Will Trump overperform due to the cold?
As Galen posted earlier, the weather in Iowa tonight is downright nasty — below zero even without the wind. There’s been a lot of speculation about how that could affect the results tonight, so I wanted to get everyone’s two cents! Do you think any candidate in particular would benefit from a low-turnout scenario?
Personally, I think Trump might be the beneficiary. According to the final Selzer poll of the race, 49 percent of Trump supporters said they were extremely enthusiastic about their candidate. But only 23 percent of DeSantis supporters said the same, and 9 percent of Haley supporters did.