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We're all beyond the trite, "most influential vice president of all time" observation. The White House seems to have become resigned and consigned to forever playing down Cheney's influence because, even after September 11, they seem to sense a trap door under some voters' perceptions of the president's ability to do the job on his own.
So, given the administration still is in turmoil when it comes to foreign policy, what exactly is Cheney doing behind the scenes to "fix" the Middle East and Iraq, and why isn't he taking a larger public role?
Consider the lead of Tom DeFrank's Daily News analysis, sure to be read in the salons of Chevy Chase and other places in which Clinton-era striped-pantsers gather: "Not long ago, President Bush was musing with an old friend about one of the few drawbacks of a job he still finds exhilarating most days."
( http://www.nydailynews.com/2002-04 -23/News_and_Views/Beyond_the_City/a-148588.asp )
"'This foreign policy stuff,' he confided, 'is a little frustrating.'"
And that, DeFrank says, was BEFORE the Middle East exploded. About that thorny problem, DeFrank extracts an amazing concession from someone speaking about the New Old Man, 43: "'Yes, he's wavered a little bit,' a senior Bush aide agreed, 'but this is a tough one to figure out. He's more sympathetic to the Israelis, but he's trying not to offend the Arabs.'"
Another aide allegedly says that this President's brain just isn't suited to the region: "'He doesn't have a finesse mind,' one of his political counselors observed last week. 'And this is an issue that demands a lot of finesse.'"
"Aides describe Bush as undaunted but privately irritated at perceptions that Secretary of State Powell's shuttle mission was a failure."
"'He's a little testy,' one source reports."
We are destined and doomed to have to speculate all the way through Cheney's (super likely, we think) re-nomination at the 2004 Republican convention about who might replace him on the ticket (Powell? Rumsfeld? etc. etc. etc., to quote Kelly Wallace's favorite play, "The King and I").
The Veep might want to keep his job through 2009, but Cheney's dearth of presidential aspirations means his staff can swing their big sticks without the usual worry about deviating Bush/Cheney agendas. And big sticks they swing, indeed. From Scooter Libby to Mary Matalin, plus 25 more people you likely have never heard of, the Cheney staff, along with Cheney allies cleverly seeded throughout the administration, wield a lot of influence in this government.
But except on a few foreign matters, such as his hawkishness on Israel and Iraq, one rarely hears about "Cheney influence" because, admirably, Cheney doesn't want or need the credit, and his model-of-discretion mode is followed to a tee by his loyal staff.
We aren't sure how much local television coverage Vice President Cheney gets when he does his quick-hit political trips, mostly for House candidates, but yesterday's efforts got him only a smattering of ink in Florida. (In fact, the Orlando Sentinel runs a separate and suspicious story about how Orlando could learn more from, of all places, Austin, TX, but we don't think that was a message intended for Mr. Cheney.)
Yesterday, the Veep first raised money for Rep. Ric Keller, who drew his audience to "sustained laughter" with an undisclosed location joke, probably only the 7,549,302nd or 3rd such joke that Cheney has heard.
( http://www.orlandosentinel.com/news/local/orange/orl -lockeller23042302apr23.story?coll=orl%2Dnews%2Dheadlines )
Keller, who was elected in 2000, faces a Democrat getting a lot of buzz these days: Eddie Diaz, a decorated former Marine and former police officer who was injured in the line of duty. Diaz is a Puerto-Rican American who can tap into that reservoir of votes. ( http://www.mycfnow.com/orlpn/news/stories/news -141110720020422-110409.html )
Cheney then hobbled
down to Broward County, where he padded Rep. Clay Shaw's war chest to help Shaw fend off the Democrat expected to challenge him: Carol Roberts, Broward County Commissioner and recount czarina.
Cheney gave 15-minute speeches at both locations and said much the same thing.
( http://www.sun-sentinel.com/news/local/southflorida/sfl -ccheney23apr23.story?coll=sfla%2Dhome%2Dheadlines )
Here's one more Cheney event you can put on your calendar: he will headline a fundraiser for the Republican House campaign committee at Mayor Bloomberg's crib in New York on May 16.
In perfect poetry, the vastly influential Cheney DID make the NBC Nightly News last night, but it was only to show the cutesy picture of him on crutches, after he banged his heel and was advised to stay off it for awhile.
Another measure of Cheney's vast power, within the party and in his capacity to "intimidate" the press from asking questions (something Al Gore never could do): he can repeatedly respond to questions about the activities of his openly gay daughter Mary with the simple and understandable, but still un-informational response that he "continues to love and support his daughter." Per the Washington Post 's Grove (and Martinez), Mary Cheney "yesterday announced that she's joining the Republican Unity Coalition, a group founded
to build bridges between gay and straight Republican activists."
And the anti-gay rights wing of the GOP seems to defer to Mr. Cheney and not mind this at all, at least publicly.
Cheney is the most pro-gay rights vice president of all time, apart from Al Gore.
Which brings us to the guy who "used to be considered the most influential vice president of all time."
For the first time since he conceded the 2000 election, Gore made all the newscasts for policy and political reasons (i.e., not beard-related reasons), even though his Earth Day speech yesterday wasn't all that long. And his challenges to the administration's environmental policies and references to the recount get decent coverage in today's papers.
It's really hard to get a handle on what the Greater Major Media Decision Makers think of Gore. On the one hand, Stu Rothenberg can slam him in his Roll Call column (it's always open season on joking about Gore), and yet in this news cycle he was treated, well, like the person who won the popular vote.
Gore's piquant words reflected how strongly he feels about environmental issues, and the increasingly confrontational approach he is taking toward Bush. They might also reflect his attempt to reassert his primacy in the race to become his party's 2004 presidential nominee, after a period of bearded hibernation.
The specifics of Gore's policy charges are less interesting to us than the "character" charge he made against Bush, using then-Candidate Bush's own main argument from the 2000 campaign honesty and integrity against him. That is some pretty heady stuff, and if he winds up making it more of a long-term strategy than a short-term tactic, it could make for a pretty interesting Gore campaign.
Which is not to say that we overlook the "substance" of Gore's charges. Part of Gore's traction on this is, of course, due to the fact that over 90 percent of the mainstream press corps reflexively agrees with his critique of the Bush Administration as favoring corporate polluting interests over a clean environment. The charges Gore made yesterday were sort of extraordinary in just how searingly populist and pro-environment they were.
One thing we didn't see in the coverage was blind quotes from sniping Democrats questioning the wisdom of Gore's going after the wartime President that way, or even anything along the lines of, "get over it." And the White House seemed to be willing to rely on the president's words of reply.
President Bush's dismissive "Haven't paid attention to him" in response to the press pool is, we think, a preview of the kind of Roveian feigned "we don't even take this guy seriously, so why should you?" approach we would see in a hypothetical 2004 rematch. Kind of a modified, "stay out of our Rose Garden" strategy.
Given the venue of his widely covered speech, we wonder how Gore's Tennessee fence-mending is going, and whether anyone is paying a pollster these days to test such a thing. And what do Volunteer Staters say in focus groups these days about their former Senator? And what will happen to Gore in 2003 if public polls show him still losing the state to Bush?
The Tennessean led with Gore's references to the recount
( http://www.tennessean.com/nation -world/archives/02/04/16494231.shtml?Element_ID=16494231 )
while the Commercial Appeal portrays it as a campaign clash.
( http://www.gomemphis.com/mca/midsouth_news/article/0,1426,MCA_1497_1104159,00.html )
Kit Seelye's New York Times story, with her second-day-running Nashville dateline (is she staying, we wonder, for Professor Gore's First Amendment lecture today?) is mostly positive for Gore, although she sidebars within the story to environmentalists bemoaning what might have been.
( http://www.nytimes.com/2002/04/23/politics/23GORE.html )
"The executive director of the National Environmental Trust, Phillip Clapp, said he believed that Mr. Gore wanted to make a strong statement because the environment was his signature issue and a way to reconnect with voters."
"'If there's one issue the American public associates with Al Gore, it's the environment,' Mr. Clapp said. 'If you want to reconnect with the public and with your constituency, your best place to do it is on the issue they know you care about. But it would be nice if it also came with a recognition on his part that he misread the importance of the issue in 2000.'"
"In Mr. Clapp's view, Mr. Gore's neglect of the environmental issue opened the way for Ralph Nader to run as the green candidate, which drained crucial votes from Mr. Gore."
USA Today sweeps through the recent Democratic criticisms of the president in its "open season" story today, and is the only major national paper to even acknowledge that any Democrats besides Gore took on Bush.
"Bush is under fire from some friends, foes and pundits for his handling of the Middle East, the administration's confusing response to upheaval in Venezuela and the demise in Congress of some of the president's domestic priorities, such as last week's Senate vote against oil drilling in an Alaskan wildlife refuge."
( http://www.usatoday.com/news/washdc/2002/04/23/bush-earth-day.htm )
"On Monday, Bush traveled to the Adirondack Mountains in Upstate New York to give a speech commemorating Earth Day
Democrats, including some who are considering challenging him in 2004, were ready:
'Why are they turning the clock back on the environment, when Americans want to move ahead?' former vice president Al Gore asked in a speech in Nashville."
"Connecticut Senator Joe Lieberman said Bush 'succumbed' to lobbyists when he reversed a campaign pledge to regulate carbon dioxide emissions."
"Massachusetts Senator John Kerry told a chamber of commerce in Haverhill, Mass., that Bush 'pretends you can drill your way to energy independence, the environment be damned.'"
"On the same day, Senate Majority Leader Tom Daschle labeled Bush's Middle East policies ineffectual in a speech to the American Israel Public Affairs Committee."
Anticipation is building in South Dakota, where President Bush will travel tomorrow to appear at several fundraising and campaign events for GOP Senate candidate and Rep. John Thune. According to the Sioux Falls Argus Leader, Senators Daschle and Johnson, as well as Thune, will attend Bush's policy excuse for making the trip, a roundtable on ethanol.
( http://www.argusleader.com/news/Tuesdayarticle1.shtml )
"Several South Dakota groups held a press conference Monday challenging Thune to use his influence with the president to restore money for their programs," the paper notes.
The ethanol event will take place in Wentworth, a town of 181 people who haven't seen any of presidential caliber since candidate William Jennings Bryan visited in 1899. Either some White House advance person tapped into Karl Rove's -as-yet-un-written history of politics, or there's some cosmic poetry at work.
The AP's Lester reports that DaschleDemocrats, the group of friends of Daschle formed to help defend him against Republican and conservative groups' criticisms, is "releasing a television ad Tuesday to air in South Dakota, his home state, asking President Bush to tell 'out-of-state special interests' to stop attacking Daschle."
( http://www.thestate.com/mld/thestate/news/politics/3120444.htm )
"The 30-second commercial
is being released statewide on the eve of a Wednesday visit by President Bush to talk about trade and agriculture and attend a reception for GOP Senate candidate John Thune, currently a member of the House. The ad is set to run for two days."
Mike Allen writes up White House chief of staff Andy Card's utterly pro-Israel speech last night at the AIPAC conference.
( http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A32147-2002Apr23.html )
From the ABCNEWS London Bureau: Using his strongest words to date, Pope John Paul II told the assembled US cardinals that sexual abuse by priests in the United States "was rightly considered a crime by society" and that there is "no place in the priesthood and religious life" for those who harm children.
Israeli and Palestinian officials agreed to hold their first direct talks to end a stand-off at the Church of the Nativity in Bethlehem. So far, Israel has offered the wanted men penned up in the church either exile or trial in Israel, a proposal the Palestinians have rejected.
Three Palestinians, apparently suspected informers for Israel, were killed by fellow Palestinians in Hebron this morning only hours after two Palestinian militants were killed in a missile strike on their car by an Israeli helicopter. Reports said the men were shot in the head with their hands tied behind their backs. The Hebron attack was the first of its kind since the Israeli army began pulling out of most major West Bank cities and towns last week.
ABC 2004: The Invisible Primary
As noted above, Al Gore sticks around Vanderbilt University for another day, delivering a lecture on the First Amendment.
David Lightman writes that Senator Joe Lieberman's Earth Day presser with reporters drew inevitable questions about Gore. ( http://www.ctnow.com/news/politics/hc -caucus0423.artapr23.story?coll=hc%2Dheadlines%2Dpolitics )
Apparently Senator John Edwards may be in South Carolina twice in less than two weeks. Per the AP, he'll address the state Democratic convention on May 4, but then on May 13, he'll head back to South Carolina to attend the state Democrats' biennial Gallivants Ferry stump meeting.
At last, Senator John Kerry has at least a weak excuse to run those TV ads in the far-reaching Boston media market. A Republican challenger to Kerry's 2002 re-election bid emerged yesterday, and it's not Jack Robinson. Prep school football coach and history teacher Anthony Kandel, "a teacher at Tabor Academy in Marion who led its football team to a regional championship, is scrambling to qualify for the ballot, but the clock is ticking. He has only two weeks left to get 10,000 certified voter signatures, a huge task for a first-time statewide candidate with no political connections or organization. He said he has collected about 3,000 signatures so far."
( http://www.boston.com/dailyglobe2/113/metro/ Political_novice_takes_up_GOP_challenge_against_Kerry+.shtml )
"Although he has a doctorate in political science, Kandel's only real-life political qualification is a dismal run for a state legislative seat in 2000, representing several Buzzards Bay communities, including Mattapoisset and his hometown of Marion. In that race, he raised no money and garnered only 25 percent of the vote against a Democratic incumbent in a district that has more registered Republicans than most places in Massachusetts."
We are duly amused by the guy's own take on his chances: "'I am either courageous or a moron,' Kandel said yesterday."
Politics
The Hartford Courtant contextualizes last night's Jefferson-Jackson-Bailey dinner, which Bill Clinton keynoted. "The networking was particularly intense this year with Connecticut's two U.S. senators chasing the presidency, three Democrats pursuing the gubernatorial nomination, every constitutional officer running for re-election, and one congressman, James Maloney, D-5th District, fighting the political battle of his life."
( http://www.ctnow.com/news/local/hc -demdinner0423.artapr23.story?coll=hc%2Dheadlines%2Dhome )
Dear Political Media Buyers Trying to Win Elections in Our Ever-more Polyglottish Nation. The Wall Street Journal reports: "A new survey that may be the first comprehensive effort to quantify ethnic-media usage in California, the first 'majority minority' state in the mainland U.S., reveals noteworthy trends. Ethnic media are pervasive: Fully 84% of the survey's Hispanic, Asian-American and African-American respondents say they get information through ethnic television, radio and publications. Ethnic-media consumers are loyal: 68% of respondents say they prefer ethnic TV stations over English channels for watching news. And 40% of respondents say they pay more attention to ethnic-language ads than ads in English media."
"Defying the traditional image of America as a great melting pot, these islands rely on their own sources of information and advertising and to a large extent define themselves as a community by the ethnic media they consume
It's a shift with immediate ramifications for corporations and others with a stake in reaching the masses."
The Landmark Legal Foundation filed a complaint with the Labor Department yesterday charging that the National Education Association "concealed its use of millions of dollars in tax-exempt teachers' dues and fees for political activities, primarily for Democratic candidates and causes
[T]he foundation claims the NEA the country's largest labor union did not report to its 2.7 million members tax-exempt revenue it spent to recruit and support candidates running for local, state and federal elective office since at least 1994. Most of the expenditures were coordinated with the Democratic National Committee (DNC), Democratic Party campaign organizations, the AFL-CIO and Emily's List."
( http://www.washtimes.com/national/20020423-317848.htm )
Write your own joke, please: former Clinton administration Agriculture Secretary Dan Glickman will address the very serious Georgetown University Public Policy Institute on "humor and politics" tonight at 7:00 p.m..
The Washington Post Style section profiles gun-control activist and cancer survivor Sarah Brady.
( http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A31123-2002Apr22.html )
California
We wonder who thought through or didn't this latest attack by GOP gubernatorial nominee Bill Simon on Gov. Gray Davis (D). Simon "took aim Monday at
Davis' prodigious fund-raising, challenging the incumbent to disclose more details of how he collected roughly $45 million toward his reelection. But even as the Republican nominee demanded to know how much time Davis spends raising money, he declined to set the same standard for his own campaign. He said he would release details of his fund-raising schedule only after he became governor."
( http://www.latimes.com/news/politics/la -000028913apr23.story?coll=la%2Dheadlines%2Dpolitics )
It did, on the other hand, get reporters writing about something besides Simon's tax returns, which, we suspect, was the point.
The state budget deficit is now $20 billion and growing, with "anemic" tax revenues widening the gap between intake and output.
( http://www.sacbee.com/content/politics/story/2318988p-2747743c.html )
California, under Davis's tutelage, renegotiated eight power contracts, and the deals were announced yesterday. Most of the news coverage, though, quotes observers who don't think the newly inked agreements will lower power prices anytime soon, perpetuating another election year issue Davis probably doesn't need to deal with.
( http://www.bayarea.com/mld/mercurynews/3119199.htm )
North Carolina
The Democratic Senate campaign committee's well-staffed press shop couldn't have written it better themselves: Elizabeth Dole says she's listening, but Republican carping is beginning to seep its way into the North Carolina press corps. It's the litany of familiar complaints: her message is poll-tested, her campaign doesn't work well with the party, etc.
"Dole has proven similarly elusive at times in her current U.S. Senate campaign for Jesse Helms' seat. Longtime Republican activists privately criticize her as too image-conscious and cautious, avoiding debates and media questions. Some party members question whether she can handle the pressure against the Democratic nominee in the fall." ( http://www.charlotte.com/mld/observer/news/3119310.htm )
Florida
Here's a good "gotcha" story we hadn't thought of: the Miami Herald tallies up the lawyers' fees from redistricting battles, and finds that taxpayers will pay more than $2 million to a select group of firms.
( http://www.miami.com/mld/miami/news/local/3118557.htm )
That Jeb Bush (R) always is trying to do the right thing for the people of the Sunshine State, and if it helps his re-election effort, so be it. Per the The Wall Street Journal : "Florida Gov. Jeb Bush and the state's comptroller and treasurer are expected to act Tuesday on a recommendation to sue Alliance Capital Management Holding LP for losing some $282 million of the state's pension fund by purchasing millions of Enron Corp. shares in the weeks before the Houston energy company's collapse."
Iowa
Apparently Republicans didn't heed Gov. Tom Vilsack's plea yesterday. The budget stand-off remains; Democrats say the GOP-passed budget doesn't take care of Iowans, while Republicans accuse Vilsack and his fellow Democrats of grandstanding. ( http://www.dmregister.com/news/stories/c4780934/17989353.html )
David Yepsen's column sketches the pros and cons of the three Republicans seeking Vilsack's job. "No candidate is perfect, which may explain the go-slow approach of the GOP rank and file. But it's also a tough choice. It's made even tougher by the growing belief among Republicans that they can beat Tom Vilsack if they pick the right opponent." ( http://desmoinesregister.com/news/stories/c5917686/17981381.html )
Texas
Democratic Senate nominee Ron Kirk spent yesterday in Washington solidifying his media constituency. According to published reports and our own visit with him, Kirk is realistically assessing his chances, reciting the litany of factors against him: Bush's popularity in Texas, Democrats' strategic national spending, Republican opponent John Cornyn's money and/but giving himself a good chance to take the seat anyway.
( http://www.chron.com/cs/CDA/story.hts/politics/1378282 )
The Every Texas Foundation is a voter drive operation founded by ex-Clinton HUD secretary Henry Cisneros. Former President Clinton will raise money for the group on Friday, leading some Republicans to question whether the group wants to register only Democratic voters.
( http://news.mysanantonio.com/story.cfm?xla=saen&xlb=180&xlc=680437&xld=184 )
Pennsylvania
Hell was a bit cold yesterday, and Pennsylvania gubernatorial candidates Ed Rendell and Bob Casey, Jr. found something upon which they could agree. They said it Sunday during their debate, and now they've affixed their signatures to a brief asking federal judges not to postpone the May 21 primary.
( http://www.philly.com/mld/inquirer/living/community/states/pennsylvania/3120577.htm )
Legislative Agenda
The Washington Times considers whether the president's amnesty provision for illegal immigrants is dead, with the House today expected to vote on a border security bill that doesn't contain the provision after the Senate left it out.
( http://www.washtimes.com/national/20020423-64358612.htm )
Bush Administration Strategy/Personality
The Washington Post 's Grove reports on Ari Fleischer's engagement to Ms. Rebecca Davis, 26, who works for White House budget director Mitch Daniels. The blurb is full of Ari's comments that he wants to keep details private, and runnings on about those same details. Our cheeky tone notwithstanding, congratulations to the happy couple.
The Los Angeles Times previews the Chinese vice president and assumed future president's visit to Washington next week.
( http://www.latimes.com/news/printedition/asection/la -000028939apr23.story?coll=la%2Dnews%2Da%5Fsection )
The Wall Street Journal 's David Rogers looks at how a textile manufacturers/union alliance might still sink trade promotion authority in the House before the election, and how Karl Rove and the president have a special interest in, and special obligation to, GOP Rep. Jim DeMint of the great textile state of South Carolina.
The White House appears to have made Bush's faith-based adviser available for interviews recently. The Boston Globe reports on his reaction to the Catholic Church's crisis. "Jim Towey
said yesterday that the leadership of the Roman Catholic Church can weather the current crisis by continuing to acknowledge the gravity of sexual abuse by priests, show sorrow for causing families grief, and take steps to prevent it from happening again."
( http://www.boston.com/dailyglobe2/113/nation/Bush_adviser_ optimistic_that_scandal_can_be_overcome+.shtml )
The Boston Herald takes a broader view.
( http://www2.bostonherald.com/news/columnists/shel04232002.htm )
The Boston Globe 's Shribman looks at how HHS Secretary Thompson has had to alter his political philosophy a bit in his efforts to prepare his agency to deal with possible future terrorist attacks.
( http://www.boston.com/dailyglobe2/113/nation/Thompson_impelled _to_rethink_philosophy+.shtml )
Senator McConnell is on the record saying he thinks the president needs to wage more of a PR offensive on behalf of his judicial nominees. "Senate Republicans will use the weeks leading up to May 9 to make a concerted push for Democrats to approve more of President Bush's judicial nominations
May 9 marks the one-year anniversary of Mr. Bush's first set of judicial nominees. Of the 11 names he sent to the Senate at the time, eight had not received hearings. Of the three who had hearings and were confirmed, two were Clinton administration appointees whom Mr. Bush renominated."
( http://www.washtimes.com/national/20020423-8495348.htm )
"Senate Republicans have been pressing Democrats to act more quickly, but Mr. McConnell says he wants Mr. Bush to do more in the public relations battle."
Per the The Wall Street Journal 's front page, to which we are still getting accustomed: "New federal money-laundering rules will cover a broader swath of the financial-services industry than previously disclosed, going beyond new requirements on banks and securities firms to cover credit-card companies, mutual funds, wire-transfer firms and commodities dealers."
"The new rules that the Treasury plans to announce Tuesday will require firms to implement comprehensive money-laundering compliance programs by designating a special compliance officer, training employees to detect money laundering, commissioning independent audits, and establishing policies and procedures to identify risks and minimize opportunities for abuse. The rules go into effect Wednesday, although some industries will get a 90-day window to implement them."
Dana Milbank offers lots of funny color on Bush's Earth Day.
( http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A31014-2002Apr22.html )
The EPA's ombudsman quit yesterday, arguing that a planned changes to his post will rob the position of its independence. Robert J. Martin "and his lawyer said they will continue legal action to try to block the transfer and restore him as ombudsman. Martin has been the national ombudsman in the EPA's Office of Solid Waste and Emergency Response since 1992. His main job has been to investigate complaints about the EPA's handling of hazardous waste sites under the Superfund program. Although he has no authority to settle disputes, his investigations have made him a folk hero in several communities that have complained about the Superfund cleanup program."
( http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A31135-2002Apr22.html )
Budget Politics
Alan Murray has a super-smart must-read on the efforts of the "clever but irascible" Rep. Bill Thomas, the Ways and Means chairman, to deal with Medicare in advance of baby-boomers-demography-as-destiny busting the budget. Murray argues that tax cuts plus Social Security and Medicare cost will lead to huge deficits unless some changes are made in the programs. You'll find it on A4 of your $1.00 The Wall Street Journal .
Media
The New York Post covers the allegedly on-going brouhaha over "Crossfire" booking GOP guests, despite the flat-out denial by the talented Mr. Sheridan of the Republican National Committee.
ABCNEWS' Here's the Point" has a whole new soundtrack: Elvis Costello's "When I Was Cruel" is now available for purchase. What if the album is as good as the reviews?
( http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/ASIN/B000063526/ref%3Dnosim/elviscostelloonl/103-9556826-7442205> )
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