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Undecided races of the 2024 election: Live results and analysis

We're tracking unresolved races in the Senate, House and more.

Former President Donald Trump has won back the White House, and Republicans have won control of the U.S. Senate and House of Representatives. But we still don't know how big the GOP's Senate and House majorities will be, since there are still several races that don't have a projected winner. The outcomes of these elections could have major implications for how easy it will be for Trump to enact his second-term agenda.

However, it could be a while before we know who won these races. California — home to multiple undecided House races — is still working through counting all its ballots. Other races will require ranked-choice voting to resolve. And still others, like Pennsylvania's Senate race, could go to a recount.

We at 538 will be tracking it all on this live blog dedicated to all the outstanding races of the 2024 election. Join us for live updates, analysis and commentary until the last major race is decided.


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Alaska's state House flips from bipartisan control to ... bipartisan control?

As I wrote last week, Alaska's state House is currently controlled by a bipartisan coalition led by and made up of mostly Republicans. That coalitions seems to have lost enough members to relegate it to the minority, while the current minority coalition — which is primarily made up of Democrats — seems set to take its place.

While there are still some uncalled races left, the current minority coalition appears to have picked up at least four seats, according to the Alaska Beacon. Democrats flipped two seats, one in North Slope and one in Anchorage, while a coalition-aligned Republican and independent also won races in Anchorage. That Republican, Chuck Kopp, has already been announced as the new majority leader in the House. Two more districts currently held by members of the majority coalition, one in Southwest Alaska and another in Anchorage, could also see flips to the new primarily-Democratic coalition.

Meanwhile, the current Republican-led majority coalition has only flipped two seats so far, one in Ketchikan currently held by an independent and one in Mat-Su currently held by Republican, Dan Eastman, a hardline conservative who was not a member of the majority coalition.

In the state Senate, another bipartisan coalition made up of almost every member of the chamber seems set to maintain control. Democrats currently have one more member in that coalition than Republicans, though the Senate president is a Republican.


A record number of women will serve as governors

Currently, 12 women serve as their state's governor, a record that will be broken with Republican Kelly Ayotte's win in New Hampshire's governors race. Of the 13 women who will be governor after Ayotte is inaugurated, just five are Republicans.


In North Carolina, Democrats hold key congressional seat

ABC News reports that Democratic Rep. Don Davis is projected to win his race in North Carolina's 1st District. With 91% of the expected vote in, Davis narrowly leads his Republican challenger Laurie Buckhout, 49% to 48%.

Notably, Buckhout had already conceded on Wednesday afternoon. "While Don and I have different visions, it is obvious to everyone he cares about this district," she wrote in a recent social media post. Given this, it's unlikely she'll request a recount — as she was once considering doing.

Democrats have held this seat since the 1890s. But the party's slim voting margin might be reason to worry — as it's likely the GOP will target this seat in future races. Even ahead of Tuesday, the nonpartisan Cook Political Report said that the district was a "toss-up," and 538's forecast had it listed as "likely Democrat."


Gonzalez ekes out win in Texas's 34th District

ABC News is reporting that in Texas's 34th District, Democratic Rep. Vicente Gonzalez is projected to retain control. With 99% of the expected vote reporting, Gonzalez eked out a win against Republican Mayra Flores, 51% to 49%.

Despite a Democratic win here, though, South Texas's overall political shift is incredibly fascinating. Take this example: In Hidalgo County, the most populous in the Rio Grande Valley, Trump beat Harris by 3 percentage points. Compare this to 2020, when Biden won the county by nearly 17 points. Gonzalez might've survived to see another two years in the House, but given the political realignment of Latinos in South Texas, it's likely that Democrats will have to fight even harder for these seats in future elections.