Barely out of crisis, Greek economy hammered by new lockdown

Greece has downgraded its forecasts for the economy this year to include the impact of a second lockdown

Greece has downgraded its forecasts for the economy this year to include the impact of a second lockdown, and says the national debt is now expected to exceed 200% of annual output.

The Finance Ministry on Friday said that it expects the economy to contract by 10.5% in 2020 and rebound by a modest 4.8% next year, according to figures presented in the 2021 Budget to parliament.

The estimates were revised from an 8.2% drop and 7.5% bounce back forecast in a draft budget submission last month.

The government imposed a second lockdown nationwide on Nov. 7, expanding regional restrictions, following a dramatic surge in COVID-19 cases that has threatened capacity limits at public hospitals.

The new restrictions, which closed most stores and all schools, was due to last three weeks but is likely to last longer, according to government officials.

The 2020 primary budget deficit - that is, not counting the cost of servicing debt - is set to swell to 3.88% of GDP.

The pandemic has rocked the Greek economy which is heavily dependent on tourism and remains burdened with high levels of public and private debt following years of financial crisis and successive international bailouts programs between 2010 and 2018.

Greece is expected to receive some 31 billion euros in financial support from the European Union as part of its recovery package.

Lawmakers are due to vote on the budget on Dec. 15. ———

Follow Gatopoulos at https://twitter.com/dgatopoulos