Is Sotomayor a Lock for the Supreme Court?

Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg raised a few eyebrows today with her prediction that
President Barack Obama would "surely" pick a Supreme Court justice "soon." 

Here’s my question: what are the chances that Obama DOESN’T pick Sonia Sotomayor? 

In her favor, she was appointed to the federal bench by George H.W. Bush. Elevated to the Appeals Court by Bill Clinton. She’s a protégé of Daniel Patrick Moynihan and a prosecutor with Robert Morgenthau.  Graduate of Princeton and Yale after growing up in the South Bronx. 

And, Sotomayor would be the first Hispanic Justice on the Supreme Court bench.

1-10 she gets the nod.  Too high?  Too low?

–George Stephanopoulos