Investors are betting that strength in banks will flow to the rest of the economy.
Rising financial stocks propelled the stock market to its biggest one-day gain in six weeks Monday after an influential banking analyst raised her rating on Goldman Sachs Group. The bank reports earnings on Tuesday.
Meredith Whitney said also on CNBC that hard-hit Bank of America is inexpensive given the assets on its books.
Her upbeat, albeit still cautious, tone on banks helped lift the Dow Jones industrial average 185 points in relatively thin trading volume. It was the best performance for the blue chips since June 1 and follows a month of often directionless trading in which investors looked for any fresh sign that the economy was improving, not simply licking its wounds.
Goldman has long been considered the strongest bank amid the economic downturn, but Bank of America has been one of the hardest hit by loan losses. Any improvement in banks' profits could shore up their financial position and free money for lending.
Investors latched on to Whitney's comments because she has for years offered one of the more pessimistic — and accurate — assessments of the banking business. While she remains cautious about the industry over all, the shift in tone gave the market a jolt.
Beyond Goldman, Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase, and Citigroup are all scheduled to report second-quarter results this week. Banks have taken some of the biggest blows among U.S. companies since the recession began in late 2007 as investment and loan losses mounted.
"There is a contingency of traders out there that believe the market can't recover without financials," said Randy Frederick, director of trading and derivatives at Charles Schwab.
Earnings reports will give investors a chance to see whether there was any meaningful economic improvement during the second quarter, and so far expectations are relatively low. Stocks rallied in the spring amid hope of a recovery in late 2009, but the market has struggled since mid-June as more investors began to doubt that assessment.
The Dow rose 185.16, or 2.3%, to 8,331.68. The Standard & Poor's 500 index jumped 21.92, or 2.5%, to 901.05, its first finish over the 900 mark since July 1. It was the S&P's best day since June 1.
The Nasdaq composite index rose 37.18, or 2.1%, to 1,793.21 and also posted its best performance since the start of June.
Some financial stocks were still struggling, however. Commercial finance lender CIT Group said it is talking with regulators about ways to improve its short-term liquidity as recent losses may jeopardize its compliance with capital requirements.
Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner said Monday from London that he was confident the government has the authority and the ability to address the crisis at CIT.
Earnings reports are expected from major companies in a range of industries this week, including Dow industrials components Johnson & Johnson JNJ, IBMIBM and General ElectricGE and technology bellwethers IntelINTC and GoogleGOOG.
"People are focused on sectors battered the most to see if there is any bounce-back," said Dan Deighan, founder of Deighan Financial Advisors in Melbourne, Fla. Financial firms and retail companies will probably be the most closely watched industry as earnings are released, he said.
Data coming out this week also will offer insight into the economy. Investors will get readings on inflation, retail sales, industrial production and housing starts.