The Note: Here We Go... Campaign Enters Final Stretch


--NATE SILVER PREDICTS A CLOSE 2016 PRESIDENTIAL RACE: Election forecaster Nate Silver said on Sunday that Hillary Clinton is the clear favorite to be the next president, but argued the race is closer than most analysts are anticipating. "The electoral math is less solid for Clinton than it was for [President Barack] Obama four years ago," Silver said in an interview with George Stephanopoulos on ABC News' "This Week." Silver became a prominent election forecaster during the 2008 election and his assessment of candidates electoral chances have been closely followed ever since. This year, his work has come under scrutiny because while his models show Clinton the favorite in the race, he is less bullish on her chances than other forecasters. ABC’s MARGARET CHADBOURN has more.

--INSIDE THE TRUMP CAMPAIGN’S UNUSUAL RISE TO THE TOP: The day Donald Trump kicked off his campaign is the day that perhaps best set the stage for his entire candidacy -- unpredictable, always a show, with a slew of controversial moments. In short -- it has been a campaign like no other. Trump Tower on June 16, 2015 was electric. The building that was always open to the public become home to a closed affair for supporters (some of whom were paid actors). Green laminated cards read “Special Announcement” with "TRUMP," written all in caps. And in just a few short minutes, Trump, with his wife by his side, glided down the golden escalator, a trip he would often refer to as “the famous escalator ride," and announced he was in. The guy from Queens who has toyed with the idea of running for president since the late 1980s, entered the ring. To be in Trump Tower that day, observers saw that Trump was going to do things his way. Staffers from the Trump Organization handed out four stapled sheets of paper that read “Remarks as Prepared for Delivery”. Trump never touched them. Instead he gave a rambling address hitting various topics -– trade, immigration, healthcare, President Obama’s record. ABC’s JOHN SANTUCCI has more.

--HOW DEMOCRATS COULD TAKE THE SENATE: Democrats have claimed from the beginning of this campaign cycle that they had a shot at taking back control of the Senate. Republicans have twice as many seats up for election this year compared to Democrats and several of those are in swing states. ABC’s MARYALICE PARKS and BEN SIEGEL break it all down here.

--ARRESTS MADE FOR VANDALIZING FBI BUILDING, TRUMP HOTEL IN DC: At least three men connected with the Million Mask March were arrested in Washington, DC, on Saturday in separate incidents, ABC’s LUCIEN BRUGGEMAN reports. On Saturday morning, D.C. Metro Police arrested two men for vandalizing several buildings along Pennsylvania Avenue, including the FBI Building and the Trump Hotel, as well as a police vehicle. Hours later, U.S. Secret Service arrested a third protester carrying a firearm near the White House, prompting a brief lockdown.


--TRUMP RUSHED OFF STAGE LAST NIGHT IN NEVADA: Donald Trump was rushed offstage by members of his Secret Service detail after a commotion broke out in the audience at an event at Reno, Nevada. The Republican presidential candidate was making a campaign speech at a Reno convention center when there was some kind of scuffle in the crowd in front of the podium and two Secret Service agents came and quickly brought Trump offstage, ABC’s CANDACE SMITH and JOHN SANTUCCI report. A man in a blue sweater was tackled before being escorted out by law enforcement before being held in a bathroom inside the venue.

--BEYONCE, JAY Z HEADLINE STAR-STUDDED CLINTON CONCERT: They're with her. Jay Z and Beyonce headlined a star-studded concert in support of Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton in Cleveland Friday night. "We have to think about the future of our daughters, our sons," Beyonce told the crowd at Cleveland State University's Wolstein Center. She addressed the historical significance of a Clinton presidency, but emphasized that it won't happen unless voters actually head to the polls. ABC’s JOSH HASKELL has more.

--TIM KAINE PLAYS HARMONICA WITH BON JOVI AT FLORIDA RALLY: Armed with a harmonica and an iconic rocker at his side, Democratic vice presidential candidate Tim Kaine showed off his musical prowess at a Florida rally Saturday night. The Virginia senator, 58, played the harmonica while Bon Jovi belted out his 1986 track, "You Give Love a Bad Name," at a Get Out The Vote rally at The State Theater in St. Petersburg, Florida. Bon Jovi -- who played a few other songs, including "Living on a Prayer -- joked that he would start a band called "TK and the Faithful. ABC’s DAVID CAPLAN reports. The 54-year-old musician, who supports Hillary Clinton, spoke to the crowd about the importance of voting.

HAPPENING TODAY(all times Eastern)

-- 4:30 PM - Hillary Clinton is in Cleveland, Ohio with with Lebron James and at 8:15 PM will head to Manchester, New Hampshire for a rally.

-- 1:00 PM - Donald Trump holds a rally in Sioux City, Iowa and at 3:00 PM he will visit Minneapolis, Minnesota. Later this evening, he will campaign in Sterling Heights, Michigan at 6:00 PM and at 8:00 PM he will be in Moon Township, Pennsylvania, with a final stop in Leesburg at 9:30 PM.

--2PM - Tim Kaine stops in Green Bay, Wisconsin and at 8PM will head to La Cross, Wisconsin.

--1 PM - Mike Pence campaigns in Panama City, Florida and then at 5 PM will be in Hickory, North Carolina, with his final rally at 8:30 PM in Windham, New Hampshire.

THIS MORNING on ‘THIS WEEK’: With two days to go until Election Day, the Powerhouse Roundtable debated the race for the White House, with Rebuilding America Now PAC strategist Alex Castellanos, President Obama’s 2012 deputy campaign manager and Democratic strategist Stephanie Cutter, ABC News political analyst Matthew Dowd, Progressive Caucus co-chair Rep. Keith Ellison, D-Minn., and ABC News contributor and Republican strategist and pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson.

VIDEO: CLINTON CAMPAIGNS WITH CELEBRITIES AHEAD OF ELECTION DAY Hillary Clinton takes the stage with Beyonce, Jay-Z and Katy Perry.


@JohnJHawood: final NBC/WSJ national likely-voter poll: Clinton 44%, Trump 40%, Johnson 6%, Stein 2%

@EW: Alec Baldwin and Kate McKinnon break character on #SNL and urge everyone to vote:

@ABCLiz: Clinton camp lays out strategy for final push

@TIME: Inside Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump's final dash of the election

@gdebenedetti: The final 48 hours, updated:



...and then they both wind up in NY.

@samsteinhp: Am I wrong or are Trump and Pence not stepping foot in Ohio between now and the election?