for McArthur in Korea. McArthur wanted an invasion of China after they crossed the Yalu River. Trueman fired him for suggesting it. After the Cold War ended, records showed that Russia was bluffing and had no intention of getting into a war with the U.S. over China. Had we listened to Gen. McArthur, we wouldn’t have had a Vietnam and China would be a democracy today.

Posted by: KR | February 27, 2009, 11:15 pm 11:15 pm

I was against the invasion of Iraq in the beginning, and think the war was a mistake, but I applaud President Bush’s decision to implement the surge as it provided the military with a sense of success, and preserved the reputation of our armed forces. How horrible if they had returned with their tails between their legs in abject defeat. How devaluing that would have been for all those who sacrificed so much.

Posted by: buster | February 27, 2009, 11:30 pm 11:30 pm

“Had we listened to Gen. McArthur, we wouldn’t have had a Vietnam and China would be a democracy today.”
Even if conquering China was even possible, which I highly doubt, do you really think the American people would have consented to another giant war less than a decade after wwII? Would Russia and the rest of the world tolerated our use of atomic weapons? I think Truman more accurately assessed the situation at this point even though his initial policies toward China may have incited their military involvement.

Posted by: Skip | February 28, 2009, 12:04 am 12:04 am

The Dali Obama got to act like a big man today at Camp Lejeune due to the efforts of a military plan that he openly opposed, ridiculed and mocked.
Chalk one up to “Audacity!”

Posted by: OxyCon | February 28, 2009, 1:11 am 1:11 am

I dont think Obama can predict the end f the war like this.

Posted by: Bacterial Diseases | February 28, 2009, 6:49 am 6:49 am

The right-wingers at the UK Guardian think The Messiah’s withdrawal plan is reckless and irresponsible:
“President Barack Obama plans to withdraw most major combat troops from Iraq by August 2010. According to reports, Obama will remove about 90,000 combat troops of the current 140,000 soldiers in country, leaving 50,000.
“While it’s nice to see a politician try to keep a core campaign promise, the decision is an unnecessary strategic gamble that will play with both American and Iraqi lives.”
On the other hand, Mrs. Pelosi thinks The One has welshed on his promise…

Posted by: Fascist Hyena | February 28, 2009, 11:21 am 11:21 am

Why do Demi-Dems keep talking about those lost in Iraq as if they are the worst military losses in history ((don’t get me wrong ~ 5 thousand is bad but nothing like other wars that Dems started or supported – Vietnam – 56,000 == == WW II – 408,000 US Troops; 20+ ‘Million’ world wide when you consider disease and all the other complicating factors of that war – should we have “Preempted” Hitler !!! ).
So why when Libs talk do they make ~ 5 thousand sound like 50 thousand as they ‘Propagandize’ about Iraq.
If we pull out and have to go back in (as Obama has already said we might – which the liberal media has avoided repeating as best they could — Propagandize what they like & Sweeping the rest ‘under the rug’) then unfortunately it ‘may be’ more like 50 thousand, if we have to land troops D-Day style (if we pull out and the area explodes this is very possible – 80% chance) as opposed to already being there. If we don’t go back in there may be mass genocide, and if the ‘Persian Gulf Oil’ stops flowing (even if you don’t care about US oil, all those other nation’s oil will matter too) you will see a Depression to make the present situation look ‘Child’s Play’. What is the likelihood all those Iraqi factions are just going to kiss and make up, and when they don’t it will pull in Iran, Saudi Arabia, possibly Turkey and possibly several others (why has our “Grand Illustrious Media” avoided informing the public about this issue – they even take the time to ‘drill in’ lesser points, but here No Mention !!)
Lets hope (for everyone’s sake) that Obama knows what he is doing here. I fear the ‘Inexperience Question’ may be very telling on this one.
Do you begin to get it yet ‘children’.

Posted by: Da Truth | February 28, 2009, 2:13 pm 2:13 pm

If we pull out and have to go back in (as Obama has already said we might – which the liberal media has avoided repeating as best they could — Propagandize what they like & Sweeping the rest ‘under the rug’) then unfortunately it may be more like 50 thousand American Lives (instead of 5 thousand) if we have to land troops D-Day style (if we pull out and the area explodes this is very possible – 80% chance) as opposed to already being there.
American Lives were almost invariably saved by dealing with Hussein now, instead of later. If Iran, N Korea, Libya, Syria acted up then Hussein would have just seen it as an opportunity to act up himself (apparently none of you liberals thought about that). We were Ultimately going to have to deal with Hussein eventually, and he had been given enough chances and had the ‘Most Barbaric’ past of any of them (he was a Modern Day Hitler – Bush & Cheney preempted him and most of the world is CLUELESS).
Lets Bust another Myth: — WMD was not Bush’s only Stated reason for dealing with Hussein: His Genocidal Past; Breaking 15+ UN Resolutions over ~ 10 years and refusal to comply on SO many fronts, Including Lighting Up and Firing on our Jets for years (in the N. & S. No Fly Zones) etc, etc. Also since he was captured he has admitted that he was trying to make the World think he had WMD (mostly as a deterrent to Iran, the US & also probably Israel). Do you think that is why Tenet (CIA Chief and a Bill Clinton Appointment) made the ‘Slam Dunk’ Comment. Keep in mind Hussein was putting on a
‘show’ for our overhead satellites.
…….Also, Prior to the ‘First’ Gulf War most all of the ‘So Called’ Experts (many from the UN) said Hussein was ‘at least’ 3 years away from a Nuclear Weapon, but probably more like 5 or 6, maybe 7 or more………. When the inspectors got in they found he was only 9 to 18 Months away…….. This point is HUGE……… Without American boots on the ground how were we ever going to know, and obviously with Hussein’s “Barbaric Past” we were going to have to err on the side of caution (most libs won’t understand this point – it doesn’t suit their politics).
Iran also comes to mind with this point, but I fear Obama will Botch it (the inexperience question or just his naïve belief systems). However, Israel may be the one to deal with Iran and save Obum, and us, from a far worse outcome.

Posted by: Da Truth | February 28, 2009, 4:57 pm 4:57 pm

Kat – you’re so funny. The “fact” that Awakening started before the “surge” is supposed to discount Bush and Petraeus and the sacrifice of our troops in the subsequent improvement of Iraq
…instead you use it to say correctly that Sunni Awakening (that is fighting for Iraq and against Al Qaeda is more important than insurgency and sectarianism) started BEFORE “payoffs” as you put it.
Therefore if it started without special money and US support, there’s no reason it will NOT continue when it ceases.
Please send these pacifist liberals to a Logic class (No wait a minute, DONT, I might lose an argument once in a while)

Posted by: robert b | February 28, 2009, 7:50 pm 7:50 pm

“Even if conquering China was even possible, which I highly doubt, do you really think the American people would have consented to another giant war less than a decade after wwII? Would Russia and the rest of the world tolerated our use of atomic weapons? I think Truman more accurately assessed the situation at this point even though his initial policies toward China may have incited their military involvement.”
Sorry I didn’t reply sooner skip. At the time, an invasion of China, and defeat of China would have been likely instead of unlikely. China had very few modern assets at the time (short of the very good Mig-15), and no Navy to speak of. Militarily, an engagement of China wouldn’t have been a match against the U.S. Also strategically, they were in a poor position, with the vast majority of their organized army in or near the Korean peninsula.
It is true, the US population wasn’t in the mood for another war, but Korea was already a war we were in. When China crossed the river, it became a war with China, whether people wanted to admit it or not.
I seriously doubt we would have dropped nukes on China in the war. If we had a hair trigger to drop nukes, we would have done it in the winter of 52 when US forces were being overrun in northern Korea.
Most military historians would disagree with Trueman’s assessment of the Korean situation, probably label it as mis-managed. It set a precedent that eventually led to the major mistakes of the Vietnam war, instead of fighting for a termed victory we fought for an acceptable outcome.

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