Obama Campaign Snapshot — 68 Weeks to Election

Jul 15, 2011 9:50pm

ABC News' Devin Dwyer (@devindwyer) reports:

GRASSROOTS GOLD:  The second quarter numbers are in, and we now know just how well positioned Team Obama is to face its Republican rivals: In dollars and donors, Obama has more than all his potential challengers combined.

Measured against his own record-setting 2007-2008 campaign, he’s equally far ahead.  OFA amassed more supporters in the first half of 2011 than it did in all of 2007 — and in doing so raised 40% more in Q2 cash.

— BUNDLER BANNER: Speaking of 40%… roughly that much of the record-setting $86 million raised by Obama and the DNC in April, May and June was gathered by 244 elite fundraisers, aka bundlers, whose names the campaign voluntarily disclosed.

— WHAT ENTHUSIASM GAP?  Campaign aides say the stats should “end any Washington chatter” about an enthusiasm gap among O's supporters heading into next year. But it's hard to ignore some of the sour feelings among liberals that continue to bubble on the edges.

We heard echoes of the NetRoots convention this week when 200,000 signatures on a progressive group's pledge, warning Potus on entitlement cuts, landed outside the campaign’s front door. We also noticed many veteran bundlers from 2008 have dropped off the donor list, several citing disillusionment with the president in interviews with ABC News.

These voices are a minority. Still, there are many more supporters from the last cycle that we have yet to hear from.  Of the campaign’s 3 million contributors last time, 292,000 have come back.  The rest, its safe to say, will be targets for outreach by organizers in the months ahead.

GROUND GAME:  One area that hasn’t received much attention given the frenzy over fundraising is OFA’s grassroots network that continues to grow in the states and remains unmatched. Obama volunteers are working in all 50 states, and there are now 60 field offices open across 39.

— DAY OF ACTION:  Look for a major push this weekend with 1,000 events taking place in 40+ states.

QUOTED & NOTED:   "The American people aren't very happy about their leaders, but President Barack Obama is viewed as the best of the worst, especially when it comes to the economy," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling institute, following the release of a new national poll this week.

Voters disapprove of Obama on the economy, splitting 56-38.  But by 45-38 they trust him more than congressional Republicans, the poll shows.

FACE-TWEET SCORECARD:  On this 5th birthday of Twitter, here’s what we know about the 2012 field as they’ve begun integrating the social networking tool into their campaigns:

Newt Gingrich has an audience – the largest of the GOP field – but it’s growing at an anemic pace – the worst of the field in week-over-week adds.

Jon Huntsman is no Twitter star. He’s averaging about a tweet a day, since he activated his account a month ago.  And with a following of 6,261, he’s the last in the GOP pack.

– Michele Bachmann's Twitter following of 62,000 puts her ahead of five of her peers, including front-runner Mitt Romney.  But her average weekly growth of just 3.7 percent over the past two months may not be enough to keep her in front:  Romney has been closing the gap, averaging 4.53 percent weekly growth in the same period to stand at 59,800.   

– Herman Cain has been the most active tweeter over the last three months. He's tweeted 1,289 times from the account @TheHermanCain, bested only by Obama and Gingrich, whose accounts have been in the spotlight much longer. Cain's following – 49,000 – puts him smack dab in the middle of Pawlenty and Romney. 

Tim Pawlenty v. Mitt Romney: if a head-to-head primary were held on Twitter, Pawlenty would fizzle.  The former Minnesota governor has seen the steepest drop off in weekly percent growth of his following since his announcement. He trails Romney in the supporters race by roughly 15,000.

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