Oct 1, 2007 1:03pm

Steve Fossett: Four Weeks On

Never say never, but Steve Fossett’s trail seems very, very cold.  He took off from a Nevada airstrip four weeks ago today.  Searchers, made hopeful by the radar trails revealed last week by the Air Force, spent the weekend looking for Fossett’s single engine plane in an area southeast of there. They came up empty-handed. As of this morning, Nevada’s Department of Public Safety says the planes have once again stopped looking.  Authorities promise that if new leads develop, they’ll follow them, but for now, there are none. The Reno Gazette Journal posted a story from the Associated Press this morning.  Reno is the closest city of size, and their story is four paragraphs long. Did Fossett have reason to want to disappear?  They say they’ve thought of that.  Was there foul play?  They say they’ve looked into that possibility too. People are still invited to go to Amazon’s "Mechanical Turk" site and look over newly-posted satellite images that may provide clues.  The idea of the site is to enlist people to do what artificial intelligence does not (at least not yet) do well–pick out unusual things in a picture.  Their preview page is HERE, but so far nobody’s seen anything. Perhaps, as people have noted before, Fossett’s disappearance is a reminder that for all the technology we’ve developed, the world is still a large place, and it’s still possible for a small plane to disappear in the rugged, unpopulated terrain of the American west. Fossett’s own website, SteveFossett.com, has a mesage from Sept. 26: "On behalf of the entire Steve Fossett team, we would like to thank everyone who has written to the office and the website over these past three weeks to share their prayers and kind wishes for Steve’s safe return. In addition, we thank everyone participating in the search via the Amazon Mechanical Turk / Google Earth initiative."

User Comments

Actually, Fossett’s Web site remains active.

Posted by: George | October 1, 2007, 1:28 pm 1:28 pm

Note from Ned–
George, thanks for the catch. That changed since I looked an hour ago. I’ve updated the post.

Posted by: Ned Potter | October 1, 2007, 1:37 pm 1:37 pm

I don’t know what’s more surprising. The fact that he’s not been found, or that the Air Force is just now releasing radar flight data that they had of his flight. I understand that there are security issues, but if that data was released a day or two after his dissapearence, there is a strong possibility that Fossett could have been found by now. While I admire the Air Force for what they do for our country, this makes them look bad.

Posted by: Lawrence | October 1, 2007, 1:47 pm 1:47 pm

Maybe he’s being held in Area 51.

Posted by: JN | October 1, 2007, 2:00 pm 2:00 pm

This incident reminds me of the notoriety surrounding the disappearance of Amelia Earhart. The world is indeed a big place, but without such adventurers as Mr. Fossett, it would be a lot scarier.

Posted by: chuck | October 1, 2007, 3:15 pm 3:15 pm

For anyone who has worked a search, the fact that he is still missing after a month and the radar data is only becomming available now is perfectly reasonable. For one thing aircraft wreckage never looks like aircraft wreckage from the air. You are looking for broken trees, burn marks, a debris field, anything out of the ordinary that a ground team can go in and look further on. If there are surivors who can set up signal panels, you have a better chance than if no one is able to interact from the ground.
As for radar…….Aircraft not flying under positive control are very difficult to track. It isnecessary to determine the condition of the airspace at the time of departure and follow sequential plots. If you are off on departure by a couple of minutes you can be following the wrong plane. If several planes took off at the same time you have to check out the flight path of all of the planes and determine how the flight terminated. It is also possible that the plane which was VFR was under the radar for some or all of its flight. Unlike in major metropolitan areas where a transponder and encoding altimeter is required, you are pretty much on your own. Even if the plane had the equipment, it was not required that he use it. There are thousands of flights each day under VFR rules that are not in contact with anyone for any portion of the flight, except to announce on the Unicom frequencies that they are departing or coming back. (Local talk channel used to augment visual flight, but not necessary manned. More of a ocurtesy thing with pilots than a requirement.)
Though it is becomming less and less frequent to have a flight down over land which is not found, it does happen. In the midwest, the first day of hunting season is the prime time for lost aircraft to be spotted in northern pine forests.
Trying to play needle in the haystack with radar plots is painstaking and timeconsumming and without solid known squawks to work with an almost impossible task.
The Air Force and the search teams are owed an apology.

Posted by: Annie | October 1, 2007, 3:21 pm 3:21 pm

I agree Chuck. While I’m FAR too young to remember Amelia Earhart, I’m only 24, I do know that her exploits were greatly revered by those in her day. I can even remember watching those conspiracy shows on T.V. about her and how she planned on dissapearing, or that Aliens took her, and a bunch of other strange and ridiculous explainations. Without her, and people like her, our world would be even larger and a lot more frightening. As much as I’d like, I find it very hard to believe that Steve Fossett would still be alive after four weeks in the Southwest. I’m sure his family is very upset and my condolenses go to them.

Posted by: Lawrence | October 1, 2007, 3:26 pm 3:26 pm

I agree Annie, I flew helicopters in the Army. And I’m well aware of all that you’ve brought fourth. But what Ned has said about it, just doesn’t sit right with me. I’m sure the A.F. had valid and legit reasons not to give out the information. And I may even be reading too much into it. I don’t mean to say that the searchers aren’t doing a good job. I can somewhat understand their job, I did some searching for teams in the Army on a small base. Didn’t find them, even though they were alive and actually moving. It is a hard job, especially in a somewhat extreme environment.

Posted by: Lawrence | October 1, 2007, 3:33 pm 3:33 pm

The radar track is recorded from numerous top of the line installations in Nevada, as well as satellite and aerial missions by the Air Force (and others). Just Google Creech AFB for example.They should be able to reconstruct the path of a plane by isolating certain flight characteristics of that plane in its time frame. If that isn’t the case we should be very concerned about security. The public is being treated as mushrooms, what is new?

Posted by: Robert Lee | October 1, 2007, 3:44 pm 3:44 pm

Well said Chuck. Mr Fossett picked about the most challenging terrain possible in which to disappear (outside of Alaska). We SAR pilots in the middle part of the country can get pretty spoiled with consistent radar coverage almost to the surface, more population density (and more potential witnesses) and less rugged terrain than what is seen in Nevada.

Posted by: Chris | October 1, 2007, 11:25 pm 11:25 pm

I am only an Australian “oldie”, but I had followed the exploits of Steve Fossett and wish to convey my deepest condolences for his family and friends. I shed a few tears for him. After all this time it is unlikely he will be found alive, but miracles have been known to happen.

Posted by: Beryl Renton | October 8, 2007, 10:58 am 10:58 am

Fosset was just found –On ABC news now !!!

Posted by: Choochie Delvechio | October 15, 2007, 1:36 pm 1:36 pm

I cant believe it. How did he do it ?

Posted by: Antonio Geletti | October 15, 2007, 1:42 pm 1:42 pm

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