FiveThirtyEight: The Eagles' offense is a shadow of its former self

Neil Paine previews the Eagles vs. Falcons Divisional Round matchup and predicts that the Eagles will have to look to their defense and special teams to win the game.
1:44 | 06/18/18

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Transcript for FiveThirtyEight: The Eagles' offense is a shadow of its former self
It's an all birds match up on Saturday when last year's NFC champion Atlanta Falcons travel to Philadelphia to pace the Eagles. But even though the game will be held at Lincoln Financial Field the falcons are actually the favorites. Eagles into the game at the first top seed in NFL history to be an underdog in the divisional round. This is all because the Eagles lost our quarterback Carson woods to a torn ACL in week fourteen. Ever since they've been depending on fact ethnic poles and it's a pretty steep drop off with a what's understand this season the Eagles offense generated seven point one expected points added per game. In more specifically they average seven point two EPA for game on passing alone. The within three games since Wentz is injury and expand folds did far more harm than Wentz had done good. Eagles offense with balls this QB generated negative eight point two EPA per game with a negative five point four of that coming on passing. In other words the Eagles offense is a whole has been worth about fifteen fewer points per game since Wentz went down. The good news for Philly fans is that the falcons defense with nothing special during the regular season according to EPA. And on the other side of the ball the eagles' defense was one of the best in the Lee. Add in what was a farce appears special teams corps and there are reasons for hope in Philadelphia even without Carson Lance. Our fuel model woods doesn't take into account injuries actually gives the building 57% chance of winning the game. Here's what the model is predicting for the other divisional round matchup. The patriots have an 85% chance of beating the titans. The Pittsburgh Steelers haven't sent me 6% chance of being the Jacksonville Jaguars. And the Minnesota Vikings have a 63% chance of beating the New Orleans.

This transcript has been automatically generated and may not be 100% accurate.

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