Matthew Dowd

By Matthew Dowd

Feb 11, 2013 3:50pm

Affective Forecasting: State of the Union and Great Expectations

What do affective forecasting and the State of the Union have to do with each other?  Stay with me for a bit, and I will try and show you. Affective forecasting is a sociological term (much discussed by psychologist Daniel Gilbert in his book “Stumbling… Read More »

Matthew Dowd

By Matthew Dowd

Feb 4, 2013 4:00pm

Power Outage Led to San Francisco Super Bowl Surge? Not So Fast

Analysis In the aftermath of the Super Bowl, one of the most repeated “insights” is that the power outage delay changed the momentum of the game and allowed a big comeback by San Francisco. To me, this is classic cause-and-effect attribution bias or error. In… Read More »

Matthew Dowd

By Matthew Dowd

Jan 27, 2013 6:30am

‘Zero Dark Thirty’ Debate: Torture Has No Place in a Civilized Society

As I sat through the movie “Zero Dark Thirty,” I shut my eyes in some of the “interrogation” scenes and reflected on the debate surrounding the movie.  Some have said the movie shows torture did help in finding Osama bin Laden.  Others have said the… Read More »

Matthew Dowd

By Matthew Dowd

Jan 24, 2013 6:00am

More-Liberal Obama: Opportunity for GOP?

As I watched President Obama’s second inaugural address and reflected on it afterwards, I realized a few things about politics and life. His address was a well-crafted and well-delivered, clear, progressive statement of where he sees the country and where he wants to go in… Read More »

Jan 19, 2013 6:00am

Obama Enlists Public to Urge Congress to Act Against Gun Violence

President Obama is trying to enlist the public’s help to urge lawmakers to act on his proposals to curb gun violence, telling Americans, “It’s got to be up to you” to make a difference. On Wednesday, Obama unveiled his plan to halt gun violence in… Read More »

Matthew Dowd

By Matthew Dowd

Jan 17, 2013 6:00am

Tips for President Obama in His Second Term

As President Obama begins the turn from the end of his first term to the beginning of his second term, let us pause and see where the next four years are headed and what the president might want to be cognizant of and do in… Read More »

Matthew Dowd

By Matthew Dowd

Nov 24, 2012 7:00am

Fear and the Fiscal Cliff

Many of us use fear as a great motivator. We use it to push our children to behave properly by threat of punishment.  Employers use it to try to get more and better work out of employees. Coaches use it to try to improve athletes’ performances…. Read More »

Matthew Dowd

By Matthew Dowd

Nov 11, 2012 8:29pm

The Difference Between Elections and Governing

Is there a difference between putting together a coalition to win an election and creating a coalition to lead a nation? President Obama and his campaign were able to find and target enough groups this year to attract just more than 50 percent of the… Read More »

Matthew Dowd

By Matthew Dowd

Oct 16, 2012 2:14pm

What Women Want In a President

Mel Gibson played a chauvinistic advertising executive in the movie “What Women Want” who had an accident that gave him the power to hear women’s thoughts and feelings. I don’t have that power, but I am going to speculate on what many women might want… Read More »

Matthew Dowd

By Matthew Dowd

Sep 23, 2012 4:21pm

Five Key Myths About Campaigns

Joseph Campbell, the late philosopher, author and lecturer who often spoke about the power and importance of myth, once said, “Myth is what we call other people’s religion.” Myth has been important in helping reveal truths that are too obtuse, complicated or unknown to us…. Read More »