Election 2023 results and analysis: Democrats excel in Kentucky, Ohio, Virginia

Republican Gov. Tate Reeves is projected to win reelection in Mississippi.

By538 and ABC News via five thirty eight logo
Last Updated: November 7, 2023, 5:08 PM EST

Nov. 7, 2023, was Election Day in at least 37 states, and Americans cast their votes on everything from governorships to local referenda. When the dust settled, it was a solid night for Democrats and their allies: According to ABC News projections, Democratic Gov. Andy Beshear won reelection in Kentucky, and Ohio voters passed Issue 1 to codify abortion rights in the state constitution. The AP also projected that Democrats won both chambers of the Virginia legislature and an open seat on the Pennsylvania Supreme Court. However, there were a few bright spots for Republicans: ABC News projected that Mississippi Gov. Tate Reeves beat back a strong challenge from Democrat Brandon Presley.

As results came in, 538 analysts were breaking them down in real time with live updates, analysis and commentary. Read our full live blog below.

Latest headlines:

Here's how the news is developing. All times Eastern.
Nov 07, 2023, 6:27 PM EST

Watch: The Mississippi governor election in a nutshell

One of the sleeper elections I’m watching tonight is the Mississippi governor’s race. In this video, I explain why Presley may be a strong enough candidate to swim against the state’s partisan tide.

Democrats could win the governor's office for the first time since 1999.
2:10

2023 elections to watch: Mississippi governor

Democrats could win the governor's office for the first time since 1999.
ABCNews.com

—Nathaniel Rakich, 538

Nov 07, 2023, 6:25 PM EST

Mayors are on the ballot, but polling data is sparse

There are more than 275 mayoral races on the ballot around the country today, ranging from the Jersey Shore’s Point Pleasant Beach (population 4,828) to big cities like Houston and Philadelphia. I’ll be closely tracking the results in those two cities, but will also keep an eye throughout the night on local news for surprising outcomes in lower-profile races.

Former Philadelphia City Council member Cherelle Parker is highly favored to replace Mayor Jim Kenney, who is term-limited, after winning an expensive Democratic primary in May. Another former City Council member, David Oh, won the Republican nomination uncontested. A Republican victory would be a shocker here — we don’t have any public polling of the general election, but about three in four Philadelphia voters are registered Democrats, and the city hasn’t had a Republican mayor since 1952. However, Oh has won over Democratic voters before, so it’s a race worth watching. Parker too is a moderate within her party, and made news when she beat out progressive primary opponents with a tough-on-crime platform including support for controversial stop-and-frisk policing tactics. Both candidates would make history with a win: Oh would be the first Asian American ever to serve as mayor of Philadelphia, and remarkably, Philadelphia has never elected a female mayor, so Parker is likely to be the first.

In Houston, the mayor’s race is more competitive, but tonight is likely just the first half of a two-part series. If no candidate receives 50 percent of the vote, the top two performers progress to a runoff election, which will be held on Dec. 9. And with 18 names on the ballot today, it’s going to be tough for any individual candidate to coalesce half of the vote. This race is technically a nonpartisan election, but the top two candidates are longtime Democratic state Sen. John Whitmire and longtime Democratic U.S. Rep. Sheila Jackson Lee. Whitmire is by far the top spender in the field. The only public poll we’ve seen so far — conducted by the University of Houston Sept. 30-Oct. 6 — also found Whitmire leading the race with 34 percent of likely voters, followed by Lee at 31 percent. Although they’re both Democrats, Whitmire, who has framed his candidacy around working across the political spectrum, received more support from Republicans and independents in the University of Houston poll. Lee received more votes from Democrats, women and Black voters. In a hypothetical head-to-head matchup, Whitmire led 50 percent to 36 percent.

—Leah Askarinam, 538

Nov 07, 2023, 6:17 PM EST

First polls close in Kentucky

Polls are closed in the eastern half of Kentucky and very early results are starting to trickle in. Be aware of a possible blue mirage and a possible red shift later: the early votes, which tend to favor Democrats, are counted first.

—Monica Potts, 538

Nov 07, 2023, 6:16 PM EST

What today’s elections can tell us about 2024

Key election races across US with implications for 2024:

ABC News’ Mary Bruce highlights what to know for Election Day, with topics like abortion access on the ballot in Ohio and two big governor races in Kentucky and Mississippi.
2:08

Key election races across US with implications for 2024

ABC News’ Mary Bruce highlights what to know for Election Day, with topics like abortion access on the ballot in Ohio and two big governor races in Kentucky and Mississippi.
ABCNews.com

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