Apr 1, 2011 8:57am

Economy Added 216,000 New Workers in March, Unemployment Rate Drops Slightly

ABC's Dan Arnall reports:

There’s no April fooling – the American recovery is underway. According to new government data out this morning, there is a slow but steady stroll toward new jobs.
The latest figures from the Bureau of Labor Statistics show the U.S. added some 216,000 new positions in March.
With today’s figures added in the country has seen some 1.3 million jobs added in the past year.

We saw hiring in many sectors – manufacturing, hospitality, retail, temp services and health care.

The report bested economist expectations (+185K). Upward revisions to both January and February’s results added another 7K to the previous totals.

When one looks only at the private sector – factoring out gov’t hiring and firing – we’re seeing a lovely trend, with some 1.6 million positions added in the past year. That almost unbroken upward climb you can see in the private sector chart to the left is what you want to see.

The nation’s unemployment rate – the result of a separate but simultaneously released survey of households – was down by a tick to 8.8%. That “rate” translates into some 13.5 million Americans wanted to work last month but were unable to find any.

That kinds of move is statistically insignificant, but we’ve come a long way, baby. Since November 2010 the unemployment rate has dropped by an astounding 1%.

That kind of quick five-month move is a clear bit of proof that the U.S. is starting to see the benefits of the recovery.

The unexpected drop in the unemployment rate is confounding many folks, who didn’t think we’d see such a decisive move.

There is some speculation that the survey of households (from which we get the unemployment rate) is better at capturing hiring from small and new businesses than the establishment survey. That might be a good explanation for the almost unprecedented drop.

The broader unemployment rate, which includes people who took part-time work when they wanted full-time or were just not looking because they didn’t believe there was a job out there stands at 15.7% (or 24 million). That’s actually pretty good as this measure – called the U-6 – was at 17% a year ago.

Notoriously negative economist Peter Morici even found a bit of sunshine in the March Jobs report, noting, “The Labor Department reported the economy added 216,000 jobs in March. After adding 194,000 jobs in February, this indicates the economy is finally accomplishing momentum. First quarter growth will likely be a bit higher than 3 percent.” This is a fellow who has been decidedly dour on the recovery for years now.

While there is good news here, there are lots of people who are looking for potential stumbling blocks to the recovery – high gas prices and the economic hit Japan is suffering are two of the most obvious.

The March Jobs report offers some solace there, according to Nigel Gault, chief economist at ISH Global Insight.

“The bottom line is that the labor market evidence suggests that the economy had good momentum that will allow it to absorb the twin shocks from the Middle East and Japan without too much damage to growth – which should still come in close to 3% for 2011.”

A bit of perspective here – the smartest minds at the Federal Reserve are forecasting that we won’t be at the 5-6% unemployment rate again for at least 3 years, and even with today’s good numbers, that forecast is unlikely to change.

During the month, hiring was broadly spread throughout most of the private sector. Here’s where the hiring and firing was happening during March:

•  Manufacturers (+17K) were hiring again in March. Lots of speculation that the Japan events might help bolster American manufacturing in the coming months.
•  Construction firms (-1K) were essentially not hiring or firing in March.
•  Leisure & Hospitality (+37K) was booming as consumers took the family out to eat – a first step into the spend as consumer confidence starts to eke out of its recession lows. Restaurants and bars added workers (+26.5K) like crazy last month
•  Retail (+17.7K) employment was up during March. Digging in you can Americans getting ready for spring cleaning/planting at building and garden stores (+7.8K) and general merchandisers (+7K).
•  The transportation sector (-0.1K) was unchanged in March.
•  Financial firms (+6K) saw a slight bump in March. There was an uptick in hiring in the Real Estate (+9.5K) subsector as the volume of renting/leasing has increased.
•  Health care (+36.6K) continued to add workers, significantly better than the average month (+24K) from the past year.
•  Temp positions (+28.8K) continued to add workers – this is a “canary” in the jobs coal mine as firms often add temp workers before adding full-time staff.
•  Tax season has been busier than usual this year with Accounting/Bookkeeping services (+20.2K) adding workers in March
•  The Federal government (+1.0K) was unchanged and state governments, too (+0K). City governments (-15K) were in cutting mode in March and probably will be for the next year, at least.

This post has been updated.

User Comments

How many people are no longer eligible for unemployment so they have simply dropped off? I know a few!

Posted by: kay | April 1, 2011, 10:14 am 10:14 am

Back up in 60 days.

Posted by: Rick McDaniel | April 1, 2011, 10:15 am 10:15 am

RICK MCDANIEL | APR 1, 2011 10:15:33 AM posted: “Back up in 60 days.”
Won’t be a surprise based on the Republican governors’ strategies of firing teachers and public employees at the state level. In Republican land, unemployment = employment. And continuing Bush era tax cuts creates jobs.
Unfortunately for Americans out here in the real world, technological advances and the ability of corporations to hire workers for slaves wages in Asia has decreased the demand for US workers. We will see decades of structural unemployment and a permanent underclass of Americans unless our government acts in our NATIONAL INTEREST, not just for Corporate Masters.
Where do we start? Reduce our deficit and use federal money to support education and R & D to re-build manufacturing here at home. Cutting the budget isn’t enough – we need increased revenues to bring down the deficit. According to Tax.com, our government could bring in a TRILLION dollars a year by simply taking away loopholes for corporations.

Posted by: green.goddess | April 1, 2011, 11:20 am 11:20 am

goddess..love ya…any improvemnet in employment is good news. i am happy for those people engaging in the american way. hope the trend continues.enjoy the day. regarding tax loopholes…the biggest one is 48% of american individuals pay none and illegals pay none while both groups cost us trillions. at least corporations employ people.

Posted by: catman | April 1, 2011, 12:36 pm 12:36 pm

WSJ Reports: “We’ve Become a Nation of Takers, Not Makers
More Americans work for the government than in manufacturing, farming, fishing, forestry, mining and utilities combined.”

Posted by: wheresmymoney | April 1, 2011, 1:12 pm 1:12 pm

“How many people are no longer eligible for unemployment so they have simply dropped off?”
That is the #1 reason the percentage is down.

Posted by: Robert | April 1, 2011, 2:40 pm 2:40 pm

Gallup reports Unemployment 10% Underemployment 19.3%
HOW MANY PEOPLE HAVE RUN OUT OF UNEMPLOYMENT?

Posted by: wheresmymoney | April 1, 2011, 3:11 pm 3:11 pm

HuffPo reports: “The plight of people who have exhausted all 99 weeks of unemployment insurance available in some states — the “99ers” — has received some attention from Congress and the media, but mostly their predicament is regarded as an intractable and pitiful part of a bigger problem.
One obstacle to helping 99ers is a lack of basic data. How many people can’t find work after nearly two years of searching? How many 99ers are there? Nobody even knows.
The Department of Labor told HuffPost that it does not have the micro-level or individual claimant data to make an accurate estimate. With federally-funded extended benefits broken into four “tiers,” the different number of weeks available in different states, and individual workers’ potential stops and starts — not to mention the congressional lapses in federal benefits — nobody has figured out a reliable way to track the people who’ve used 99 weeks of benefits and still haven’t found work.”
Yet we have a President who is touting that unemployment is going down, and a press that goes along.

Posted by: wheresmymoney | April 1, 2011, 3:20 pm 3:20 pm

I don’t believe it!
People are still out of work, housing is down and food and gas costs are skyrocketing. So much for President Obummer with all his empty promises. We
were all doing better during the Bush
Administration.

Posted by: Diane | April 1, 2011, 4:18 pm 4:18 pm

The numbers don’t lie…unemployment is down. As for those who have exhausted their 99 weeks and still can’t find work??? any job at all??? Things that make you go hmmmmmmmmmmm

Posted by: natFrankie | April 1, 2011, 4:57 pm 4:57 pm

“astounding 1%”?!? That is probably within the margin-of-error for whatever cooked-up metrics the government is using to measure this number anyway. 1% is considered “astounding”? Well, I guess in Obamaland any rise is…..

Posted by: Ed | April 1, 2011, 5:36 pm 5:36 pm

Many people in the know regard this number as FALSE.

Posted by: Erik Osbun | April 1, 2011, 5:41 pm 5:41 pm

the jobs numbers may up and unemployment down but i don’t see things drastically changing yet.

Posted by: Steeltom | April 1, 2011, 6:27 pm 6:27 pm

Pardon me if I’m still skeptical, but it seems a little suspicious that these numbers are coming out now as we head into another election year. The other thing that makes me suspicious is the fact that most of these “big jumps” are in areas that are historically low paying jobs (i.e. service/hospitality, retail and temp) the higher paying jobs are normally in manufacturing, technical and construction which have not made any significant gains. So, it begs the question is this just another political ploy to get everyone feeling warm and fuzzy before the political campaigns kick off and we start hearing all the usuall rhetoric about how the current administration has rescued us from disaster and we need to givew them another four years to finish the job? Fool me once shame on you, fool me twice shame on me.

Posted by: Bill | April 2, 2011, 8:54 am 8:54 am

Folks, the only way for this good trend to continue is to buy American-goods whenever possible. Companies are going to increase hiring when demand for their products is up. So read your labels, even in the supermarket, and choose to support our economy by buying American-made goods and food.
You might pay a few cents or a few dollars more, but know the difference is going for a fellow American’s pay, rather than the competitor’s profits who is paying pennies an hour workers in China.
By buying American, the job you save may be your neighbor’s, your kids or your own, indirectly.

Posted by: Lydia | April 2, 2011, 4:56 pm 4:56 pm

It wasn’t because of anything this President did.

Posted by: Freedom | April 3, 2011, 10:10 am 10:10 am

Dan, Dan, You consider a 1% decrease “Astounding?” You say we’ve “Come a Long way baby?” What the heck are you smoking? All of these statistics are pathetic!!
This report is the most slanted, biased piece of news I have ever seen. Need I remind everyone, we are still in a 1.6 Trillion dollar deficit! Unemployment still remains above where it was during the entire Bush Presidency. Reid and his liberal cronies don’t give a bit about the status of our economy. And President Obama has no clue what he is doing, yet he wants to be re-elected!!
Oh, heaven help us all!

Posted by: Tim | April 5, 2011, 6:51 pm 6:51 pm

How can the job situtation get better when four or six states were hit with tornadoes that wiped out businesses as well as homes. This was not planned, but happened. Creat jobs then lose jobs. Does the Republicans look at this when bashing the president. All this talk but what would they do?

Posted by: JoAnn Smith | June 16, 2011, 4:47 pm 4:47 pm

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