Save the Shuttles!
For years now, the conventional wisdom about the nation’s space shuttles has been that while they were magnificent, multipurpose ships, they were too complicated for their own good. They also ate up something like $4 billion a year, even if they didn’t fly. So best to get them out of the way as soon as practical, around 2010. But one place that doesn’t go over very well is on the Florida coast around the Kennedy Space Center, where thousands of jobs depend on NASA launching spacecraft. Rep. Dave Weldon, the Republican who represents the area, is now talking up a bill to allocate an extra $10 billion to NASA, to keep the shuttles flying until the Orion spacecraft is ready around 2015. Does he stand a chance? It’s not as if anyone has $10 billion lying around. Sen. Bill Nelson (D-Fla.) has suggested NASA squeeze in one extra shuttle flight after STS-133 in the summer of 2010, but that’s to launch an experiment that’s already been built. He’s on record saying he’d rather see Orion hurried up, to fly in 2013. Weldon says it would be a "foreign policy blunder" to rely on Russia to ferry American astronauts to the space station during the four-five year gap. "It’s not an issue of whether the money is going to be there or not," he said in Florida yesterday. "For us to be totally putting the goal of getting our astronauts into space in the hands of the Russians, I think, is very, very bad foreign policy." Florida Today quotes him as saying, "I don’t want to drive NASA and the KSC work force over a cliff." What to make of all this? Good foreign policy? Protecting American jobs? Or a bit of Congressional pork?
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I personally think it is a mistake to end the shuttle before its replacement is built and tested.
Posted by: arg | December 18, 2007, 4:03 pm 4:03 pm
If we rely on Russia for 5 years to get our crews back and forth to the space station, what if we have an all American crew up there and Russia refuses to bring them back? Or, holds them hostage for political gain? Not a good stratigy?
Posted by: DAVE | December 18, 2007, 4:15 pm 4:15 pm
In 1989 or so I wrote representative Pat Schroeder of Colorado a suggestion that the shuttle should be removed from the flight program and a program such as the Apollo, which is now Orion take its place. This was done for safety reasons because the shuttle launch vehicle was complex and unsafe. This recent failure, I have offered to assist with the modifications, and I am certain a new configuration is possible for the fuel sensors, but I am not happy with a winter launch. If my services are wanted it is best NASA use them now because I am not in good heath. Former High Reliability
Posted by: William F. Hachmeister | December 18, 2007, 4:25 pm 4:25 pm
I would not be opposed to leaving one shuttle parked next to the space station for emergency use, or so its remote arm, or other features could be used.
Posted by: William F. Hachmeister | December 18, 2007, 4:43 pm 4:43 pm
As usual there is that nagging question from Ned, should we or could we keep them flying?. Aything to stir up the comment board and controversy.
The obvious thing is that it’s just plain bad policy to end one program before starting another. And it doesn’t take a Rocket Scientist to figure that one out! To depend on another government for any space related activities is asinine.
The very idea of “parking” an Orbiter at the ISS shows a complete lack of knowledge of the shuttle’s systems requirements. Keep the vehicles flying until the Orion comes on line! It’s not emotional, it’s common sense.
Posted by: vizorsdn | December 18, 2007, 4:59 pm 4:59 pm
Better to spend money on the space program than the bomb program.
Posted by: BigT | December 18, 2007, 5:18 pm 5:18 pm
If NASA was smart (and they are not) they would buy about 12 of the very reliable and fairly inexpensive Soyuz launchers and use them for the period of 2010 to 2015. The big trouble with the shuttle is its bound to crash again and NASA just can’t afford another wrecked ship with a dead crew. Also, it would mean that over half the fleet crashed and NASA would have to endure the shouts of people who said “we told you so”.
No, the Shuttle was a good idea. But at four billion per year and only three flights then by any imagination it was an expensive boondoggle. Oh, the residents of Florida loved it. However, the Northern states were left with just the bill and a nearly semi-annual shot of a shuttle. Perhaps that “love triangle” is something that NASA could sell tickets for the public to watch. At a price of $4 billion for three flights then the big question is why are not some administratiors going to jail for miss appropriation of funds.
Last, some very rotten poster owes me a big apology.
Posted by: Nixon-II | December 18, 2007, 5:31 pm 5:31 pm
Keep the shuttle flying until Orion is ready to lift off.
Posted by: john raccoon | December 18, 2007, 5:44 pm 5:44 pm
The larger question has not been asked and certainly not answered: why, exactly, do we need a mega-expensive space program? To what end do we devote billions of dollars every year in national treasure – is it for the purpose of our national interest or is it just to keep NASA program personnel and contractors employed? I’d argue that the mission of NASA, if indeed it was ever a necessity, is entirely superfluous and the entire organization a boondoggle of the worst sort.
If space exploration is of any economic value, let private industry take a crack at it – without public subsidy. I think we’ll find there is no national economic value, and the only “value” to be had is the benefit to the state of Florida by means of enormous federal spending.
Kill NASA. Kill it now.
Posted by: skeptical | December 18, 2007, 5:45 pm 5:45 pm
Anyone who has trouble seeing a use for NASA and it’s benefits clearly is enourmously short sighted and has no anchor in the knowledge of the things they have done for the world as a whole, not just this nation. In other words, just plain unread and ignorant.
Posted by: vizorsdn | December 18, 2007, 5:50 pm 5:50 pm
You know a nation, or a school, or empire is on it’s decline when they can no longer fund their art or their science. I agree we should not stop funding and running shuttles until we have the replacement built and running. As someone who has worked on subsystems for NASA I can tell you that countless techonolgies were founded on NASA developments that made their ways into commercial products with patents in US companies and industries. Temperature sensors that are now in cars, GPS, high temperature composite materials, high efficiency insulators, every conceivable product that has any techonological breakthrough invented by an American company I guarrentee you benefitted from grants and the push from either DOD or NASA. When you kill NASA you kill R&D in the US and thati s a bad bad bad sign. our R&D and innovation is one of the last bastions of our economy that still flourishes. If you think it’s all market economy and free enterprise that fuels it, you are sorely out of touch. Look up the grants, see who gets them, see what companies have the innovations that spur the new products that helps our economy, it’s all fueled from NASA or DOD. you cannot kill NASA without killing many many US companies’ futures.
Posted by: dennis Manning | December 18, 2007, 5:51 pm 5:51 pm
since the railroads were fist put across the country business and government have been in bed together. Private industry will go where they are funded to go. Government leads innovation by providing funds to answer problems they see in the form of grants in hundreds if not thousands of solitations they make every year. This has been t he way we have always run since WWII and before that, government and big business have been in bed since the industrial revolution to give big business what they need in form of legislation and laws to allow them to grow and manipulate as they saw fit to keep business profitable. if you think ‘free enterprise’ and “private industry” have ever been the inventors of nay new techonology: the theinternet, the personalcomputer, CD’s, high density memory, random access memory, programmable IC’s, microprocessors…all grant based. you talk about killing NASA you talk about gutting our entire way of economic stimuli that has kept us in the forefront of technology for the past 80s years.
Posted by: dennis manning | December 18, 2007, 5:58 pm 5:58 pm
One who assumes that we should “buy about 12 of the very reliable and fairly inexpensive Soyuz launchers and use them for the period of 2010 to 2015″ knows little and assumes a lot about the Russian space craft reliability. All one need do is to go on line and study the reliability factors of the Soyuz. There have been crews lost and injured and nearly lost (many times) over it’s history. The croakings of doom posted in the “predictions” of another lost crew and ship are not statistically sound based upon the number of remaining Shuttle flights even with a program extension. You are speaking without clear facts and baseing it solely upon bad assumption.
Posted by: vizorsdn | December 18, 2007, 6:01 pm 6:01 pm
BigT. First off I have totally identified myself and am open for full review. The shuttle might not be available for parking at the space station, but then again maybe it is, this is a question that does not require immediate discussion but could be placed on the table for review as we start the transition phase. The transition may and may not begin this year, Orion may be pushed up, or slowed down. Politically I have zero idea what is going to happen and on the horizon of events anything that can go wrong, will. This I do know, the space station has no immediate life-boat which includes a return to earth capability of its own. . Finally, you have no idea what I have thought of in re-configuring the fuel system, and it is original and should be sufficient but would require the acceptance NASA. I would think there should be 12 or more future launches of the shuttle. In the next generation of the flight program I would like to see a variety of launch vehicles being utilized by our nation within the next two decades. We should be on the moon before 2020, and on our way to Mars by 2022. As a nation of explorers we turned into wasteland experts and do nothings who scavenged off the stock market and now you are suffering . . . Opportunities, now instead of a window your entry is a crack and a lot of cooperation before the economics fails. Former High Reliability
Posted by: William F. Hachmeister | December 18, 2007, 6:33 pm 6:33 pm
they should end it, you can’t prolong something like that, just because you want to, its not a political decision, its an engineering one. if the nasa engineers have determined that they can no longer operate the space shuttles safely after a certain date, then that’s that. they could build a new space shuttle, but that would cost money, to keep a new solution in the works and build a new shuttle. they should have never dumped their rockets from the 60s and early 70s, my understanding is they destroyed the plans to force themselves to transition to the shuttle program. if they go beyond the current shuttles’ lifespan, they are at greater risk of another catastrophic failure, which would be devastating to our space program, and national pride, especially when we have new nations pushing ahead into space, leaving us behind.
Posted by: 1 | December 18, 2007, 6:38 pm 6:38 pm
Here is a sad but I think a true fact, for the last week a re-load of the tank the sensors did not function properly. For years I have been trying to get NASA to fix this problem and pointed out that this specific problem I believed might have caused shuttle Challenger’s mishap. Now I have offered to go to Florida and fix this problem, and if I do fix it, then therein rests a large problem for NASA engineers, and my credibility. I would inform you all here how to fix the problem, but they could easily start the arguments that become unending and the shuttle would not be fixed, and this then is a political circus.
Posted by: William F. Hachmeister | December 18, 2007, 6:53 pm 6:53 pm
Vizorsdn, how is it going? When do I get my apology for your many posts against me?
Did you read that the poor taxpayer spent $4 billion for just three lift offs this year?
Yep, hide behind your engineering degree. However, if our government worked then a few program managers would be going to jail for mismanagement. The taxpayers spent 4 billion dollars this year on shuttle flights. That is $1.33 billion per launch and that does not include the sunk costs of the launch vehicle.
Anybody with any accounting back ground knows many of the engineers and project managers at NASA squander billions of dollars.
The shuttle is getting shut down. Conventional wisdom is the shuttle is dangerous (2 wrecks and 14 dead out of less than 140 flights), expensive (4 billion for 3 launches), and pointless.
History will harshly judge the space program when the shuttle came on line.
Spin that engineering spin all you want, vizorsdn. The bottom line is your side lost.
Posted by: Nixon-II | December 18, 2007, 7:51 pm 7:51 pm
Shortly following the Columbia disaster, I wrote to NASA asking why the Shuttle was not configured as one of it’s early designs had it: placing the orbiter ABOVE the fuel tank and boosters?
The answer is economics: it was “slightly cheaper” to strap it to the side (if you take “costs of accident” out of the equation).
Neither accident would have happened had the orbiter been on the top of the stack.
Challenger’s momentum would have easily carried it undamaged above the explosion (watch the video).
Columbia would never have been hit and damaged by falling debris from fuel tank pieces above it, since IT would have been above the fuel tank.
NASA wrote back and told me that they’d considered and discarded that idea because it would take over a year to “reconfigure the flight mold line”.
Shortly after, more insulation strikes caused that very one-year delay in flights anyhow, but instead we remain stuck with the unsafe version.
Posted by: yes1fan | December 18, 2007, 11:08 pm 11:08 pm
yes1fan I asked that question in 1986 while at Teledyne, and was informed it was a question of flight integrity that a shuttle had to fly under the tank for safety reason in the case of immediate break away or tank’s fiery mishap and shuttle survival. If that was a correct reasoning and rational I have zero idea. My source then was the engineers within Teledyne.
Posted by: William F. Hachmeister | December 18, 2007, 11:28 pm 11:28 pm
Correct me if I’m wrong, but wasn’t there work going on in the late 90′s for a new-generation shuttle? One that would be 1/10th the cost to operate and still be reusable? If memory serves, that was canceled because the technology just wasn’t available at the time (I think it specifically had to do with the composition of the internal fuel tanks, and perhaps a few other things). I wonder if maybe it might be possible now to build it, being 5-7 years later. The Aries will be a nice vehicle to be sure, but to replace a mostly reusable vehicle with one that isn’t, just strikes me as going in the wrong direction. Why can’t we have both: the Aries AND a new-generation shuttle? (Yes, I know the “usual” answer: money; if I had my way, NASA’s budget would be doubled.)
Posted by: LB750 | December 19, 2007, 9:05 am 9:05 am
LB750, you’re talking about the X-33 test vehicle and its larger operational follow-on, the Venture Star. Yes, they had a big problem fabricating the large composite fuel tanks, which was apparently overcome by another company some years later. Good luck convincing the gov’t into resurrecting a program that’s been dead for a decade, though.
There was also the HL-20 in the early 90′s, a small passenger-only shuttle to be launched atop a normal rocket. A rather handy thing to have at this time. This was also canceled, an all too common occourance with many NASA programs. A few years ago, this vehicle’s $1 billion of R&D data was picked up by a private company, SpaceDev, for development. How far they are able to get remains to be seen.
It’s not just a problem of money, but also a supreme lack of interest, making these programs very easy targets for spending cuts, especially if there is a perception of development difficulties, and if the program hasn’t become big enough yet (lots of jobs) to make pulling the plug politically painful. Canceling a “troubled” or “unnecessary” program makes for a good brief headline, which is quickly forgotten anyhow by the the public at large. Why worry about the future when you can slightly help your own present?
Just keeping Aries/Orion funded by the next President and Congress will be hard enough, unfortunately. NASA will be lucky to keep that plan intact…
Matt
Posted by: Matt F | December 19, 2007, 12:02 pm 12:02 pm
For the former Prez II and my old accountant buddy: When do you get “an apology from me”? I wasn’t aware you deserved one. You write these narrowly based diatribes on nothing more than cost and 2 vehicle accidents. It seems the Russians can do no wrong in your book. Better check your facts and not go on assumptions. You think I am “Hiding behind an engineering degree”? I don’t hide anywhere and base my posts on facts and not some knee-jerk reaction to a launch delay and bad connector. History will judge…there you go again with that silly statement. “My” side lost? What the heck does that mean anyway? Childish at best. How does history judge your namesake? Poor decisions in your unread opinions and choice of names.
Posted by: vizorsdn | December 19, 2007, 6:37 pm 6:37 pm
re: “For us to be totally putting the goal of getting our astronauts into space in the hands of the Russians, I think, is very, very bad foreign policy.”
As I recall, it was the Russian’s Proton rocket that could have been used to rescue astronauts aboard Columbia. I’m unclear on why we — that is, American politicians are placing so much importance on the origin of the vehicle when, as I understand it, is has been made available to save American lives? These are integrated systems. The minds behind both the ELV and STS components that make up the technology that make up the systems should be reflecting the spirit the Apollo lunar landing: We came in peace for all mankind (today, “all kind.”) Kind of a Thomas Jefferson ideaology early on — don’t you think? Apparently, four score and seven years and a couple of centuries later or so later — we need to be reminded of the politicians roll in “system integration.”
Posted by: Michigan | December 21, 2007, 3:15 pm 3:15 pm
ON THE OTHER HAND — FROM A FINANCIAL PAYBACK POV — IT’S NICE TO SEE WE STILL HAVE 2 OUT OF 5 – ALTHOUGH WASNT’ THE ORDER FOR 7 ORIBITORS? I’D SAY WE’VE GOT SOME EELV loyalists who aren’t big on military satellites being launched on STS who hale from the good ‘ole USA — a bit nervous that the Russian ELV was a bit too reliable. This being the case — that would be cause for concern w/ respect to job security at Goddard, Marshall SFC..and not national security. — any other thought on this?
Posted by: Michigan | December 21, 2007, 3:24 pm 3:24 pm