“Shameful Obstructionism”? Or “Climate Tax Bill”?
So the 2008 climate bill died today in the Senate on procedural grounds, and if you’re getting dizzy, perhaps that’s because everyone involved is trying to spin you about what it meant. Environmentalists and their mostly-Democratic allies wanted a cap-and-trade system for greenhouse gases–the amounts emitted by factories, cars, etc., would have to go down, but if your factory was going to have a tough time doing it, you could pay someone else to reduce theirs more. It’s complicated, but the EPA says it worked against acid rain; more HERE. The bill, you’ll recall, was sponsored by John Warner (R-Va.) and Joe Lieberman (Ind.-Conn.). Nice idea, they thought, but Republicans disagreed. Among other things, they got Senate clerks to read the entire 400-page bill aloud (it took nine hours), then planned to tie the bill up in debate. It would have taken 60 votes to move on; supporters could only round up 48. The Sierra Club complains that "the Senate Republican leadership — led by Senator Minority Leader McConnell (Ky.) and Senators Allard (Colo.), Inhofe (Okla.), and Cornyn (Tx.) —- used crude procedural tricks to tie the Senate in knots all week." Minority Leader McConnell, triumphant, put out a statement on the "Climate Tax Vote": “This whole exercise will have had no effect on either climate change or gas prices. But it does send an unambiguous message: on the issue of high gas prices, our friends on the other side have no plan to lower the price at the pump.” Sen. James Inhofe (R.-Okla.), perhaps the Senate’s chief doubter of climate warming, says in a statement that "it was obvious that the Democrats were not serious about supporting this bill." His statement adds, "This bill deserved a full and honest debate, with amendments offered and voted upon. The American people did not deserve a political exercise geared toward election year politics." Sen. Barbara Boxer (D.-Calif.), the Environment Committee chair for whom this was presumably a defeat, saw it otherwise: "Today’s vote is a landmark moment in the fight against global warming. We had 54 Senators come down on the side of tackling this crucial issue now — because it is one of the greatest challenges of our generation. This strong vote is up from 38 votes in 2005, and proves that our nation is ready to assume the mantle of leadership on global warming." Why 54 instead of 48? Six Senators wrote letters saying they would have voted for the climate bill if they’d been there. Two of the six, Sens. McCain and Obama, have been otherwise occupied.
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So as long as some companies can bribe other companies to pollute, they get to paw up some more cash amongst each other at the expense of the American people. Yup, that sure sounds like a plan to “save the planet”… Uh, NOT! Let alone no regulations for the developing world like oh maybe China, Russia, and India. This bill was a sham from the get go and deserved it’s fate that it earned today. If companies are concerned about the enviroment, they can implement they’re own standards and be far more effective than the government. Just like those who choose to recycle or drive around in eletric cars can do so as well, but to demand that I or anyone else be forced to comply with the madates of big government is TYRANNY!!! I should have the right to decide for myself how best to help the enviroment that I live in. And no private interest or non-governmental organization has the right to tell me how I choose to do so. But if some still think that living without electricity or clean water or shelter outside of a tent in the woods is necessary to “save the planet”, I assure them to go nuts. Forgive me if I choose to stay in my house, drive my car and revel in the benefits of clean water and electricity. Just continue in your aims of trying to take the opportunity to enjoy these privledges (of industrialization) from the third world if you must and leave me alone.
Posted by: pity | June 6, 2008, 3:15 pm 3:15 pm
Simply insane.
Are we to believe the Republicans simply dont get it?
I guess so.
How sad that a few rich greedy people are destroying our childrens future.
Posted by: Kara | June 6, 2008, 3:39 pm 3:39 pm
pity -
1. Nothing anyone has suggested will take away your house, car, or electricity. That is a totally bogus strawman argument.
2. This bill is not about the developing world. The international agreements come in different talks. This bill is about what WE are going to do here in the U.S. Hopefully the right thing.
3. Finally, it is abundantly clear that companies will NOT voluntarily implement the necessary measures to fix the problem. The free market is just great until it fails. Then governments play a role.
Posted by: jock59801 | June 6, 2008, 3:39 pm 3:39 pm
Jock, you, yourself admitted that the measure to convert food to ethanol in order to combat global warming was a stupid idea that has now resulted in the starvation of many people in developing countries.
You KNOW that this bill TOO will cause tremendous financial harm not just to our country but to others as well. It would raise the price of gas another 53 cents a gallon and put more excise taxes on food and other commodities. When our economy goes down, so do those of other countries.
You also said yourself “there is much we don’t know.” You admit with that statement that we still really do not have all the facts. You then turn around and say we DO know all the facts and that we have to pass a bill like this to “do the right thing”.
Well I say the right thing is do more research.. and yes, the scientists ARE divided. The latest to change his opinion on global warming is the director of climatology at NOAA. Others are also jumping off the bandwagon.
So far, there have not been any scientists recently who first took the position that global warming was questionalbe who converted over to believing it’s a fact. There has been MANY who went the reverse.
In a time when gas is already over $4.00 a gallon, to add a tax of 53 cents a gallon and worsen the recession for a theory that you yourself admitted that we still don’t have all the facts yet, is utterly ridiculous.
Posted by: jfm125 | June 6, 2008, 3:59 pm 3:59 pm
This is just another scare tactic by the left….the world is not going to end folks…..not now, now 10 years from now, 30 years from now or anything close to something our childrens childrens children will have to worry about. This scare stuff has been going on in the media since the late 1800′s but in the last 40 years has picked up steam because of a media that is far more accessible to the public. We only have to go back to the First Earth Day event and read some of the comments then to realize this is all crap. Back then the ice age was coming. By 2000 Britans would be starving and freezing to death. New York City would be buried in snow, New England under an ice shelf. When it didn’t get cold they had to change it to global warming and try and scare us with that. Guess what? In thirty years we will be hearing about the coming ice age…..again. You chicken little types have got WAY TOO MUCH TIME on your hands.
Posted by: Tim | June 6, 2008, 4:02 pm 4:02 pm
jfm125 – of course we don’t have all the facts. We never will. But we have enough facts to know there is a problem. Ignoring that would be like assuming you will never run out of gas just because your gas gauge is stuck.
There have been scientist who have gone the other way. Closing your eyes does not make facts go away.
There are many reasons for the high food prices causing trouble around the worls, and corn-based ethanol is probably not the larget. High fuel prices and predatory monopolies are major factors.
The goal of all of this is to bring fuel prices DOWN, and to share the burden more fairly. When Exxon makes 40 billion dollars a year in profits, the burden is not being shared. Obviously we need to break their grip on our fuel sources.
Posted by: jock59801 | June 6, 2008, 4:24 pm 4:24 pm
Tim -
We are not saying the world is going to end — just that rapid climate change will be very disruptive and result in unnecessary human suffering. Some of us think that is a bad thing.
Scientists in general were not predicting an ice age 30 years ago. There was some speculation and hype in the poular press, but if you look in the scientific literature, there were more people predicting warming than cooling even then.
Posted by: jock59801 | June 6, 2008, 4:28 pm 4:28 pm
Jock; do some feaking research here….don’t go blindly following the likes of Gore and company and stop with the class envy BS. Do you have ANY idea the size of oil companies…they are hugh and just by that fact they will generate profits that seem hugh, especially to small minded thinkers….. what some company should spend a trillion dollars on research and infrastructure so they can make 1 million dollars? In comparison to what they spend to bring you the products you use everyday and make your life a whole lot easier their profits are not out of line. If you want to get jacked off on something how about doing it to the government who get 23% to 28% of every gallon of gas you buy…..4 to 5 times more than the oil companies get from all their work. The government doesn’t research, drill, take risks, pay the insurance on trillons of dollars of equipment and infrastructure, pay share holders or take losses……they just steal. Then on top of that the government restricts where oil companies can drill and limits the refineries that can be built…essencially limiting supply so that there will ALWAYS be more demand than supply and therefore keeping prices high and revenue to the government also high. Chicken Little is King to some folks.
Posted by: Tim | June 6, 2008, 4:39 pm 4:39 pm
Tim -
Yes, the government does do most of those things with the money. I bet you get mad when there’s a pothole in your freeway. Where do you think that money comes from? Drive your car across the fields to work from now on if you don’t want the government to have any money. People always think the government does nothing and are so surprised at what happens when it REALLY does nothing.
Posted by: jock59801 | June 6, 2008, 4:47 pm 4:47 pm
Jock; there is no more human suffering in general now than there is at any given time….this isn’t Eden…..stuff changes and will ALWAYS change……evolution not only exists for plantes and animals but the planet as well. And my dear friend you are quite wrong on scientists predicting ice ages as little as 40 years ago. I grew up during those times and I have read many articles from scientists then…..most where by folks that faded away because their claims failed to materialize. Man kind is in no way in danger except by those that seek to curtail us. If we were to implement some of these “ideas” our economy would surely take a major hit…we would suffer but so would people across the globe who rely on us for goods and services……they would be the ones first hurt by our slowing economy and then we would soon follow. Just the failed ethanol BS is just a fraction of the harm we can do by trying to do good deeds. That has done nothing except drive up the price of corn, put less food on the table and make our cars run less effeciently. The last one is VERY important. Your gas mileage will be a bit less because of ethanol so you get less mileage from a tank of gas and have to buy more often….oh the joy of that.
Posted by: Tim | June 6, 2008, 4:49 pm 4:49 pm
By the way, I have never seen Gore’s movie and really don’t care much what he has to say. I read the scientific literature directly. I never understood why people think that Gore just made all this stuff up. I don’t think Gore was alive in 1896 when AGW was first proposed.
Posted by: jock59801 | June 6, 2008, 4:52 pm 4:52 pm
Jock; I didn’t say they didn’t use the money but it’s a cash cow for them and they NEVER stop spending…they ALWAYS try to do more and more and more and more……..we don’t need them to do EVERYTHING for us. Look at how much money they take in JUST from oil…..probably conseravtively a half trillion dollars a year….that doesn’t even include income taxes, sales taxes, all sorts of other taxes they make businesses pay including SS and MedaCare…..there is no shortage of revenue…..only an excess of spending.
Posted by: Tim | June 6, 2008, 4:54 pm 4:54 pm
The fact that corn-based ethanol is a stupid idea does not mean that we should do nothing. There are smart ways of dealing with this.
Posted by: jock59801 | June 6, 2008, 4:55 pm 4:55 pm
Tim – The scientific literature from the 1970′s has been reviewed and they found that more scientists were predicting warming than cooling. The consensus on AGW today is obviously much stronger, so the comparison is just another attempt to distract.
Posted by: jock59801 | June 6, 2008, 4:58 pm 4:58 pm
Inhofe is such a jerk. It was the Republicans who blocked all of the amendments, so to turn around and blame it on others is just juvenile – but not surprising.
And if any Democrats were less than enthusiastic about this bill, it is because we know we can get a better one passed next year.
Posted by: jock59801 | June 6, 2008, 5:01 pm 5:01 pm
Jock, the idea was to get gas prices UP, not down. The bill’s requirement was to raise gas 53 cents a gallon.
The food shortage has ONE major cause and you ADMITTED that cause. The bill that requires corn to be converted to ethanol to fight global warming. Yes, the high gas prices too are a factor. Why?
The global warming activists successfully block oil drilling here in this country which WOULD lower gas prices. With the demand higher and the production MUCH lower the prices jump. Now with 53 cents added the price of gas woutld jump even higher, thereby ADDING to the food crisis.
As I said, more and more scientists are moving away from the global warming theory. This ALONE should send a message. We DON’T know enough to justify putting millions into starvation and poverty.
As to your response to Tim. Jock, your global warming movement is CAUSING human suffering, not reducing it. You have created the VERY conditions you said global warming would have created.
Posted by: jfm125 | June 6, 2008, 5:04 pm 5:04 pm
Tim -
yes, there will always be human suffering. That doesn’t make it OK to cause more.
Any cost to the economy (usually exagerrated) from prevention needs to be weighed against the costs from AGW itself. That will hit the poorest people hardest as well. You could just assume that climate change won’t happen so we don’t have to worry about it, but the cost of you being wrong is not something the rest of us really want to bear.
Posted by: jock59801 | June 6, 2008, 5:06 pm 5:06 pm
jfm125 -
The bill has no “requirement” to raise gas prices. The 53 cents was from a worst-case-scenario projection by one study.
What happens to energy prices depends on a lot of things. I always think it is hilarious when the free market idealogues claim that we have no control over oil prices because it is all from increased demand on the global market, and then turn around and claim that it is all the environmentalists’ fault. Well, which is it?
Posted by: jock59801 | June 6, 2008, 5:26 pm 5:26 pm
It’s really funny when you keep finding the same names making the same arguements over and over, for every themed topic on these blogs. Some people must really enjoy speaking and thinking in loops and trying to bring others into their loop as well. It’s just a trip witnessing this kinda stuff again and again.
Posted by: zyx | June 6, 2008, 5:26 pm 5:26 pm
I agree we need to be very careful in how we proceed to cause the least harm to the economy and to people around the world. But we need to figure that out within the realm of reality.
We have a problem, so let’s get together and figure out what to so about it. Denying we have a problem may seem like a good short-term solution, but people will suffer for it in the end.
Posted by: jock59801 | June 6, 2008, 5:31 pm 5:31 pm
zyx – I know. I really shouldn’t waste so much time in here. And I’m sure I am never going to change anyone’s mind. It just makes me mad when people are purposely abusive of others for political gain. But I guess that is what the internet is FOR, so I’m not going to change it.
Posted by: jock59801 | June 6, 2008, 5:36 pm 5:36 pm
zyx
Believe it or not, by these arguments we tend to learn a little more as many arguments give valuable references to additional resources.
jfm125
It’s not so much moving away from AGW as it is realization that other factors are involved that are having a larger effect than AGW and CO2 is not the right tree to be barking up. NASA now realized that they underestimated the impact of solar cycles. NOAA is starting to look harder at ocean cycles, and so on. The difference in outlook is a slow realization that reducing CO2 will not be a cure.
Posted by: Quietman | June 6, 2008, 6:10 pm 6:10 pm
We should declare the entire Republican party a terrorist organization. These scoundrels are the single most destructive force AGAINST the USA that exists today.
Posted by: RW | June 6, 2008, 6:19 pm 6:19 pm
Tim
What some folks do not realize is that we are currently within an ice age. What is referred to as “the end of the last ice age” is in reality “the end of the last glacation”. This period we live in is one of two possible conditions: an interglacial (consensus) or a continuation of the ending of an ice age, which if true means that it will get a whole lot warmer (for 90% of the earth’s history it has been MUCH warmer than it is now). Let us pray that the consensus is correct on this, but keep in mind that, sooner or later, this ice age too will come to an end.
Posted by: Quietman | June 6, 2008, 6:19 pm 6:19 pm
RW
Not Republicans, fundamentalist environmentalists.
Posted by: Quietman | June 6, 2008, 6:20 pm 6:20 pm
Jock
I had posted this for you 2 blogs back but I don’t think you saw it:
From: “Mountain ranges rise much more rapidly than geologists expected”
“Tectonic theory may need revision in light of new study in Science”
Public release date: 5-Jun-2008
“When oceanic and continental plates come together, geologists believe the continental crust buckles. On the surface, the buckling manifests itself as a rising mountain range, but beneath the crust, the buckling creates a heavy, high-density “root” that holds the crust down like an anchor, says Garzione. Conventional tectonic theory says that convection of the fluid mantle deep in the Earth slowly erodes this heavy root like a stream wearing down a rock, allowing mountains to gradually rise as the crust shortens and thickens.”
Contact: Jonathan Sherwood, University of Rochester
I think I got it from “Scientific Blogging” but now I can’t remember.
Posted by: Quietman | June 6, 2008, 6:26 pm 6:26 pm
Ned
How about some blogs on ENSO, the PDO, the AMO (aka MOA) or Solar Cycle 24 to enlighten your readers who are not fully grasping the idea of climate change.
Posted by: Quietman | June 6, 2008, 6:32 pm 6:32 pm
All I know is Al Gore’s carbon footprint is much bigger than mine. Especially with that personal jet he gets around in.
Posted by: LongT | June 6, 2008, 6:35 pm 6:35 pm
Quietman -
I am all for getting a more accurate understanding of all the factors involved. But I think that it is premature to assume that even if we have underestimated some of the other factors, therefore the CO2 contribution must be negligible. There are at LEAST as many really smart people who say that CO2 IS significant.
Part of the problem for me is that there are so many bold-faced lies being spread by the AGW deniers, that it is hard to keep up with separating the lies from what may actually be a legitimate point. That is why I place so much emphasis on the peer-reviewed literature. It is the only place I know of with at least some objectivity, even if it is far from perfect.
Posted by: jock59801 | June 6, 2008, 8:57 pm 8:57 pm
Jock
Agreed. The article cited is based on a peer reviewed paper, as are most of my recent references. I go to Skeptical Science for links to such papers, both those that support CO2 induced AGW and the arguments against it. Things have cooled down there (pun intended) due to the latest papers out of NOAA and NASA.
But more important to me are the new papers on past climate, which would not have been written if not for this AGW scare. They are coming up with very interesting data on paleoclimates.
Posted by: Quietman | June 6, 2008, 11:16 pm 11:16 pm
If we are smart enough and big enough to over burden the Earth with our technology but not big enough in more ways than one to fix it when it is overburdened, that would be tragic.
If we are being alarmist and we are not being big enough to admit so that would be tragic too.
For me what we do to “save” the environment ALSO makes us energy independent and creates jobs.
It is a win, win, win, even if we can’t do a damn thing for or against the Earth.
Posted by: Beowolf747 | June 7, 2008, 11:17 am 11:17 am
There is a lot of combustible sparing going on here
and all very interesting.
I am confused about jock not wanting to see Gore’s input and yet fundamentally agreeing with him ?
Are you two agreeing on facts but not the cure ?
Posted by: Julie Runco | June 7, 2008, 11:40 am 11:40 am
Julie Runco -
Gore is one of many spokespeople on the global warming issue. The fact that he did so well to get the issue noticed is something I appreciate, but I don’t particularly value his opinion more than anybody else’s. He is not even a scientist. From what I have heard he got most things pretty much right but a few things wrong.
As for solutions, there are alot of people working on that too, most of whom I respect more than Gore. While he is not as much of a hypocrite as he get blamed for, I don’t think he sets the best example and I’m not a big fan of the “carbon offset” bandwagon.
Posted by: jock59801 | June 7, 2008, 12:16 pm 12:16 pm
If there is a serious problem, do you trust governments to fix it ?
You can chip in your part and mine of that $45-trillion.
Posted by: David Rowe | June 7, 2008, 12:24 pm 12:24 pm
Beowolf747
I agree with you except for the simple fact that CO2 is not a pollutant. It is a part of the natural cycle and we can not do without it. Plants need CO2 to live, we need plants to produce oxygen, the planet needs GHGs to keep from freezing and the amount of CO2 in AGW has not hurt anything. On any true pollutant I fully agree, cleaner is healthier so we need to keep cleaning up our act, but forget CO2, it’s not causing anything.
Posted by: Quietman | June 7, 2008, 12:56 pm 12:56 pm
when we vote the republican party out of washington this fall every thing will get better. the republicans are a old fashioned and out of touch party and they have done more in the last 40 years to destroy this nation and world then any other group.
Posted by: tom | June 7, 2008, 1:59 pm 1:59 pm
Quietman -
Is that your new position. CO2 makes no difference at all? We can run up the CO2 concentration to 800 ppm and it will make NO difference in global temperatures? I think you will probably find a few hundred physicists who would disagree with you. But as long as YOU are sure then I guess we are OK.
So, exactly how much human suffering are YOU willing to risk for this growing confidence of yours?
I’m not trying to be rude. I’m just trying to be make the point that this is VERY important, and you don’t have all the answers any more than I do.
Posted by: jock59801 | June 7, 2008, 2:33 pm 2:33 pm
Jock
1. If the scientists can’t agree why should you or I. All the hoopla is from Gore who we both know is no scientist.
2. Even the scientists who predict CO2 as a major GHG are not being alarmist, its a group of political environmentalists who are.
3. Many scientists who supported CO2 as a cause are changing directions now.
4. Fact, the record highs were caused by ocean cycles converging, specifically ENSO and PDO.
5. Fact, it has not gotten any warmer since 1998 and that was El Nino. If CO2 were the primary GHG as they thought, warming would have continued. RealClimate claims it has but only using GISS and playing with the numbers.
The IPCC has recognized this as well.
6. The tipping point is a myth. CO2 does not have either a linear effect nor an exponential effect. In fact the increases in its ability to act as a GHG reduce in proportion to its increase, ie. if co2 doubles, it has more effect but does not double or any where near that. 800ppm is still nothing compared to what it was at the beginning of the current ice age and while much warmer than now, still plunged into the iceage.
Reading paper after paper I found that these scientists may be well educated but not any more intelligent than anyone else. No Einstiens out there, but there are a few Darwins and they claim “natural causes”.
Posted by: Quietman | June 7, 2008, 5:40 pm 5:40 pm
tom
Partisanism is the reason this country has such poor leaders. If everyone voted for people instead of party all would be well again. But they don’t so we can’t get the best leaders.
Posted by: Quietman | June 7, 2008, 5:57 pm 5:57 pm
The world’s climate is like a large ship – it takes a lot of little things to happen and a lot of time to change course. In order to stop global warming it will take international, national, local and individual action. And yes some of it will have to be unilateral. Whatever level we influence we need to make it happen,
The fates of future generations are dependent on it.
Posted by: Mark from atlanta | June 7, 2008, 6:24 pm 6:24 pm
Quietman -
I sincerely hope that you are right. I certainly do not want to see the harm that could be caused from AGW. Unfortunately, I’m pretty sure that you are not. I wish we had the luxury to just “wait and see.”
As for alarmism, of course there are alarmists. There are alarmists on every issue. People are people, and in this case especially most people on both sides do not really understand the issue anyway.
But the fact that there are alarmists does not mean that there is not a problem. There will probably be no major catastrophe, but it doesn’t take much disruption to increase the amount of human suffering in this world.
The tipping point is not a myth so much as an unknown. It has nothing to do with the ability of CO2 to act as a GHG, but rather the positive feedback between temperature and CO2 release (mostly from the oceans in the natural case). It is thought that such positive feedbacks played a role in the interglacial warm-ups. But maybe things are different this time, and everything will be peachy. Maybe.
Posted by: jock59801 | June 7, 2008, 7:44 pm 7:44 pm
patriot – The issue is not whether other factors affect the climate. Scientists are well aware of that. The issue is whether massive emissions of CO2 and methane ALSO affect the climate, and would make things worse than they otherwsie might be.
Because so many factors affect the climate, the correlation between CO2 and temperature is not going to be perfect, and is more likely to be apparent on the time scale of centuries rather than decades.
Posted by: jock59801 | June 7, 2008, 7:48 pm 7:48 pm
Badgersouth
That is political alarmist wording. What they found are the results of the warming trend of climate change – they did not prove AGW – no proof has yet been shown for AGW and it has not warmed ON AVERAGE for 10 years now.
patriot
I have read those articles and related papers – the logic is quite sound.
Posted by: Quietman | June 7, 2008, 8:20 pm 8:20 pm
So let me see if I have the objections down: No regulation for developing countries, right? Big polluters there, right? Cap and trade means you get to let someone else pollute for you, right?
So, you’re saying because no one else is doing anything about reducing pollution, we shouldn’t either, huh? And having caps isn’t a good idea, because some may pay to avoid their limits regardless of who pollutes, huh?
Obviously we have some real mental midgets out there. As I’ve said before, were it up to me, I’d nuke every oil well and coal mine on the face of the planet and make people deal with the aftermath if that’s what it takes to stop our CO2 habits. But that’s just me and it ain’t gonna happen but we have to start somewhere. If not at home, where the HELL do you suggest we start?
Posted by: Fatesrider | June 7, 2008, 8:21 pm 8:21 pm
jock
You are getting close when you talk methane but it still is not AGW and the carbon tax is not about methane but CO2.
The reason I say its a myth is because it did not happen and CO2 levels were EXTREME in the mesozoic. This is why AGW was rejected in 1906.
Posted by: Quietman | June 7, 2008, 8:26 pm 8:26 pm
Jock
AGW aside, we need to determine what the actual cause of the problem is and determine what needs to be done.
BTW
Know anyone familiar with temperature instrumentation during WW2? I am trying to get an idea as to what was used and if rounding off was used. I did not start work in that area until the late 1970s so I haven’t a clue.
Posted by: Quietman | June 7, 2008, 8:41 pm 8:41 pm
This is like arguing over how the house caught fire, instead of putting out the fire.
In 1967 when the Alaskan pipeline was started, the oil companies said it would not hurt the environment. Scientists said the Ice would take hundreds of years to defrost. Looking at the 3-4 smoke stacks burning off the Natural gas, I said, Wanna bet? It took 35 years. The oil companies were asked how they felt about this. They responded that it would make drilling for oil there so much easier. Mean while, they are still finding oil from the Exxon Valdize oil spill on the beaches… Now the polar bears need liferafts to rest on while at sea. Who’s gonna build them for the bears?
The weather patterns are shifting. Maybe this is a normal thing, maybe not.
We are overdue a magnetic pole shift after all, perhaps that is what is killing the bees off. They may be getting lost. If the sun is cooler right now, that may be a good thing, because if it were getting warmer, well… Yes, our planet has cycles, just like we have seasons, winter, spring, summer, and fall. But are we going into spring, or fall? Should we wait until the snow is ten feet deep in June before doing anything? The oil companies get tax dollars to do research. They are now buying up/ investing in all the alternative resources too, so they can keep a strangle hold on us. The Titanic has already hit the iceberg, and is taking on water. And there are not enough boats. I recommend building houseboats. Don’t wait for the Ark, because only the rich will survive. Our Gov.,like the Gens. of Burma, they are safe and well fed, who cares about the poor people?
If you want an electric car, convert a gas car. If you own your own home, or are buying, add wind generators, and both passive solar, and solar panels. Recycle bath water, and washing machine water to flush the toilets. Build a solar hot water heater. You can grow a lot of food in a 4′ x 8′ raised bed. If enough of us little people do our part, maybe we can make a difference. The amount of oil used will go down anyway, because the poor cannot afford to buy it. Someone just told me global warming was hogwash, and then asked if I can do without oil. I have $60 a month to spend on gas. When it is gone, I sit home. And I can certainly do without all the plastic and paper packaging that comes with everything you buy these days. I was born in a house without plumbing, and have lived in a house without plumbing since living in several with plumbing. BTW, this computer was built in 1998 from recycled parts.
Posted by: Effie Strickland | June 8, 2008, 11:02 am 11:02 am
The Government view is, we have 50-100 years to fix this. The Mayan Calender runs out in 2014… I think maybe they got it right.
As for the tipping point, I think that was reached when the ice at the north pole melted, and those huge sheets of ice started falling off Greenland and Antartica. We can expect more cyclones, huricanes, and tornadoes, and more flooding to kill crops, and then drought to kill the rest.
Drilling dry wells to catch some of that floodwater would be a good idea, but who will pay for it? That could help raise the aquafers back up and stop some of the droughts.
You, history shows that every time the earth gets over populated, nature steps in and cleans house. And the bad thing is, the people who use the least of the earth’s resources are the hardest hit.
So pack up and move to high ground, build your own solar and wind powered home, and grow your own food. After all, we saw just how well our government handles diseasters with Katrina. They packed the poor into the stadium, let some of them die, shipped the rest off to parts unknown, and used our tax dollars to rebuild the stadium instead of the 9th ward. God Ble$$ the U$A.
Posted by: Effie Strickland | June 8, 2008, 11:38 am 11:38 am
Effie
Your comment on pole shift and bees is interesting. It did in fact shift a while back.
“North magnetic pole heading for Siberia
Alaska might lose its Northern Lights in 50 years, scientists say”
Dec. 8, 2005 – MSNBC
“Magnetic north pole drifting fast
Alaska could lose its northern lights, scientists say” – BBC
And a couple of related articles I had forgotten:
“Mysterious Shift in Earth’s Gravity Suggests Equator is Bulging”
By Robert Roy Britt Senior Science Writer, August 2002 – Livescience
“The Northeast is Moving South”
Ker Than, LiveScience Staff Writer
Fri Dec 16, 2005 – Livescience
Thanks for the reminder.
Posted by: Quietman | June 8, 2008, 1:28 pm 1:28 pm
The democratic lawmakers are giving comfort and aid to the enemies of the US. These enemies are those that speculate in oil prices with the assurances that the oil producers, even in the US are content to get the higher prices without producing any more oil. The democratic law makers are trying to kill the use of coal the only immediatly available alternative to oil. Coal is not significantly more CO2 productive than oil when both are finally delivered to the actual user.
Energy(right now fossil fuel) is the basis of our economy and many children in the US will starve, not get medical attention and die if more restrictions are placed on the use of fuels. The inhabitants of the US are being misled by the politicians and others who choose to get elected rather than telling the truth about energy sources. Part of the truth is that wind, sun, and geothermal are only useful in limited places and in small amounts and are too capital intensive for widespread use; Hydrogen is like electricity it can only move energy from one place to another, but it is far more inefficient to produce hydrogen so use electricity.
Posted by: Henry Gibson | June 8, 2008, 2:16 pm 2:16 pm
Vote the Republicans OUT in 2008. We need 60 or more seats in the Senate, a Democratic majority in the House and a Democratic President. The Republican have failed us miserably.
Posted by: Eric | June 8, 2008, 2:30 pm 2:30 pm
Effie
BTW its December 2012, not 2014. Common misconception is that it ends. But the calendar does not end there, it loops back to the beginning. Its just a calendar, not a prediction of anything.
Posted by: Quietman | June 8, 2008, 3:12 pm 3:12 pm
Henry Gibson
Well said, but very partisan. There are intelleigent people in both parties, voting by party line is what is currently wrong with our system. We end up with poor leaders who ride along with the party rather than on merit.
Posted by: Quietman | June 8, 2008, 3:16 pm 3:16 pm
Effie
On the bees, there is another factor or two involved – evolution: mutation and variation. I recently came across a hive in my yard that does not match any seen in the area. I have checked with bee keepers and forestry specialists. The bee is black, white and gold; the size of a bumble bee but builds a hanging egg shaped hive that is smaller than a baseball. Can’t find it online.
But it is pollenating my fruit trees so I don’t want to kill or capture it to get it identified. A hybrid? Mutation? Variation new to the area? Unknown.
Posted by: Quietman | June 8, 2008, 3:29 pm 3:29 pm
Quietman -
Is that your new position. CO2 makes no difference at all? We can run up the CO2 concentration to 800 ppm and it will make NO difference in global temperatures? I think you will probably find a few hundred physicists who would disagree with you. But as long as YOU are sure then I guess we are OK.
So, exactly how much human suffering are YOU willing to risk for this growing confidence of yours?
I’m not trying to be rude. I’m just trying to be make the point that this is VERY important, and you don’t have all the answers any more than I do.
___________________
Well Jock, it seems as though Congress DOES think CO2 is the problem and issued the policy of using food for ethanol and now many people in developing countries ARE suffering BECAUSE of your movement.
The bill that was defeated in the Senate WOULD have risen gas by 53 cents a gallon in an effort to reduce CO2, you KNOW it and THAT would cause human suffering.
It is very doubtful but CO2 MAY cause human suffering. Al Gore, and your other activists WILL cause human suffering.
Posted by: jfm125 | June 8, 2008, 6:13 pm 6:13 pm
While reading this Bill, I grew sick. How many times did I see terms like fee or fees that will be attatched to….everything.
Then to top it off, I counted at least 3 new government agencies or committees that will be started up. More money, tax money, our money.
Then on the news and even on here, there are the supporters of this Bill that think life won’t change. Gas prices wouldn’t be effected by this, food wouldn’t be effected. Everything on the shelves at Wal-Mart/Target won’t be effected.
I say to them. Did you even read the Bill??? Not just the summary, the actual Bull, I mean Bill.
This economy is all we hear about in the news and how bad it is. This Bill will KILL the economy and break the tax payer.
That must be the goal, the hidden agenda. Bankrupt most of the low/middle class so that have no choice to become completely dependent on the government. I guess that’s one way to get to communism.
I am glad that someone has thought about this for longer than 3 seconds and realized the damage this Bill would do.
And it is all for what??? Manmade Global Warming. Without a shred of proof that man is the problem, btw.
Now there are the alarmists, the chicken littles that yell the sky is falling, those people have accepted this idea as if it is set in stone. Their blind faith in this religion will be the doom and destruction of America. They are blinded by partisan politics and refuse to hear anything. They cover their ears and yell “blah blah blah I can’t hear you blah blah blah”. Then they just repeat their talking points over and over and over. It gets so old. Those flat earthers refuse to accept that there are over 31,000 real scientists that disagree with AGW.
This Bill should be taken much more seriously by these flat earth alarmists.
Posted by: CVT | June 8, 2008, 7:26 pm 7:26 pm
I am a scientist, but
One must look at the proposed “solution”
It amounts to nothing more nor less than turning the USA into a third world country. At the benefit of China – which under Kyoto is allowed unlimited pollution.
Lifestyle relies on energy. This required 80% reduction in CO2.
WHat other energy sources?
Nuclear – there has been no nuclear plant built in USA since 3 mile island, many years ago. Environmentalists insist we take the ones that are running off line as their licenses run out.
Wind machines – They will be banned as killing birds.
Solar – expensive, problem is storing the power for nights. Without lead – and most systems use lead-acid storage batteries for this.
coal – capture the CO2 — this will not work long term. VERY expensive, and places it can be safely stashed underground as liquid are few and far between, and not located near powerplants or demand sites.
To meet this rule would require:
a. Heat only one room in homes.
b. No airconditioning, no matter how hot.
c. Switch all city transport to bicycles. No cars – not even electric (where does the 110AC come from?)
d. replacement of almost all refrigerators
e. eliminate the remains of US industry
f. eliminate beef – and prohibit use of oxen to replace the banned trucks (cattle and oxen produce methane, more potent greenhouse gasses than CO2)
In effect – return the economy to 1898
Posted by: Stevie B | June 8, 2008, 10:26 pm 10:26 pm
Did this article forget to mention the Clean Air Act did the most to curb acid rain and not really cap and trade?
I’m am nuke, drive as little as possible, and an avid gardener. My carbon footprint is a negative and have room to sell.
Posted by: Nobel | June 8, 2008, 11:13 pm 11:13 pm
jfm125
In Jocks defense, he’s not crazy about Gore either and is definately against food based biofuels (from past discussions) but he is a scientist albeit not in a climate related field, so I never view his arguments as attacks but as friendly conversation. In this instance he misunderstood me. AGW is real and GHGs are real but we differ in opinion as to their importance in climate change.
Posted by: Quietman | June 8, 2008, 11:16 pm 11:16 pm
Stevie B
Extremely well said. Check out the Skeptical Science website where we are discussing the current climate issues. As a scientist your input would be appreciated (at least by me).
Posted by: Quietman | June 8, 2008, 11:24 pm 11:24 pm
Ok I used to believe the global warming nuts. So I was telling people and my best freinds father who is 71ish now, 65ish then. He told me about how the earlth goes into cycles of hot and cold and I told him its differant now etc. He told me about how the earth was going to freeze and all that bs such as Briton being froze over and all that. Well to prove him wrong I decided to find all the evidence I could find proveing he was wrong. Come to find out he was more right then anything. earth cycles change mostly with the sun cycles. Nobody mentions this. CO2 was much much higher thousands of years ago. Note that there wasnt any SUVs here then. If your going to believe this stuff do some research please. Have you noticed that people cant predict rain and weather forcast right. I mean 1-5 days should be easy considering the 50-100 day forcast. What about the cooling peroid we have been in for the last several years since 98? We need to stop the real pollution such as mercury and lead toxin and dioxin etc. Please focuse of things that truely do pollute and hurt people. CO2 isnt a polutant! we carbon based life forms (Humans) exhale it and plants also carbon based life forms inhale it and vs versa. So please lets work to make life better and stop giving in to UN who wants USA destroyed as we know it. (If you dont believe me please again research it. Google UN chater against civilian guns global tax etc.) Several on the panal of climate change said that they didnt support Man Made global change but the panel triwsted there reports around to say just that. Again research it. UN wants more money from the USA because they believe we the USA taxpayers arent paying our fair share even though we pay UN about 2/3rds of its income. Check out http://www.getusout.org It has some good information, but really need to look up more to find all the reasons.
Posted by: James | June 9, 2008, 1:24 am 1:24 am
James
Well said. I wish more of my generation had neen as inquisitive as you.
Posted by: Quietman | June 9, 2008, 1:36 am 1:36 am
neen s/b been – sorry, fat old fingers.
Posted by: Quietman | June 9, 2008, 1:38 am 1:38 am
It is too bad that the environmentalist groups cannot come up with viable solutions.I am real tired of hearing the Chicken little saga played out and nothing to show for it.Viable solutions work. Chicken little does not.
Posted by: John T | June 9, 2008, 2:02 am 2:02 am
CVT : I keep asking, but nobody can explain why MDs and veterinarians have a special insight on climatology. The infamous “list” is rife with them. I’m also wondering why so many of the “scientists” on that list don’t appear anywhere else on the internet. what is Charles W. Aami’s discipline, for example? why is his opinion valuable?
Posted by: cturple | June 9, 2008, 10:17 am 10:17 am
John T: GM apparently thinks an electric car is now a viable option. They’re going to be rolling out the Volt in a few years, and I can hardly wait. Did you know they were talking about electric cars in the late 19th century as an alternative to gasoline powered engines? I wonder what happened there.
Posted by: cturple | June 9, 2008, 10:23 am 10:23 am
cturple
They were built way back then by Baker (the Baker Electric car). The problem was battery life and a means for recharging.
Remember that gas lamps were used for light and coal or wood for heat, manual pumps for water, NYC public buildings were and still are heated by steam piped to the buildings underground from a central location. All because there was no electric grid before Thomas Edison built one.
Toyota just came out with a zero emissions car using fuel cell technology, but not yet for export out of Japan. This is SOP for Japanese car makers, they release new techs for home use first but follow up for export shortly thereafter. This tech has been under development for about 10 years.
PS – The mexican footprints are now accepted at about 40k and new tool finds in the south, I think Georgia, are 50k.
Posted by: Quietman | June 9, 2008, 11:29 am 11:29 am
cturple
A new paper on arctic melting is out:
“The contribution of cloud and radiation anomalies to the 2007 Arctic sea ice extent(1)minimum(2)”
Jennifer E. Kay(1,2), Tristan L’Ecuyer(2), Andrew Gettelman(1), Graeme Stephens(2), and Chris O’Dell(2)
(1) Climate and Global Dynamics Division, National Center for Atmospheric Research
(2) Dept. Atmospheric Sciences, Colorado State University
The PDF can be downloaded at Skeptical Science from the (Kay 2008) link.
Posted by: Quietman | June 9, 2008, 11:43 am 11:43 am
Quietman – I couldn’t find the link, but I found the Poster that accompanied the presentation, and an abstract of the paper. It basically says that as the climate warms and ice thins, cloudiness will have a greater impact on sea ice. That sounds reasonable to me.
Posted by: cturple | June 9, 2008, 12:14 pm 12:14 pm
40000 year old Mexican footprints are accepted by whom? I attended a lecture by Al Goodyear in January, who is excavating the Topper site (I think that’s the one you’re referring to – in South Carolina.) The place was packed, and the skepticism was EXTREMELY high. Anthropologists don’t generally accept new findings until the evidence is overwhelming – and then there will some who still drag their feet. There are some who still hold to the Clovis First theory.
Posted by: cturple | June 9, 2008, 12:18 pm 12:18 pm
Quietman – but the gasoline-based infrastucture was equally undeveloped at the time. It was all brand new – so why did the transportation industry focus on smelly, noisy gasoline instead of nice quiet electricity?
Posted by: cturple | June 9, 2008, 12:25 pm 12:25 pm
cturple
I’m not certain on who, I read the articles yesterday or the day before. On the 40k its disputed by a cal. prof.
On the auto industry, the answer was simple. Petrolium oils were already being used as lubricants and fuel to replace whale oil and the lighter compounds were waste and had to be burned off. They developed gasoline to avoid waste (the early engines could run on multiple types of fuel).
This is the same way plastics were developed from petroleum, former waste became valuable product much more durable than bakelite.
In the meantime Baker sold electrics but only big cities had electricity so internal combustion was the only choice for most people. The electrics were lucky to get 5 miles before it became faster to walk, could not be used for trucks due to lack of torque and the big cities had developed public transportation already using steam tech so Baker went under.
BTW they also built steam cars (Stanley Steamer) back then but they were very heavy and not efficient but heavy industry ran on steam (steam roller, locomotive, steam shovel, etc.), first wood fired then coal fired, because they could produce more power than early IC engines. Diesels replaced them eventually.
Chrysler developed a turbine suitable for cars that could run on almost any fuel and demonstrated it at the NY worlds fair in 1964-65. It was quiet and cheap to run but lacked acceleration in an era when horsepower is what the consumer wanted.
Electrics built originally for fleet use by AMC received the same welcome by the public. The industry listens to the public. When hybrids and fuel efficient vehicles sell they build more of them, they are not in the fuel business so they really don’t care if it’s run on gas or not.
Now that people will actually buy these types of vehicle despite extra cost, they are investing in their development.
Posted by: Quietman | June 9, 2008, 1:30 pm 1:30 pm
cturple – I found the copy I downloaded:
“Footprints Show 1st Americans Came 25,000 Years Early?” by Richard A. Lovett for National Geographic News
June 6, 2008
Unfortunately I did not download the other article.
Posted by: Quietman | June 9, 2008, 2:25 pm 2:25 pm
I’m not terribly familiar with the history of oil and the electric grid, but electricity had been widely used for the telegraph for decades when the automobile was introduced. I imagine Ford’s cheap gas powered car was a major factor in the decline of the electric. $360 vs $2500 is a huge difference.
Posted by: cturple | June 9, 2008, 3:19 pm 3:19 pm
Okay, I had printed this out from another source the end of May. The theory is an interesting one, but it’s not widely accepted just yet.
Posted by: cturple | June 9, 2008, 3:25 pm 3:25 pm
cturple
telegraph transmissions are low voltage communications lines, they compare to, but are much simpler than, copper phone lines, but not power lines which are high tension DC that have to be transformed along the grid to AC and split by phase and voltage. Before Edison’s time they just did not know how to do it.
Just think about the computers that were available when we were growing up and the advent of the first home computer, the original apple.
The apple with 16k bytes was 16 times more powerful than that monster in the basement of the pentagon (eniac or univac, I get them mixed up). The 20th century was probably the fastest paced advances in human history.
Ford’s cheap gas powered car was a major factor in the decline of all his U.S. competition, none survived intact. Remember that Pontiac, Buick, Oldsmobile, Chevrolet, Dodge, Plymouth and many brands long gone like Nash, Rambler and Packard were once individual companies.
Posted by: Quietman | June 9, 2008, 4:40 pm 4:40 pm
cturple
Sorry about the N.G. reference, I did not post a link, just the header from the file because I had already converted it to plain text.
Posted by: Quietman | June 9, 2008, 4:45 pm 4:45 pm
No, I know you didn’t post a link. I did a search on the Nat Geo site, but the link returned in the search doesn’t bring anything up.
Posted by: cturple | June 9, 2008, 5:53 pm 5:53 pm
cturple
Honest it was there but I just checked and its gone. The part I thought you would want to see”
To attempt to date once again the indentations, Gonzalez’s team used a new method called optically stimulated luminescence. This involved collecting samples in the dark, then irradiating them with an atomic reactor. When ultraviolet light is shone onto the irradiated samples, the resulting fluorescence reveals how long it has been since the rock was last exposed to sunlight—or volcanic heat. With the new method, the dates of the bedrock fragments and the magma from the site in Mexico match—and revealed the date of the eruption itself, Gonzalez said. “We couldn’t possibly do this even five years ago,”
Gonzalez said.
Posted by: Quietman | June 9, 2008, 10:27 pm 10:27 pm
Thanks for the link, Ed. I’ll be interested to see how this ends up. It sounds as though the dates – and the identification of the imprints as human footprints – are still contested. I’m learning not to jump to conclusions – even if those conclusions are much more interesting than the alternatives. I thought I had identified two mounds in southern georgia earlier this year. It turns out they were 500 year old river courses. Still interesting, but not what I thought they were.
Posted by: cturple | June 10, 2008, 6:37 pm 6:37 pm
“telegraph transmissions are low voltage communications lines, they compare to, but are much simpler than, copper phone lines, but not power lines which are high tension DC that have to be transformed along the grid to AC and split by phase and voltage. Before Edison’s time they just did not know how to do it”
Um, I hope your knowledge of climate matieral is better then your electrical history because thats flat out wrong. Power lines are AC not DC, Edison invented DC current, not AC and actively fought the development of AC current by his one time coworker turned cheif rival Nikola Tesla. /End History Lesson, /Start rant, If Edison had his way, electricity would never have been a viable thing for the average american. Imagine that, one of the biggest symbols of american know how and innovation, fought tooth and nail one of the single biggest advances in human history(dispute that if you want but where would the world be without usefull electricity?). Climate change is certian(change is the only constant), what we dont know for sure is how or why. We do know some chemicals and compounds can cause it and that we produce them, sometimes in rather large quantities. So we know our actions have an effect, the part in dispute is how much of one it is. Is CO2 and other GHGs a minor factor or a major one? Those are the questions still unanswered to some. To me its simple, shooting a gun off into the air is illegal, why? Because it might hurt somebody. Even over a crowded city the odds are astronomical you would actually hit somebody, yet its illegal anyway. Just because the chance that something awful could happen is small, doesnt mean we should just ignore it. The falling bullet in the climate change issue could potentially kill billions so why not try and prevent it too?
Posted by: Derek Bros | June 15, 2008, 9:41 pm 9:41 pm
Derek Bros
High tension lines are DC.
Posted by: Quietman | June 16, 2008, 9:10 am 9:10 am
Derek Bros
Sorry, you are right, at that point it is AC.
Posted by: Quietman | June 16, 2008, 9:57 am 9:57 am
Derek Bros
“Using NCEP reanalysis data that span four and a half solar cycles, we have obtained the spatial pattern over the globe which best separates the solar-max years from the solar-min years, and established that this coherent global pattern is statistically significant using a Monte-Carlo test. The pattern shows a global warming of the Earth’s surface of about 0.2 °K, with larger warming over the polar regions than over the tropics, and larger over continents than over the oceans. It is also established that the global warming of the surface is related to the 11-year solar cycle, in particular to its TSI, at over 95% confidence level.”
From the Conclusion:
Solar-Cycle Warming at the Earth’s Surface and an Observational Determination of Climate Sensitivity.
By Ka-Kit Tung and Charles D. Camp
Posted by: Quietman | June 16, 2008, 10:10 am 10:10 am