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	<title>Comments on: Before the Debates: A Polling Review</title>
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	<link>http://abcnews.go.com/blogs/politics/2012/09/before-the-debates-a-polling-review/</link>
	<description>The latest Politics news and blog posts from ABC News contributors and bloggers including Jake Tapper, George Stephanopoulos and more.</description>
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		<title>By: RobertMiii</title>
		<link>http://abcnews.go.com/blogs/politics/2012/09/before-the-debates-a-polling-review/#comment-28643443</link>
		<dc:creator>RobertMiii</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 29 Sep 2012 02:17:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://abcnews.go.com/blogs/politics/?p=816285#comment-28643443</guid>
		<description>I hope he&#039;s ok for the first debate.... (my bad for the typos...)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I hope he&#8217;s ok for the first debate&#8230;. (my bad for the typos&#8230;)</p>
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		<title>By: RobertMiii</title>
		<link>http://abcnews.go.com/blogs/politics/2012/09/before-the-debates-a-polling-review/#comment-28643434</link>
		<dc:creator>RobertMiii</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 29 Sep 2012 02:16:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://abcnews.go.com/blogs/politics/?p=816285#comment-28643434</guid>
		<description>Ann Romney is concerned about Mitt&#039;s mental health as the campaign gets into the down and dirty tough stuff... I hope he ok for the first deabte.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Ann Romney is concerned about Mitt&#8217;s mental health as the campaign gets into the down and dirty tough stuff&#8230; I hope he ok for the first deabte.</p>
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		<title>By: voteWatcher</title>
		<link>http://abcnews.go.com/blogs/politics/2012/09/before-the-debates-a-polling-review/#comment-28643337</link>
		<dc:creator>voteWatcher</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 29 Sep 2012 02:03:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://abcnews.go.com/blogs/politics/?p=816285#comment-28643337</guid>
		<description>A perfect example! Oboma has run three years and runs the wrong way. Now it is a hail mary pass to the sehawks, greenbay intercepts but seahawks get one hand on the ball - one offical waves itercepted the other touch dowm. THAT IS WHY YOU NEED BETTER OFFICALS. Obama promised I read his lips no new taxes on middle income,Oboma care LARGEST take increase on middle income. It is a BFD. I had to explain to the kids why they couldnt swear but a presidents second  could..I simply said it is why the president got to experiment with drugs in collage and they cant.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A perfect example! Oboma has run three years and runs the wrong way. Now it is a hail mary pass to the sehawks, greenbay intercepts but seahawks get one hand on the ball &#8211; one offical waves itercepted the other touch dowm. THAT IS WHY YOU NEED BETTER OFFICALS. Obama promised I read his lips no new taxes on middle income,Oboma care LARGEST take increase on middle income. It is a BFD. I had to explain to the kids why they couldnt swear but a presidents second  could..I simply said it is why the president got to experiment with drugs in collage and they cant.</p>
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		<title>By: OB-Wan222</title>
		<link>http://abcnews.go.com/blogs/politics/2012/09/before-the-debates-a-polling-review/#comment-28642894</link>
		<dc:creator>OB-Wan222</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 29 Sep 2012 01:03:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://abcnews.go.com/blogs/politics/?p=816285#comment-28642894</guid>
		<description>&quot;IIn 1980 the media had Carter ,two weeks before the election, 49% to Regan’s 38 %. We saw how that turned out. In October of 2004 Kerry and Bush were both tied at 49% and on election night at 8:00 PM the rout...&quot;

THE TRUTH IS that Bush only beat Kerry by 2.4%, within the margin of error of most polls.  Because of the electoral college vote it looked like a bigger win than it really was in popular vote. 

In fact, Gore won the popular vote against Bush and lost in the electoral college.

The polling in the Carter-Reagan contest also told the story.  Reagan got a big boost out of the ONLY debate they had which was only ONE WEEK before the election.  So going two weeks out may make the surge seem to be unnoticed by the pollsters, but they tracked it.  A survey of polls of the period shows that after the debate Carter never had more than a three point lead, again close to the margin of error - the polls got it right again.

But blaming the polls is a favorite tactic of people on the losing side of them.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;IIn 1980 the media had Carter ,two weeks before the election, 49% to Regan’s 38 %. We saw how that turned out. In October of 2004 Kerry and Bush were both tied at 49% and on election night at 8:00 PM the rout&#8230;&#8221;</p>
<p>THE TRUTH IS that Bush only beat Kerry by 2.4%, within the margin of error of most polls.  Because of the electoral college vote it looked like a bigger win than it really was in popular vote. </p>
<p>In fact, Gore won the popular vote against Bush and lost in the electoral college.</p>
<p>The polling in the Carter-Reagan contest also told the story.  Reagan got a big boost out of the ONLY debate they had which was only ONE WEEK before the election.  So going two weeks out may make the surge seem to be unnoticed by the pollsters, but they tracked it.  A survey of polls of the period shows that after the debate Carter never had more than a three point lead, again close to the margin of error &#8211; the polls got it right again.</p>
<p>But blaming the polls is a favorite tactic of people on the losing side of them.</p>
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		<title>By: sameagain</title>
		<link>http://abcnews.go.com/blogs/politics/2012/09/before-the-debates-a-polling-review/#comment-28642709</link>
		<dc:creator>sameagain</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 29 Sep 2012 00:37:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://abcnews.go.com/blogs/politics/?p=816285#comment-28642709</guid>
		<description>Don&#039;t look now but ol&#039; Mitt&#039;s running the wrong way down the football field. Touchdown! Yeeeyyyy.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Don&#8217;t look now but ol&#8217; Mitt&#8217;s running the wrong way down the football field. Touchdown! Yeeeyyyy.</p>
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		<title>By: voteWatcher</title>
		<link>http://abcnews.go.com/blogs/politics/2012/09/before-the-debates-a-polling-review/#comment-28642216</link>
		<dc:creator>voteWatcher</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 28 Sep 2012 23:18:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://abcnews.go.com/blogs/politics/?p=816285#comment-28642216</guid>
		<description>People frenzy ? I watch what they do.The ones in office.  Executive orders, Presidinal amnysty. How much did the governent borrow . How did the people on watch ( the elected ofifcals ) spend it.. How did they vote as our electied officials.  If you have a minute go to the white house websites, the senate and the congress web sites .See for your self what is happining. The media will not do it for you. The media is biased. Take one day to see and learn for your self. Then you can make an educated vote. If a politician you voted for was preasent to represent you less than 80% of the time what is his excuse for being absint. The current most powerfull man in the us has missed 54% of top national security briffings. The same record he had as a voting  senetor. Look to the past and see how it reapets itself. Voting the way you were told or brouht up is not how you hire a pearson. They are hired by their resume. So it would be good for all of us to check the resume of those we wish to work for us. I will .</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>People frenzy ? I watch what they do.The ones in office.  Executive orders, Presidinal amnysty. How much did the governent borrow . How did the people on watch ( the elected ofifcals ) spend it.. How did they vote as our electied officials.  If you have a minute go to the white house websites, the senate and the congress web sites .See for your self what is happining. The media will not do it for you. The media is biased. Take one day to see and learn for your self. Then you can make an educated vote. If a politician you voted for was preasent to represent you less than 80% of the time what is his excuse for being absint. The current most powerfull man in the us has missed 54% of top national security briffings. The same record he had as a voting  senetor. Look to the past and see how it reapets itself. Voting the way you were told or brouht up is not how you hire a pearson. They are hired by their resume. So it would be good for all of us to check the resume of those we wish to work for us. I will .</p>
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		<title>By: TexBork_2012</title>
		<link>http://abcnews.go.com/blogs/politics/2012/09/before-the-debates-a-polling-review/#comment-28640820</link>
		<dc:creator>TexBork_2012</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 28 Sep 2012 19:22:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://abcnews.go.com/blogs/politics/?p=816285#comment-28640820</guid>
		<description>RobertMiii, Cool!  I&#039;m good with that.  I&#039;m from there originally anyway and not only is it also a state with no income tax like Texas, it also has Disneyworld and Cape Canaveral, oh Key West...  Panama Beach...  Saint Augustine, Oh, and Daytona with the beach and track...  Yeah.  I&#039;m good with that.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>RobertMiii, Cool!  I&#8217;m good with that.  I&#8217;m from there originally anyway and not only is it also a state with no income tax like Texas, it also has Disneyworld and Cape Canaveral, oh Key West&#8230;  Panama Beach&#8230;  Saint Augustine, Oh, and Daytona with the beach and track&#8230;  Yeah.  I&#8217;m good with that.</p>
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		<title>By: tmferretti</title>
		<link>http://abcnews.go.com/blogs/politics/2012/09/before-the-debates-a-polling-review/#comment-28640723</link>
		<dc:creator>tmferretti</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 28 Sep 2012 19:02:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://abcnews.go.com/blogs/politics/?p=816285#comment-28640723</guid>
		<description>There is no voter fraud problem in this country Both parties watch those voting roles with a microscope. Hell, we almost had a civil war over hanging and dimpled chads in Florida.

I would rather see 0.00000001 % of the vote be fraudulent than deny 20% of people in this country the opportunity to vote. 

As I said to PERPLEXED:

Many GIs, Marines, Sailors and Airmen fought to maintain our right to vote.  It’s a shame that certain politicians are trying to deny that right to many citizens because they don&#039;t have a silly photo ID.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>There is no voter fraud problem in this country Both parties watch those voting roles with a microscope. Hell, we almost had a civil war over hanging and dimpled chads in Florida.</p>
<p>I would rather see 0.00000001 % of the vote be fraudulent than deny 20% of people in this country the opportunity to vote. </p>
<p>As I said to PERPLEXED:</p>
<p>Many GIs, Marines, Sailors and Airmen fought to maintain our right to vote.  It’s a shame that certain politicians are trying to deny that right to many citizens because they don&#8217;t have a silly photo ID.</p>
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		<title>By: RobertMiii</title>
		<link>http://abcnews.go.com/blogs/politics/2012/09/before-the-debates-a-polling-review/#comment-28640586</link>
		<dc:creator>RobertMiii</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 28 Sep 2012 18:46:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://abcnews.go.com/blogs/politics/?p=816285#comment-28640586</guid>
		<description>Hey Texbork... we don&#039;t need Florida, you can have it... lol</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Hey Texbork&#8230; we don&#8217;t need Florida, you can have it&#8230; lol</p>
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		<title>By: TexBork_2012</title>
		<link>http://abcnews.go.com/blogs/politics/2012/09/before-the-debates-a-polling-review/#comment-28640321</link>
		<dc:creator>TexBork_2012</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 28 Sep 2012 18:12:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://abcnews.go.com/blogs/politics/?p=816285#comment-28640321</guid>
		<description>Florida’s Democratic voter registration declined by 235,000 (–4.9 percent). Republicans remained typical registration growth with a gain of 19,000 voters (0.5 percent). Independents grew by 8.2 percent.  Hmmm....  If the republicans are gaining, the independents didn&#039;t take those voters from there, but the democrats gave up a quarter million and those whom did register broke more for independent or republican. Yet polls are over sampling democrats over republicans by 10 points?  That seems misleading.  Hispanics aren&#039;t going overwhelmingly to democrats as the media tries to make everyone believe either.  Nearly as many Hispanic voters have registered as independents as have registered as Democrats or Republicans combined.  Overall in the battleground states, democrats party registration declined by 5.2 percent whereas republican registration declined by 0.7.  Still, the media spins the polls by oversampling democrats 10 points, even though their voter rolls are dropping.  independent registration outpaced both Democratic and Republican registration since 2008.  And what do democrats tell us about independents?  That they are Tea Party republicans in disguise?  Yet the republican party is growing registered voters, Independents are growing, Democrats are shrinking.  And yet, the biased media spoon-feeds the ignorant public into believing their lies.  Next the media will pop up with a half million new jobs created that were somehow &quot;missed&quot;, &quot;hidden&quot;, or left in another pair of pants that went through the wash and were just now found suddenly before the election and now everyone whom lost a job under Bush and Obama combined has a job again.  Who is stupid enough to fall for that lie as well?  Not me.  Someone would have to be a serious fool to swallow that.  The media is the largest campaigning arm for Obama and the least legitimate as well.  I hope that the people will finally learn that the media is not the honest point of truth in information they had been many, many years ago.  They are a coordinated lever of the democrat&#039;s socialist party agenda.  They are carrying out Vladimir Lenin&#039;s strategy that states, &quot;The press should be not only a collective propagandist and a collective agitator, but also a collective organizer of the masses.&quot;  I hope one day the media returns to the notion of journalistic integrity, but will they?  NBC news may end up going under.  The reason it&#039;s ratings are so bad is that they make up news and then report on that and that is based on a lie and most everyone knows they are disingenuous and have no journalistic integrity.  The more the media keeps picking up the mantle of being a pro-democrat socialist propaganda machine, they less truthful they are in their reporting and viewers leave those dishonest outlets behind.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Florida’s Democratic voter registration declined by 235,000 (–4.9 percent). Republicans remained typical registration growth with a gain of 19,000 voters (0.5 percent). Independents grew by 8.2 percent.  Hmmm&#8230;.  If the republicans are gaining, the independents didn&#8217;t take those voters from there, but the democrats gave up a quarter million and those whom did register broke more for independent or republican. Yet polls are over sampling democrats over republicans by 10 points?  That seems misleading.  Hispanics aren&#8217;t going overwhelmingly to democrats as the media tries to make everyone believe either.  Nearly as many Hispanic voters have registered as independents as have registered as Democrats or Republicans combined.  Overall in the battleground states, democrats party registration declined by 5.2 percent whereas republican registration declined by 0.7.  Still, the media spins the polls by oversampling democrats 10 points, even though their voter rolls are dropping.  independent registration outpaced both Democratic and Republican registration since 2008.  And what do democrats tell us about independents?  That they are Tea Party republicans in disguise?  Yet the republican party is growing registered voters, Independents are growing, Democrats are shrinking.  And yet, the biased media spoon-feeds the ignorant public into believing their lies.  Next the media will pop up with a half million new jobs created that were somehow &#8220;missed&#8221;, &#8220;hidden&#8221;, or left in another pair of pants that went through the wash and were just now found suddenly before the election and now everyone whom lost a job under Bush and Obama combined has a job again.  Who is stupid enough to fall for that lie as well?  Not me.  Someone would have to be a serious fool to swallow that.  The media is the largest campaigning arm for Obama and the least legitimate as well.  I hope that the people will finally learn that the media is not the honest point of truth in information they had been many, many years ago.  They are a coordinated lever of the democrat&#8217;s socialist party agenda.  They are carrying out Vladimir Lenin&#8217;s strategy that states, &#8220;The press should be not only a collective propagandist and a collective agitator, but also a collective organizer of the masses.&#8221;  I hope one day the media returns to the notion of journalistic integrity, but will they?  NBC news may end up going under.  The reason it&#8217;s ratings are so bad is that they make up news and then report on that and that is based on a lie and most everyone knows they are disingenuous and have no journalistic integrity.  The more the media keeps picking up the mantle of being a pro-democrat socialist propaganda machine, they less truthful they are in their reporting and viewers leave those dishonest outlets behind.</p>
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