Florida Latinos More Divided on Obama

By Richard Morin

Nov 6, 2012 7:31pm

A first look at preliminary Florida exit poll results finds Florida Hispanics with more divided feelings about the Obama administration than Latinos nationally and a somewhat more favorable view of Republican nominee Mitt Romney.

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At the same time, Hispanics in Florida are more positive about President Obama and find Romney less appealing than other voters in the Sunshine state.

Overall about four-in-ten Florida Latinos say they are “angry” (14%) or “dissatisfied” (26%) with the president’s administration while 26% say they are “satisfied” and 23% are “enthusiastic.”

Among Latinos nationally, only about three-in-ten express anger (7%) or dissatisfaction (21%) with the Obama presidency and seven-in-ten  are satisfied (34%) or enthusiastic (37%). (All voters nationally offered a mixed verdict of Obama’s administration:  21% were angry, 29% were dissatisfied, 23% were satisfied and 25% were enthusiastic.)

These differences are mostly explained by the continuing influence of Florida’s large Cuban-American population, who are more politically conservative and Republican than other Hispanics. The migration of Puerto Ricans and immigrants from elsewhere in Latin America into the state—groups that have tended to vote more Democratic—have meant that Cuban-Americans comprise a shrinking share of the Hispanic vote.

While the sample of Cuban-Americans is too small to analyze, the verdict of non-Cuban Latinos suggests the gulf in attitudes between the two groups.  Among these Hispanics, more than six-in-ten were either enthusiastic or satisfied with the Obama administration—or nearly as positive as Hispanics nationally about the administration.

Overall, 55% of Florida Latinos had a “favorable” view of Obama while 41% said they had a negative opinion of the president.  Hispanic voters in general were somewhat cooler toward Romney (47% favorable, 47% unfavorable).

Among all Florida voters, 52% had a favorable view of Obama and 46% had a negative opinion; about as many (50%) had a favorable view of Romney and 46% had a negative opinion of him.

These preliminary exit poll results are based on a total sample size of 475 Latinos and a total sample size of 3,128.  Margin of sampling error for the sample of Latinos is approximately plus or minus 7 percentage points and plus or minus 3 points for the full sample.

 

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