New Hampshire Predictions: Our Picks for Who Will Win Primary

Jan 10, 2012 12:29pm

We’re journalists, not prognosticators. But in this business, sometimes it is just an irresistible conversation line to turn to each other and ask, ‘so, what do you think is really going to happen?’

George Stephanopoulos and Matthew Dowd ran through the odds and Dowd predicted a second place finish for former Utah governor and Amb. Jon Huntsman. Stephanopoulos has predicted a strong enough finish by Huntsman to guarantee that every major candidate in New Hampshire will move on to the South Carolina primary too.

Watch George and Matthew Dowd play the predictions game.

And so, with the understanding that we really don’t know what’s going to happen for sure (nobody does), here are the predictions of some of the best political minds at ABC News.  This is the order we predict the candidates will finish in New Hampshire. Who buys into the Jon Huntsman surge? Who thinks Ron Paul can hang on to second? Who has the best guess on exactly how big a victory Mitt Romney will secure? And does anyone see Rick Perry finishing worse than Buddy Roemer?  What do you think? Tell us below. And on Wednesday we’ll call out the winners.  For reference, here are the Iowa picks. Winners were Political Director Amy Walter (naturally) and Huma Khan.

 

Amy Walter – ABC News Political Director

Romney – 40

Paul

Huntsman

Santorum

Newt

Perry

 

Jonathan Karl – ABC News Senior Political Correspondent

Romney – 35

Huntsman

Paul

Gingrich

Santorum

Perry

 

Rick Klein – Senior Washington Editor for World News with Diane Sawyer

Romney – 37

Paul

Huntsman

Gingrich

Santorum

Roemer

Perry

 

Sara Just- Senior Washington Editor, ABC News Digital

Romney 33

Huntsman

Paul

Gingrich

Sanatorum

Perry

 

Z. Byron Wolf – Politics Editor, ABC News.com

Romney – 32

Huntsman

Paul

Gingrich

Santorum

Perry

 

Karen Travers – ABC News Correspondent

Romney – 37

Huntsman

Paul

Santorum

Gingrich

Perry

 

George Sanchez – ABC News Assignment Editor

Romney — 34

Huntsman

Paul

Gingrich

Santorum

Perry

 

Matt Negrin – Political Reporter

Romney: 38

Paul

Huntsman

Santorum

Gingrich

Perry

 

 

Huma Khan – Digital Reporter

Romney — 35

Huntsman

Paul

Santorum

Gingrich

Perry

 

Elizabeth Hartfield  - Political Unit

Romney – 39

Paul

Huntsman

Santorum

Gingrich

Buddy Roemer

Perry

 

Chris Good – Political Reporter

Romney 35

Huntsman

Paul

Santorum

Gingrich

 

Amy Bingham – Digital Reporter

Romney – 35

Huntsman

Paul

Santorum

Gingrich

Perry

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