August 8, 2001
FEATURED SERVICES
RELATIONSHIPS
SHOPPING
DOWNLOADS
WIRELESS
FREE HEADLINE FEED
 
S&P PERSONAL
WEALTH
INTERACT
VIDEO & AUDIO
BOARDS
CHAT
NEWS ALERTS
CONTACT ABC
Consumer Confidence
The Consumer Comfort Index stands at +5 on its scale of -100 to +100. It was at +7 last week. (ABCNEWS.com)
Confidence Dips Slightly
Consumer Confidence Holds its Own Near Four-Month High

 By Jesse F. Derris
ABCNEWS.com

N E W   Y O R K, Aug.9 — Consumer confidence dipped slightly this week but remained essentially stable, thanks to durable public ratings of personal finances.



Sixty-five percent of Americans rate their finances positively. That's helped maintain overall confidence in the face of other pressures: Just four in 10 call it a good time to spend money, and 51 percent rate the national economy positively, down 20 points this year.

The ABC News/Money Consumer Comfort Index, based on these views, now stands at +5, well down from +23 at the start of the year, and a record +38 in January 2000. But it's above its average since late 1985, -8, depressed by the 1990-91 recession and its aftermath.

The index is higher in the Northeast (+6) and Midwest (+8) and lowest in the West (+1). Ratings of personal finance are lowest in the West (+59 percent ) energy prices may be at fault.


Ratings of the Economy
  8/5/01 1/7/01 Record high 15-year average
National Economy 51% 71% 80% 41%
Buying Climate 41% 47% 57% 38%
Personal Finances 65% 66% 70% 57%

The index has had a tough year, falling seven points in one week in January (tying the one-week record), six points in one week in February, five points in one week in March and another five points in one week in April. Nonetheless, given their high starting point, all three gauges are still above their 15-year averages.

After falling in the winter confidence hit a trough this spring, hovering between +1 and +4 from April through mid-July. It inched above +4 in the last few weeks.

 Interactive Look at Confidence Data


ABCNEWS/Money Index
Today + 5
May 27, 2001 + 1
Jan. 7, 2001 +23
Jan. 16, 2000 +38 Record high
2000 average +29  Best full year
1992 average - 44  Worst full year
Feb. 9, 1992 - 50  Record low
Average since 12/85 - 8

A Closer Look

As usual, confidence is higher among better-off Americans. The index is +33 in higher-income households compared to -40 in the lowest, +22 among college graduates while -35 among high-school dropouts and +8 among whites but -13 among blacks.

Here's a closer look at the three components of the ABCNEWS/Money index:

  NATIONAL ECONOMY — Fifty-one percent of Americans rate the nation's economy as excellent or good, the same as last week. The best was 80 percent Jan. 16, 2000. The worst was 7 percent in late 1991 and early 1992.

  PERSONAL FINANCES — Sixty-five percent rate their own finances as excellent or good, down two points from last week. The best was 70 percent, set Aug. 30, 1998 and last matched in January 2000. The worst rating was 42 percent on March 14, 1993.

  BUYING CLIMATE — Forty-one percent say it's an excellent or good time to buy things they want and need, down two points last week. The best was 57 percent Jan. 16, 2000. The worst was 20 percent in fall 1990.

Methodology

The ABCNEWS/Money magazine Consumer Comfort Index represents a rolling average based on telephone interviews with about 1,000 adults nationwide each month. This week's results are based on 1,023 interviews in the month ending Aug. 5, and have an error margin of plus or minus 3 percentage points. Field work was conducted by ICR-International Communications Research of Media, Pa.

The ABCNEWS/Money index is derived as follows: The negative response to each index question is subtracted from the positive response to that question. The three resulting numbers are then added and divided by three. The index can range from +100 (everyone positive on all three measures) to -100 (all negative on all three measures). The survey began in December 1985.

Previous ABCNEWS polls can be found in our Poll Vault.


Consumer Confidence

 


  STOCKS & FUNDS

Market Index Chart
 DJIA DJIA value
 NASDAQ NASDAQ value
 S&P 500 S&P 500 value
By Symbol
 
My Portfolios

 
Consumer Confidence

 


For help, click here

 RELATED STORIES

Poll: Consumer Confidence Creeps Ahead

Poll: Consumer Confidence at 3-Month High

Poll: Consumer Confidence in Lull

Poll: More Upbeat on Retirement

Poll: Consumer Confidence Flat


 REFERENCE



 
 
 
 
 















Moneyscope

Search Now:
 
In Association with Amazon.com
 
GO TO:
 
SECTIONS

 

 
Copyright © 2004 ABCNEWS Internet Ventures.

Add ABCNEWS Headlines to Your Site

News Summary |  US |  International |  MONEYScope  |  Entertainment  |  ESPN Sports |  Sci/Tech |  Politics |  Health |  Travel |  Video & Audio
Good Morning America  |  World News Tonight  |  20/20 |  Primetime |  Nightline |  World News Now |  This Week

Click here for:  Sitemap   Help   Advertiser Info   Contact ABC   Tools   PR   Terms of Use   Updated Privacy Policy

Family of sites:      ABC.com        ABC Family        ESPN.com        Disney.com        FamilyFun.com        GO Mail        Movies.com