Apr 24, 2009 12:00pm

Industry Group Disregarded Own Scientists on Climate

Even the name of the Global Climate Coalition was confusing.  It sounded like an environmental group — not far different, say, from "The Climate Project," which was started by Al Gore. In reality, the GCC was an industry group that started in 1989, with backers that included Exxon, Chevron, the American Petroleum Institute, and other companies or lobby groups that stood to lose out if there were aggressive laws or treaties involving the global climate. Andrew Revkin of the New York Times has now been leaked some internal papers from the Coalition in the 1990s, which, he says, show it disregarded its own scientific advisers on the issue. To the public and reporters, the GCC said, “The role of greenhouse gases in climate change is not well understood…." Meanwhile, writes Revkin, its advisers wrote, “The scientific basis for the Greenhouse Effect and the potential impact of human emissions of greenhouse gases such as CO2 on climate is well established and cannot be denied.” Take a look at Revkin’s piece HERE.  He has links to copies of the documents, which he writes were leaked during a lawsuit over California’s efforts to regulate greenhouse gases. Revkin says he spoke by phone to Bill O’Keefe, former head of the GCC.  “One thing I’m absolutely certain of,” he said, “is that no member of the board of the Global Climate Coalition said, ‘We have to suppress this.’" The GCC no longer has a website of its own, though you can find an archived version HERE.  The group disbanded in 2002.  Some past members, such as the National Association of Manufacturers, continue to lobby against emissions curbs.  Others, including Exxon Mobil and Chevron, say they’re working on energy sources that do not create greenhouse gases. 

User Comments

That is a clever non-denial denial from O’Keefe. I’m sure nobody had to SAY anything.
Exxon may be dabbling in alternative energies, in order to take advantage of any new opportunites, but they are still denying that global warming is a serious problem. Oil is still their cash cow and they will never give it up without a fight.

Posted by: jock59801 | April 24, 2009, 12:33 pm 12:33 pm

jock59801 | Apr 24, 2009 12:33:46….Do you believe in anthropogenic global warming? If yes, how did you come to that conclusion?

Posted by: deanbob | April 24, 2009, 12:45 pm 12:45 pm

deanbob
Yes, I came to that conclusion by reading the scientific literature and working the logic out for myself; and by seeing how many scientists are so confident of that conclusion.
That is unlike the “International Conference on Climate Change,” which had the stated purpose of denying climate change, not in examining the science.

Posted by: jock59801 | April 24, 2009, 1:46 pm 1:46 pm

This is what the right wing nutters do – deny, obfuscate, confuse. They are the only ones still unable to come to terms with the truth. We are moving beyond their sick ideologies much like a mother bear leaves a sick cub to die by itself in order to ensure survival of the fittest. It’s natural selection baby!

Posted by: libertyrulz | April 24, 2009, 5:12 pm 5:12 pm

The Heartland Institute’s list of “500 Scientists with Documented Doubts of Man-Made Global Warming Scares” included at least 45 scientists who neither knew of their inclusion as “coauthors” of the article, nor agreed with its claims regarding global warming. Dozens of the scientists asked the Heartland Institute to remove their names from the list; for instance, Gregory Cutter of Old Dominion University wrote, “I have NO doubts… the recent changes in global climate ARE man-induced. I insist that you immediately remove my name from this list since I did not give you permission to put it there.” The Institute has been actively involved in debate over tobacco policy, opposing restrictions on smoking and criticizing science which documents the harms of secondhand smoke. Pretty sure they’re members of the Flat Earth society too.

Posted by: cicclinton | April 24, 2009, 5:37 pm 5:37 pm

cicclinton | Apr 24, 2009 5:37:23 PM…..As I am a scientist and like to verify data for myself, can you point me to your reference doe the “Dozens of the scientists”.

Posted by: deanbob | April 24, 2009, 6:30 pm 6:30 pm

libertyrulz | Apr 24, 2009 5:12:31 PM….Science is either provable or not. Consensus is only a group who agree on something and proves only agreement. Why will none of the leading anthropogenic believing scientists debate those who believe otherwise? Why does Al Gore have restrictions on who he will speak with and who can ask him questions if all that he say is true?

Posted by: deanbob | April 24, 2009, 6:36 pm 6:36 pm

deanbob, as a “scientist” you seem to have trouble with basic definitions (e.g. that of a scientific fact) and with citations (as far as I can tell, the phrase “Dozens of the scientists” is your invention, not a quote). So I have to ask, what kind of scientist are you???

Posted by: James | April 24, 2009, 6:39 pm 6:39 pm

What does Al Gore have to gain? Follow the money.

Posted by: deanbob | April 24, 2009, 6:40 pm 6:40 pm

James | Apr 24, 2009 6:39:50 PM….. I am a computer scientist. My typing never has been good. I’m not sure what you’re asking; but the quote
“Dozens of the scientists asked the Heartland Institute to remove their names from the list;” is from (cicclinton | Apr 24, 2009 5:37:23 PM) post.

Posted by: deanbob | April 24, 2009, 6:46 pm 6:46 pm

“Science is either provable or not.”
No, science never PROVES anything. It only works in probabilities. When it becomes very probable that our actions will cause harm, many people think it might be wise to, you know, stop doing that.

Posted by: jock59801 | April 24, 2009, 7:08 pm 7:08 pm

“Why will none of the leading anthropogenic believing scientists debate those who believe otherwise?”
They do so all the time. Science is constantly being debated in the peer-reviewed literature and many other scientific forums. If you mean a big “show” debate, that may not be the best way to understand complex scientific problems.
Al Gore is not a scientist, so I don’t really care who he debates, or what they say.

Posted by: jock59801 | April 24, 2009, 7:12 pm 7:12 pm

How many times has the ‘consensus’ of the immediate future of the DOW on Wall Street been one thing, only to have just the opposite happen?

Posted by: deanbob | April 24, 2009, 7:17 pm 7:17 pm

I apologize for being ‘pushy’. I just realized I may seem infatuated like a reformed smoker (which I am) or a former anthropogenic believer( which I am). I am still reading and learning.

Posted by: deanbob | April 24, 2009, 7:27 pm 7:27 pm

deanbob, my apologies about the quote — not sure how I missed it.
My other point about “facts” still stands though — scientific facts are contingent upon the context of the theory they are expressed in, have inherent uncertainties, and are subject to experimental error as well, so it’s a stretch to say they “cannot be disproven”. Reformulations, revisions, and retractions (sometimes due to fraud, etc.) do happen…
For what it’s worth, I’m also a computer scientist, with a reasonably strong background in a few rather diverse scientific disciplines, as well as in philosophy of science.
Anyway, bottom line I apologize for being inappropriately rude.

Posted by: James | April 24, 2009, 8:59 pm 8:59 pm

deanbob –your sugguestion was to “follow the money” –If you look at Heartland and who sponsers it, you may see the folly in this conservative think tank.

Posted by: vissionquest | April 24, 2009, 10:08 pm 10:08 pm

James | Apr 24, 2009 8:59:50 PM……No apology needed. At the base level(hardware or software), logically you can’t get much simpler than ON or OFF! A incorrect constant, hardcoded in a program, can be easily overlooked or forgotten about and can significantly affect model outcomes.

Posted by: deanbob | April 24, 2009, 10:46 pm 10:46 pm

vissionquest | Apr 24, 2009 10:08:38 PM
….Very true – and it goes both ways. Look at the cap and trade money volume in the European countries. Who and what is benefitting? A recent article in the UK Tribune lamented that cap and trade was not achieving its goal.

Posted by: deanbob | April 24, 2009, 10:53 pm 10:53 pm

deanbob
You are certainly not alone. The number of true climatologists (not theoretical physicists) are coming out and talking about this now. Their consensus is that AGW is real but not catastrophic.
Follow some of the threads at Skeptical Science for some eye openers.

Posted by: Quietman | April 25, 2009, 2:01 pm 2:01 pm

The real giveaway is how Hansen and his alarmists answer any skeptical challenge: Denial. Never a scientific argument, just discredit the skeptical author and make him/her look like they are backed by big oil (most are not) or sling some other lie in their direction, always sidestepping the issue, never offering proof and most importantly not willing to put a means to disprove their hypothesis to writing. ie. they can’t be wrong. This is like an argument with a YEC and not worth the effort.

Posted by: Quietman | April 25, 2009, 2:07 pm 2:07 pm

James
You misuse the word theory. A theory requires testing and validation. The proper word is hypothesis. The only hypothesis that is passing it’s test for the past 2 years is from Rhodes Fairbridge. The full test period is 2007 through 2011. But if validated scientifically will still be denied by the greens as it does not fit the red agenda.

Posted by: Quietman | April 25, 2009, 2:12 pm 2:12 pm

Jock
We have some good discussions going on at Live Science on this and Evolution.

Posted by: Quietman | April 25, 2009, 2:17 pm 2:17 pm

An interesting facet from 34 million years ago:
” multiple extraterrestrial bolide impacts, possibly related to a comet shower that lasted more than two million years, may have played an important role in deteriorating the global climate.”
Ref.
Earth Under Global Cooling
ScienceDaily (Apr. 9, 2009)

Posted by: Quietman | April 25, 2009, 2:26 pm 2:26 pm

“Science is about facts, not opinions, as some here have pointed out. But as some governments have tried to modify scientific reports in order to support their political views, we must always try to read all the info available and decide for ourselves.”
- comment from Andre Barreto of Brazil (an oceanographer)
Ref.
“Antarctic ice is growing, not melting away” By Greg Roberts, The Australian, April 18, 2009

Posted by: Quietman | April 25, 2009, 2:43 pm 2:43 pm

Hello Quietman,
I am less inclined to argue about this these days. The deniers are becoming less relevant, and I am tired of repeating myself over and over. All will become more clear eventually, and I doubt I could ever speed up the process.
I do enjoy talking with people who are interested in learning and thinking. Not so much with the continuously evolving denials of the partisans: The Earth is not warming up; OK, it’s warming up, but it’s natural; OK, it’s not natural, but it is insignificant; but we can’t do anything about it anyway; OK, we could do something about it, but it’s too expensive, and besides, we don’t wanna…
I particularly enjoy the ones who get confused about which stage of denial they are at.

Posted by: jockyoung | April 25, 2009, 3:55 pm 3:55 pm

Quietman,
What is “catastrophic?”
Can something be bad enough that we would want to avoid it, without it being “catastrophic?” Should we not then avoid it anyway?
You now seem to concede that “AGW is real but not catastrophic.” I assume you also agree that there is disagreement among scientists and we do not know everything about it? Then how, pray tell, are you so certain we have nothing to worry about? That the damage will be “acceptable?” How much harm to others DO you consider “acceptable?”
And what will you do if you are wrong, and there is a great deal of harm, if not actual catastrophe? Say “Oops.”

Posted by: jockyoung | April 25, 2009, 4:05 pm 4:05 pm

jockyoung
I am not personally concerned simply because there is zero warming where I live. I have checked the temps and humidity against the records and here it’s absolutely normal at 1700 feet, no chance of flooding (I’m on a mountain top), no food shortage as the extra CO2 has increased local yields of most crops, no worry about fuel, we can grow and distill our own. So all in all, all I worry about is you helpless trogdolytes moving out my way. Fortunately, my neighbors are quite stubborn about selling their property and seeing their trees cut down. So it does not affect me at all. It’s simply that I am one ###### off Viet Nam veteran seeing my country subverted by home grown socialists.

Posted by: Quietman | April 25, 2009, 7:26 pm 7:26 pm

AGW is miniscule. The amount that we can contribute is nothing and is NOT the cause of climate change. There is no true global warming. Read ALL the peer reviewed papers, not just the ones that fit your ideology.

Posted by: Quietman | April 25, 2009, 7:30 pm 7:30 pm

Jock
I’m not sure which Jock you are. But if you are the biologist check out LiveScience, forums, History, Human Evolution. I started it specifically to discuss science without the creationist diversions. They changed the format since you signed up and allow bb code and pictures in the forums.

Posted by: Quietman | April 25, 2009, 7:37 pm 7:37 pm

libertyrulz
Instead of hiding behind left and right wings, call it what it is. Socialists and Capitalists. You don’t have to hide it.

Posted by: Quietman | April 25, 2009, 7:41 pm 7:41 pm

I believe Hansen started his global warming warnings in the late 60′s. Then, in the 1970′s he decided he was concerned about the coming ICE AGE. Then another switch back to global warming in the 1980′s. His boss of many years at NASA wanted to fire him, but Hansen was ‘connected’. In the 2004, Hansen received funds from Teresa Heinz and endorsed John Kerry. This illegal act has never been prosecuted.

Posted by: deanbob | April 25, 2009, 8:11 pm 8:11 pm

Just to clarify my last post, Hansen’s violation of the Hatch act was the illegal act.

Posted by: deanbob | April 25, 2009, 8:27 pm 8:27 pm

Has Greenland ever been warm enough to grow crops? Was is it named Greenland? So Greenland must have been much warmer than it is now.

Posted by: deanbob | April 25, 2009, 8:29 pm 8:29 pm

deanbob
Yes, archaeology indicates that the lowlands were ice free and capable of raising crops and grazing cattle.
But Theoretical physicists (ie. Hansen) are not geologists, meteorists, archaeologists or paleontologists so they would not understand the implications.

Posted by: Quietman | April 25, 2009, 8:49 pm 8:49 pm

ps
Hansens buddy is gore.

Posted by: Quietman | April 25, 2009, 8:53 pm 8:53 pm

Quietman
I am the very same Jock that you have spoken with before. And although I have respected your viewpoint in the past, I have no wish to discuss it further, now that I see that you are more motivated by McCarthyite red-baiting then by the objective pursuit of knowledge. This is not about commies or patriots, but about intellectual integrity and human compassion.
It is those very troglodytes you speak of that I care about, not the selfish mountain dwellers. I am safe from any harm as well, but that was never the point. It is harm to others I worry about, and the disrespect of science brought forth by blind contempt from partisan fools.
You talk of reading ALL of the peer-reviewed literature, although there are many thousands of papers on climate change, more than even a specialist could ever read, which is why the IPCC was created in the first place. But no, you would rather believe that the vast majority of scientists are lying commies, than to consider the possibility that human greed and selfishness might ever have bad consequences, or that you might not have it all figured out after all.

Posted by: jockyoung | April 26, 2009, 12:00 am 12:00 am

No Jock, not the scientists, I know of only one that fits that category. The IPCC itself. There are no, none, zero scientists that are part of the IPCC looking for the cause of CO2. They only make it sound that way. If you actually read those papers you would know better.
They do not look for cause, no one in any relationship other than Hansen investigated the cause. The IPCC was formed specifically to determine WHAT EFFECT CO2 induced AGW will cause under the assumption Hansen is correct. He is owned by Gore and I don’t really know who owns Gore. But his support comes directly from socialists, possibly misguided, possibly not.
BTW my new attitude was created and nutured by the alarmists with their creationist tactics. I am really surprised that you don’t see it. I figure that if it’s OK for the left to sling mud, us Libertarians could do the same, after all the entire fiasco is now purely politics, there can be no science discussion since the monkeys on the left cover their ears, eyes and noses (sorry I wish it was mouths). The more I realize what is happening the more cynical I get. That’s one of the reasons I have not been here much.

Posted by: Quietman | April 26, 2009, 2:35 am 2:35 am

correction
“looking for the cause of CO2.”
I meant to type
“looking for the cause of Climate Change.”

Posted by: Quietman | April 26, 2009, 2:37 am 2:37 am

If you prefer I could point out the very close affinities of Greens to Nazis. “Fat people cause GW” is the latest headline, alarmists seem to think culling to reduce the population is a good idea too. You have no idea how violent things are going to get if this continues.

Posted by: Quietman | April 26, 2009, 2:42 am 2:42 am

You also missed the entire point of my little triad about my personal concerns. I AM concerned for those trogdolytes as they will be the ones that will be hurt most. I AM speaking for their benefit, not mine. I am fine. We don’t have riots on mountaintops but you will see them in the cities.

Posted by: Quietman | April 26, 2009, 2:53 am 2:53 am

For anyone following this, a trogdolyte is a cave dweller, not a member of the species Pan trogdolytes, referring to the similar of brick dwells to caves.

Posted by: Quietman | April 26, 2009, 2:58 am 2:58 am

That’s all for the next couple of months for me. If you wan’t to discuss the science and not politics I’ll be at Live Science.

Posted by: Quietman | April 26, 2009, 3:01 am 3:01 am

Quietman …. Glaciers are melting. AGW believers imply(want the ignorant to believe) that the earth has never been this warm before. So, I point out Greenland as the empirical evidence that earth has been this warm and much warmer.

Posted by: deanbob | April 26, 2009, 9:38 am 9:38 am

When I was growing up on the shores of Lake Erie under the smog laced rotten egg smell of the steel factories of Buffalo, industries did not care to talk about pollution and the need to clean up their act. The pristine waters of the Great Lakes was destroyed by the the lack of safe guards that were developed in the fifties and sixties. when I was in college in the seventies I took a class in Pollution Control and Legislation, and it was a known fact that the means of controlling air, water and land contamination was available back in the 1950′s. The need to control smoke stack emissions, wast discharge and particulate pollution could have been drastically curtailed through negative ion scrubbers and other waste management systems; but industrial giants such as Chevron, Bethlehem, 3M, Allied Chemical and other manufactures claimed that implementing such technologies would eat into their profit margins. As the auto industry claimed that they could not raise the mile per gallon ratio, and the smoke stack industries stated that they could not clean up the air; not they claim that they are being good neighbors and researching newer fuels that do not pollute. If they would have done the right thing in the fifties or the sixties we would have the mess we have now. So when are they going to use the technology to clean up their mess, the technology that is already here and available? Regardless of it eating into their profits margin.

Posted by: kristianna | April 26, 2009, 8:22 pm 8:22 pm

deanbob: “AGW believers imply(want the ignorant to believe) that the earth has never been this warm before.”
If you’re going to invent random nonsense, please take credit yourself and don’t attribute it to us. (Otherwise we might have to assert that AGW deniers are really secretly in it to raise funds for NAMBLA.)
Of course the Earth has been this warm before — much warmer in fact. It just has never warmed this much, this fast, in recorded history (and perhaps since our species evolved). So we’re facing something humans have never encountered before, and that should give us pause.

Posted by: James | April 26, 2009, 11:06 pm 11:06 pm

Oh, and regarding Greenland annecdotes, please check a map. It’s MUCH, much smaller than the Earth.

Posted by: James | April 26, 2009, 11:07 pm 11:07 pm

James….You said “It just has never warmed this much, this fast, in recorded history”. Can you point me to to your source so I can read up?
My counter proposal is a session from The 2009 International Conference on Climate Change was in NYC in March. There was a session by Syun Akasofu – Natural Causes of 20th Century Warming: Recovery from the Little Ice Age and Oscillatory Change

Posted by: deanbob | April 27, 2009, 12:00 am 12:00 am

deanbob, Akasofu is a respected author of many peer-reviewed articles (on Aurora and the magnetosphere) so I found the reference interesting.
To my someone untrained eye, the paper you cite seemed interesting, but contained anomalies and omissions that made me wonder, so I looked up some reviews of Akasofu’s work.
Red flag #1: None of his work on climate is peer-reviewed.
semi-Red flag #2: Almost all of his prior works had multiple co-authors, but his papers here do not.
Red flag #3: Akasofu is 76 years old, an age at which many notable scientists have spun off into nonsense.
Red flag #4: The post-publication reviews that I could find are not good, e.g. “This paper is not remotely credible, and it’s sad to see a respected scientist fall into this.” [The word "embarrassing" appears a lot in the reviews.]
Absent true peer-review, it’s hard to make a clear judgment, but after reading the informal reviews, even I can now see some of the glaring mistakes Akasofu made (e.g. wrt SO2 during 1940-1970), so my tentative informal assessment is thumbs-down.
Akasofu’s presentation did make some fairly clear predictions, but they are extrapolations from apples-and-oranges data so it’s not clear what to make of them. If they are right, they won’t really support his theory, and if they’re wrong, they won’t really discredit it.
So I invested a fair effort and came away intrigued but disappointed. ExxonMobil did get its money’s worth–this was a high-class and perhaps even well-intentioned obfuscation, but an obfuscation nonetheless.
On the other hand, just because because Akasofu botched this presentation doesn’t mean his ideas are discredited, and I think it would behoove someone else to revisit his theme and do the science correctly, but that’s not going to me (not my field and certainly not enough time for something like that).
Bottom line: paper not credible, but perhaps salvageable. It would be interesting to see what is left of the main argument once the mistakes are corrected.
[Apologies in advance if this appears garbled--I HATE the micro-window format for entering posts here, and lack of preview feature.]

Posted by: James | April 27, 2009, 2:36 am 2:36 am

And deanbob, here’s a reference supporting my assertion, but there are probably thousands more (this just happens to be the last I noticed):
Charles H. Greene, Andrew J. Pershing, Thomas M. Cronin, and Nicole Ceci: “Arctic Climate Change and Its Impacts on the Ecology of the North Atlantic”,
Ecology, November 2008, Vol. 89, No. sp11, pp. S24-S38
Cornell University oceanographer Charles Greene, lead author of the study, said that a warming trend “unprecedented in human history” had enabled microscopic algae from the Pacific Ocean to migrate through the Arctic to the North Atlantic for the first time in 800,000 years.
So maybe I was off a bit–perhaps it’s not just all of recorded history, but essentially of our time on Earth as a species…
But hey, a total of about 5,000 humans (on the entire frigging Earth!) managed to survive some earlier climate shifts (towards glaciation) about 70K years ago, so maybe we can squeak that many through again.

Posted by: James | April 27, 2009, 3:00 am 3:00 am

In my list of red flags above, I should have noted Red Flag #0 — the conference in which the paper appeared was sponsored by the Heartland Institute (you can see that in the link itself), a non-profit which hides its donor list, but seems to be funded directly or indirectly primarily by oil companies.
There’s an interactive map somewhere showing a fairly intense inter-connection and overlap of Heartland with other front groups and oil companies.
Heartland’s other claim to fame? They put out pseudo-science and bogus legal and economic arguments to defend tobacco companies. Class act.

Posted by: James | April 27, 2009, 9:04 am 9:04 am

(snort) Big duh. Nothing new. The Oil Industry knew that they have something to loose if scientists say that the planet’s climate is changing due to greenhouse gas emissions from fossil fuels. So they set up their own ‘scientific’ establishment to lie to the public that everything is good and dandy and that no one should be worry about greenhouse gas emissions, etc.
This type of information misdirection is typical of any big money-making industry that have something to lose.

Posted by: GWP | April 27, 2009, 9:10 am 9:10 am

James….I scanned the article you referenced and plan to read. However, I did catch “However, abrupt temperature increases at the start of the Bølling-Allerød period, approximately 14.5 ka (Severinghaus and Brook 1999), and at the end of the Younger Dryas, approximately 11.5 ka, may have occurred at rates as high as 10°C in less than half a century over extensive areas of the Northern Hemisphere. In addition, although this was a period of warming in general, abrupt temperature decreases were also observed. A short-term cold event, the Younger Dryas, occurred approximately 12.8 to 11.5 ka, temporarily plunging the Arctic back into conditions of advancing ice sheets.” This is not AGW.
I think (and I believe you agreed) that the science is most important. Just because of the radical actions of Greenpeace in the past, should I discredit anything they fund? Be wary? Yes.
Did you see (short) “The missing sunspots: Is this the big chill?” by Dr David Whitehouse

Posted by: deanbob | April 27, 2009, 8:31 pm 8:31 pm

Note that the Younger Dryas (11.5 ka) is well before the start of recorded history (unless you count cave paintings), which was my original reference point.

Posted by: James | April 28, 2009, 12:13 am 12:13 am

“There are no, none, zero scientists that are part of the IPCC looking for the cause of CO2.” Posted by: Quietman | Apr 26, 2009 2:35:36 AM
That’s because CO2 comes from EVERYTHING. If the human race so desperately wanted to lower the amount of CO2 produced, everyone could all just stop breathing.

Posted by: K-Chan | April 28, 2009, 7:59 am 7:59 am

Leave a Reply

Do you have more information about this topic? If so, please click here to contact the editors of ABC News.