By Jaketapper

Apr 1, 2009 10:00am

Breakthrough on U.S.-Russian Relations? “We’re Not Looking Into Anybody’s Soul,” Says U.S. Official, Previewing “Sober” Yet Optimistic Announcement

LONDON — Senior officials with the Obama administration tell ABC News that this morning, after a bilateral meeting between President Obama and Russian President Dmitry Medvedev, the governments of both countries will make a major announcement relating to U.S.-Russian relations, including arms control, a statement of the future U.S.-Russian agenda and a U.S.-Russian summit to take place perhaps as early as this summer.

"There are very real differences between the United States and Russia, and I have no interest in papering those over," President Obama said Wednesday morning at a press conference with British Prime Minister Gordon Brown. "But there are also a set of common interests."

The President listed those interests as ranging "from Afghanistan to Iran," including "reducing nuclear stockpiles … reducing the threat of terrorism … stabilizing the world economy … and finding a sustainable path for energy and dealing with some of the threats of climate change. … I think there’s great potential for concerted action and that’s what I think we’ll be pursuing."

"A good place to start will be the issue of nuclear proliferation," the president said.

The announcement will include a set of instructions to arms negotiators on how to conclude a new, "post-START" agreement by the end of 2009, a senior official tells ABC News.

START — or the Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty — between the United States and then-USSR was signed in March 1991 and removed more than 75 percent of the strategic nuclear weapons in both countries’ arsenals.

But START is set to expire Dec. 5, 2009.

Russian leaders have been making a lot of noise about rearming Russia; Russian Strategic Rocket Force Commander Nikolai Solovtsov, for example, said that Russia would start deploying next-generation RS-24 missiles after START expires at the end of the year.

Wednesday’s announcement could put the United States and Russia on a path to prevent that rearming. It will not be a treaty, the official cautioned ABC News. "This is just a set of instructions on how negotiators need to proceed."

An Obama administration official says that the goal of the post-START negotiations would be to roughly reduce the joint u.S.-Russian nuclear arsenal to 3,000 missiles from the current allowable level of 4,400.

The announcement will also include a joint statement on U.S.-Russian relations. The statement will include a section on arms control, Iran, Afghanistan, European security, the United States’ proposed missile defense shield, the Russian war with Georgia, the World Trade Organization, democracy and human rights.

"It will cover a big agenda — setting the agenda for us to try to do more things in a more comprehensive cooperative way with the Russians," the official said. "One notion will be we should look at cooperative ways to look at defense.

"Nobody’s going to be looking into anybody’s soul tomorrow," the official said, referring to President George W. Bush’s testimony about former Russian President Vladimir Putin. "We’ll deal with concrete issues where we can cooperate, and we will also recognize our disagreements."

The officials described the document as dealing with "very concrete substantive issues, not ‘preamble’ language or high-flying rhetoric, no discussion of being allies or strategic partnerships."

The official described U.S. negotiators as being "very sober-minded. … We’re starting at a pretty bad place with U.S.-Russian relations. You’d have to go back to 1983 to remember a time when relations were so confrontational. And they’re not now."

The process began with the letter President Obama wrote to Medvedev in February, in which the president acknowledged the deterioration of relations between the two countries and suggested that U.S. plans for a missile defense shield to protect European allies — a shield fiercely opposed by the Russians — wouldn’t be necessary if Iran’s nuclear weapons program were no longer an issue.

"What I said in the letter was that, obviously, to the extent that we are lessening Iran’s commitment to nuclear weapons, then that reduces the pressure for, or the need for, a missile defense system," Obama said.

The letter was followed up with negotiations and discussions with Russian government officials by various U.S. officials, including Secretary of State Hillary Clinton — who met Tuesday with Minister of Foreign Affairs of the Russian Federation Sergey Viktorovich Lavrov; Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs William Joseph Burns; and Michael McFaul, special assistant to the president for National Security Affairs and senior director of Russian and Eurasian affairs at the National Security Council.

– Jake Tapper

User Comments

As long as President Obama doesn’t see his “soul” by looking into his eyes…we should be okay.

Posted by: Iraq Vet | April 1, 2009, 7:26 am 7:26 am

So Bush looked into Putin’s soul, and hustled forces into Georgia and put up an anti-missile defense. Maybe Obama should do a little soul searching, too.
================================

Posted by: kim | April 1, 2009, 7:54 am 7:54 am

Obama just needs to refrain from looking into the eyes or souls of Medvedev and he’ll be fine…

Posted by: matt | April 1, 2009, 7:55 am 7:55 am

This scares me to death. Obama is totally naive and knows nothing about dealing with Russia, China or anybody who is a real threat. They are going to run over him using his naiveté and desire to be liked. Real leaders are respected, not liked but he doesn’t understand this.

Posted by: brian | April 1, 2009, 7:56 am 7:56 am

Well, just so long as the US isn’t pointing a GUN at Russia’s head.

Posted by: Mockingbird | April 1, 2009, 8:01 am 8:01 am

brian wrote “This scares me to death”.
You people are scared of everything. Don’t worry, President Obama has more brains and political savvy in the crack of his butt then GW/Cheney had in their collective pea brains.

Posted by: Clint | April 1, 2009, 8:17 am 8:17 am

………People… get real before the world balance changes. Communism is NOT good. Where are guys like Kennedy and Reagan to make a stand when we need them to?
Posted by: Tim | Apr 1, 2009 8:27:37 AM
———————————–
The problem is, if only people of your likes had their ways there wouldn’t be a world to have its balance changes. Since you can only understand things in sounbite mode, you probably wouldn’t understand what they are trying to do here. I’m sure they’re taking too long for your taste.

Posted by: D. | April 1, 2009, 8:33 am 8:33 am

Those who forget history are doomed to repeat it.
A little healthy fear from potentially hostile nations is a good thing; appearing to be weak is not.

Posted by: marylou | April 1, 2009, 8:37 am 8:37 am

How can one trip abroad require an entourage of 500 frickin people???? What did he do, invite the whole south side of Chicago? Who is picking up the tab for these people — we, the taxpayer??? What are they doing all day while he is at the summit??? I can imagine the bill for this trip — at a time when we are in the worst crisis of our lives….OMG!!

Posted by: Carol | April 1, 2009, 8:42 am 8:42 am

You know what Carol? The President and First Lady also had the NERVE to use Air Force One to get there.
CAN YOU BELIEVE THAT?!?!?
A dingy with two oars would have been plenty.
….you repubs just keep getting better and better.
HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA ….

Posted by: Steve | April 1, 2009, 8:48 am 8:48 am

i wouldn’t bank on this it’s all up to putin he decides what will go on he’s the one in charge good luck mr.president your going to need it.

Posted by: natale from mass. | April 1, 2009, 8:51 am 8:51 am

carol,
since you do not know i will tell you,
all us presidents travel that way.
including george w bush.
I don’t know why they felt the need to report this with obama.
all the heads of state travel this way.
if bush with his dumb### was able to travel this way. obama can to.

Posted by: WHAT! | April 1, 2009, 8:53 am 8:53 am

Ater this “meeting” we will be weaker and Russia stonger.

Posted by: Sad day for US | April 1, 2009, 8:56 am 8:56 am

Don’t forget the Russians are sucking up to Iran. And now they’re sucking up to the US? How gullible can our leaders be? Russia is the one that has been supplying Iran with nuclear capability! THE RUSSIANS ARE LIARS!!! Man, politicians are flakey!!! Of course, they’ll say anything to get their way! Thats what got Obama elected, didn’t it?Look at his track record so far. Where are the changes he BS’d America about?
He really hasn’t accomplished anything. Its still just a bunch of empty words.

Posted by: brannigonforall | April 1, 2009, 8:57 am 8:57 am

Some of you all would not recognize real leadership if it ran right up to you, and said come follow me. might as well be back in the good ole cowboy days when all they had to say was (LETS STRING HIM UP BOYS)you all are afraid of your own shadows, and because of your fear you won’t neg. with anyone that may be willing to sit down and talk.

Posted by: vern | April 1, 2009, 8:58 am 8:58 am

Look out Poland and the rest of eastern Europe your about to be thrown under the bus. I willing to give our new President a chance but, if he dose not deliver what was promised to eastern Europe then he has sold the credibility of the Presidency.

Posted by: hkdakota | April 1, 2009, 9:05 am 9:05 am

this is potentially huge progress after the Bush Adminsitration nearly restarted the Cold War (among other major foriegn policy disasters)…fingers crossed we can stop antagonizing Russia and start to find common ground ….the West has humiliated them enough. Good work Mr, President.

Posted by: indithinker | April 1, 2009, 9:10 am 9:10 am

ABC News, your news coverage is actually fair and balanced. Good work!
President Obama: You’ve got my support. No one is going to agree with all your decision, but your heart is in the right place and you have great leadership and communication skills. It feels good having you and Michele represting America. ~richard

Posted by: Richard H. Allbritton | April 1, 2009, 9:20 am 9:20 am

“This scares me to death. Obama is totally naive and knows nothing about dealing with Russia, China or anybody who is a real threat. They are going to run over him using his naiveté and desire to be liked. Real leaders are respected, not liked but he doesn’t understand this.”
And some are even…liked *and* respected. GASP!

Posted by: silky | April 1, 2009, 9:20 am 9:20 am

My question is why do we need 3,000 nuclear missiles? A couple hundred would be a sufficient deterrent, wouldn’t they? Do we know how much it’s costing us to maintain and keep secure thousands of excess nuclear weapons in both countries?

Posted by: Enough | April 1, 2009, 9:22 am 9:22 am

Understanding through communication is the key to bringing this world together. Obama undertands that. Those who disagree can create their own battlefields.

Posted by: Charlie | April 1, 2009, 9:23 am 9:23 am

hkdakota:”if he dose not deliver what was promised to eastern Europe then he has sold the credibility of the Presidency.”
And what exactly was promised, by the US Congress, to Eastern Europe? We are NOT a monarchy, so if you are considering side comments from Bush to be binding treaties then YOU are throwing the Constitution under the bus.

Posted by: jhw539 | April 1, 2009, 9:23 am 9:23 am

It’s the job of the president to pursue these agreements, and the job of Congress to oversee and give them a yes/no ratification before they are implemented. I am glad to see Obama quickly turning the presidency back to doing the job it lost of sight of during the past administration.

Posted by: jhw539 | April 1, 2009, 9:26 am 9:26 am

Google: HR 45 Blair Holt

Posted by: LongT | April 1, 2009, 9:33 am 9:33 am

If Iran refuses to give up their nuclear weapons ambition, will Obama go ahead with the missile defense system in Europe or should he just cancel it to have “better” relationship with Russia?

Posted by: Sigmond | April 1, 2009, 9:34 am 9:34 am

The biggest thing that worries me is that Obama must remember to keep the best intrest of the United States of America front and center in all of his dealings and talks.
He is a little naive.

Posted by: Trish T | April 1, 2009, 9:39 am 9:39 am

I keep reading that China and Russia are rearming at a fast pace.

Posted by: DontGet818OnMeNow | April 1, 2009, 9:40 am 9:40 am

“If Iran refuses to give up their nuclear weapons ambition, will Obama go ahead with the missile defense system in Europe or should he just cancel it to have “better” relationship with Russia?”
What missile defense system?

Posted by: silky | April 1, 2009, 9:46 am 9:46 am

JHW539, when you have an agreement with someone and break that agreement what dose that say about you?

Posted by: hkdakota | April 1, 2009, 9:48 am 9:48 am

“when you have an agreement with someone and break that agreement what dose that say about you?”
In the context of foreign policy? Not necessarily anything.

Posted by: silky | April 1, 2009, 9:50 am 9:50 am

hkdakota:”when you have an agreement with someone and break that agreement what dose that say about you?”
If I agree to sell you the Brooklyn Bridge and you accept, what does that say about you AND me?
An agreement with the US is a treaty. Treaties MUST be approved by Congress. What treaty are you claiming we are violating with Eastern Europe by talking to Russia and continuing the decades long process of nuclear arms reduction? Specifically please.

Posted by: jhw539 | April 1, 2009, 9:50 am 9:50 am

The April Fool’s Trifecta, boys and girls.
1. This administration thinking they can trade Eastern European defensive missiles for Russia’s influence over Iran’s nuclear ambitions. Does anyone really think Russia can influence the Mullahs? Does anyone really think they want to do so? Brain dead fools, the bunch of ‘em.
2. This administration thinking they can enlist Iran’s help in Afghanistan, when Iran is already salivating over Northern Afghanistan, where they have great influence, and the problems are in Southern and Eastern Afghanistan, where Iran has little influence. Brain dead fools, the bunch of ‘em.
3. This administration thinking they can use media manipulation against three forces much bigger than Axelrod and Emanuel, those being Capital, Climate, and China. Brain dead fools, all of youse guys who put your trust in this gang of stone cold crooks and blithering, blundering, morons.
==================================

Posted by: kim | April 1, 2009, 9:53 am 9:53 am

jhw539, Also the President is commander and chief of the armed forces. While it may be good form to consult congress about troop and weapon deployment I don’t think it is constitutionally required.

Posted by: hkdakota | April 1, 2009, 9:55 am 9:55 am

“What missile defense system?”
The one Obama referred to. See below or read a newspaper.
Obama said: “What I said in the letter was that, obviously, to the extent that we are lessening Iran’s commitment to nuclear weapons, then that reduces the pressure for, or the need for, a missile defense system,”

Posted by: Sigmond | April 1, 2009, 9:55 am 9:55 am

…and finding a sustainable path for energy and dealing with some of the threats of climate change….
–PB0
======
Our Greatest Smartest Clueless Leader thought he out-smarted the Russians, in a common interest of “finding a sustainable path for energy”.
Of course, the Russians are very much interested in selling us their oil from the Siberia, and PB0 is interested in buying it, paving a path more dependent on foreign oil, and pollution of the planet.

Posted by: two cats | April 1, 2009, 9:57 am 9:57 am

I beg to differ not all U.S. agreements are a binding treaty.

Posted by: hkdakota | April 1, 2009, 9:58 am 9:58 am

With economic ruin comes humility. I like it!

Posted by: Huh | April 1, 2009, 10:00 am 10:00 am

hkdakota: What “was promised to eastern Europe”? Were you just completely making that up? Now you seem to be suggesting that Bush committed America to provide Eastern Europe troops (?) and America is now honor bound to fulfill that overreaching promise(??).
Please cite the promise you referred to initially

Posted by: jhw539 | April 1, 2009, 10:01 am 10:01 am

“What I said in the letter was that, obviously, to the extent that we are lessening Iran’s commitment to nuclear weapons, then that reduces the pressure for, or the need for, a missile defense system”
I repeat…what missile defense system? One does not exist.

Posted by: silky | April 1, 2009, 10:01 am 10:01 am

My point being it’s just a bargaining chip. It doesn’t work, and it never will work.

Posted by: silky | April 1, 2009, 10:02 am 10:02 am

Glad to see Concerned in OH’s biggest worry about our President is that his protocol secretary isn’t very good at his/her job.

Posted by: jhw539 | April 1, 2009, 10:02 am 10:02 am

“Like giving Region 1 DVDs to a near blind prime minister and giving his kids models from the WH gift shop?”
Wow…compelling argument there.

Posted by: silky | April 1, 2009, 10:03 am 10:03 am

Carol, the reason BO has to travel with an entourage is because he envisions himself as a P.Diddy/Kobe/Denzel character. As for “looking into Medvedev’s soul” Obama would get the calm reassuring feeling like looking into a mirror because they share the same core communist values.

Posted by: sticky wish | April 1, 2009, 10:06 am 10:06 am

Is that Grand Fool actually thinking he can deal with Russia about climate? The Russians, with huge stores of natural gas, with which they heat and power Europe are perfectly aware that the globe is cooling, that CO2 has been mistakenly demonized as a climate changer, and that encumbering carbon is a massive policy mistake. So do China and India believe. Those three, and other developing nations, have no desire or need to make concessions at the Copenhagen conference. They intend to use mistaken and misplaced American and European guilt about CO2 to place themselves in a better competitive market position, and us and Europe in a worse one. Fools, FOOLS, I say.
==============================

Posted by: kim | April 1, 2009, 10:08 am 10:08 am

kim:”that CO2 has been mistakenly demonized as a climate changer”
Not much to say when someone’s ranting is denying something that can, and regularly is, empirically proven in high school chem classes. The greenhouse effect is proven by simple reproducible experiment, the questions that have been being researched the last 15 years are what are the buffer forces at work.

Posted by: jhw539 | April 1, 2009, 10:12 am 10:12 am

I was reading all of your comments people. It seems like nobody read the Bible. That’s what really scary!
When everyone feels right in his own eyes that generates pride. End of all things is a cause of pride!

Posted by: Dr.Gordon | April 1, 2009, 10:16 am 10:16 am

“I was reading all of your comments people. It seems like nobody read the Bible. That’s what really scary!”
Lol. Yeah…*that’s* what’s scary. People not reading the bible.

Posted by: silky | April 1, 2009, 10:18 am 10:18 am

Major announcement:
Obama to visit Russia;
Putin to visit US with lapdog Medvedev.

Posted by: Will Stanton | April 1, 2009, 10:18 am 10:18 am

“Is that Grand Fool actually thinking he can deal with Russia about climate?”
Well, gee…why bother trying then, huh?

Posted by: silky | April 1, 2009, 10:18 am 10:18 am

“I repeat…what missile defense system? One does not exist.”
Then why is Russia so concerned about having one in Poland and Czech Republic? Does this mean Obama is negotiating with an imaginary missile defense system? lol

Posted by: Sigmond | April 1, 2009, 10:21 am 10:21 am

jhw539: Sure, CO2 has a greenhouse effect, perhaps a half a degree Centigrade of warming per doubling of concentration. The IPCC has stampeded a panic by claiming that effect is 10 times as great, and the Grandest Fool Gore has layered on perhaps another order of magnitude of baloney. With the present cooling already disconfirming the IPCC’s predictions, and the present failure of the Global Climate Models, it is time for an honest discussion of the tradeoffs among energy options and policy. This we haven’t had so far.
The climate modelers made mistaken assumptions about the feedback effect of water vapor to the initial tiny forcing of CO2. The models also poorly parameterize convection and clouds. Check it out, you’ve nothing to lose but your ignorance and your fears.
Besides, if we are cooling for 20-100 years, as I believe, then the minimal warming effect, and the large fertiziling effect of CO2 on crops will feed and warm the teeming billions. We are being wrong-footed by the climate alarmist fools into mitigating a warming that isn’t happening, and fatally missing the chance to adapt to a cooling world. This will be a holocaust to the poor people of the earth. You, yes, I mean you, have a chance to change this. Educate yourself, or be sorry.
==========================
=================================

Posted by: kim | April 1, 2009, 10:25 am 10:25 am

“Then why is Russia so concerned about having one in Poland and Czech Republic? Does this mean Obama is negotiating with an imaginary missile defense system? lol”
I believe so, yes. I ask for the third time, what is this “missile defense system?” Because historically that has referred to a yet-to-succeed surface-to-air missile used to shoot down ICBMs.

Posted by: silky | April 1, 2009, 10:25 am 10:25 am

“I ask for the third time, what is this “missile defense system?” Because historically that has referred to a yet-to-succeed surface-to-air missile used to shoot down ICBMs.”
Three strikes and you’re out. You would be further ahead by not asking such a ridiculous question, than fumbling around trying to defend it.

Posted by: Sigmond | April 1, 2009, 10:32 am 10:32 am

Why do we need 12 TOTUS shipped to the UK? Don’t we just have one POTUS? Maybe PB0 will sell 11 TOTUS to the Brits, helping us home economy.

Posted by: kat | April 1, 2009, 10:35 am 10:35 am

“Three strikes and you’re out. You would be further ahead by not asking such a ridiculous question, than fumbling around trying to defend it.”
What are you talking about?

Posted by: silky | April 1, 2009, 10:37 am 10:37 am

Look, I can argue climate change until the cows come home. Natural cycles predominate. The point for this discussion is that the Russian scientists are among the world’s most skeptical about the effect of CO2 on climate, that the Russians own huge stores of fossil hydrocarbons with which they already manipulate events and nations, and that they intend to use mistaken Western guilt about carbon use to put us into a further competitive advantage.
A recent thesis of mine is that though this administration is expert at media manipulation, there are three massive forces which they cannot control, Climate, Capital, and China. We will see them attempt to butt their heads and ours against these, and they will lose big-time. Follow these fools at your peril.
============================

Posted by: kim | April 1, 2009, 10:37 am 10:37 am

kim:”The climate modelers made mistaken assumptions about the feedback effect of water vapor to the initial tiny forcing of CO2. The models also poorly parameterize convection and clouds. Check it out, you’ve nothing to lose but your ignorance and your fears.”
Write a paper with scientific evidence of your theory and you will be a millionaire overnight with your own lab and department at Exxon, guaranteed. Yet no one has, in the last twenty years this has been researched.
Sorry if I chose to listen to the IPCC, who themselves merely summarize the conclusions of the factual research performed by thousands of scientists over the last couple decades. Much like evolution vs creationism, at this point it’s not worth arguing with the anti-science fringe who seem to think Gore is a scientist to be refuted.

Posted by: jhw539 | April 1, 2009, 10:40 am 10:40 am

usless

Posted by: Joeray | April 1, 2009, 10:46 am 10:46 am

1. We would not like Russia Building a Missile Defense System in Cuba or Venezuela.
2. The Defense System is a Costly on.
3. Any Missile being Launched by a nation that does not have a [Nuclear Weapon] in this case Iran…
It would not be able to Reach our Shores, because of Defense and Allied Nation with Counter Nuclear Defense Systems would also be involved, their Nation’s could be harmed by such a Launch, that could go Deadly Wrong !!
4.Every Nation with Nuclear Weaposn are a Damn Threat !!
5. The intended Target[s] could go Deadly Wrong as well as the Nation that Launches a Nuclear Weapon, could do More Harm to Themselves…
Note: Some of are [[Hell Bent]] on being a part of the ..
[[First Nuclear War]]
I for one am not in that Number…
Reagan Hob Knobbed with Russian Leaders and Kennedy knew how far to go in Provoking Russia and Vis Versa…
Obama is doing a Great Thing…
No Nation or Leader wants the Repercussions of being in a …
Nuclear World War…
Because We’d … All [[LOSE

Posted by: O. | April 1, 2009, 10:47 am 10:47 am

Jake: Sorry about the Earlier Response.
———–
1. We would not like Russia Building a Missile Defense System in Cuba or Venezuela.
2. The Defense System is a Costly one.
3.Speculation about Any Missiles being Launched by a Nation that does not have them, to begin with is stupid, in this case, its Supposed to be Iran…
If it were True, the Nuke would not be able to Reach our Shores, because of Star Wars Satelite Defense, remember and our Allied Nations with Counter Nuclear Defense Systems, would also be involved, because their Nation’s could also be Harmed by such a Launch, which could go Deadly Wrong !!
4.Every Nation with Nuclear Weapons are a Damn Threat !!
5. The intended Target[s] could go Deadly Wrong as well as the Nation that Launches a Nuclear Weapon, could do More Harm to Themselves..
Note: Some of you are [[Hell Bent]] on being a part of the..
[[First Nuclear War]]
I for one am not in that Number..
Reagan Hob Knobbed with Russian Leaders and Kennedy knew how far to go in Provoking Russia and Vis Versa…
Obama is doing a Great Thing…
No Nation or Leader wants the Repercussions of being in a …
Nuclear World War…
Because We’d…All [LOSE]

Posted by: O. | April 1, 2009, 10:56 am 10:56 am

jhw539: The Exxon and Creationist fallacies are just that; poor, pitiful, and losing rhetoric. There are plenty of legitimate scientists arguing a skeptical position, among them Lindzen, Spencer, Svensmark, and Pielke. The science is NOT settled, and to believe it is so is blind ignorance.
CO2 is rising steadily, and over the last 10 years, global temperature has peaked, plateaued, and is now dropping. Observe the thermometers, the Argos oceanic buoys, and the satellite tropospheric temperature series, RSS, and UAH.
It is little known, but the scientific summaries in the IPCC’s reports are written by around 50 true believers. The summary for policymakers by an even smaller coterie of around a dozen. The IPCC reports are political documents rather than scientific ones.
Besides, Pachauri, head of the IPCC has publicly wondered if someone hasn’t gotten their sums wrong. He also supports the building of coal-fired power plants in India.
I urge you, check this out for yourself. There is no satisfactory explanation within the CO2=AGW paradigm for the present cooling of the earth.
============================

Posted by: kim | April 1, 2009, 10:57 am 10:57 am

kim:”It is little known, but the scientific summaries in the IPCC’s reports are written by around 50 true believers.”
I have chatted with a couple of the hundreds of folks involved in writing the summaries, reviewing and responding to the tens of thousands of submitted comments, and that is just not true.

Posted by: jhw539 | April 1, 2009, 11:00 am 11:00 am

Has somebody successfully shot down a missile that I’m unaware of??? People keep talking about “missile defense” and “Star Wars Satelite Defense, remember and our Allied Nations with Counter Nuclear Defense Systems”…please help me out here. Was I asleep the week where this was in the news?

Posted by: silky | April 1, 2009, 11:08 am 11:08 am

jhw539, well you are simply wrong. The authors of the scientific summaries and the policy summary are a matter of public record. There are around 50 true believers writing the scientific ones, and fewer than a dozen for the policy summary.
You can’t explain falling temperatures. This is not supposed to happen when CO2 continues to rise. It does not compute, and the cognitive dissonance you are suffering allows you to drift into fallacious reasoning and an unreasonable dependence upon mistaken authorities.
Scientists are increasingly skeptical. Journalists and politicians are not yet seeing the light, perhaps because journalists are avid for sensationalism and politicians for power and this appetite is fed by visions of warming catastrophe.
And remember, the point I’m arguing here is that Russia and China intend to use mistaken Western guilt to raise the price of energy in Europe and the US, and decrease our power.
Lastly, look at the thermometers themselves. You can do this without depending on mistaken authorities, dramatic journalists and greedy politicians. Use your head. Please, it is important.
=====================================

Posted by: kim | April 1, 2009, 11:12 am 11:12 am

“People keep talking about “missile defense” and “Star Wars Satelite Defense, remember and our Allied Nations with Counter Nuclear Defense Systems”…please help me out here. Was I asleep the week where this was in the news?”
It must really be bothering you that you asked a silly question like “What missile defense system?”, as if there has been no discussion of a missile defense system. Of course it was a silly question and no amount of obfuscation changes that.

Posted by: Sigmond | April 1, 2009, 11:31 am 11:31 am

Silky: Don’t be Silly as well as being Not So Silky with your Cynicism..
Star Wars has not been Tested in a Live Situation and the Government would not tell if it were to have been Tested, for fear it would cause [Mass Hysteria] among the Natives !!
No one has yet to Prove any Nuclear Nation, that Stupid or Self Destructive.
In any event…
Obama is Right

Posted by: O. | April 1, 2009, 11:34 am 11:34 am

“CO2 is rising steadily, and over the last 10 years, global temperature has peaked, plateaued, and is now dropping. Observe the thermometers, the Argos oceanic buoys, and the satellite tropospheric temperature series, RSS, and UAH.”
Is the entire basis of this argument that instruments have detected a recent drop in temperature? Can fluctuation alone refute the premise that overall temperatures will most likely continue to rise?

Posted by: Skip | April 1, 2009, 11:38 am 11:38 am

I am getting tired of their constant references to Bush’s administration… What a bunch of kids running the administration.
Can they talk about anything without bringing up the past and making fun of prior adminsitraions

Posted by: frieda | April 1, 2009, 11:43 am 11:43 am

“It must really be bothering you that you asked a silly question like “What missile defense system?”, as if there has been no discussion of a missile defense system. Of course it was a silly question and no amount of obfuscation changes that.”
I’m not being silly, I’m asking…WHAT MISSILE DEFENSE SYSTEM??? Somebody show me evidence…anything…of a system that has been proven to shoot down an ICBM. What other “defense” mechanism could there be?
“Star Wars has not been Tested in a Live Situation and the Government would not tell if it were to have been Tested, for fear it would cause [Mass Hysteria] among the Natives !!”
I have no idea what this means. Are you suggesting that the US has successfully shot a missile out of the air? You don’t think they’d let the world know it if they did?

Posted by: silky | April 1, 2009, 11:44 am 11:44 am

“Can they talk about anything without bringing up the past and making fun of prior adminsitraions”
First of all…the prior 8 years of ANYTHING has a lot to do with the currect circumstances. Secondly, it’s too much fun making fun and too easy *not* to. Besides, with all the nonsense the right is slinging, it’s fair play.

Posted by: silky | April 1, 2009, 11:45 am 11:45 am

“What other “defense” mechanism could there be?’
Patriot System for one. Aegis antimissile systems. Others is test and development.
Star Wars is here. Reagan was right and you are angry because he was right. Right?

Posted by: Sigmond | April 1, 2009, 11:49 am 11:49 am

skip, that’s a decent and reasonable question. Four of the five main temperature series clearly show a drop in global temperature, starting around four or five years ago. The only one that differs, and even it shows cooling for the last year or so, is James Hansen’s GISS series, which is troubled with probably corrupted data, and possibly perverted adjustments. The Argos buoys, 3000 of them, measuring ocean temperatures to a depth of 6000 feet, show slight cooling since 2005. What the ocean is doing is even more important than what is measured in the atmosphere, because the oceans’ heat content is hundreds of times greater than that of the atmosphere. A wise one once said that the climate is the continuation of the oceans by other means.
The reason that I believe this present cooling is more than a short term phenomenon is that global temperature correlates much better with the alternating heating and cooling phases of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, each lasting around 30 years. The warming of the last quarter of the last century, mistakenly ascribed to CO2, was because the PDO was in its warming phase. It has now flipped to its cooling phase and will remain so for another 20-30 years. The PDO is not the only natural cycle determining climate, only the most important one. A scientist named Tsonis has recently published an analysis of ‘Synchroized Chaos’ and he can explain the temperature of the last hundred years by the coupling and decoupling of natural climate cycles.
In addition, if the presently somewhat unusual behaviour of the sun is presaging a new Grand Solar Minimum, then we may well cool for a hundred years or so, as we did during the Little Ice Age.
The catastrophe we face is global cooling not global warming, and encumbering carbon is exactly, and tragically, the wrong thing to be doing now.
============================

Posted by: kim | April 1, 2009, 11:53 am 11:53 am

frieda:I am getting tired of their constant references to Bush’s administration…
Can they talk about anything without bringing up the past and making fun of prior adminsitraions
=====
I completely agree.
Not only that, but they already have made their own share of silly errors, so harping on Bush’s just seems that much smaller.
They need to concentrate on governing, not sniping.

Posted by: MayBee | April 1, 2009, 11:55 am 11:55 am

So these are not ICBMs they’re referring to. Okay.

Posted by: silky | April 1, 2009, 11:59 am 11:59 am

“Reagan was right and you are angry because he was right. Right?”
I couldn’t care less about the who. I think it’d be great if we could find a way to shoot down ICBMs.

Posted by: silky | April 1, 2009, 12:00 pm 12:00 pm

Media:
The United States has successfully tested their Terminal High Altitude Area Defence (THAAD) missile defence system by shooting down a dummy ballistic missile.
THAAD can be used against short and medium range ballistic missiles in their final stage of flight both inside and outside the atmosphere.

Posted by: Sigmond | April 1, 2009, 12:04 pm 12:04 pm

I hope President Obama sees deep down inside and dosent let this war happen between the us and the russian. Theres alot of people praying for this not to happen i hope he reads this message and it touches his heart ill be praying for you with all my heart please im baging you not to let it happen i never been to close to the lord but know i really am i hope you dont let this go on i wish i could meet you so i could talk to you and tell you how i feel. So please dont let it go on i will be praying for you thank you.

Posted by: Jesus Mateo Garcia | April 1, 2009, 12:13 pm 12:13 pm

Short and medium range aren’t the ones we’re most concerned with.

Posted by: silky | April 1, 2009, 12:15 pm 12:15 pm

Ah, skip, there is even more to your subtle and excellent question than I saw at first.
Yes, the globe has been warming for the last couple of hundred years, long before CO2 started to rise, and probably just as a result of recovery from the Little Ice Age.
The fact that the globe is now cooling in response to a periodic oceanic phenomenon demonstrates that the role of CO2 in determining climate has been exaggerated. CO2 continues to rise, presently, while the globe cools. That just doesn’t make sense within the dominant CO2=AGW paradigm.
What happens in 30 years when the globe starts warming again? Well, with any luck we will have figured out the true role of CO2 in climate by then and we can control it then if necessary. Besides, at some point fossil hydrocarbons will no longer be competitive in the energy market. Let’s let the market determine that, not let ourselves be shackled with government mandates and impoverished with government subsidies from unnecessary and regressive government taxes on carbon.
Lastly, the recovery from the Little Ice Age may be over. There is a researcher named Bill Livingston who is measuring the internal magnetism of the few sunspots we do see and finds them on a decline curve to become invisible by 2015, as apparently happened during the Maunder and Dalton Solar Minimums. This is not to say that the internal dynamo which produces spots is failing, only that they won’t be visible. Whether that translates into a cooling globe is another unsettled scientific controversy, one which even the finest solar physicists can’t answer at the moment. The globe cooled during the Maunder Minimum, but there also was a series of volcanoes which increased the reflectivity of the earth, or its ‘albedo’, allowing less energy to reach the surface.
These are interesting times, indeed. We truly need an honest discussion of the science of climate and the policy of energy, one which we are not having presently with likes of Gore and Hansen stampeding the ‘Maddened Crowd’ over a cliff with their fantastic error.
And remember, the Russians, the Chinese, and the Indians are not the least bit fooled. It is Americans and Europeans who are making this tragic mistake.
========================

Posted by: kim | April 1, 2009, 12:15 pm 12:15 pm

“Star Wars is here. Reagan was right and you are angry because he was right. Right?”
Really?
We currently have space based platforms for intercepting ICBMs as envisioned by the Space Defense Initiative?

Posted by: Ryan C | April 1, 2009, 12:16 pm 12:16 pm

“In addition, if the presently somewhat unusual behaviour of the sun is presaging a new Grand Solar Minimum, then we may well cool for a hundred years or so, as we did during the Little Ice Age.”
If the PDO is in a cooling phase then the buoys will show a drop in temperature. If the oceans are getting warmer overall different dynamics in the currents could be bringing colder water from deeper down up to the surface.
Solar activity is a big variable that we can’t possibly understand since we haven’t been watching it for near long enough. I have to agree that another Ice Age is more dangerous than global warming. If we really want to use CO2 as insurance against ice ages then we better be prepared to kiss Florida goodbye as part of the cost.

Posted by: Skip | April 1, 2009, 12:16 pm 12:16 pm

“0bama’s saying to Putin “Look help me get this carbon tax in place and in 5 years we’ll be just like you were *wink* *wink*”"
He is?

Posted by: silky | April 1, 2009, 12:34 pm 12:34 pm

“We currently have space based platforms for intercepting ICBMs as envisioned by the Space Defense Initiative? ”
Reagan’s proposal involved using ground and space based systems to protect the United States from attack by nuclear ballistic missiles.
Today, we have missile defense technology using ground and space based systems similar to what Reagan proposed. Reagan had great vision, huh?

Posted by: Sigmond | April 1, 2009, 12:34 pm 12:34 pm

skip, you are pretty alert; another excellent response. We do not know what is happening to ocean temperatures deeper than 6000 feet. There is a very recent hint that the steady rise in sea level, which has been going on since the end of the Little Ice Age, probably from thermal expansion, is halting. Nonetheless, if CO2 is not responsible for the temperature rising, then it is also not responsible for the sea level rising.
More evidence: just recently the ice has been returning to the North and South Poles. This is pretty new, but so is the global cooling.
The science is not settled. We should not make tremendous and expensive policy on the basis of how little we truly know about climate regulation.
================================

Posted by: kim | April 1, 2009, 12:36 pm 12:36 pm

“Today, we have missile defense technology using ground and space based systems similar to what Reagan proposed. Reagan had great vision, huh?”
What’s your point with this Reagan business?

Posted by: silky | April 1, 2009, 12:41 pm 12:41 pm

“What’s your point with this Reagan business?”
Reagan’s ideas (SDI) about using space, laser and ballistic technology to defend against nuclear ballistic missiles was laughed at by liberals. They said he was crazy. lol.. Crazy as a fox, huh?

Posted by: Sigmond | April 1, 2009, 12:47 pm 12:47 pm

silky, I don’t really know what you two are talking about, but Putin and Russia almost didn’t sign the Kyoto Accord. Even then, the Russian scientists were skeptical of global warming. At least part of the reason that he did sign is related to my point here, that is that insofar as Kyoto was followed, it would hamper Western productivity more than that of Russia.
As we know, Kyoto was pretty much universally ignored, and Copenhagen will be also. The demands are simply not consonant with increasing industrialization, and the raising of standards of living around the world.
But back to my point; insofar as we do sign up for carbon encumbering, and insofar as we actually follow the guidelines, we will diminish, absolutely and relatively, our productivity. And for what? A chimera?
The globe is cooling, folks, for how long, even kim doesn’t know.
================================

Posted by: kim | April 1, 2009, 12:54 pm 12:54 pm

kim, I think you’re crediting me with something that somebody else said.
As far a “liberals” laughing at Reagan’s START program…I was not one of them.

Posted by: silky | April 1, 2009, 1:02 pm 1:02 pm

I am more than a little tired by Obama and his minions pushing themselves up by constantly denigrating Bush. (And I don’t have a high opinion of Bush, mind you.) It’s as though they have no thoughts of their own — it’s simply being the anti-Bush.
Come on boys. Grow up.

Posted by: liz | April 1, 2009, 1:08 pm 1:08 pm

“Today, we have missile defense technology using ground and space based systems similar to what Reagan proposed. Reagan had great vision, huh?”
Except our in the field system, the Patriot Missile system, was well underway before Reagan came to office much less offering the SDI program.
And it was Bush the first followed by Clinton that pushed the theater missile defense concept that we are seeing some of the fruit of today (THAAD).

Posted by: Ryan C | April 1, 2009, 1:20 pm 1:20 pm

Russia has learned nothing from their recent horrific past. Communism has only made the Russian govt/people even more cynical. The fall of communism did not pan out like they wished & they are hearkening back to the old days of communism as a solution.
Poland has every right to be fearful, as well as we should be.
Parallels could also be drawn with China.
These 2 countries are hungering for monumental power. They want their share of glory days in world power.
The cold war was NEVER over.

Posted by: joecool | April 1, 2009, 1:25 pm 1:25 pm

Reagan: The Republicans have to go back to the 80′s to Cling to a President that…
Hob Knobbed with Russian Leaders.
Who is Responsible for De-Regulating [Wall Street & Banking Systems] which lead the [Savings and Loan Scandal] as well as the Previous this times Economic Dibacle !!
No Regulation, No Rules, translates to Mass Chaos !!
Its sad to see Ronald Wilson Reagan so Over-Used when the Republicans had a Republican President and Majority Senate and Congress, when Bush never saw a [Spending Bill] that he Ever Vetoed..
You can scream all you want…
Bush will not get off the Hook that easy.
And we will tell you that, every minute of the Every day..
Talk about Bush, My Bad, Deserves all the Tongue Lashing, as mcuh as Possibe

Posted by: O. | April 1, 2009, 1:31 pm 1:31 pm

I’m sure the Obama administration can come to many agreements with Russia. The question is what are they giving up? it seems Obama is more then happy to abandon eastern Europe to the Russian sphere of influence. Keep in mind Eastern Europe wants a missile shield and their want has nothing to do with Iran. The fact we were going to base interceptors in Eastern Europe had nothing to do with Iran.
100 bucks says the obama administration’s announcement does nothing to prevent Russian interference in former republics like Georgia or Ukraine.

Posted by: Zaggs | April 1, 2009, 1:36 pm 1:36 pm

So the Russian people want to go back to the days of standing in line for bread and only one quarter of a million people living well in the midst of millions who did not?

Posted by: glasater | April 1, 2009, 1:50 pm 1:50 pm

Kim: I agree that climate science is not settled, particularly when it comes to ocean acidification and its impact our food chain, something you have not mentioned. So, if as you suggest, CO2 is not responsible for the temperature rising, what about our oceans?
And even if you believe an attempt to trade Russian influence is foolish, why would re-engaging Russia be an act of “brain dead fools”?
According to Jeffrey Goldberg, a national correspondent for The Atlantic, nuclear proliferation experts he’s spoken with judge the chance of a terrorist detonation to be as high as 50 percent in the next 10 years. Two years ago Obama stated that the possibility of a terrorist group obtaining a nuclear weapon was “the No. 1 threat” facing America and he has made proposals to secure the world’s loose fissile material during his first term. Does that appear sensible even to a conservative?

Posted by: CenterOne | April 1, 2009, 2:00 pm 2:00 pm

Ha ha ha.

Posted by: Jim Treacher | April 1, 2009, 2:17 pm 2:17 pm

Obama has already tipped the Russians to the fact that he is not serious about missile defense.
Clever strategery, that.

Posted by: hillbillyjim | April 1, 2009, 2:33 pm 2:33 pm

Like Obama or Medvedev have souls. Obama is an empty vessel upon which liberals project their fondest dreams, while Medvedev is a hollow puppet of Vladimir Putin.

Posted by: WSLS-Webguy | April 1, 2009, 3:08 pm 3:08 pm

Well, just so long as the US isn’t pointing a GUN at Russia’s head.
Posted by: Mockingbird | Apr 1, 2009 8:01:18 AM

You do know that all government is an exercise in the threat or use of force, right?
From jaywalking to ICBM treaties, force motivates actions of people and nations.

Posted by: WSLS-Webguy | April 1, 2009, 3:12 pm 3:12 pm

president awesome should learn that “all i needed to know about life i learned in kindergarten” is not applicable to foreign relations.
of course, i am assuming he can read at that grade level

Posted by: nick danger | April 1, 2009, 3:13 pm 3:13 pm

Another Bush bash, lovely. Always looking for a way to sneak that in there aren’t they.

Posted by: KR | April 1, 2009, 3:50 pm 3:50 pm

Nick, riiigghht…the man has degrees and honors you couldn’t pronounce but here you are questioning his intelligence. LOL!

Posted by: try the truth | April 1, 2009, 3:53 pm 3:53 pm

I like all the comments about the ‘successful’ SDI program that Reagan supposedly fathered. There is no such thing, and if there’s a nuclear war, we’re all still dead.
It was a tragic waste of money that led to some of our current huge deficits. Where are you people getting your information?

Posted by: teacheng | April 1, 2009, 3:57 pm 3:57 pm

To me this sudden outbreak of ‘Good America Mania’ where the U.S. is attempting to improve relations with Iran, China, Russia and other enstranged countries is nothing but strategic politics. Its all drive by the Afghanistan quagmire; U.S. needs international support and does not mind courting any likely supporter. Afghanistan seems have emerged as a global reconciler.

Posted by: thetrajectory | April 1, 2009, 4:10 pm 4:10 pm

CenterOne at 2PM. Ocean acidification is exaggerated. Increased CO2 in the ocean will do just as it does in the atmosphere, that is fertilize plant life. Furthermore, the action of CO2 on the oceanic biosphere, in conjunction with the sun, will increase the rate at which carbon is virtually permanently sequestered from the carbon cycle, decreasing the time estimated to remove the anthropogenic CO2 we are placing in the environment. Ocean acidification is not imaginary, just as climate warming from CO2 is not imaginary. Both effects are trivial, though, and they’ve been exaggerated in order to stampede the herd into expensive, unnecessary, and deadly policy changes. Policy changes which, incidentally, accrue great power to politicians, and disempower all other people, but poor people selectively more. Do you like that?
Obama is a brain dead fool to think putting the missile defense of Eastern Europe on the table as bargaining chip is going to be effective. The Russians are not as stupid as the Taliban who happily announce that efforts to engage them are insane and idiotic. I have no objection to Obama talking to the Russians, and the Chinese, or anyone for that matter. I do object to him giving away our strategic advantages in the vain hope that ‘hope and change’ are going to be persuasive to them. Those guys are realists, and appreciated Bush’s realism. They will be happy to cozy up to Obama’s foolish rhetoric as he gives away the farm.
I might be wrong, I even hope I’m wrong. But I don’t think I am. The world is populated with very smart people who understand power. Obama and crew don’t understand much but rhetoric and Western elite guilt.
====================================

Posted by: kim | April 1, 2009, 5:06 pm 5:06 pm

“Obama is a brain dead fool to think putting the missile defense of Eastern Europe on the table as bargaining chip is going to be effective. ”
Exactly. Iran has nothing to lose at this point and everything to gain by having nukes. Iran with nukes will still have a continued mutually beneficial relationship with Russia, which imo, doesn’t really care if Iran has nukes or not.

Posted by: Sigmond | April 1, 2009, 8:54 pm 8:54 pm

Yeah, just give Moscow what it wants now so maybe they won’t take too much in the future.
Good strategy there, Neville Obama.

Posted by: RR GOP | April 2, 2009, 1:31 am 1:31 am

I recently came across your blog and have been reading along. I thought I would leave my first comment. I don’t know what to say except that I have enjoyed reading. Nice blog. I will keep visiting this blog very often.
Sarah

Posted by: Sarah | April 2, 2009, 9:55 am 9:55 am

One of the MOST embarrassong moments of the bush administration was “I have looked into his soul”…I still cringe when i hear it..it made america sound like we were the village idiots..

Posted by: cowgirl | April 2, 2009, 11:55 am 11:55 am

Posted by: kim | Apr 1, 2009 5:06:30 PM
In science, skepticism is the antidote for the confirmation bias. IMO, just as CO2 global warming data needs to be challenged, we also need more information before confirming Conservative predictions that President Obama’s discussions with Russia will lead to “giving away the farm”.
Where did you gather the insight that the new US strategy is only “vain hope that ‘hope and change’ are going to be persuasive”? I’ve also found it helps to lower the patronizing tone – common, “brain dead fool” ?

Posted by: CenterOne | April 2, 2009, 1:08 pm 1:08 pm

Kim, you inspired me to read more about global cooling and found this 2/11/07 article by Nigel Calder very interesting, at timesonline.
“[Svensmark] saw from compilations of weather satellite data that cloudiness varies according to how many atomic particles are coming in from exploded stars. More cosmic rays, more clouds. The sun’s magnetic field bats away many of the cosmic rays, and its intensification during the 20th century meant fewer cosmic rays, fewer clouds, and a warmer world…
.
“…Svensmark and his small team at the Danish National Space Center hit the jackpot in the summer of 2005. In a box of air in the basement, they were able to show that electrons set free by cosmic rays coming through the ceiling stitched together droplets of sulphuric acid and water. These are the building blocks for cloud condensation. But journal after journal declined to publish their report; the discovery finally appeared in the Proceedings of the Royal Society….”
***
You are so right, the CO2 global warming propaganda is purely political.
(PS – I’ve tried posting this twice, maybe third time lucky :)

Posted by: BR | April 2, 2009, 8:24 pm 8:24 pm

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