By MichaelJames

Mar 11, 2010 9:38pm

Whip Count (No. 16 in a Series) – Five More House Democrats Could Shift From ‘Yea’ to ‘Nay’ Unless Significant Changes to Senate Health Care Bill

ABC News’ Karen Travers reports:

CNN reported today that after a survey of “a number of House Democrats who voted in favor of the November House bill and who also represent conservative or competitive districts, "there are five more who would vote against the Senate bill as written but would support the legislation if there were 'significant changes.'”

It is key to note that these five House members – Reps. Marion Berry, D-Ark., Tim Bishop, D-N.Y., Gabrielle Giffords, D-Ariz., Daniel Lipinski, D-Ill., and Bart Stupak, D-Mich. – are not definite “no” votes on the health care bill, but the White House and Democratic leaders will need to put in some work to keep them in the yes column.

CNN also reported Rep. Michael Arcuri could be a no vote, as has been reported in the upstate New York press.

As we’ve previously covered, 220 members of Congress voted for the bill when Pelosi brought the House legislation to a vote.

Since then, four yes votes are no more: Rep. Anh "Joseph" Cao, R-La., has said he won’t vote for final passage, Rep. Neil Abercrombie, D-Hawaii, retired to run for governor, Rep. Robert Wexler, D-Fla., also retired, and Rep. John Murtha, D-Pa., died.

That means to pass the Senate bill, Pelosi starts out with 216 members of Congress who voted yes last time.

With the retirement of Rep. Eric Massa D-N.Y., there are now only 431 members of Congress total, meaning a majority is 216 votes.

-Karen Travers

User Comments

Ten years of taxes starting now.
Six years of benefits.
What’s not to love about ObamaCare.
Sounds like typical Washington logic.

Posted by: fran | March 11, 2010, 9:42 pm 9:42 pm

I wish our politicians would just respect the freedom of our nations citizens so that, frankly, we could forget about politics and go about our lives making the world a better place. But alas, eternal vigilance is the price of liberty.

Posted by: David | March 11, 2010, 9:44 pm 9:44 pm

Obama willing to use the Slaughter scam to pass this bill shows how morally bankrupt this man is.

Posted by: bobmac | March 11, 2010, 10:06 pm 10:06 pm

Adding student loans to the health care bill. Surely the MSM has informed everyone.
If the MSM had done their job Obama would not be in the White House.
If the MSM would do their job he will be gone in 2012.

Posted by: ollie | March 11, 2010, 10:40 pm 10:40 pm

C’mon Queen Nan, the MSM tells us daily
just how tough you are. They LOVE you,
and they’ve tried to make US love you.
We don’t. Keep pushing, and by your 70th
birthday (Aug) you will have put it all
together….and in a few years you’ll
have the cachet of…say..Danny Rather.

Posted by: Sir Toby Belch | March 11, 2010, 11:08 pm 11:08 pm

If Obama fails, it will be so satisfying.

Posted by: tanarg | March 12, 2010, 12:03 am 12:03 am

Obama has wasted over a year pushing his HCR down our throats. He should have been working on more important issues (jobs, the wars, less spending, lower taxes, etc.). I don’t know anyone (personally) who approves of government-run healthcare. None of my family or friends want it. It appears Obama, Pelosi and Reid have no problem governing against the will of the people.

Posted by: Proud American | March 12, 2010, 12:26 am 12:26 am

If Obama fails, it will be so satisfying.
Posted by: tanarg | Mar 12, 2010 12:03:20 AM
____________________________________
For you perhaps – but not for the people who have been kicked off their insurance plan, or have no coverage and are facing major medical issues in their family stemming from accident or illness, or people who have been denied coverage, or people whose premium costs are going through the roof.

Posted by: tierra | March 12, 2010, 12:28 am 12:28 am

government-run healthcare
Posted by: Proud American
explain ‘government-run healthcare’ and how that relates to the HCR bill

Posted by: PO'd | March 12, 2010, 1:17 am 1:17 am

explain ‘government-run healthcare’ and how that relates to the HCR bill
Posted by: PO’d | Mar 12, 2010 1:17:30 AM
Get real! Next I suppose your going to claim there’s no government takeover of one-sixth of the economy either, and go into some song and dance like that librul Paul Krugman who had the nerve to write at the NYT:
“if having the government regulate and subsidize health insurance is a “takeover,” that takeover happened long ago. Medicare, Medicaid, and other government programs already pay for almost half of American health care, while private insurance pays for barely more than a third (the rest is mostly out-of-pocket expenses). And the great bulk of that private insurance is provided via employee plans, which are both subsidized with tax exemptions and tightly regulated.
The only part of health care in which there isn’t already a lot of federal intervention is the market in which individuals who can’t get employment-based coverage buy their own insurance. And that market, in case you hadn’t noticed, is a disaster …”
He’s right, but he’s a librul! Libruls aren’t real!

Posted by: adversus solem ne loquitor | March 12, 2010, 1:39 am 1:39 am

If a person were to be sick today, who had no insurance, what would they do? Get treated anyway they could of course and while we might not like waiting in line at an emergency room for treatment-we cannot be turned down and of course those who have insurance will be charged more to cover our visit.
If reform passed today, the same people waiting in emergency rooms now will be waiting there 3 years from now and those of us with insurance will still pay more and even more than what we do now with all the new taxes to cover reform.
The President had a real chance to refrom it, real reform, with the support of a majority of Americans yet he has turned it over to smarmey, arm twisting, bribe paying hacks intent on making it another Government institution.
Those who know anything about the dire conditions of social security and medicare now should be concerned and afraid of what these guys are doing.

Posted by: david | March 12, 2010, 5:14 am 5:14 am

I’m ready to make my whip count grid for the office pool.

Posted by: DontGet818OnMeNow | March 12, 2010, 8:03 am 8:03 am

If this health care bill is so good why does it take 4 years to go into effect. I think the media and congress also the Pres. should try it first then maybe the American people can.

Posted by: daniel | March 12, 2010, 8:09 am 8:09 am

I’m ready to make my whip count grid for the office pool.
Posted by: DontGet818OnMeNow

Just remember, “the White House and Democratic leaders will need to put in some work to keep them in the yes column.”
What will the DEALS look like and how much will they cost?

Posted by: smartlillena | March 12, 2010, 8:15 am 8:15 am

I’m personally ready to concede to a watered down bill and move on.. I’ll stick with my theory that no matter how much we improve coverage and availability.. we can’t pay for it.. the cost of new procedures and diagnostics is prohibitive.. we can only succeed if we manage care (ration care) and regulate the cost and industries (good luck).. no one can save enough money to pay for their lifetime care..

Posted by: DontGet818OnMeNow | March 12, 2010, 8:23 am 8:23 am

Is this all about Obama’s ego? I think it is.
By the way, regarding deals, the deals that are being handed out will indirectly make all involved multi-millionaires for life. Keeping a seat in Congress will be child’s play compared to what these folks will make as lobbyists.
And they get to keep a $100,000 pension for life in addition! What a country!

Posted by: Jack Clancy | March 12, 2010, 9:00 am 9:00 am

To bad people care to have so much ‘money’ and control in the first place. We wouldn’t be in the situation we are in. There’s more care about making a lot of money than there is looking out for this shall I use the word Country or is it People? Righteous Standards are continually being stuck or put down and its being done by people who have taken a oath to up hold what? Things here are sure to get worst before it’s better living here.

Posted by: Lawrence | March 12, 2010, 11:22 am 11:22 am

Here’s some input that may help–
I’m ready to make my whip count grid for the office pool.
Posted by: DontGet818OnMeNow
Kevin Drum: “So unions are spending heavily in support of the bill, MoveOn’s members support it 83%-17%, Nancy Pelosi is putting the screws on her caucus members, Harry Reid is doing the same in the Senate, and President Obama is finally pulling out all the stops too — both in front of the cameras and behind the scenes. Among the netroots, Markos Moulitsas says it’s time to stop screwing around and pass the bill, and virtually every liberal member of the wonkosphere favors it as well. Ditto for church groups and civil rights groups. That’s an enormous amount of firepower, and that’s why, despite all the last-minute posturing and kvetching and preening, I think this bill is going to pass. In the end, that’s just too much pressure to bear. Nancy Pelosi is going to get her 218 votes.
But it’ll be close! If you haven’t called your member of Congress, do it today.

Posted by: progressive mama | March 12, 2010, 11:58 am 11:58 am

Is this all about Obama’s ego? I think it is.
____
Really.
I think that’s a very peculiar and skewed way of looking at things. I think its much more about the numbers the admin has been putting out as in (from the WH blog, which includes links to sources):
41–the number of leading economists — including three Nobel Prize winners — who sent a letter to President Obama and Congress yesterday urging the swift passage of comprehensive health insurance reform to curb skyrocketing health care costs. Its also the the percentage of adults under the age of 65 who accumulated medical debt, had difficulty paying medical bills, or struggled with both during a recent one year period.
OR
625 – That’s the number of people who lost their health insurance EVERY HOUR in 2009 [Source: WonkRoom at Think Progress dot org]
And so on.

Posted by: progressive mama | March 12, 2010, 12:21 pm 12:21 pm

I suppose your going to claim there’s no government takeover of one-sixth of the economy Posted by: adversus solem ne loquitor |
you didn’t answer the question, what part of the HCR bill is a ‘government takeover’.. don’t give me ‘regulation’..lots of things are regulated without being termed ‘takeover’…

Posted by: PO'd | March 12, 2010, 12:59 pm 12:59 pm

The American people are decidely against this legislation, which has been demonstrated time and time again.
Should this legislation become law (especially through the use of such dubious methods as the Slaughter Rule and the misuse of reconciliation) the American people will be heard from in November.
Progressives, prepare yourselves for the electoral slaughter that is coming.

Posted by: The Reckoning | March 12, 2010, 1:23 pm 1:23 pm

no one can save enough money to pay for their lifetime care..
Posted by: DontGet818OnMeNow
this is a good point, ..
and one must remember that the folks who are writing legislation are already covered with great healthcare plans,, if they had to buy on their own or deal with reality as it is, HCR would have passed with a public option long ago

Posted by: PO'd | March 12, 2010, 1:25 pm 1:25 pm

Progressives, prepare yourselves for the electoral slaughter that is coming.
Posted by: The Reckoning

more ‘original’ talking points from the GOP

Posted by: PO'd | March 12, 2010, 1:27 pm 1:27 pm

you didn’t answer the question, what part of the HCR bill is a ‘government takeover’.. don’t give me ‘regulation’..lots of things are regulated without being termed ‘takeover’…
Posted by: PO’d | Mar 12, 2010 12:59:49 PM
Of course I didn’t answer the question!! For crying out loud, you’re well aware that there’s no “government takeover”!!! There’s not even a public option!! But there is fear!!! Fear worth squeezing like a orange to get every last drop of juice!! And if we repeat the same words over and over, they stick. That’s what solution-oriented bleeding heart Democrats misunderestimate!!!
Next, I suppose you’re going to tell me that health care reform is about people, or that small businesses have been between a rock and a hard place for a long time or that the status quo is unsustainable — WE KNOW THAT, buddy. The thing is if Republicans cared about health care reform, we would have ensured something was done during the miserable 00′s. We care more about war, mister. Fighting. And driving the economy off the cliff via tax cuts. Everybody knows that!!! That’s not new!!!
Answering questions, indeed. Boy, are you naive. Wake up with the sleeping giant, man.

Posted by: adversus solem ne loquitor | March 12, 2010, 1:46 pm 1:46 pm

I’m starting to think it would be easier if everyone in Congress dressed up in crazy outfits and instead of Barack Obama at the helm, Monte Hall could replace him. Then, a nice round of “Let’s Make A Deal” could take place and healthcare reform would be the big prize! This whole thing has turned into a joke. It’s either a good enough bill to pass on it’s own, or it’s not worth passing at all. These ‘deals’ are insane. The American public has had enough of the games, finger pointing, name calling, etc. There are only two options left at this point. Pass the bill or don’t pass the bill.

Posted by: Shoe | March 12, 2010, 2:17 pm 2:17 pm

Many of us said this long ago.. before that first drop dead date (last fall).. Mr POTUS is going to sign something and it will say HCR on the cover page.. he’s made it clear.. pass something or he won’t shut up.. I don’t like him, but I like a leader who knows what he wants and is willing to go to any length to get it.. but seriously, this isn’t anything like he wanted to pass.. it’s just fluffy white paper..

Posted by: DontGet818OnMeNow | March 12, 2010, 5:05 pm 5:05 pm

The unions still get their deal. Thats BHO’s payback to them. Has anyone noticed how quite that is being kept? Please keep calling the fence riders. Kill the Bill.

Posted by: carol in Alabama | March 12, 2010, 5:15 pm 5:15 pm

The health care bill is unconstitutional. The constitution gives the federal government very limited power. It surely does not give it the power to force American citizens to buy any product including health insurance. Neither does it give American citizens a “right” to health care. The people backing this bill are the same people that want tax payers to pay for the schools to prepare and feed their children breakfast because they are too cheap and too lazy to do it themselves. Obama, Pelosi, and Reid want to produce a socialist welfare state because then the government can control everyone and everything. The TEA Party is about individual freedom, which is what this country was founded on, under God. Every freedom loving American should get out and work for the TEA Party movement to stop the socialist direction of this country. Also to stop the rampant immigration that is adding more pro Democrat pro welfare people every day. Soon they will out vote the real Americans in this country. We do not need any more muslims or illegals in this country. If the 8,300,000 working illegals were arrested and sent home there would be 8,300,000 open jobs for Americans working in concrete, roofing, drywall, carpentry, brick mason, painting, and many other crafts. They are stealing our jobs. Sending them back would help lower health care costs too, because we wouldn’t have to pay for the medical expenses of 15 to 20 million illegal aliens. It would reduce the crowding in our schools and reduce the crime rate on our streets.

Posted by: Montani | March 13, 2010, 12:11 am 12:11 am

But it’ll be close! If you haven’t called your member of Congress, do it today.
Posted by: progressive mama

I don’t have to worry about mine. But don’t worry, I’ve weighed in with plenty of YOURS! And will continue.

Posted by: smartlillena | March 13, 2010, 8:25 am 8:25 am

I don’t have to worry about mine. But don’t worry, I’ve weighed in with plenty of YOURS! And will continue.
Posted by: smartlillena | Mar 13, 2010 8:25:35 AM
No worries. It goes both ways. LOL. Particularly during the horrid 00′s when the republicans were heck bent on destroying the country. They still are, but they’re in the minority– and despite the current backlash and the temporary blip that always comes with that, they Republican platform and the Republican party is outdated and backwards and will continue to go that way, as other parties snap up followers who aren’t from a very limited mindset and subset of the populace.
In regards to the folks in the Dem congressional offices, from what I can tell, they’re used to the unreasonable conversations coming from the right. LOL. they’re kinda over it. How much uninformed b.s. can you take, after all? For those on the left, they welcome hearing from saner voices.

Posted by: progressive mama | March 13, 2010, 10:17 am 10:17 am

as other parties snap up followers who aren’t from a very limited mindset and subset of the populace.
Posted by: progressive mama

I’m always looking forward to the next compliment, too. ;-)

Posted by: smartlillena | March 14, 2010, 9:02 am 9:02 am

I’m always looking forward to the next compliment, too. ;-)
Posted by: smartlillena | Mar 14, 2010 9:02:41 AM
I actually have a compliment for a Republican today. I like this statement by Secretary of Transportation, Ray LaHood (see Beyond politics, Why Republicans should support health care reform, Chicago Tribune):
“I’ve been a Republican all my life… I have always been — and still am — a fiscal conservative, an advocate for a smart, but restrained, government.
For those reasons and others, most people wouldn’t expect me to be an advocate for comprehensive health care reform. But the truth is, I believe there is no bigger issue to solve and no better chance to solve it than now.
If I were still a member of Congress, I would proudly vote for the bill that President Barack Obama is championing and I would urge my colleagues to do the same, not because I don’t believe in fiscal discipline, but because I do.
We do not need to look that far down the road to see the pain that failure to pass health care reform will cause. Americans of every background, class, race and political persuasion are suffering. We have the best health care system in the world, yet more than 40 million Americans lack access to it, a reality that is morally reprehensible. Health care is an essential, as important as food, water and shelter. Those who don’t have it are left without the tools to survive.
In the coming days, Congress has a chance to change that. The bill that will be voted on will reduce the deficit by about $1 trillion over the next two decades, and will reduce waste, fraud and abuse in the health care system. It will slow the rate of growth in health care costs and put America back on the path toward fiscal sustainability….”
Read the whole thing!

Posted by: progressive mama | March 14, 2010, 10:25 am 10:25 am

ye this is all Obama ego…

Posted by: Ilan Ben Menachem | March 18, 2010, 5:49 am 5:49 am

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