Iowa Poll Could Change GOP Race
ABC News’ David Kerley and Mary Compton report:
The leaders in a newly released and closely watched Des Moines Register poll are the candidates who have spent the least amount of time campaigning in the state. The poll puts Herman Cain ahead of Mitt Romney, both of whom have hardly campaigned in the state, while Michele Bachmann, despite touting her Iowa roots and having won the Ames Straw Poll in August, now seems stuck in the single digits in the state.
Cain may have momentum on his side, but he has said he will cut campaign stops and interviews to avoid making mistakes he blames on exhaustion.
“My message is connecting,” Cain said today on CBS’ “Face the Nation.” “And people are connecting with me and the specific solutions I’m putting on the table.”
And while Cain has a slight lead in Iowa, the Obama campaign already seems to be running against Mitt Romney.
“[Romney] has no core,” White House senior adviser David Plouffe said on NBC’s “Meet the Press.” “And you get the sense with Mitt Romney that, you know, if he thought it was good to say the sky was green and the grass was blue to win an election, he’d say it.”
Romney, too, has added more ammunition to recent charges of flip-flopping after he changed his position on an Ohio ballot initiative this week. He first said he had no stand on bargaining rights for Ohio government workers, but the next day said restrictions should remain in place.
“I’m sorry if I caused any confusion,” he told voters at an event in Fairfax, Va., on Wednesday.
Barring dramatic shakeups, November could claim some candidates, thinning the diverse field. Tea Party favorites Rick Perry and Bachman are in single digits in the Des Moines Register poll.
“We’re not worried about the day-to-day snapshots,” Bachmann said on ABC’s “This Week with Christiane Amanpour.” “What we’re focused on are the primary dates. And of course, everything could change by then.”
Even traditional conservatives are worried Romney may be damaging the Republican Party.
“When you are a serial reviser of your opinion, you are going to have trouble in the general election,” George Will said on ABC’s “This Week with Christiane Amanpour.” “Just ask John Kerry, who was for something before he was against something.”
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Here are the results of the October 29, 2011, Des Moines, Iowa – National Federation of Republican Assemblies Presidential Straw Poll Tally 1 (Iowa voters only):
Finish Potential candidate Percentage Votes
1 Ron Paul 82%
2 Herman Cain 14.7%
3 Rick Santorum 1%
4 Newt Gingrich 0.9%
5 Michele Bachmann 0.5%
5 Rick Perry 0.5%
7 Gary Johnson 0.2%
8 Mitt Romney 0.0%
8 Jon Huntsman 0.0%
Total 100% 430
Tally 2 (non-Iowans)
Finish Potential candidate Percentage Votes
1 Ron Paul 26%
2 Herman Cain 25%
3 Rick Santorum 16%
3 Rick Perry 16%
5 Newt Gingrich 11%
6 Michele Bachmann 6%
7 Mitt Romney 1%
8 Jon Huntsman 0%
8 Gary Johnson 0%
Total 100% 101
and
October 29, 2011, Tuscaloosa, Alabama; West Alabama Straw Poll
Finish Potential candidate Percentage Votes
1 Herman Cain 50.7%
2 Ron Paul 45%
3 Newt Gingrich 1.4%
3 Rick Perry 1.4%
5 Mitt Romney 0.9%
6 Gary Johnson 0.3%
6 Rick Santorum 0.3%
8 Michele Bachmann 0%
8 Jon Huntsman 0%
Total 100% 347
Now we are better informed.
Ron Paul 2012
Restore America Now!
Posted by: DTM | October 30, 2011, 9:35 pm 9:35 pm
Interesting, the information on exactly how this poll was taken isn’t revealed. The Iowa Straw Poll shows Congressman Paul 1st, Cain 2nd and the rest trailing far behind. I’m confused. How exactly is Herman Cain leading in the Iowa Polls? What Poll? The “we are going to steer this election with false information” Poll?
Posted by: John The Babtist | October 30, 2011, 9:51 pm 9:51 pm
Everyone now sees Romney for the phony RINO that he is. Give me CAIN any day and I will go with that.
Posted by: rockychance | October 30, 2011, 9:59 pm 9:59 pm
FORGET TO MENTION ANYONE?? RON PAUL?? He won the polls by a HUGE amount! First place and they don’t give him ANY credit.
Posted by: Ben | October 30, 2011, 10:06 pm 10:06 pm
“Do you have more information about this topic?”
yeah, i know who won the poll – but not from reading ABC News.
Posted by: johnQ. | October 30, 2011, 10:21 pm 10:21 pm
Please post the results, not the spin. Who got 3rd (Paul), who got 4th (Bachmann).
So Cain “wins” with 23 percent and Romney “coasts in” with 22 percent, and the margin of error is plus or minus 5 percent? Wouldn’t you call that a tie? Where is the statistical power in a 1 point difference with a 10 point error band?
Posted by: java | October 30, 2011, 11:44 pm 11:44 pm
Wow…When I saw the title, I was expecting to read about Ron Paul’s 82% victory being a game changer for the GOP race…
Not a single mention of his name in the entire article even though he did win 2 (One where he got 82%) and came close second on another with 45%.
Well done ABC! We like being fed with (very) biased news :)
Posted by: RJ | October 31, 2011, 3:43 am 3:43 am
Ron Paul is the only one that can beat Obama, once his pure, honest and powerful message is broadcasts to people who do not know what he stands for it will catch fire! I am very optimistic for Ron this year. I usually do not get involved in politics, but then I watched some of his videos and realized he knows what he is talking about and tells the truth. I have donated money for the first time and educated myself on the election process so I can vote in this election. Thank you Ron Paul for making me care about the future of our country and getting involved.
Posted by: jeremyb802 | November 1, 2011, 12:58 am 12:58 am
Spin, spin, spin. Ron Paul 2012. Period.
Posted by: Post This | November 2, 2011, 2:40 pm 2:40 pm