South Carolina primary 2024: Trump projected to win, Haley vows to stay in the race
What can we take away from Trump's big Palmetto State victory?
Former President Donald Trump has won the South Carolina Republican primary, ABC News projects. It was a swift and embarrassing defeat for former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley, who rose to political prominence as South Carolina’s governor. Nevertheless, in her concession speech, Haley vowed to continue her campaign into Super Tuesday on March 5.
Throughout the evening, 538 reporters, analysts and contributors broke down the results as they came in with live updates, analysis and commentary. Read our full live blog below.
Latest headlines:
Other candidates will be on the ballot, but Haley might have advantage
That's true, Nathaniel. But maybe Haley is hoping that actively campaigning, and still having a campaign apparatus running, will give her an advantage over the other also-rans.
—Monica Potts, 538
Is Trump is heading for a delegate sweep?
Remember that the primary is ultimately all about the delegates candidates win to vote for them at the RNC in July. In the delegate math tonight, Trump is coming out way ahead. South Carolina awards delegates in two sets: 29 are awarded to the winner of the statewide popular vote (which are all going to Trump tonight) and the remaining 21 are split equally between the remaining 7 congressional districts. According to ABC's delegate projections Trump has already won 38 delegates tonight, with 12 left to assign in 4 more districts. But if Trump is heading for a 30-point margin statewide, it's unlikely Haley will win any of those that remain.
Our delegate benchmarks model had Haley needing all 50 tonight to be on track for the GOP nomination. It is her home state, after all.
—G. Elliott Morris, 538
You guys never watched “Rowan & Martin’s Laugh-In”?
Am I the only one who uses the term "bet your bippy"??
—Nathaniel Rakich, 538
Don't underestimate the ego factor
Right, so why is Haley sticking around if Trump is the presumptive nominee? We've put together a few hypotheses — spite, in case something happens, sticking it to the man etc — but, as ever with politicians, we cannot discount the possibility that she's in it for her. I keep thinking of Beto O'Rourke's "born to run" comments in the 2020 primary. A lot of politicians think this way!
—G. Elliott Morris, 538
No Labels Nikki?
Haley spent a good portion of her speech attacking Trump and Biden in equal measure. It definitely raised the specter of a third-party candidacy down the line, after she loses the GOP nomination, perhaps on the No Labels ticket. Haley has said she’s “not interested in talking” with the centrist group, but that doesn’t mean she can’t develop an interest later on.
And it’s not entirely unheard of for a losing GOP candidate to launch a more center-minded independent bid for president against an incumbent Democrat and the Republican who beat them in the primary. Illinois Rep. John Anderson did just that in 1980 against Jimmy Carter and Ronald Reagan. He ultimately won about 6.6 percent of the vote (5,719,850 popular votes, but no electoral votes).
—Jacob Rubashkin, Inside Elections